Tom, The problem with this thinking is that Bill is referring to the mass market and you are referring to the hobbyist/pro market.
In the mass market, everything I see, hear and experience myself says that digital P&S's have basically surpassed 35mm P&S's in getting a better picture. Particularly for those who are not photographers. That is why it could happen sooner than later. In the pro arena, photojournalists have mostly made the switch (quality is not the issue with them), sports photographers are switching (not sure what percent yet - wouldn't be surprised if it was over 50%) All school photos are digital. Wedding photography is heavily moving to digital - my guess is more than 50%. Product photography would probably need the highest quality and may be moving much slower. Also, outdoor/landscape/scenic seems to be shot on 4X5 more often than not - that is still strong on film. My guess is that the quickest and most abrupt change will come in the consumer market - cheap films, labs, etc. will switch over rapidly. The pro market will switch over more slowly - probably a few labs changing or closing and a few films dropped, but should be more viable for a longer period of time. It is the one place that the quality (larger than 35mm formats) can be justified. -- Best regards, Bruce Thursday, July 22, 2004, 12:59:29 PM, you wrote: TR> I think it will be when digital cameras can produce a sharper picture than TR> film can. I'll switch when digital offers a clearly better picture at a TR> decent price. That may not be too far off. It may take a while. We'll see. TR> Tom Reese