Re: t-and-f: Lazy Marathoners Before 2002

2003-10-19 Thread alan tobin
Some people on this list need to lighten up. Some people are way too stuffy 
and proper. Even serious media outlets sometimes fail to provide anying new 
or interesting as they rehash old stories and ideas. Stop pretending the 
list is god.

Alan

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Re: t-and-f: rutto

2003-10-17 Thread alan tobin
I bet you don't visit the Letsrun.com or Kemibe.com message boards much do 
ya? If you did you would see new meanings of the word libel and restricted 
speech going the way of the Dodo. Also, the correct adjective is 
indecorous not  the non-word undecorous, but a less snooty way of saying 
the same thing would be tasteless. In fact this listserv has gone the way 
of the Dodo since I first signed on in 1996 when actual college runners 
*shock* frequented the list.

Alan


From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
And even so, a productive forum has civil discourse.  Yes, you're protected 
to say all sorts of idiotic things, but expect to be slapped down in 
return, including being told your speech is undecorous.

RMc


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Re: t-and-f: rutto

2003-10-16 Thread alan tobin
but if the statement comes down to he ran fast, so he must be on drugs 
then these type of statements have two problems.  First, they border on 
libel, which may expose the writer to legal actions.

It doesn't boil down to he ran fast, so he must be on drugs. Do I have 
proof that he or anyone else is on anything? Nope. Who does? The only time 
we have concrete proof that anyone is on drugs is when the drug tests come 
back positive. That doesn't mean that the only ones on drugs are the ones 
getting caught. The ones who are getting caught are the stupid ones who made 
the mistakes to get caught. There are more elite athletes (In track, 
baseball, football, ect) on drugs than who are getting caught. If you think 
that our system of finding drugged up athletes is flawless then I'm sorry 
for you. My proof is in the context in which he ran so fast: His first 
marathon. Two weeks before it would have been only 12 seconds off the WR. 
It's not that he ran so fast. It's that he ran so fast so early. It would be 
different if he ran 2:05:50 a year or so down the road. Another 
thing...libel? Please buddy, get real.

Alan


From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: Re: t-and-f: rutto
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I don't think any of us have said just shut up, Alan.  Rather, I think 
we've offered well-reasoned arguments, and have asked Alan for a 
substantive rationale that is logically and internally consistent.  He can 
ask the question, and he can offer proof, but if the statement comes down 
to he ran fast, so he must be on drugs then these type of statements have 
two problems.  First, they border on libel, which may expose the writer to 
legal actions.  Second, it simply runs down the sport without basis.   They 
become of a nature similar to the query when was the last time you beat 
your wife?  I don't think such statements have any place in a public 
forum, which is what this list is.

I don't know if this type of controversy rages among fans in other sports 
such as cycling or swimming, where doping issues continue to arise.  But my 
sense of what drives the discussion on this list is a continuing attempt by 
Ben Johnson supporters to vindicate his actions in 1988.  Maybe this occurs 
because so many people disliked Carl Lewis and can't stand the thought that 
he was the beneficiary of Johnson's foibles.  Or maybe its Canadians 
thinking they had finally triumphed over their more dominant neighbors and 
then finding that it was taken away.  Whatever the reason, the accusations 
made on this list have substantial emotional content that seems to go 
beyond simply making speculative statements.

RMc

At 07:46 PM 10/14/2003 -0700, t-and-f-digest wrote..
Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 21:55:17 -0400
From: Keith Whitman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: t-and-f: rutto
Bob,
I'm not stating an opinion about the athlete in question, but isn't a
discussion list allowed to include the right to include an opinion?  Alan
simply said he was suspicious which is a fair statement given the state of
our sport right now.  We'd all love to live in that drug free athletic
utopia in which people just gravitate to the event they are best at and 
put
up astonishing marks.  Until that day occurs then suspicion will be
rampant.  Some will have the stones to make comments to that affect and
some won't.  At least Alan isn't sticking his head in the sand...


RE: t-and-f: Lazy Marathoners Before 2002

2003-10-16 Thread alan tobin
This is not 1954. HUGE difference in training between now and then. HUGE 
difference in tracks between now and then. HUGE difference between mindset 
between now and then.

