Am Mittwoch 20 Februar 2008 schrieb Mike Schuh:
> I wonder if a multiple regression against several factors would turn up
> anything useful:
>
>  vis = f(humidity,temp,wind,ceiling,elevation,sun_angle,ground_cover)
>
> Not sure how to incorporate sun_angle for values < 0 (i.e., night).  Moon?
>
> ground_cover might allow for dusty areas v. urban settings, etc.
>
> This line of investigation sounds very interesting!

Yeah, given that the problem is multidimensional I also wonder what that 
gives. Note though that the effects might be (and most probably are) 
nonlinear, so that linear regression gives wrong results. Anyway for a quick 
look for any effect at all it should be ok.

@Melchior: Can you please post the raw data set anywhere (or PM me). I'd like 
to try some math on them (PCA to look for clusters, ...). I'd appreciate pre 
processed data (i.e. temps, etc. already parsed from the metar reports), but 
a text file with raw metar reports is also ok. Just takes longer as I've to 
write a parser first

If nothing useful comes up, as a last resort we can maybe tabulate probability 
density distributions from the (filtered) data and use these for random 
sampling. We may even mix both approaches in the form of Bayesian Trees.

As a very last (but quickest) resort a conservative setting is perfectly ok :)

Thomas

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