Well, it definitely hit the seawall, and perhaps the water before it hit the seawall. Note the bright colored skin from the bottom of the tail all crushed into a roll right by the tailcone.

Looks to me as if the main gear on one side and the tail hit the seawall, and the loss of the main gear on one side made the plane uncontrollable (to say nothing of losing the tail empennage at a critical point).

Too low, rotated too far, but why will take some time to figure out.

One hell of a tough airplane to stay nearly intact with most of the doors functional after that sort of impact.

Peter

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