Alan


From: vincent duncan [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: RE: t-and-f: Lazy Marathoners Before 2002
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I ask you kindly to look at the mile record after the first sub four by
the good Doctor..was that drugs.or a new mind set.
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of John Molvar
Sent: Wednesday, October 15, 2003 6:35 PM
To: Send t-and-f
Subject: t-and-f: Lazy Marathoners Before 2002
Alan wrote:

It's not just running near a WR that implies drug use. It's when
numerous
people run near a WR that bothers me. It's when a marathon VIRGIN runs
near
a WR that bothers me. If KK runs a WR it wouldn't strike me as
mysterious
at
all. He's been in the game for a while. He didn't debut at 2:05. The
problem
I have is that 7 of the top 10 marathon times in HISTORY have been run
in
2002 or 2003. From 1988 to 1998 no one went under Dinsamo's record.
Since
then there's been 25 performances by 21 runners under that record. You
will
not find such a statistic during any other past decade. When records (be
it
WR or debut WR which was just broken in Paris by Wilson Onsare before
Rutto
did his Chicago dance) are broken every year in the same event then I
question every one of those results. The state of the sport leads to
such
uncredibility.
Come on Alan,

Didn't you hear what the man said?  These guys have discovered hard
training.  That is why 7 of the 10 best times have been run in the 2
years.  Marathoners before 2002 didn't know about hard training,
basically they were all lazy, Krispy Kreme eating computer game players.
The new wave Alan is to train hard and if you don't jump on the train
hard bandwagon you are going to be left behind.  I predict that more
and
more are going to discover this train hard and you are going to see
even
more record breaking times.
Actually this train hard thing was secretly tried by chain smoking
coach
MA in the Mid 90s in China.  That secret train hard formula combined
with what Rich McCann would characterize as weak records in the
women's
distance events explains that record breaking surge.
So you see Alan, you just don't get it, so stop trampling on our Yellow
Brick Road.
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Re: t-and-f: rutto

2003-10-16 Thread alan tobin
Who says I'm not suspicious of Radcliffe? I've said in the past that any 
current or former WR holder is suspicious in my mind. The only proof I need 
is the fact that these people hold world records. Is every WR holder drugged 
up? Probably not, but that doesn't mean one can't be suspicious.

Alan


From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: Re: t-and-f: rutto
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At 04:37 PM 10/16/2003 +, alan tobin wrote:
but if the statement comes down to he ran fast, so he must be on drugs 
then these type of statements have two problems.  First, they border on 
libel, which may expose the writer to legal actions.

It doesn't boil down to he ran fast, so he must be on drugs. Do I have 
proof that he or anyone else is on anything? Nope. Who does? The only time 
we have concrete proof that anyone is on drugs is when the drug tests come 
back positive. That doesn't mean that the only ones on drugs are the ones 
getting caught. The ones who are getting caught are the stupid ones who 
made the mistakes to get caught. There are more elite athletes (In track, 
baseball, football, ect) on drugs than who are getting caught. If you 
think that our system of finding drugged up athletes is flawless then I'm 
sorry for you. My proof is in the context in which he ran so fast: His 
first marathon. Two weeks before it would have been only 12 seconds off 
the WR. It's not that he ran so fast. It's that he ran so fast so early. 
It would be different if he ran 2:05:50 a year or so down the road.
I'll accept circumstantial evidence--I have in the case of the Chinese 
women runners in 1993 (which also happened to coincide with a set of 
drug-related incidents among Chinese women in swimming.)  To add to the 
Chinese evidence was the fact former East German coaches were then advising 
Chinese coaches.  And we have smoking guns for the East Germans.

What I don't see is the same level of circumstantial evidence in the case 
of Rutto.  We've come up with many logical and empirical reasons to refute 
the basis of your claim.  Even this last assertion of yours is blown away 
by KK's roughly equivalent debut (and then you respond by smearing him as 
well.)  To add to that, Paula Radcliffe's 2:18:56 debut was similarly close 
to a WR which had been part of a two race sequence that lowered the 
previous record by almost 2 minutes!  At least Rutto's was relative to a 
4-year old mark which didn't improve a 9-year old mark very much.  Why 
haven't you been on the list ranting about Radcliffe's performances being 
drug enhanced?!  They're much more stunning than Rutto's, and even I show 
the women's marathon WR has being very strong relative to the other WRs 
(including even the Chinese marks).  Your inconsistency is glaring.

The fact is that once all of the basis for your claim are stripped away, as 
they have been irrefutably, you are left with the simple assertion he ran 
fast, so therefore he must be using drugs.  You need to build a much more 
substantial case than what you've put forward.  You need to look at all 
previous cases of high level debut performances.

