> "you guys are too pessimistic, glass half full; everything is looking up
> with India, look what a great democracy, and changing so fast, with high
> economic growth - well, surely, all of this will trickle down to north east
> India and the vestiges of centralization of power will gradually dissolve in
> a Hindi film like song and dance sequence, democracy will percolate to the
> grassroots; just wait and participate rationally in what the existing
> structure offers you  - and everything will be fine in the long run". 

Or how about this:

"You guys are too optimestic, glass half full, everthing is going
downhill with India. look what a lousy democracy it is, and changing
so slowly, with low (or zero) economic growth - well, surely, any
benefit there is will never trickle down to the NE, and the vestiges
of centralizations will gradually dissolve the essense of democracy
-------, and there is only gloom & doom for India, specially the NE,
in the long run and most importantly the NE needs to become
independent, and we will all live happily ever after"

> Am I calling for the latter? Am I praying for a revolution? You bet.  
> This time its not day dreaming. Its the only hope. Just because hope is
> unlikely, one does not embrace falsehood. 

Maybe you could articulate how you propose to bring about this ' Revolution'.
Or maybe the conditions in India are so damn deplorable, that we may
not even be able to bring about a decent desi-styled-revolution!

--Ram


On 6/8/05, Roy, Santanu <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> No. I am simply characterizing the nature of power structure in India in
> reality. 
>  
> The reason is I do it is because I often find this particular strand of
> thought on this net: 
>  
> "you guys are too pessimistic, glass half full; everything is looking up
> with India, look what a great democracy, and changing so fast, with high
> economic growth - well, surely, all of this will trickle down to north east
> India and the vestiges of centralization of power will gradually dissolve in
> a Hindi film like song and dance sequence, democracy will percolate to the
> grassroots; just wait and participate rationally in what the existing
> structure offers you  - and everything will be fine in the long run". 
>  
> Well, it won't. Just as the Chinese totalitarian state won't change its
> essential nature without a radical earth shattering jolt ( a point well
> recognized in the western media now), the Indian state will not budge an
> inch on its essential centralized nature unless there is a big jolt. 
> Am I calling for the latter? Am I praying for a revolution? You bet.  
> This time its not day dreaming. Its the only hope. Just because hope is
> unlikely, one does not embrace falsehood. 
>  
> Santanu. 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Rajen Barua [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Sent: Wednesday, June 08, 2005 12:24 PM
> To: Roy, Santanu; mridul bhuyan; [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED];
> Chan Mahanta
> Cc: [email protected]
> Subject: Re: [Assam] Oil India Strikes it rich in Dibrugarh Dist.
> 
> 
> >.I have been trying to impress for a long time - that forget about
> independence or autonomy, even getting the GOI to genuinely transfer a
> minimal set of economic >assets and powers to the state through a
> constitutional amendment will be resisted with as great ferocity  by the
> corridors of power in Delhi as they would resist a >demand for secession.
>  
> I could not quite understand what you are trying to imply here. Are you
> trying to say that there is no point in trying for constitutional amendment
> because that is also going to resisted by Delhi with same ferocity as the
> demand for secession; and therefore it is better to try for secession which
> is being resisted by Delhi anyway.
>  
> Well that definitely closes the door for constitutional amendment, or the
> demand for a change of the desi-demokretik system as suggested by Chandan, 
> till the demand for secession lasts.  
>  
> Rajen Barua
> ----- Original Message ----- 
> From: Chan Mahanta 
> To: Roy, Santanu ; mridul bhuyan ; [EMAIL PROTECTED] ; [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
> Cc: [email protected] 
> Sent: Wednesday, June 08, 2005 11:32 AM
> Subject: RE: [Assam] Oil India Strikes it rich in Dibrugarh Dist.
> 
> 
> Something however tells me that Santanu and Mridul had polar opposite
> outlook to things. Santanu's holds on to hope for change, while Mridul's
> surrenders to Indian 'constitutional sanctity', thus acquiesces to the
> unfairness to Assam.
> 
> Am I right :-)?
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> 
> At 10:49 AM -0500 6/8/05, Roy, Santanu wrote:
> Mridul:
> I actually fully agree with you. I am glad you said that: "Besides, if we
> can get that we can get independance too."
> You see, this is a point I have been trying to impress for a long time -
> that forget about independence or autonomy, even getting the GOI to
> genuinely transfer a minimal set of economic assets and powers to the state
> through a constitutional amendment will be resisted with as great ferocity 
> by the corridors of power in Delhi as they would resist a demand for
> secession.
