On Mon, Nov 17, 2025 at 02:20 AM, <[email protected]> wrote:

> 
> Yet we must also recall, in that same vein, the huge strike waves in
> China, the three general strikes in India of between 100-150 MILLION 
> workers in the last five years, and we get a clearer sense of how to
> evaluate Marx's predictive powers.

As I’ve noted before, mass demonstrations, strikes and other forms of protest, 
including armed insurrection,  have been as much a feature of industrial 
capitalism as profit-seeking and wage labour over the past three centuries. 
However much we may want to spin it otherwise, Marx and his revolutionary 
followers read into such activity capitalism’s imminent demise. They did not 
expect they system would survive to the present day.

Marxism’s predictive powers consequently get a failing grade, as does the 
living movement which it inspired.  Like most, I I was mainly attracted to 
Marxism as the anticapitalist wing of what was then a mass  international 
movement of the working class and its allies.  D espite some spectacular 
successes in Russia and China and elsewhere, it ultimately failed as a movement 
to overthrow capitalism as a world system.

However Marxism's historical materialist method of analysis gets an A grade. It 
remains unmatched as a means of understanding present and past society.

I accept that the movement or something resembling it will someday reappear and 
overthrow capitalism,  perhaps sooner than we think and in as abrupt and 
unexpected a manner as when it disappeared.

But historical report cards are based on past performance rather than the 
promise of future results.


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