Re: [FRIAM] How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Owen Densmore
I have to admit to a fascination on evolution of language.  Remember The
MacNeil/Lehrer Report? Robert MacNeil had a great series on the evolution
of English, even to influence of the sea islands (Gullah),

There are some downsides.  I'm bitchy about a few usages: If I *was* should
be If I were, subjunctive. Loan is a noun so I can not loan you something
.. lend (verb) you something. Less - Fewer.  It goes on.

I bet we all have our own favorites.

   -- Owen

On Tue, Aug 4, 2015 at 4:27 PM, Gary Schiltz g...@naturesvisualarts.com
wrote:

 Enough is enough. If bro and bruuh are added to the dictionary, I will
 start speaking Spanish exclusively. And what the fuck is on fleek? Wait,
 I really don't want to know.

 Seriously *not* unbothered :-(

 On Tuesday, August 4, 2015, glen ep ropella g...@tempusdictum.com wrote:

 http://qz.com/465820/how-brand-new-words-are-spreading-across-america/

 --
 glen e. p. ropella, 971-255-2847, http://tempusdictum.com

 
 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Parks, Raymond
  My wife hates New and Improved and news-stories about vehicular homicide 
that state the car hit the group of children at the school bus stop.  The 
first has been a staple of language comedy - how can something be new and 
improved at the same time?  Her gripe with the second is that a car (or truck 
or ...) has no volition - it must be controlled by someone.  The driver hit the 
group of children with the car under their control.  This will still be true 
for autonomous vehicles - even if the passengers in the car have no control 
(unlikely), the software developers who program the algorithms of the 
autonomous vehicle will be liable when the car hits the school children - the 
programmers hit the school children.

  Speaking of autonomous vehicles, as I was commuting to work this morning, my 
Prius did it's oh noes, I'm skidding thing when I accelerated quickly out of 
my side street - there's always a patch of gravel and the anti-skid thinks the 
drive wheels have lost traction, drops power to the wheels, and suddenly I'm 
not accelerating into the hole in traffic that seemed plenty big enough.  After 
that, the anti-skid did the opposite (accelerated) when the car bumped over the 
potholes at Alameda and Rio Grande.

  That made me think that the real problem with autonomous vehicles is how do 
they handle the abnormal environment.  In nuclear safety, we consider that any 
system has to operate in a normal (i.e. expected) environment, in abnormal 
(i.e. rare, not expected) environments, and malevolent (i.e. bad guys 
attacking) environments.  The edge cases of the abnormal environment will be 
the second biggest problem for autonomous vehicles (the malevolent environment 
is the biggest problem).  I expect, however, that those edge cases will happen 
more often than outright attacks and will have equally spectacular failure 
modes.

  How will autonomous vehicles handle construction zones (that should be part 
of the normal environment, but I don't know if the programmers have thought 
about the infinite variations that can be encountered)?

  How will autonomous vehicles handle GPS mapping errors? Humans seem to have 
trouble when their GPS tells them to turn into a one-way street or over a 
non-existent bridge - will autonomous vehicles do better?

  How will autonomous vehicles handle low-water crossings?  That, too, should 
be part of the normal environment, but sometimes an exceptionally heavy rain 
moves them into the abnormal environment.

  Presumably, autonomous vehicles will detect the tree branch that fell into 
the roadway - but will they notice the tree branch starting to fall?  I'm not 
sure most humans would notice the latter, but some would.

  I've driven in the mountains after some heavy rains and noticed on a curve 
ahead that the dirt under the blacktop had been washed out.  I knew from my 
long-distance observation not to drive over that section of road.  Would an 
autonomous vehicle notice that?

  Sorry to hijack the thread, but feel free to answer with a new subject.  At 
least the first paragraph is on topic.

Ray Parks
Consilient Heuristician/IDART Old-Timer
V: 505-844-4024  M: 505-238-9359  P: 505-951-6084


On Aug 5, 2015, at 10:14 AM, Owen Densmore wrote:

I have to admit to a fascination on evolution of language.  Remember The 
MacNeil/Lehrer Report? Robert MacNeil had a great series on the evolution of 
English, even to influence of the sea islands (Gullah),

There are some downsides.  I'm bitchy about a few usages: If I *was* should be 
If I were, subjunctive. Loan is a noun so I can not loan you something .. 
lend (verb) you something. Less - Fewer.  It goes on.