> As for day dreaming, there are benefits that emanate from dreams - for
> example, all of the ideas behind human progress.
> Santanu.
> 
> -----Original Message-----
> From: mridul bhuyan [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Sent: Tuesday, June 07, 2005 11:41 PM
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; Roy, Santanu; [EMAIL PROTECTED];
> [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Cc: [email protected]
> Subject: RE: [Assam] Oil India Strikes it rich in Dibrugarh Dist.
> IMHO, all rights of ownership over all natural resources including
> >>oil should be returned to the people of Assam  - OIL and all other
> >>companies can then buy it back from us at market price-
> >>competitively with foreign bidders -  and then float as much share
> >>as they wish everywhere.
> >>
> It is easier said than done within the framework of the existing
> constitution. Besides, if we can get that we can get independance too.
> Instead of day dreaming, we should explore ways to derive the best.
> Mridul Bhuyan
> 
> 
> 
> >From: Chan Mahanta <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> >To: "Roy, Santanu" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>,   "Dilip/Dil
> Deka"<[EMAIL PROTECTED]>,   "Ram Sarangapani" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]>
> >CC: Assam <[email protected]>
> >Subject: RE: [Assam] Oil India Strikes it rich in Dibrugarh Dist.
> >Date: Tue, 7 Jun 2005 22:00:30 -0500
> >
> >You said it like it ought to be Santanu.
> >
> >Somehow an ordinary sense of reasoning has been missing from these
> >convoluted arguments from some of Assam's best.
> >
> >_______________________________________________________________________________
> >
> >
> >At 9:52 PM -0500 6/7/05, Roy, Santanu wrote:
> >>Does it strike anybody as being odd that we are suggesting that the
> >>taxpayers of Assam essentially buy ownership of a natural resource
> >>of Assam ?
> >>
> >>After all, oil is no different from land or water. Suppose the GOI
> >>floated a company that established ownership over all groundwater
> >>or forest land in Assam, would we then suggest buying ownership
> >>shares of that company using the Assamese taxpayers money?
> >>
> >>IMHO, all rights of ownership over all natural resources including
> >>oil should be returned to the people of Assam  - OIL and all other
> >>companies can then buy it back from us at market price-
> >>competitively with foreign bidders -  and then float as much share
> >>as they wish everywhere.
> >>
> >>Santanu.
> >>
> >>-----Original Message-----
> >>From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] on behalf of Dilip/Dil Deka
> >>Sent: Wed 6/8/2005 10:59 AM
> >>To: Ram Sarangapani
> >>Cc: Assam
> >>Subject: Re: [Assam] Oil India Strikes it rich in Dibrugarh Dist.
> >>
> >>Also, I think its good thing that the company is issuing IPOs.
> >>Whats
> >>stopping the GOA (as Barua suggested) or others in Assam from
> >>buying
> >>into the company.     One needs money to buy shares. Does GOA have
> >>money to spare?
> >>
> >>If the GOA is not getting what it ought to be getting from OIL, it
> >>either does not negotiate well, or is not listening to the
> >>electorate,
> >>or the electorate is blissfully not aware that they could demand
> >>the
> >>GOA work for them.    You are correct.
> >>
> >>I would not blame OIL, its just looking after its own interests,
> >>just
> >>like any other pvt. company. Its for the people to hold the GOAs
> >>feet
> >>to the fire.        I agree.
> >>
> >>Dilip Deka
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >>Ram Sarangapani <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> >>C'da,
> >>
> >>>*** I don't believe any of these statistics. There is no history
> >>>of
> >>reliable numbers >coming out either in govt. handouts, or in
> >>private
> >>company notifications, or news->paper reporters' dispatchers or
> >>Assam
> >>netters' speculations.
> >>
> >>Maybe you will atleast believe what OIL itself is reporting to the
> >>media. The figures quoted were from OIL (NOT GOI or media
> >>speculation).
> >>
> >>Here is some more financial data from OIL
> >>http://oilindia.nic.in/perf_financial.htm
> >>
> >>Also, I think its good thing that the company is issuing IPOs.
> >>Whats
> >>stopping the GOA (as Barua suggested) or others in Assam from
> >>buying
> >>into the company.
> >>
> >>>There is something grossly unfair about it as far as the owners of
> >>these natural >resources, the people of Assam, that OIL or ONGC
> >>get,
> >>almost for free.
