One last follow up about this as it relates to Bill Clinton.

The thing that really tied it up for Clinton was his second stretch as
Arkansas governor, 1983-1992.

He let the federal government, through the National Guard Bureau, pump
money through his state into Central America to keep the not-so-covert
covert war going against the Sandinistas. I'm sure Clinton looked at
it as a way to get money from the military that otherwise normally
wouldn't have come Arkansas's way (West Virginia did this too, a
special project of Sen. Byrd). But one key difference is that in terms
of airbourne operations, Arkansas is a lot closer to where (1) much of
the US military is already located, such as Florida, Texas, Alabama
and (2) closer to the 'theatre of operations', Central America. So one
scam the NGB, state national guards and the US military had going was
to heavily equip and outfit Guard and Reserve units to do their annual
training in Honduras, and then the units would leave much of the gear
in Honduras for the contras to get. By not asserting any sort of
governor's privilege over all this (contrast this with Dukakis, who
has Governor of Mass. somewhat objected) illegal operations he got his
state federal spending and he made a lot of friends in the 'national
security state'.

I don't know what the chicken or the egg is here. Perhaps Clinton was
already deep inside the 'national security state' and that is why he
made the decisions as governor that he did. But it seems to me that up
until that time he would have had a very unlikely path to
national-level bipartisan politics. OTOH, after being so unsuccessful
in his first term as governor of Arkansas, you do have to wonder about
his political comeback, which led to his very successful and long run
as governor and then his near-obscure path to Democratic Party
nomination for presidential candidate. If nothing else he turned out
to be far better at organizing his finances than the other Democrats
and so was able to outlast his relatively slow start.

Given the obscure source of funds in his earlier life, perhaps Clinton
was always the 'candidate' of some element's of the national security
state--picked from grad school on. Like Charlie Wilson or Leon
Panetta, only more charismatic and less kooky than Wilson and more
charismatic than Panetta (Hispanic and Italian names are still a no-no
for national politics at the highest level, as are Asian or Asian
Indian names or looks).


When I saw Obama in 2004--and the reactions his rather awful speech at
the convention got--I figured that there was no way we would not see
him running for president as a Democrat the next time around (because
I was sure Kerry was going to lose). I would bet top Democrats felt it
was their best way to counter African Americans like Colin Powell or
Condoleeza Rice running as Republicans. The irony is neither of them
are very popular with their own party in any sort of grassroots way.
That grassroots being so parochial and even to quite an extent more
racist and xenophoic than working class Democrats. They don't like
Colin Powell for being such an uppity Caribbean self-made -- dare I
say it -- intellectual. He seems to quite an extent like a bright but
mostly self-educated man (who credits that to the discipline the
military gave him, but I rather doubt that). And they probably don't
like Condoleeza Rice for her professorial airs and her lesbianism.

CJ

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