the real question is ... which ONES???

At 12:26 AM 7/14/01 +0000, EugeneGall wrote:
>Jordan Ellenberg, in today's Slate, PROVES that Bonds won't break the
>HR record because of regression to the mean.  The argument is a
>little sloppy, but there is definitely some RTM involved:
>   "If our discussion above is correct, then hitters who
>    lead the major leagues in home runs at the All-Star break should
>    tend to decline in the second half of the season. ...
>    Of the  74 hitters involved (there are more hitters than years because of
>    ties) only 12 equaled their pre-break production in the second
>    half...
>I'd be curious if reduction in the 1st half leaders was comparable to the
>improvement in the 2nd half leaders.
>The link:
>http://slate.msn.com/math/01-07-12/math.asp
>
>
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==============================================================
dennis roberts, penn state university
educational psychology, 8148632401
http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/drober~1.htm



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