On 15 May 2012, at 19:57, Peter Murray-Rust wrote:

> Universities will never collaborate (third law)

So there you have it, the Third Law of Acadynamics. Anybody surprised that 
private enterprise has stepped into the breach?

Another reason why I think that gold CC-BY will win out. PLoS-like, eLife-like, 
BMC-like, PeerJ-like outfits will prevail, and deliver, with the help of 
funding bodies, what the scientific community needs.

A bit of historical information: the BigDeal, as started in the UK, was 
originally conceived as a nation-wide deal, top-sliced, with every university 
and every institution having access to everything that was published. It worked 
like that for 4 years in the UK, in partnership with HEFCE and covering the 
material that Academic Press published, and then it fell apart, because 
universities didn't like the top-slicing, in spite of the fact that a national 
deal came out cheaper in the aggregate, was easier to contain in terms of price 
increases (negotiating clout), gave access to every scholar and student, could 
easily evolve into nation-wide access for which no institutional affiliation 
was needed at all, and could be rolled out to encompass the material of other 
publishers.  However, it was thwarted by the Third Law of Acadynamics. With all 
the consequences we have to live with now.

The fight for OA is not really one against publishers at all; it is chiefly one 
against academic inertia. Open access will write libraries out of the equation 
(what's the point of 'library collections' in an OA web world?), and also 
institutions. It will be funders who will make OA reality. Funders private and 
public, who finance the whole scientific enterprise and who realise that OA 
publishing is part and parcel of doing science itself and therefore of the cost 
of science.

At that point universities don't need to collaborate any longer, and the Third 
Law of Acadynamics will have lost validity in matters relating to scientific 
literature.

Jan


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