Another thing...libel? Please buddy, get real.
Don't be so smug.  Others who thought they were protected or too obscure 
have been sued.  Just the legal expenses would be substantial.  And even if 
libel is not proven in a court, these unsubstantiated claims border on 
libel.  Not everything that we due in life must be regulated by a law.  
There's no law against being rude, but we all generally agree that it's not 
a tolerable behavior in a social setting.  Many of us believe the same is 
true about libelous statements that may not pass the strict tests of the 
law.

Richard McCann

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RE: Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ Zakharova win at Chicago

2003-10-15 Thread alan tobin
Trumping the trump card...

The record KK came within 20 seconds of wasn't 2 weeks old but 9 years old. 
It should also be known that KK isn't off my suspicion list either. I'm 
suspicious of any current or former WR holder or Olympic/World gold 
medalist. You can damn me for that opinion all you want but it is my opinion 
and it won't change until WADA, USADA or any other anti-doping agency does a 
better job which isn't likely to happen. I think we should adopt the cycling 
federations hematocrit test. If you're over 50 then you're out for health 
reasons

Alan


From: Post, Marty [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: 'alan tobin' [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ 
Zakharova win at Chicago
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Rutto's debut of 2:05:50 was 55 seconds off the current world record.

Khannouchi's debut of 2:07:10 - also a debut world record at the time -- 
was
20 seconds off the then world record.

-Original Message-
From: alan tobin [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, October 15, 2003 9:57 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ
Zakharova win at Chicago
running a near a WR in one event implies drug use.  He's going to have to
use a completely different basis for coming to that conclusion.
It's not just running near a WR that implies drug use. It's when numerous
people run near a WR that bothers me. It's when a marathon VIRGIN runs near
a WR that bothers me. If KK runs a WR it wouldn't strike me as mysterious 
at

all. He's been in the game for a while. He didn't debut at 2:05. The 
problem

I have is that 7 of the top 10 marathon times in HISTORY have been run in
2002 or 2003. From 1988 to 1998 no one went under Dinsamo's record. Since
then there's been 25 performances by 21 runners under that record. You will
not find such a statistic during any other past decade. When records (be it
WR or debut WR which was just broken in Paris by Wilson Onsare before Rutto
did his Chicago dance) are broken every year in the same event then I
question every one of those results. The state of the sport leads to such
uncredibility.
Alan

From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
CC: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED],
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ
Zakharova win at Chicago
Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:08:10 -0700
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I have problems with the statistical methods used to develop most of 
these
tables.  Even the comparison method I used, which is similar to Hoffman's
is a bit too simplistic.  However, the correct method is rather data
intensive.  I would want to use the top 100 marks over a series of years 
to

estimate the underlying variance in performances.  This would be the 
means
of identifying which performances are the greatest outlier vs. other
performances.  The one underlying assumption is that the same proportion 
of

the population competes in each event so that the probability 
distributions

are comparable among events.

If we're going to rely solely on subjective comparisons, then Tobin's
evaluation is no more valid than mine and he has absolutely no basis for
leaping to a conclusion that running a near a WR in one event implies 
drug
use.  He's going to have to use a completely different basis for coming 
to
that conclusion.

On the other hand, I'm not arguing that my comparison is subjective per 
se,

but rather can be recreated by anyone else in a step by step fashion that
is readily transparent.  If they want to change the underlying 
assumptions,

they are free to do so and to come to their own conclusions.  Such
transparency is the fundamental basis of objective comparisons

RE: Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ Zakharova win at Chicago

2003-10-15 Thread alan tobin
H...apparently I've been trumped. I'll go back to my cave now.

Alan


From: Post, Marty [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: 'alan tobin' [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ 
Zakharova win at Chicago
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Rutto's debut of 2:05:50 was 55 seconds off the current world record.

Khannouchi's debut of 2:07:10 - also a debut world record at the time -- 
was
20 seconds off the then world record.

