I think BCP38's future hinges on the future of RPKI.
https://www.arin.net/resources/rpki/







On Sun, Mar 16, 2014 at 11:09 PM, Kradorex Xeron <[email protected]> wrote:

> On Sunday 16 March 2014 20:16:30 AlbyVA wrote:
> >   Has anybody else noticed the rapid decline in NTP Pool servers over the
> > last couple of months?
> <snip>
> >  It
> > just appears that excessive
> > actions are being taken against NTP traffic across the board. Word needs
> to
> > go out for providers to
> > slow down with the heavy hand of outright port blocking (if that is
> what's
> > really going on). I'm just using
> > my own encounters as a window on what might be a larger issue underway.
> >
> > -Alby
>
> I'd concur with your analysis here; The primary problem is that providers
> have
> knee-jerk responses that are contingent on existing port-based filtering
> that
> seems so commonplace.
>
> What needs to happen is there needs to be direct pressure for anyone and
> everyone who operates a network -- regardless if it's a small office
> network or
> multi-national network provider to implement BCP38[1]. At this point
> providers
> are comfortable with blocking ports because with the likes of NETBIOS
> 138/445,
> SMTP 25 it allegedly made sense rather than working against the cause of
> the
> problems and the providers that aid and abet the abuse. Now NTP 123 is
> joining
> those port blocking ranks.
>
> The root of the problem is that operators on the Internet no longer really
> want to "rock the boat" and name names of providers who permit abusive
> traffic,
> and to implement operational policies that manage the risk of communicating
> with those providers. Why these "don't rock the boat" policies are in play
> is
> anyone's guess and is outside of the scope of this list but suffice it to
> say
> until BCP38 is implemented on most networks, the problematic networks won't
> feel the pressure to bring these UDP abuses under control.
>
> Without BCP38, it will only be a matter of time before another
> UDP-transported
> protocol is abused for amplification DNS... NTP... what next?..
>
> [1] http://tools.ietf.org/html/bcp38 and
>         http://www.bcp38.info/index.php/Main_Page
>
> --
> Kradorex Xeron <[email protected]>
> Founder, Executive Director
> Digibase Operations, Research and Development
>
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