A good site that does state by state analysis is 
http://www.electoral-vote.com/.  The algorithms used on the site are explained 
and he has the raw data if you want to look at it.  The site is above board and 
honest.  

He even points to a site that does the same thing albeit with republican 
leanings.  http://www.electionprojection.com/index.shtml which ironically is 
giving Obama 364 electoral votes to McCain's 174 vs. electoral-vote.com's 
projection of Obama with 337 electoral votes to McCain's 171.  Looks like the 
republican site is giving both Florida and North Dakota to Obama while 
electoral-vote.com is declaring both states a tossup right now.




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