On Mon, Dec 19, 2011 at 6:41 PM, Robert Munn <cfmuns...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> So is Paul an irrelevant fringe candidate or Ross Perot II? He can't be
> both.

Some in the middle consider Paul a series candidate as they did Perot.
Those are the folks that aren't paying attention yet. When it comes
down to it he will likely lose the majority of that vote and just have
the middle fringe left. Perot had a little more than the fringe but
not much. Enough to change the outcome. I don't think RP will survive
scrutiny. Blaming the US for 9/11 and leaving the rest of the word to
fight for itself is something very few normal people can accept. And
he's looking for conservatives as a base but they aren't there.

> Look at the facts, Sam. All else being equal, Romney does not beat Obama
> head to head. Gingrich could, I think, if he recovers from his precipitous
> drop in the polls, but what are the odds he can keep it together for
> another eleven months?

He's got the media against him because they think he can win and the
DC GOP machine against him because they don't like him. Maybe because
he cheated on his wives, maybe for legitimate reasons. The puts the
odds against him.

> Santorum can compete with the President on gravitas,
> but he has a shortage of charisma when matched against Obama, who can turn
> it on *big time* in the spotlight. Hunstman is Romney with more
> international political experience and less name recognition, not a bad
> thing, but not a winner. Bachmann is a Tea Party darling, but not a winner
> at this level.

I don't like Santorum, he gets mad easy and loses control. He needs
years more of grooming. I always get the feeling he's about to snap
out a comment without thinking that will end his run. He needs to
learn control. I don't think the other two have a chance.

> And then there is Ron Paul. Despite lacking the shininess of the other
> candidates, he is polling at the top in Iowa. He has intellectual heft and
> consistency on his side. His positions leave him open to attack from the
> mainstream, but those same positions provide him an incredibly solid base
> of support. He is a terrible debater from a technical standpoint, but the
> right debate coach could break his bad habits and turn him into an iron
> hammer. He will continue to have money and a message. He isn't going away
> anytime soon, so someone in the Republican establishment had better find a
> way to bring his supporters into the fold.

His message is the problem and eventually people will hear it. There's
nothing he can do to make it palatable. IMHO

.

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