I bet we all have our own favorites.

   -- Owen

On Tue, Aug 4, 2015 at 4:27 PM, Gary Schiltz 
g...@naturesvisualarts.commailto:g...@naturesvisualarts.com wrote:
Enough is enough. If bro and bruuh are added to the dictionary, I will start 
speaking Spanish exclusively. And what the fuck is on fleek? Wait, I really 
don't want to know.

Seriously *not* unbothered :-(

On Tuesday, August 4, 2015, glen ep ropella 
g...@tempusdictum.commailto:g...@tempusdictum.com wrote:
http://qz.com/465820/how-brand-new-words-are-spreading-across-america/

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-255-2847tel:971-255-2847, 
http://tempusdictum.comhttp://tempusdictum.com/


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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Parks, Raymond
Ooh, is rekt one of the new words from the original article on Quartz?

Ray Parks
Consilient Heuristician/IDART Old-Timer
V: 505-844-4024  M: 505-238-9359  P: 505-951-6084
NIPR: rcpa...@sandia.govmailto:rcpa...@sandia.gov
SIPR: rcpar...@sandia.doe.sgov.govmailto:rcpar...@sandia.doe.sgov.gov (send 
NIPR reminder)
JWICS: dopa...@doe.ic.govmailto:dopa...@doe.ic.gov (send NIPR reminder)



On Aug 5, 2015, at 11:46 AM, cody dooderson wrote:

While this is not totally related, xkcd had a funny cartoon on self driving 
cars yesterday. http://xkcd.com/1559/ . The situation in the cartoon might 
qualify as a a malevolent situation. Others might just say that the self 
driving car got rekt.

Cody Smith


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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Parks, Raymond
Ok, I think I get the reference to Aristotle's Nicomachean Ethics III regarding 
voluntary action or volition.  However, you have once again puzzled me as I 
don't understand how Robert Rosen is relevant.  Are you thinking that the 
programmers of an autonomous vehicle do not have a relationship with the 
actions of that vehicle?  They are responsible for the metabolic and repair 
subsystems of the vehicle.  I would argue that the software algorithms that 
control the vehicle are metabolic.

Ray Parks
Consilient Heuristician/IDART Old-Timer
V: 505-844-4024  M: 505-238-9359  P: 505-951-6084


On Aug 5, 2015, at 1:04 PM, glen wrote:


Heh, Aristotle and Robert Rosen just rolled over in their graves.

On 08/05/2015 10:25 AM, Parks, Raymond wrote:
Her gripe with the second is that a car (or truck or ...) has no volition - it 
must be controlled by someone.  The driver hit the group of children with the 
car under their control.  This will still be true for autonomous vehicles - 
even if the passengers in the car have no control (unlikely), the software 
developers who program the algorithms of the autonomous vehicle will be liable 
when the car hits the school children - the programmers hit the school children.

--
⇔ glen


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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread glen


Sorry for being vague.  I meant the 4 causes: formal, efficient, material, and 
final.  Rosen yapped endlessly about agency, efficient cause.  They're rolling 
over in their graves because the idea that the automatic car is _not_ 
responsible but the programmers or the drivers _are_ avoids the separation of 
cause into the 4 types.

Useless anecdote:  I opened the fridge one day and noticed the CO2 regulator on the keg was broken. 
 I asked my office mate about it.  He said: Yeah, the regulator broke.  I asked: 
It just spontaneously broke all by itself?  He didn't respond.


On 08/05/2015 12:26 PM, Parks, Raymond wrote:

Ok, I think I get the reference to Aristotle's Nicomachean Ethics III regarding 
voluntary action or volition.  However, you have once again puzzled me as I 
don't understand how Robert Rosen is relevant.  Are you thinking that the 
programmers of an autonomous vehicle do not have a relationship with the 
actions of that vehicle?  They are responsible for the metabolic and repair 
subsystems of the vehicle.  I would argue that the software algorithms that 
control the vehicle are metabolic.