-Original Message-
From: alan tobin [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Wednesday, October 15, 2003 9:57 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ
Zakharova win at Chicago
running a near a WR in one event implies drug use.  He's going to have to
use a completely different basis for coming to that conclusion.
It's not just running near a WR that implies drug use. It's when numerous
people run near a WR that bothers me. It's when a marathon VIRGIN runs near
a WR that bothers me. If KK runs a WR it wouldn't strike me as mysterious 
at

all. He's been in the game for a while. He didn't debut at 2:05. The 
problem

I have is that 7 of the top 10 marathon times in HISTORY have been run in
2002 or 2003. From 1988 to 1998 no one went under Dinsamo's record. Since
then there's been 25 performances by 21 runners under that record. You will
not find such a statistic during any other past decade. When records (be it
WR or debut WR which was just broken in Paris by Wilson Onsare before Rutto
did his Chicago dance) are broken every year in the same event then I
question every one of those results. The state of the sport leads to such
uncredibility.
Alan

From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
CC: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED],
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ
Zakharova win at Chicago
Date: Tue, 14 Oct 2003 12:08:10 -0700
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I have problems with the statistical methods used to develop most of 
these
tables.  Even the comparison method I used, which is similar to Hoffman's
is a bit too simplistic.  However, the correct method is rather data
intensive.  I would want to use the top 100 marks over a series of years 
to

estimate the underlying variance in performances.  This would be the 
means
of identifying which performances are the greatest outlier vs. other
performances.  The one underlying assumption is that the same proportion 
of

the population competes in each event so that the probability 
distributions

are comparable among events.

If we're going to rely solely on subjective comparisons, then Tobin's
evaluation is no more valid than mine and he has absolutely no basis for
leaping to a conclusion that running a near a WR in one event implies 
drug
use.  He's going to have to use a completely different basis for coming 
to
that conclusion.

On the other hand, I'm not arguing that my comparison is subjective per 
se,

but rather can be recreated by anyone else in a step by step fashion that
is readily transparent.  If they want to change the underlying 
assumptions,

they are free to do so and to come to their own conclusions.  Such
transparency is the fundamental basis of objective comparisons.
Subjective comparisons are opaque and cannot be recreated.

RMc

At 01:23 PM 10/14/2003 -0500, [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
ALL of these comparison tables are fundamentally flawed, as 
subjectivity

is the common denominator. Don't believe me, just compare the projected
equivalents from the various tables: Purdy, Coe and Martin, Portuguese,
Mercier (I'm missing a few)

_
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Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ Zakharova win at Chicago

2003-10-14 Thread alan tobin
You need to realize that the current men's marathon WR is still
quite weak, and should be well under 2:04 to be equivalent to the classic 
distances WRs.  Even Tergat's half marathon record is better than his 
marathon.
I friggin hate assumptions like that. Using that logic all of the women's 
WRs fail in comparison to the 400 mark. You can not compare a time at one 
distance to a time at another distance. It's just stupid. The marathon is an 
entirely different ball game than the 10k or even the half-marathon. You can 
however compare times at one distance across decades. It took 21 years to 
drop from 2:08:34 to 2:08:18. Even if you question the validity of the first 
time it still took 24 years to drop from 2:09:36 to 2:08:18. That's the 
largest gap between drops in the men's record. One would think that an event 
record would drop dramatically at first and then level off unless there are 
major training breakthroughs (late 60s) or very gifted individuals (Peters, 
Clayton, KK) who break the record multiple times. What I don't buy is the 
record being broken by a different person every year or every week.

Alan


From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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win at Chicago
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Actually, he's 55 seconds off the WR.  By my calculation, his time equals 
about 26:55 for 10k.  Given that few marathoners run equivalent 10k 
performances, I don't think he's too far out of line.  You need to realize 
that the current men's marathon WR is still quite weak, and should be well 
under 2:04 to be equivalent to the classic distances WRs.  Even Tergat's 
half marathon record is better than his marathon.

RMc

At 06:35 PM 10/13/2003 +, alan tobin wrote:
When a runner I barely heard of runs his first ever marathon 8 seconds off 
a record that was just broke I start to wonder. 27:30 10k  2:05:50 
marathon. Call me a pessimist if you want. Icing on the cake would be if 
he's a part of Dr. Rosa's camp. Anyone know?

Alan


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Sunday October 12, 06:50 PM

Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ Zakharova win at Chicago
http://uk.sports.yahoo.com/031012/323/eawyq.html
Click to enlarge photo
CHICAGO (AFP) - First-time marathoner Evans Rutto of Kenya and reigning 
Boston Marathon champion Svetlana Zakharova of Russia won titles at the 
Chicago Marathon.

