This is a classic case of weather (monsoon) versus climate. The models do not predict weather but rather predict climate, the overall average of conditions over a long period of years.
Larry Davis On 11/17/09 15:41, "Deb Ranjan Sinha" <debsi...@gmail.com> wrote: > *None of the multiple computer simulations used by a UN climate-change agency > for assessments of global warming appears good enough to predict how India¹s > monsoon will behave, two Indian scientists have said. The researchers examined > 10 simulations of future climate scenarios used by the UN Intergovernmental > Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and found none could reproduce correctly the > behaviour of even 20th-century rainfall.* > > http://www.telegraphindia.com/1091117/jsp/nation/story_11748791.jsp > -- ************************************************************************* R. Laurence Davis, Ph.D. Professor of Earth and Environmental Sciences and University Research Scholar Department of Biology and Environmental Sciences University of New Haven 300 Boston Post Road West Haven, Connecticut 06516 <rlda...@newhaven.edu> Office: 203-932-7108 Fax: 203-931-6097 *************************************************************************