On Aug 5, 2015, at 1:04 PM, glen wrote:


Heh, Aristotle and Robert Rosen just rolled over in their graves.

On 08/05/2015 10:25 AM, Parks, Raymond wrote:
Her gripe with the second is that a car (or truck or ...) has no volition - it 
must be controlled by someone.  The driver hit the group of children with the 
car under their control.  This will still be true for autonomous vehicles - 
even if the passengers in the car have no control (unlikely), the software 
developers who program the algorithms of the autonomous vehicle will be liable 
when the car hits the school children - the programmers hit the school children.


--
⇔ glen


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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Marcus Daniels
Useless anecdote:  I opened the fridge one day and noticed the CO2 regulator 
on the keg was broken.  I asked my office mate about it.  He said: Yeah, the 
regulator broke.  I asked: It just spontaneously broke all by itself?  He 
didn't respond.

And the keg _in the office_?  It just got there all by itself?  

Marcus

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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread glen

On 08/05/2015 12:49 PM, Marcus Daniels wrote:

Useless anecdote:  I opened the fridge one day and noticed the CO2 regulator on the keg was broken.  I 
asked my office mate about it.  He said: Yeah, the regulator broke.  I asked: It just 
spontaneously broke all by itself?  He didn't respond.

And the keg _in the office_?  It just got there all by itself?


What are you implying?  Are you saying that the alcohol (materially) caused the 
broken regulator?  And hence the efficient blame lies on the agent who placed 
the alcohol there?  Pfft!  If anything, alcohol is a depressant and would 
stabilize the motor control system of the consumer so as to make regulator 
breakage _less_ likely.  Something like carbonated kombucha is way more 
dangerous, in my not so humble opinion.

--
⇔ glen


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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Parks, Raymond
Aha, so I was wrong about which of Aristotle's writings you were referencing.

The telos of an autonomous vehicle is transportation of cargo (human or not) 
from point A to point B.  The autonomous car in the xkcd cartoon Cody found is 
fulfilling its telos.

The efficient cause of an autonomous vehicle includes human user(s) and the 
humans who made the vehicle.  The programmers are part of that second group.  
Black Hat in the xkcd is a human user and the efficient cause of the vehicle in 
the comic trying to drive to Alaska.

The formal cause of an autonomous vehicle is the form of a vehicle.

The material cause of the vehicle  is probably the weakest of the four causes.  
Such a vehicle will be made of metal, plastic (oil), glass (sand, fire), and 
lots of other materials.  This is where Aristotle's philosophy smacks into 
modern technology.  In Aristotlean terms, the material cause of an autonomous 
vehicle is mostly earth with some fire.  However, I have no idea how the 
virtual would fit into his philosophy - is software air or water?

  At the risk of being unpopular on this group, I would point out that many 
gun-owners have made the argument that none of their guns have spontaneously 
fired.  Referring back to Ethics - an arm (whether or not it holds a sword) 
does not harm without voluntary movement by the person.

Ray Parks
Consilient Heuristician/IDART Old-Timer
V: 505-844-4024  M: 505-238-9359  P: 505-951-6084


On Aug 5, 2015, at 1:35 PM, glen wrote:


Sorry for being vague.  I meant the 4 causes: formal, efficient, material, and 
final.  Rosen yapped endlessly about agency, efficient cause.  They're rolling 
over in their graves because the idea that the automatic car is _not_ 
responsible but the programmers or the drivers _are_ avoids the separation of 
cause into the 4 types.

Useless anecdote:  I opened the fridge one day and noticed the CO2 regulator on 
the keg was broken.  I asked my office mate about it.  He said: Yeah, the 
regulator broke.  I asked: It just spontaneously broke all by itself?  He 
didn't respond.


On 08/05/2015 12:26 PM, Parks, Raymond wrote:
Ok, I think I get the reference to Aristotle's Nicomachean Ethics III regarding 
voluntary action or volition.  However, you have once again puzzled me as I 
don't understand how Robert Rosen is relevant.  Are you thinking that the 
programmers of an autonomous vehicle do not have a relationship with the 
actions of that vehicle?  They are responsible for the metabolic and repair 
subsystems of the vehicle.  I would argue that the software algorithms that 
control the vehicle are metabolic.


