Right, but meanwhile, a larger consensus is forming that makes racist belief 
system increasingly untenable and isolated.   Similarly, it was more important 
the gay community stick together and create a political/economic force than it 
was to persuade social conservatives that a gay lifestyle was their right or 
their need.   People react to the forces in their environment first -- wrong or 
right -- and second rationalize them.   Create a path of least resistance for 
the undecided, and give them arguments to rationalize their decision.    For 
those that are taking the path of most resistance, having arguments serve to 
create social cohesion so they are force to be reckoned with.  

-----Original Message-----
From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of glen
Sent: Wednesday, September 23, 2015 2:32 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group <friam@redfish.com>
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Good climate change skeptics


I completely disagree.  It seems to me that fear causes people to dig 
themselves further into their convictions ... or even to create convictions 
that were, up to that point, just tendencies.  It's relatively easy to imagine 
that's the case with modern racists.  Up to the point of being challenged, they 
may not think anything explicitly racist, just have a general tendency to 
associate with those that look/talk like themselves.  But when faced with some 
pressure like fear, their implicit racism may snap into an explicit one.

The way _out_ of such fear-induced convictions is to weasel your way into their 
world and poke a bunch of little holes in it, then step back and watch them 
slowly evolve out of their commitment.

It's very difficult for people to learn how to change their mind (aka 
flip-flopping), even when faced with contradictory evidence.  And I'll take 
that opinion to my grave. //*


On 09/23/2015 12:40 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:
> In practice, the tactic of creating doubt tends to be more about creating 
> fear, and decreasing the resolve of the opponent, than it is about increasing 
> the prevalence of skeptical thinking.   I think flip-flopping is not that 
> hard of a skill to master, it's whether one wants to devote the needed 
> attention to segue between today's lie and tomorrow's in a sufficiently 
> smooth way.    At some level, any competence can be self-reinforcing and even 
> enjoyable.


--
⇔ glen

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