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From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List <IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU> on behalf of Bob 
Bridges <00000587168ababf-dmarc-requ...@listserv.ua.edu>
Sent: Thursday, February 22, 2024 11:12:06 PM
To: IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU <IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU>
Subject: Re: [Very much off-topic] Re: AI is the real deal.

Speaking of old predictions:  /* By 2005 or so, it will be clear that the 
Internet's impact on the economy has been no greater than the fax machine's.  
-Paul Krugman, Nobel-prize-winning economist in 1998 */

---
Bob Bridges, robhbrid...@gmail.com, cell 336 382-7313

-----Original Message-----
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List <IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU> On Behalf Of 
Lennie Dymoke-Bradshaw
Sent: Thursday, February 22, 2024 16:58

Sorry, the date has been truncated on the left.
That should be 11994.

-----Original Message-----
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List <IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU> On Behalf Of 
Allan Staller
Sent: 22 February 2024 19:42

The last mainframe will be turned off in 1994 - Gartner Group

-----Original Message-----
From: IBM Mainframe Discussion List <IBM-MAIN@LISTSERV.UA.EDU> On Behalf Of 
Seymour J Metz
Sent: Thursday, February 22, 2024 11:11 AM

A 5-year prediction is generally safe, because in 5 years people will have 
forgotten the predictions. Who remembers the failed 5-year predictions for, 
e.g., controlled fusion, human level machine translation?

I expect it to eventually happen, but as for when, Hypotheses non fingo 
<https://eur02.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwiki%2FHypotheses_non_fingo&data=05%7C02%7Cfred.van.der.windt%40ING.COM%7Cab0be5de8e514fd3c66308dc33f359df%7C587b6ea13db94fe1a9d785d4c64ce5cc%7C0%7C0%7C638442367492217320%7CUnknown%7CTWFpbGZsb3d8eyJWIjoiMC4wLjAwMDAiLCJQIjoiV2luMzIiLCJBTiI6Ik1haWwiLCJXVCI6Mn0%3D%7C0%7C%7C%7C&sdata=jyJaoCGWdaIPPS1n594s5UO%2BzbNFKJvY14SruOvyCZ8%3D&reserved=0<https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypotheses_non_fingo>>.

On the flip side, hand optimization for pipelined machines is labor intensive 
and fragile; a compiler with an ARCHLVL parameter is better suited for the job.

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