On Aug 5, 2015, at 1:04 PM, glen wrote:


Heh, Aristotle and Robert Rosen just rolled over in their graves.

On 08/05/2015 10:25 AM, Parks, Raymond wrote:
Her gripe with the second is that a car (or truck or ...) has no volition - it 
must be controlled by someone.  The driver hit the group of children with the 
car under their control.  This will still be true for autonomous vehicles - 
even if the passengers in the car have no control (unlikely), the software 
developers who program the algorithms of the autonomous vehicle will be liable 
when the car hits the school children - the programmers hit the school children.

--
⇔ glen


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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread glen

On 08/05/2015 01:20 PM, Parks, Raymond wrote:

   At the risk of being unpopular on this group, I would point out that many 
gun-owners have made the argument that none of their guns have spontaneously 
fired.  Referring back to Ethics - an arm (whether or not it holds a sword) 
does not harm without voluntary movement by the person.


I don't think that's true at all.  It's not the voluntary movement that 
concerns most.  It's the involuntary movement that concerns most, especially 
liberals, because most liberals (I think) tend to give more weight to 
unintential or coincident circumstances than most conservatives.

An analogous consideration is the (seemingly) popular conservative position 
that if you have succeeded at something (e.g. making money), it's because _you_ 
did it, not because you were lucky or fortunate.  (The alternative position 
that God did it for you, or allowed you to do it is an interesting hedge.)  
Most liberals tend to place at least a little more weight on luck or 
circumstance when considering one's success.

So, it's not spontanous firing the gun control people are worried about.  It's 
not even the rational, intently intentional firing they're worried about.  It's 
the accidental and/or rash, semi-intentional firings they're worried about.  
Hence the solution: remove the material cause.

--
⇔ glen


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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Frank Wimberly
Nick Hanauer is clear that he is a multi-billionaire because Jeff Bezos
called him back before another guy when Hanauer had some venture capital to
invest.  See:

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-pitchforks-are-coming-for-us-plutocrats-108014.html#.VcJ-ElDnbqA

Frank

Sent from my Verizon 4G LTE Phone
(505) 670-9918
On 08/05/2015 01:20 PM, Parks, Raymond wrote:

At the risk of being unpopular on this group, I would point out that
 many gun-owners have made the argument that none of their guns have
 spontaneously fired.  Referring back to Ethics - an arm (whether or not it
 holds a sword) does not harm without voluntary movement by the person.


I don't think that's true at all.  It's not the voluntary movement that
concerns most.  It's the involuntary movement that concerns most,
especially liberals, because most liberals (I think) tend to give more
weight to unintential or coincident circumstances than most conservatives.

An analogous consideration is the (seemingly) popular conservative position
that if you have succeeded at something (e.g. making money), it's because
_you_ did it, not because you were lucky or fortunate.  (The alternative
position that God did it for you, or allowed you to do it is an interesting
hedge.)  Most liberals tend to place at least a little more weight on luck
or circumstance when considering one's success.

So, it's not spontanous firing the gun control people are worried about.
It's not even the rational, intently intentional firing they're worried
about.  It's the accidental and/or rash, semi-intentional firings they're
worried about.  Hence the solution: remove the material cause.

-- 
⇔ glen


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Re: [FRIAM] [ SPAM ] Re: [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Marcus Daniels
Another wrinkle in this is how the “businessman’s tragedy of the commons” gets 
reflected in the thinking of employees.  Employees, when faced with enduring 
inequality, may well object to progress, out of a sense it isn’t fair.
I find this really remarkable.  An employer that wants the employees poorer 
must be very amused indeed to see a backlash such as in the URL below.

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/08/02/business/a-company-copes-with-backlash-against-the-raise-that-roared.html

From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Roger Critchlow
Sent: Wednesday, August 05, 2015 5:00 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] [ SPAM ] Re: [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are 
spreading across America

So business people are anti-union not because unions interfere with the running 
of their own businesses, but because unions interfere with their ruining of 
other peoples businesses?

