Reposted, cos it bounced ;)

Mike

On Tue, Nov 19, 2019, 13:23 mike smith <[email protected]> wrote:

> Another article
>
>
> https://www.itnews.com.au/news/fines-victorias-it-woes-force-21m-write-down-534151
>
> On Wed, Nov 13, 2019, 22:44 Ken Schaefer <[email protected]> wrote:
>
>> This works for building a bridge, when you have “firm foundations” on
>> which to build upon aka what are the immovable requirements and
>> constraints. Many infrastructure projects run into the same problems as IT
>> projects - overruns due to changing requirements, or a lack of due
>> diligence re requirements.
>>
>>
>>
>> At the same time, analysis has its own costs – the cost of employing
>> people to keep examining details, and the opportunity cost of forgone
>> benefits deferred.
>>
>>
>>
>> What I see a lot of in these messages is casting blame onto other people
>> (e.g. PMs in this case). Most PMs work within broader enterprise
>> constraints (like confidence around cost/time/effort, in order to get
>> funding approved). SMEs need to play their part in ensuring that the right
>> level of information goes to PMs, in the broader context of “getting stuff
>> done”
>>
>>
>>
>> Regards
>>
>> Ken
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* [email protected] <[email protected]> *On
>> Behalf Of *[email protected]
>> *Sent:* Monday, 28 October 2019 9:20 AM
>> *To:* 'ozDotNet' <[email protected]>
>> *Subject:* RE: [OT] Fines Victoria crisis deepens
>>
>>
>>
>> I think one of the biggest issues is that so many project managers still
>> think you can plan IT projects like you plan building a bridge. The
>> difference with a bridge is that you can specify what’s needed, and it’s
>> unlikely to change before you finish building the bridge.
>>
>>
>>
>> Unfortunately though, that’s also how the people funding it look at it.
>> They want to know what it will cost before they start.
>>
>>
>>
>> Somehow, we have to get project planning to match reality. At present,
>> when there are variations from the plan, that’s seen as a problem, and seen
>> as unexpected. But the reality is that it’s totally expected. The problem
>> was the idea that bridge-style planning is appropriate.
>>
>>
>>
>> Regards,
>>
>>
>>
>> Greg
>>
>>
>>
>> Dr Greg Low
>>
>>
>>
>> 1300SQLSQL (1300 775 775) office | +61 419201410 mobile│ +61 3 8676 4913
>> fax
>>
>> SQL Down Under | Web: www.sqldownunder.com
>> <https://nam06.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sqldownunder.com%2F&data=02%7C01%7Csspahelp%40microsoft.com%7C1f0ea4d6b97e4d897f3708d666d1e890%7C72f988bf86f141af91ab2d7cd011db47%7C1%7C0%7C636809449091516274&sdata=SLHeEGAMmWUY5YIwcC4oAPYr%2F9RIZdi4MNASsdzwX2I%3D&reserved=0>
>>  |http://greglow.me
>> <https://nam06.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgreglow.me%2F&data=02%7C01%7Csspahelp%40microsoft.com%7C1f0ea4d6b97e4d897f3708d666d1e890%7C72f988bf86f141af91ab2d7cd011db47%7C1%7C0%7C636809449091526278&sdata=IU8tnAITCjBxWafi3A9XpO9lF3PIwZJ8ad3t36lnxvs%3D&reserved=0>
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* [email protected] <[email protected]> *On
>> Behalf Of *Ken Schaefer
>> *Sent:* Sunday, 27 October 2019 9:38 PM
>> *To:* ozDotNet <[email protected]>
>> *Subject:* RE: [OT] Fines Victoria crisis deepens
>>
>>
>>
>> Depends on how your measure success.
>>
>>
>>
>> By the typical bottom-line, most projects aren’t “successes”. However,
>> lots of organisations have:
>>
>>    1. Arbitrary limits on how much contingency can be included – which
>>    then doesn’t reflect the true level of uncertainty in the project
