Good evening again, Lowell! Lowell C. Savage wrote to Frank Reichert...
> Imagine, over 2.7 MILLION (that's 2,7000,000) votes cast for governor in WA > and the top two vote-getters are separated by something less than 300 votes. > Must be something suspicious going on. I mean, what are the > probabilities.... Well, perhaps there is a slight difference here, insofar as Bonner County came up with an exact tie vote between my two opponents, and I received only votes counts in 'blocks of 10' from BOTH counties! I got 280 votes in Boundary County, and a total of 810 votes comrpising both counties in the First District. The odds of all of this happening the way it was reported to have happened, in both counties, are tremendous. Close elections are not necessarily the issue here. It is rather the odds of occurrences happening that defy the odds to the point where you might imagine someone might want to take a look. Don't know who that 'someone' might be, but I am not a candidate to stick my nose into that sordid mess. > Uhm. It's numerically possible, if both candidates receive the same number > of votes. It might be statistically unlikely. However, when you think > about the number of elections that have been held in this country, every > once in a while you get something like this. Your election happened to be > the one. That's to put things into perspective mildly. Again, the odds are so profoundly and tremendously inferer to something like this ever happening at all, that rational minds might call such into serious question. Again, my issue here isn't whether or not there might have been such a 'close election'. That was expected in any case. Look. I got even numbers reported from both counties in the District. Doesn't that look odd in and of itself? Not only even numbers Lowell, but numbers in blocks of 10! Now, let's see and do the math for a moment. 280 votes exactly from Boundary County, and a total of 810 votes combined from BOTH counties. I probably would suggest that things might be okay should the votes had been 287 votes in Boundary County, and a total of something like 779 combined throughout the District! But the striking votes were the exact even tie vote in Bonner County, which is also next to improbable between my two opposition candidates. > Think of it this way. How often does a grocery bill work out to an even > dollar amount? Twice in a row!!! Never happened to my knowledge yet anyway! > I.e. you finish checking out and the clerk says "That'll be > Fourteen dollars, even?" (Can you tell I'm single? :-) What are the chances? > Well, approximately 1 in 100. Which means that approximately once every > hundred trips to the grocery store, you should get a bill like that. And > when you do, it isn't because someone is sitting somewhere on a computer > deciding that "It's time for Frank to get a bill that is an even dollar > amount." Maybe you've missed the point I was trying to make here. Hope not, but perhaps you have. BOTH the simultaneous tie in Bonner County occurred at the same time that I received two simultaneous dead even direct 10 votes in both counties, and all at the same time! Now, factor all of this into your list of probabilities and I believe you might conclude that all of this goes far, and far beyond any semblance of probabilities. Once you leave the scene of possible probabilities, now you have to deal in the possibilities of such occuring in the same space in time. Now, that's where calculating this stuff gets really, really rough! I'm not a sore loser either. I already knew I was going to lose when I knew I was in a three-way race between a Republican and a Democrat. At the same time however, I believe the candidates need, deserve or should expect an honest vote count. I know I would have liked to have had an honest vote count. I do suspect, that the vote numbers were handled in a 'fast and lose' fashion in BOTH counties, although I do not have the fortitude to challenge these numbers, since I would certainly not come out on top in any case. > Someone usually DOES win the lottery, right? (Or is that some other scam > where the state hires people to come in and pretend they won just to keep > interest up?) I don't ever play the lottery. I didn't expect that political elections might be viewed in such a way either. But I'll concede I suppose that some of you might view the election process in much the same way. I do not. Kindest regards, Frank _______________________________________________ Libnw mailing list [EMAIL PROTECTED] List info and subscriber options: http://immosys.com/mailman/listinfo/libnw Archives: http://immosys.com/mailman//pipermail/libnw