Rutto won in 2hr 05min 50sec, eight seconds off the race mark, American 
Khalid Khannouchi's old world best of 2:05:42 in 1999.
Click to enlarge photo
Kenya's Paul Tergat set the world marathon best of 2

Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ Zakharova win at Chicago

2003-10-14 Thread alan tobin
For example, how many 10k WR holders (Gebreselassie) or even 10k WC/Oly 
medalists (Tergat) have run the men's marathon at or near the peak of their 
career?

Are you making the assumption that Geb and Tergat are at the peak of the 
their careers? I'd have to say that both were at their peak when they were 
setting 5k/10k WRs and winning Olympic golds/silvers (1995-2000). I think 
it's a pretty safe assumption that today there are more runners waiting 
until after their peak track 10k/5k fitness to run a marathon than 20-30 
years ago.

Alan

From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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CC: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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I believe that you CAN make comparisons across distances.  What's 
interesting is that in the women's case, the marathon mark is now much 
STRONGER than the other marks.  How do you explain that discrepancy?  Over 
time, the longer distances have tended to get faster relative to the 
shorter distances as training volume increased and the number of top line 
athletes competing in the event has increased.  For example, how many 10k 
WR holders (Gebreselassie) or even 10k WC/Oly medalists (Tergat) have run 
the men's marathon at or near the peak of their career?  Salazar is the 
only one that I can think of.  (Zatopek's triple doesn't count, but even 
that was a WR, showing how weak the mark was.)  What's interesting about 
the women is that they've had many more top elites at shorter distances run 
the marathon, in part because the 5k and 10k were not Olympic distances 
until 1992.

As for the drop in marathon from 2:08:34 to 2:08:18, remember that the 10k 
record only fell from 27:39 to 27:22 in the same period, yet the 10k record 
is now 26:22.  The marathon record should be 2:04:06 if it is to improve an 
equivalent amount.  That's in line with my previous assessment.

Your assessment is purely subjective as to whether a 2:05:50 marathon 
should be considered on par with a 26:30 10k.  You then leap to unfounded 
conclusions based on your purely subjective assessment.  I offer a counter 
assessment which is backed by some quantitative analysis.  I'm probably not 
on the mark, as most quantitative assessments of the real world require 
oversimplification.  However, those types of analyses give a good 
indication of the general direction--much better than anecdotal subjective 
assessments.

As for record bursts that have occurred, it's not always evident until 
after the fact as to why those bursts have occurred.  If I was going to 
offer an explanation about the current burst it would be that African 
runners began to enter the distance running events in large droves in the 
1980s.  They ran along with the Europeans and Americans with their 
preexisting notions about running limits until the early 1990s.  Then the 
Africans began to compete solely with each other and discovered that they 
could push beyond those limits, due in part because their own lifestyles 
are so harsh (much harder than even 19th century Europe and America), and 
in part because the added nutritional and technology benefits (not 
necessarily drugs given the leaps by young athletes who are too poor to buy 
drugs) that are becoming more available in East and North Africa.  The 5k 
and 10k marks have stood since 1998.  Now those top athletes are moving up 
to the marathon, and the performances in that event are beginning to 
improve similarly.

The introduction of a new competitive population with the right 
predisposition may have been the reason for the Finnish-driven burst in the 
1920s, and the Eastern European-driven burst in the 1950s (emerging from 
the WWII disaster).  The 1940s and 1960s bursts were driven almost solely 
by new training techniques, although the emergence of Kip Keino had some 
effect on the latter (the only man who could run toe to toe with both Ryun 
and Clarke.)  The late 70s burst was much more of mixed bag, with Rono on  
one hand, and Walker, Coe and Ovett on the other.

RMc

At 02:36 PM 10/14/2003 +, alan tobin wrote:
You need to realize that the current men's marathon WR is still
quite weak, and should be well under 2:04 to be equivalent to the classic 
distances WRs.  Even

Re: t-and-f: rutto

2003-10-14 Thread alan tobin
Can you blame me for being suspicious? A negative split sub 2:06 in his 
DEBUT. I don't like the taste of that kool-aid.