I think we could get a whole new freakonomics franchise out of this.

-- rec --

On Wed, Aug 5, 2015 at 4:22 PM, David Eric Smith 
desm...@santafe.edumailto:desm...@santafe.edu wrote:
You know what I find curious about the various econ conversations around this 
topic?

What I am about to say is not any deep insight, and I have heard Hanauer say 
the same things in his TED talk (nearly verbatim to the article), but just this 
time, reading it led to the realization.

In the sense of where the agency lies, this is a simple non-cooperative game 
played by the owners of firms _against each other_.

Powerless labor is essentially a background fabric that responds mechanically 
to the strategic choices of those who have the bargaining power over terms of 
employment, in the society as we currently have it structured.

So essentially, as Hanauer says, every business wants its customers richer and 
its employees poorer.  That is: they want all _other_ employers to provide 
richer citizens who can be customers, while they then return less of that 
wealth to their own employees as members of the customer pool.

It can be framed as one of the simple standard public-goods games, in which a 
public resource (a non-desperate pool of people who both sell wage labor and 
buy products and services) is either contributed to, or not, by firms' 
wage-setting policies.  The strategy of public contribution is dominated under 
the non-cooperative equilibrium, so the businessman's tragedy of the commons 
has everybody trying to cheat and not pay labor, until the whole populace is 
decimated and there are no customers.  This is the descent into the Walmart 
effect on towns, though the way it plays out into a final locked-in ruined 
state is more complicated than this simple game has the structure to describe.

All this is obvious, and putting it into a game-theoretic frame doesn't really 
add anything to the substance of the argument, though for me it does state more 
transparently who the players are and makes the useful point that it is the 
firm owners competing with each other as adversaries that drive this dynamic.  
Firm owners don't, as a class, destroy the economy through low wages because 
they are colluding: rather, they are being coordinated by the bad version of 
Adam Smith's invisible hand as they jointly independently and competitively 
choose the same destructive use of their power in the labor market.  This is 
why the notion that firms will voluntarily raise wages once a few do, 
mentioned by opponents in Hanauer's essay, is false (and disingenuously so).  
Now, certainly, maintaining market power over wages by putting a fence around 
the labor pool is a collusive act, but it is carried out through different 
institutions (particularly, lobbying legislators etc.) and other levels than 
the competitive pricing one.  Thus, the game has a few layers with different 
structure that interact, but it wouldn't be all that hard to lay out which 
parts are which.

The thing that surprises me -- given how many statements of the obvious Complex 
Systems academics make lots of press putting into formalism -- is that I 
haven't seen anyone write this down in those terms.

Maybe everyone realizes it would be kind of silly, and that is why they don't 
bother to do it?  Would make sense, except that we see it done in so many other 
areas that are equally shallow and silly.

?

Eric



On Aug 6, 2015, at 6:24 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote:



Nick Hanauer is clear that he is a multi-billionaire because Jeff Bezos called 
him back before another guy when Hanauer had some venture capital to invest.  
See:

http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-pitchforks-are-coming-for-us-plutocrats-108014.html#.VcJ-ElDnbqA

Frank

Sent from my Verizon 4G LTE Phone
(505) 670-9918tel:%28505%29%20670-9918
On 08/05/2015 01:20 PM, Parks, Raymond wrote:
   At the risk of being unpopular on this group, I would point out that many 
gun-owners have made the argument that none of their guns have spontaneously 
fired.  

[FRIAM] [ SPAM ] Re: [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread David Eric Smith
You know what I find curious about the various econ conversations around this 
topic?

What I am about to say is not any deep insight, and I have heard Hanauer say 
the same things in his TED talk (nearly verbatim to the article), but just this 
time, reading it led to the realization.

In the sense of where the agency lies, this is a simple non-cooperative game 
played by the owners of firms _against each other_.

Powerless labor is essentially a background fabric that responds mechanically 
to the strategic choices of those who have the bargaining power over terms of 
employment, in the society as we currently have it structured.

So essentially, as Hanauer says, every business wants its customers richer and 
its employees poorer.  That is: they want all _other_ employers to provide 
richer citizens who can be customers, while they then return less of that 
wealth to their own employees as members of the customer pool.  

