Hi Liz

>> The scientist naturally assigns a 50% chance to each outcome, even though he 
>> knows that he's duplicated by worlds splitting, and that in reality "he will 
>> see both" ....  But there seems to be a lot of trouble with the comp version 
>> for some reason.

Bruno has a meeting in washington but has double booked it with one in moscow. 
So, he goes to the teleporter/duplicator and travels off to both cities and 
both meetings. On the way back both Brunos take the Re-assembler, which,  when 
both scans are available, runs a quick 'diff' over them and merges the result 
back into one. Bruno is reassembled replete with memories of both trips. 

We ask this Bruno what the probability was of experiencing Moscow before the 
trip. Well he has a 1-p memory of both cities, so he knows, from a 1-p view 
that the chance was 1. 

I imagine there will be some sort of ad hoc 'no cul-de-sac' strap ons to 
Bruno's theory as to why this kind of experiment is barred. But it seems 
perfectly in tune with 'comp' to me. What I think it shows is that the 
probabilities depend on how many Bruno's there are when the question is asked. 
And if you ask before teleportation the probability is 1 as it is after the 
merge.

The probabilities are governed by conjunction when you ask one man about to be 
duplicated: he will be in moscow AND washington. When you ask a duplicate, he  
IS in moscow OR washington. 1-p ness, 3-pness, 10p-ness, its all philosophical 
sleight of hand as far as I can tell.

And if I am pre-duplicate, being asked what I expect, if I believe in comp then 
I will expect to be in moscow and washington. Afterall, believing in comp I 
would not believe that there would be some other thing that chased my 
description to either city. Beliefs and expectancies are 1-p phenomena. What 
else is there? There is only me trying to imagine being either washington-me or 
Moscow-me in the future. But this is a 3-p perspective. As soon as I imagine me 
being somewhere else, I am objectifying me. Im 3-peeing me.

regards

Date: Tue, 1 Oct 2013 12:32:06 +1300
Subject: Re: What gives philosophers a bad name?
From: lizj...@gmail.com
To: everything-list@googlegroups.com

On 1 October 2013 09:40, John Clark <johnkcl...@gmail.com> wrote:


Personal identity has nothing to do with prediction, and there is a 100% 
probability the the Washington man and the Moscow man remember being the 
Helsinki man, and that is all you need to know to say that the Helsinki man had 
more than one future.  



Nicely and succinctly put. In comp the "duplicated man" indeed has more than 
one future.

Bruno is distinguishing between our "overview" and the man's personal point of 
view, and ISTM that this is analogous to a scientist performing a schrodinger's 
cat type experiment. The scientist naturally assigns a 50% chance to each 
outcome, even though he knows that he's duplicated by worlds splitting, and 
that in reality "he will see both" (i.e. he has more than one future). 
Similarly the guy in Helsinki assigns a 50% chance to "himself" arriving in 
Washington, and ditto for Moscow. But from our "third person" perspective, he 
arrives in both places. I can't see that this is problematic, if we accept the 
MWI then the comp thought experiment is very similar. But there seems to be a 
lot of trouble with the comp version for some reason.







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