Alan


From: peter watson [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Alan-
because you have not heard of him it is suspicious? I
will tell you Evans is the real deal and 100% clean. I
had the honor of being part of Dieters training
group,running every day with the guys then hanging out
drinking chai watching tv. unfortuantly I got injured
and did not get to race. Running with the group (Paul,
evans, Godfrey , tim cheriout and laban Kipkemboi) was
an amazing experience. These guys are the most
efficent runners I have ever seen and they work hard
day in and day out. The training program is unbelivbly
dificult and these guys made it through ready to race
hard. Evans if you followed the running scene closly
has also run 61 minutes for the 1/2. Paul and evans
will only runner faster in the future. Usually i let
these drug accusations go by without response but when
they are directed at a friend of mine i cannot.
pete watson
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Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ Zakharova win at Chicago

2003-10-14 Thread alan tobin
How about KK? Sure he hasn't touched a track race in a long while, but I'm 
sure he could take down a few of his PRs if he chose to do so.

Alan


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At 05:04 PM 10/14/2003 +, alan tobin wrote..
For example, how many 10k WR holders (Gebreselassie) or even 10k WC/Oly 
medalists (Tergat) have run the men's marathon at or near the peak of 
their career?

Are you making the assumption that Geb and Tergat are at the peak of the 
their careers? I'd have to say that both were at their peak when they were 
setting 5k/10k WRs and winning Olympic golds/silvers (1995-2000). I think 
it's a pretty safe assumption that today there are more runners waiting 
until after their peak track 10k/5k fitness to run a marathon than 20-30 
years ago.
Gebreselassie won the 10k WC silver and ran 26:29, the fastest time in the 
world this year.   He might be just slightly slower than before, but he 
seems to be pretty damn close to his peak.  Tergat immediately jumped from 
an Oly silver to running marathons in 2:07.  Top marathoners are younger, 
not older, than they were 20-30 years ago relative to their performance 
peaks.  Think of how unusual Salazar was, yet many of the top Africans are 
about his age now.  (BTW, Shorter was the other top 10k runner who also 
marathoned in the past at his peak.)

RMc


Alan

From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
CC: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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I believe that you CAN make comparisons across distances.  What's 
interesting is that in the women's case, the marathon mark is now much 
STRONGER than the other marks.  How do you explain that discrepancy?  
Over time, the longer distances have tended to get faster relative to the 
shorter distances as training volume increased and the number of top line 
athletes competing in the event has increased.  For example, how many 10k 
WR holders (Gebreselassie) or even 10k WC/Oly medalists (Tergat) have run 
the men's marathon at or near the peak of their career?  Salazar is the 
only one that I can think of.  (Zatopek's triple doesn't count, but even 
that was a WR, showing how weak the mark was.)  What's interesting about 
the women is that they've had many more top elites at shorter distances 
run the marathon, in part because the 5k and 10k were not Olympic 
distances until 1992.

As for the drop in marathon from 2:08:34 to 2:08:18, remember that the 
10k record only fell from 27:39 to 27:22 in the same period, yet the 10k 
record is now 26:22.  The marathon record should be 2:04:06 if it is to 
improve an equivalent amount.  That's in line with my previous 
assessment.

Your assessment is purely subjective as to whether a 2:05:50 marathon 
should be considered on par with a 26:30 10k.  You then leap to unfounded 
conclusions based on your purely subjective assessment.  I offer a 
counter assessment which is backed by some quantitative analysis.  I'm 
probably not on the mark, as most quantitative assessments of the real 
world require oversimplification.  However, those types of analyses give 
a good indication of the general direction--much better than anecdotal 
subjective assessments.

As for record bursts that have occurred, it's not always evident until 
after the fact as to why those bursts have occurred.  If I was going

Re: t-and-f: fwd: Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ Zakharova win at Chicago

2003-10-13 Thread alan tobin
When a runner I barely heard of runs his first ever marathon 8 seconds off a 
record that was just broke I start to wonder. 27:30 10k  2:05:50 marathon. 
Call me a pessimist if you want. Icing on the cake would be if he's a part 
of Dr. Rosa's camp. Anyone know?

Alan


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Sunday October 12, 06:50 PM

Marathon debutant Rutto, Boston champ Zakharova win at Chicago
http://uk.sports.yahoo.com/031012/323/eawyq.html
Click to enlarge photo
CHICAGO (AFP) - First-time marathoner Evans Rutto of Kenya and reigning 
Boston Marathon champion Svetlana Zakharova of Russia won titles at the 
Chicago Marathon.

Rutto won in 2hr 05min 50sec, eight seconds off the race mark, American 
Khalid Khannouchi's old world best of 2:05:42 in 1999.
Click to enlarge photo
Kenya's Paul Tergat set the world marathon best of 2:04:55 at the Berlin 
Marathon on September 28.