> >>
> >>That kind of statement can be made by any state or country - its
> >>just
> >>over the top. Should the people of Texas feel cheated because Shell
> >>or
> >>Exxon operate here at high profits?
> >>
> >>The residuals from a company like OIL is that they provide great
> >>employment opportunities in Assam. They bring technology, explore
> >>new
> >>reserves etc.
> >>
> >>>That is why a more reliable system of selecting able and
> >>>accountable
> >>Assam >govt. is one of the most pressing needs for the people of
> >>Assam, something the >current Indian model has failed to deliver
> >>on,
> >>and cannot in the future, without >fundamental reforms.
> >>
> >>Isn't OIl a private entity? And it is governed by all the rules &
> >>regs
> >>of such industries. If the GOA wanted a bigger share, they should
> >>renegotiate with OIL on the contract.
> >>
> >>If the GOA is not getting what it ought to be getting from OIL, it
> >>either does not negotiate well, or is not listening to the
> >>electorate,
> >>or the electorate is blissfully not aware that they could demand
> >>the
> >>GOA work for them.
> >>
> >>I would not blame OIL, its just looking after its own interests,
> >>just
> >>like any other pvt. company. Its for the people to hold the GOAs
> >>feet
> >>to the fire.
> >>
> >>I think, the intellectuals in Assam would best serve the state by
> >>seriously analyzing issues such as royalties from OIL (or ONGC)
> >>etc,
> >>and the GOA should listen and implement on their recommendations.
> >>
> >>--Ram
> >>
> >>
> >>
> >>On 6/7/05, Chan Mahanta wrote:
> >>>  At 9:51 AM -0500 6/7/05, Rajen Barua wrote:
> >>>  Take it easy. You don't need to interprtet that way. If you
> >>>don't believe
> >>>  the Rs 1061 crores figure, why don't you come up witth your
> >>>economics and
> >>>  enlighten the kharhwas? If f you believe, then you should agree
> >>>with me.
> >>>  Which one it is? Please don't talk on air.
> >>>  Rajen
> >>>
> >>>  *** I don't believe any of these statistics. There is no history
> >>>of reliable
> >>>  numbers coming out either in govt. handouts, or in private
> >>>company
> >>>  notifications, or news-paper reporters' dispatchers or Assam
> >>>netters'
> >>>  speculations.
> >>>
> >>>  But one has to believe in something, to be able to deliberate on
> >>>issues,
> >>>  right?
> >>>  I would agree, but it has to be something that is beyond
> >>>reproach.
> >>>
> >>>  In this case, that has to be the fact that OIL is pumping oil.
> >>>That it is in
> >>>  business making a profit ( a private company cannot stay in
> >>>business if it
> >>>  is not making a profit, unless it is a desi one, surreptitiously
> >>>subsidized
> >>>  by the citizenry), that it has discovered new sources of oil and
> >>>that it
> >>>  pays Assam little, while it makes its profit selling its
> >>>processed goods at
> >>>  international rates.
> >>>
> >>>  There is something grossly unfair about it as far as the owners
> >>>of these
> >>>  natural resources, the people of Assam, that OIL or ONGC get,
> >>>almost for
> >>>  free.
> >>>
> >>>  That is one of the many grievances many people of Assam have
> >>>been fighting
> >>>  against the Center for decades now, without any satisfaction.
> >>>
> >>>  Now, just because the establishment of Assam does not make waves
> >>>about it ,
> >>>  does not mean ALL people of Assam acquiesce to it. The proof is
> >>>the
> >>>  insurgency, which arose due to the short shrift given to the
> >>>people of
> >>>  Assam by its colonial master, the Center, after its own reps.
> >>>let it down.
> >>>
> >>>  That is why a more reliable system of selecting able and
> >>>accountable Assam
> >>>  govt. is one of the most pressing needs for the people of Assam,
> >>>something
> >>>  the current Indian model has failed to deliver on, and cannot in
> >>>the future,
> >>>  without fundamental reforms.
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>  ----- Original Message -----
> >>>  From: Chan Mahanta
> >>>  To: Rajen Barua ; Ram Sarangapani ; Assam
> >>>  Sent: Tuesday, June 07, 2005 9:25 AM
> >>>  Subject: Re: [Assam] Oil India Strikes it rich in Dibrugarh
> >>>Dist.
> >>>
> >>>  > This also shows that owning OIL by Assam may not be that fun
> >>>after all,
> >>>  and should be a lesson >to the freedom fighters of Assam. There
> >>>may not be
> >>>  much gold in the golden pot.