It can be framed as one of the simple standard public-goods games, in which a 
public resource (a non-desperate pool of people who both sell wage labor and 
buy products and services) is either contributed to, or not, by firms' 
wage-setting policies.  The strategy of public contribution is dominated under 
the non-cooperative equilibrium, so the businessman's tragedy of the commons 
has everybody trying to cheat and not pay labor, until the whole populace is 
decimated and there are no customers.  This is the descent into the Walmart 
effect on towns, though the way it plays out into a final locked-in ruined 
state is more complicated than this simple game has the structure to describe.

All this is obvious, and putting it into a game-theoretic frame doesn't really 
add anything to the substance of the argument, though for me it does state more 
transparently who the players are and makes the useful point that it is the 
firm owners competing with each other as adversaries that drive this dynamic.  
Firm owners don't, as a class, destroy the economy through low wages because 
they are colluding: rather, they are being coordinated by the bad version of 
Adam Smith's invisible hand as they jointly independently and competitively 
choose the same destructive use of their power in the labor market.  This is 
why the notion that firms will voluntarily raise wages once a few do, 
mentioned by opponents in Hanauer's essay, is false (and disingenuously so).  
Now, certainly, maintaining market power over wages by putting a fence around 
the labor pool is a collusive act, but it is carried out through different 
institutions (particularly, lobbying legislators etc.) and other levels than 
the competitive pricing one.  Thus, the game has a few layers with different 
structure that interact, but it wouldn't be all that hard to lay out which 
parts are which.

The thing that surprises me -- given how many statements of the obvious Complex 
Systems academics make lots of press putting into formalism -- is that I 
haven't seen anyone write this down in those terms.

Maybe everyone realizes it would be kind of silly, and that is why they don't 
bother to do it?  Would make sense, except that we see it done in so many other 
areas that are equally shallow and silly.

?

Eric



On Aug 6, 2015, at 6:24 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote:

 Nick Hanauer is clear that he is a multi-billionaire because Jeff Bezos 
 called him back before another guy when Hanauer had some venture capital to 
 invest.  See:
 
 http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-pitchforks-are-coming-for-us-plutocrats-108014.html#.VcJ-ElDnbqA
 
 Frank
 
 Sent from my Verizon 4G LTE Phone
 (505) 670-9918
 
 On 08/05/2015 01:20 PM, Parks, Raymond wrote:
At the risk of being unpopular on this group, I would point out that many 
 gun-owners have made the argument that none of their guns have spontaneously 
 fired.  Referring back to Ethics - an arm (whether or not it holds a sword) 
 does not harm without voluntary movement by the person.
 
 I don't think that's true at all.  It's not the voluntary movement that 
 concerns most.  It's the involuntary movement that concerns most, especially 
 liberals, because most liberals (I think) tend to give more weight to 
 unintential or coincident circumstances than most conservatives.
 
 An analogous consideration is the (seemingly) popular conservative position 
 that if you have succeeded at something (e.g. making money), it's because 
 _you_ did it, not because you were lucky or fortunate.  (The alternative 
 position that God did it for you, or allowed you to do it is an interesting 
 hedge.)  Most liberals tend to place at least a little more weight on luck or 
 circumstance when considering one's success.
 
 So, it's not spontanous firing the gun control people are worried about.  
 It's not even the rational, intently intentional firing they're worried 
 about.  It's the accidental and/or rash, semi-intentional firings they're 
 worried about.  Hence the solution: remove the material 

Re: [FRIAM] [ SPAM ] Re: [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread Roger Critchlow
So business people are anti-union not because unions interfere with the
running of their own businesses, but because unions interfere with their
ruining of other peoples businesses?

I think we could get a whole new freakonomics franchise out of this.

-- rec --

On Wed, Aug 5, 2015 at 4:22 PM, David Eric Smith desm...@santafe.edu
wrote:

 You know what I find curious about the various econ conversations around
 this topic?

 What I am about to say is not any deep insight, and I have heard Hanauer
 say the same things in his TED talk (nearly verbatim to the article), but
 just this time, reading it led to the realization.