>>    2. Requirements change
>>    3. Vendors, systems integrators etc. go bust, change direction or
>>    what-have-you
>>    4. Your project competes with everyone else’s for scarce capital, so
>>    everyone has an incentive to downplay cost, and upsell benefits
>>    5. Technological cost estimates can be done relatively accurately,
>>    but large-scale projects include significant organisational change which 
>> is
>>    much harder to estimate/cost up-front.
>>
>>
>>
>> By my guess, about 15-20% of large IT projects ($50-100m+) are
>> successful. Maybe 20-30% are real failures. Everything else is in a bit of
>> a grey area where they are failures based on initial cost/time/features
>> criteria, but might have been successful if business cases were allowed to
>> be more realistic.
>>
>>
>>
>> Regards,
>>
>> Ken
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* [email protected] <[email protected]> *On
>> Behalf Of *[email protected]
>> *Sent:* Wednesday, 23 October 2019 2:25 PM
>> *To:* 'ozDotNet' <[email protected]>
>> *Subject:* RE: [OT] Fines Victoria crisis deepens
>>
>>
>>
>> Not sure about that. I endlessly hear that the success ratio for large IT
>> projects is around 30%, not up around 70 or 80%.
>>
>>
>>
>> It’s quite appalling really.
>>
>>
>>
>> Regards,
>>
>>
>>
>> Greg
>>
>>
>>
>> Dr Greg Low
>>
>>
>>
>> 1300SQLSQL (1300 775 775) office | +61 419201410 mobile│ +61 3 8676 4913
>> fax
>>
>> SQL Down Under | Web: www.sqldownunder.com
>> <https://nam06.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.sqldownunder.com%2F&data=02%7C01%7Csspahelp%40microsoft.com%7C1f0ea4d6b97e4d897f3708d666d1e890%7C72f988bf86f141af91ab2d7cd011db47%7C1%7C0%7C636809449091516274&sdata=SLHeEGAMmWUY5YIwcC4oAPYr%2F9RIZdi4MNASsdzwX2I%3D&reserved=0>
>>  |http://greglow.me
>> <https://nam06.safelinks.protection.outlook.com/?url=http%3A%2F%2Fgreglow.me%2F&data=02%7C01%7Csspahelp%40microsoft.com%7C1f0ea4d6b97e4d897f3708d666d1e890%7C72f988bf86f141af91ab2d7cd011db47%7C1%7C0%7C636809449091526278&sdata=IU8tnAITCjBxWafi3A9XpO9lF3PIwZJ8ad3t36lnxvs%3D&reserved=0>
>>
>>
>>
>> *From:* [email protected] <[email protected]> *On
>> Behalf Of *mike smith
>> *Sent:* Wednesday, 23 October 2019 12:45 PM
>> *To:* ozDotNet <[email protected]>
>> *Subject:* Re: [OT] Fines Victoria crisis deepens
>>
>>
>>
>> Success stories don't seem to make it into MSM.  pity, because you'd
>> think there's more successful outcomes than failures
>>
>>
>>
>> On Wed, Oct 23, 2019, 12:24 Greg Keogh <[email protected]> wrote:
>>
>> Interesting front page article in The Age newspaper today
>> <https://www.theage.com.au/politics/victoria/fines-victoria-system-collapses-leaving-massive-hole-in-state-budget-20191022-p5333d.html>
>> about a Victorian government IT disaster. IT disasters are routine (I'm
>> sure we've all caused a few!) but it's interesting that they actually name
>> the software as VIEW from a company called Civica. The article is a bit
>> vague about what's actually wrong, it just says "[it] doesn't work", "the
>> system was absolute chaos" and systems are not "talking to" their
>> computers. Does anyone have inside gossip about what really happened?
>>
>>
>>
>> There was another vast IT disaster a few years ago related to the
>> education system I think, where dodgy contracts were being awarded to
>> mates, and I think the loss ran into the hundreds of millions. That story
>> vanished from the news and I never found out what happened.
>>
>>
>>
>> *Greg K*
>>
>>

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