> >>>
> >>>  *** That is serious. Maybe OIL is there for charity to Assam,
> >>>employing all
> >>>  those lazy people at exorbitant salaries. The Assamese ought to
> >>>be warned
> >>>  not to rock the boat, asking for more royalty et. OIL may leave
> >>>and Assam
> >>>  will be left holding the empty wells, and paying them outsiders
> >>>to close the
> >>>  wells down.
> >>>
> >>>  Yep, those freedom fighters need to screw their heads on right.
> >>>
> >>>  :-) :-) :-)
> >>>
> >>>  But seriously something seems to be missing in the reasoning
> >>>here, isn't it?
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>  At 8:37 AM -0500 6/7/05, Rajen Barua wrote:
> >>>  >their profit has zoomed up to Rs 1061 crores in the last
> >>>  > financial year.
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>  This is where we need to know the reality of the economics of
> >>>situation.
> >>>  Frankly speaking this Rs. 1061 crores profit will be only around
> >>>5% of total
> >>>  annual oil production revenue of OIL (according to my one
> >>>estimate and based
> >>>  on present world oil price). This also means that OIL will be
> >>>incurring a
> >>  > loss if it were to pay the royalty to Assam. This also shows
> >>that owning OIL
> >>>  by Assam may not be that fun after all, and should be a lesson
> >>>to the
> >>>  freedom fighters of Assam. There may not be much gold in the
> >>>golden pot.
> >>>  But there again one need to know how OIL is calculating their
> >>>profit which
> >>>  may be tricky. Anyhow, I think Assam will be better off just
> >>>playing dumb
> >>>  and claiming 12.5% royalty which will be around Rs 4000 crores
> >>>according to
> >>>  one estimate I made earlier. At least that will start the debate
> >>>and
> >>  > discussion for decentralization. The point is to do something.
> >>At present
> >>>  Assam is just sitting Hobo Diok..
> >>>
> >>>  RajenBarua
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>
> >>>  ----- Original Message -----
> >>>  From: "Ram Sarangapani"
> >>>  To: "Assam"
> >>>  Sent: Monday, June 06, 2005 6:17 PM
> >>>  Subject: [Assam] Oil India Strikes it rich in Dibrugarh Dist.
> >>>
> >>>  > This is good news indeed, and the fact that OIL is going for
> >>>its first
> >>>  IPO.
> >>>  >
> >>>  > -----------------
> >>>  >
> >>>  > OIL strikes it rich in three structures in Assam
> >>>  > Guwahati, Jun 06 (UNI) Oil India Limited (OIL) has struck
> >>>crude
> >>>  > petroleum in the three new structures in Dibrugarh district of
> >>>Upper
> >>>  > Assam even as their profit has zoomed up to Rs 1061 crores in
> >>>the last
> >>>  > financial year.
> >>>  >
> >>>  > According to the director's report, the OIL has struck oil in
> >>>the
> >>>  > three new structures on North Tini Ali, West Zaloni and
> >>>Samdang-3.
> >>>  >
> >>>  > The company is upbeat with the new discoveries as they are
> >>>preparing
> >>>  > for the first Initial Public Offering (IPO).
> >>>  >
> >>>  > The OIL India sources, however, confirmed that they were
> >>>keeping their
> >>>  > finger crossed about the result of the latest round of the New
> >>>  > Exploratory Licensing Policy (NELP) bidding for getting
> >>>license for
> >>>  > exploration of the new block.
> >>>  >
> >>>  > The ONGC, Reliance and Videocon are pupshing ahead for license
> >>>in new
> >>>  > prospective blocks of Upper Assam.
> >>>  >
> >>>  > The source informed that new discoveries would go a long way
> >>>to double
> >>>  > the gas and crude production in the next five years through
> >>>initiative
> >>>  > like breakthrough performance under taken by the company for
> >>>  > organisational transformation.
> >>>  >
> >>>  > In fact the director's report said the profit after tax was Rs
> >>>1061
> >>>  > crores as the oil and gas products had registered a seven per
> >>>cent
> >>>  > growth in the last financial year ending March 2005.
> >>>  >
> >>>  > Increased production of crude oil and natural gas coupled with
> >>>increse
> >>>  > in price resulted in company recording the highest ever total
> >>>income
> >>>  > of Rs 4097 crores.
> >>>  > --From Deepikaglobal.com
> >>>  >
> >>>  > _______________________________________________
> >>>  > Assam mailing list
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