 In the sense of where the agency lies, this is a simple non-cooperative
 game played by the owners of firms _against each other_.

 Powerless labor is essentially a background fabric that responds
 mechanically to the strategic choices of those who have the bargaining
 power over terms of employment, in the society as we currently have it
 structured.

 So essentially, as Hanauer says, every business wants its customers richer
 and its employees poorer.  That is: they want all _other_ employers to
 provide richer citizens who can be customers, while they then return less
 of that wealth to their own employees as members of the customer pool.

 It can be framed as one of the simple standard public-goods games, in
 which a public resource (a non-desperate pool of people who both sell wage
 labor and buy products and services) is either contributed to, or not, by
 firms' wage-setting policies.  The strategy of public contribution is
 dominated under the non-cooperative equilibrium, so the businessman's
 tragedy of the commons has everybody trying to cheat and not pay labor,
 until the whole populace is decimated and there are no customers.  This is
 the descent into the Walmart effect on towns, though the way it plays out
 into a final locked-in ruined state is more complicated than this simple
 game has the structure to describe.

 All this is obvious, and putting it into a game-theoretic frame doesn't
 really add anything to the substance of the argument, though for me it does
 state more transparently who the players are and makes the useful point
 that it is the firm owners competing with each other as adversaries that
 drive this dynamic.  Firm owners don't, as a class, destroy the economy
 through low wages because they are colluding: rather, they are being
 coordinated by the bad version of Adam Smith's invisible hand as they
 jointly independently and competitively choose the same destructive use of
 their power in the labor market.  This is why the notion that firms will
 voluntarily raise wages once a few do, mentioned by opponents in
 Hanauer's essay, is false (and disingenuously so).  Now, certainly,
 maintaining market power over wages by putting a fence around the labor
 pool is a collusive act, but it is carried out through different
 institutions (particularly, lobbying legislators etc.) and other levels
 than the competitive pricing one.  Thus, the game has a few layers with
 different structure that interact, but it wouldn't be all that hard to lay
 out which parts are which.

 The thing that surprises me -- given how many statements of the obvious
 Complex Systems academics make lots of press putting into formalism -- is
 that I haven't seen anyone write this down in those terms.

 Maybe everyone realizes it would be kind of silly, and that is why they
 don't bother to do it?  Would make sense, except that we see it done in so
 many other areas that are equally shallow and silly.

 ?

 Eric



 On Aug 6, 2015, at 6:24 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote:

 Nick Hanauer is clear that he is a multi-billionaire because Jeff Bezos
 called him back before another guy when Hanauer had some venture capital to
 invest.  See:


 http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-pitchforks-are-coming-for-us-plutocrats-108014.html#.VcJ-ElDnbqA

 Frank

 Sent from my Verizon 4G LTE Phone
 (505) 670-9918
 On 08/05/2015 01:20 PM, Parks, Raymond wrote:

At the risk of being unpopular on this group, I would point out that
 many gun-owners have made the argument that none of their guns have
 spontaneously fired.  Referring back to Ethics - an arm (whether or not it
 holds a sword) does not harm without voluntary movement by the person.


 I don't think that's true at all.  It's not the voluntary movement that
 concerns most.  It's the involuntary movement that concerns most,
 especially liberals, because most liberals (I think) tend to give more
 weight to unintential or coincident circumstances than most conservatives.

 An analogous consideration is the (seemingly) popular conservative
 position that if you have succeeded at something (e.g. making money), it's
 because _you_ did it, not because you were lucky or fortunate.  (The
 alternative position that God did it for you, or allowed you to do it is an
 interesting hedge.)  Most liberals tend to place at least a little more
 weight on 

Re: [FRIAM] [ SPAM ] Re: [EXTERNAL] Re: How brand-new words are spreading across America

2015-08-05 Thread David Eric Smith

On Aug 6, 2015, at 7:59 AM, Roger Critchlow wrote:

 So business people are anti-union not because unions interfere with the 
 running of their own businesses, but because unions interfere with their 
 ruining of other peoples businesses?

Very nice!

E


 
 I think we could get a whole new freakonomics franchise out of this.
 
 -- rec --
 
 On Wed, Aug 5, 2015 at 4:22 PM, David Eric Smith desm...@santafe.edu wrote:
 You know what I find curious about the various econ conversations around this 
 topic?
 
 What I am about to say is not any deep insight, and I have heard Hanauer say 
 the same things in his TED talk (nearly verbatim to the article), but just 
 this time, reading it led to the realization.
 
 In the sense of where the agency lies, this is a simple non-cooperative game 
 played by the owners of firms _against each other_.
 
 Powerless labor is essentially a background fabric that responds mechanically 
 to the strategic choices of those who have the bargaining power over terms of 
 employment, in the society as we currently have it structured.
 
 So essentially, as Hanauer says, every business wants its customers richer 
 and its employees poorer.  That is: they want all _other_ employers to 
 provide richer citizens who can be customers, while they then return less of 
 that wealth to their own employees as members of the customer pool.  
 
 It can be framed as one of the simple standard public-goods games, in which a 
 public resource (a non-desperate pool of people who both sell wage labor and 
 buy products and services) is either contributed to, or not, by firms' 
 wage-setting policies.  The strategy of public contribution is dominated 
 under the non-cooperative equilibrium, so the businessman's tragedy of the 
 commons has everybody trying to cheat and not pay labor, until the whole 
 populace is decimated and there are no customers.  This is the descent into 
 the Walmart effect on towns, though the way it plays out into a final 
 locked-in ruined state is more complicated than this simple game has the 
 structure to describe.
 
 All this is obvious, and putting it into a game-theoretic frame doesn't 
 really add anything to the substance of the argument, though for me it does 
 state more transparently who the players are and makes the useful point that 
 it is the firm owners competing with each other as adversaries that drive 
 this dynamic.  Firm owners don't, as a class, destroy the economy through low 
 wages because they are colluding: rather, they are being coordinated by the 
 bad version of Adam Smith's invisible hand as they jointly independently and 
 competitively choose the same destructive use of their power in the labor 
 market.  This is why the notion that firms will voluntarily raise wages 
 once a few do, mentioned by opponents in Hanauer's essay, is false (and 
 disingenuously so).  Now, certainly, maintaining market power over wages by 
 putting a fence around the labor pool is a collusive act, but it is carried 
 out through different institutions (particularly, lobbying legislators etc.) 
 and other levels than the competitive pricing one.  Thus, the game has a few 
 layers with different structure that interact, but it wouldn't be all that 
 hard to lay out which parts are which.
 
 The thing that surprises me -- given how many statements of the obvious 
 Complex Systems academics make lots of press putting into formalism -- is 
 that I haven't seen anyone write this down in those terms.
 
 Maybe everyone realizes it would be kind of silly, and that is why they don't 
 bother to do it?  Would make sense, except that we see it done in so many 
 other areas that are equally shallow and silly.
 
 ?
 
 Eric
 
 
 
 On Aug 6, 2015, at 6:24 AM, Frank Wimberly wrote:
 
 Nick Hanauer is clear that he is a multi-billionaire because Jeff Bezos 
 called him back before another guy when Hanauer had some venture capital to 
 invest.  See:
 
 http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2014/06/the-pitchforks-are-coming-for-us-plutocrats-108014.html#.VcJ-ElDnbqA
 
 Frank
 
 Sent from my Verizon 4G LTE Phone
 (505) 670-9918
 
 On 08/05/2015 01:20 PM, Parks, Raymond wrote:
At the risk of being unpopular on this group, I would point out that many 
 gun-owners have made the argument that none of their guns have spontaneously 
 fired.  Referring back to Ethics - an arm (whether or not it holds a sword) 
 does not harm without voluntary movement by the person.
 
 I don't think that's true at all.  It's not the voluntary movement that 
 concerns most.  It's the involuntary movement that concerns most, especially 
 liberals, because most liberals (I think) tend to give more weight to 
 unintential or coincident circumstances than most conservatives.
 
 An analogous consideration is the (seemingly) popular conservative position 
 that if you have succeeded at something (e.g. making money), it's because 
 _you_ did it, not because you were lucky or fortunate.  (The alternative