But Rutto's run does break the world mark for first-time marathon runners, 
which had been 2:06:47 by Wilson Onsari in Paris this year.

I was very surprised by the time, Rutto said. I'm very happy. I felt 
good all the way, very strong.

Zakharova won in 2:23:07 with runner-up Constantina Tomescu-Dita 28 seconds 
behind.

It was hard to hold up at the end, Zakharova said. It was hot. I like it 
here very much and I'll be back next year.

Rutto took home 225,000 dollars while Zakharova received 110,000 dollars. 
Each won 100,000 dollars for the victory but the Kenyan captured more in 
bonus prize money.

A late-race surge brought victory for Zakharova, pulling away from her 
Romanian rival in the final mile for the triumph.

I tried to hold on for the win, but it was not possible, Tomescu-Dita 
said. I had pain in my legs and my stomach.

Latvian Jelena Prokopcuka was third, followed by Russia's Albina Ivanova 
and Poland's Grazyna Syrek.

Kenyans swept the top five men's spots with Paul Koech second in an 
unofficial time of 2:07:07 and Daniel Njenga third in an unofficial 2:07:41 
over the 26.2-mile course. Peter Chebet was fourth with Jimmy Muindi fifth.

Moroccan Abdelkader El Mouaziz was sixth, followed by American Mebrahton 
Keflezhigi and South Africa's Hendrick Ramaala.

Rutto, 25, ran the eighth-fastest 10,000m in the world in June of 2000, a 
personal best of 27:31:32.

He seized command in the men's race, zipping through the 20th mile in 4:35 
to pull away from a world-class field and handling the final 10km in 29:26.

Zakharova, 33, was coming off a ninth-place showing at August's World 
Championships in Paris, where she ran 2:26:53.

Zakharova won the Boston Marathon in April in 2:25:19 and ran her personal 
best here last year to place fourth in 2:21:31, a Russian national record.

The 26th running of the Chicago race featured 40,000 entrants and a record 
550,000-dollar purse.


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Re: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll

2003-10-10 Thread alan tobin
Ah but the point was getting any money, much less $2500, for such a mediocre 
time. My PR isn't much faster but there are many runners out there who could 
run a 2:37 marathon nearly every week or at least twice a month.

Actually now that I think about it...that is a great idea. If you make 
running a relatively mediocre time economically rewarding then that would 
motivate more runners to run faster. I know a lot of major marathons give 
bonuses for going under 2:12,:10, :08, etc but wouldn't it be great if they 
also rewarded the warriors in the up-and-coming 2nd tier. Say guys 
breaking 2;25, 2:22, 2:20... It doesn't have to be much money but it would 
be quite an incentive for the mid-pack guys. I would love to see more 
marathons do what Chicago is doing now.

Alan

From: Mike Prizy [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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But, I guess that proves something. If a guy will give his left and right 
ones for $2500, surely
he'll dope up for $60,000.

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 Alan Tobin wrote:

 That is pretty freaked up Malmo. I would give my left and right nut to 
get

 $2500 for the male equivalent 2:37 marathon.

 Thanks for sharing, Alan.

 Phil

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RE: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll

2003-10-10 Thread alan tobin
EPO will help any race in which you are breathing in oxygen. More 
specifically, any race in which a significant amount of energy is being 
produced aerobically. Unless someone can run an 800m while holding his 
breath then your statement is false. Also, hGH and steroids both can aid 
distance runners in recovery without gaining muscle mass. Both aid in 
increased protein synthesis which will decrease recovery time. Unless you 
are taking large doses of hGH or steroids then you won't gain significant 
muscle mass. To reap the benefits of size bodybuilders and strength/power 
athletes would have to take in 100 times more steroids than would be 
beneficial for the distance runner. Some sort of designer steroid would be 
perfect for the 800m runner. The problem lies in the fact that you can go to 
jail for a long time for possessing steroids. You can't go to jail for 
possessing EPO.

Alan


From: P.F.Talbot [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: RE: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll
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The greatest benefits of steroids accrues to women in general, and
strength-based events in particular.  Those are the two categories that
have stagnated since increased drug testing.  Perhaps the causality is
spurious, but I think we need a counter hypothesis that is testable to
refute that point.
I'm not sure I would actually make the argument, but another interpretation
of the stagnation is that steroids allowed for the human limits in those
events to be reached relatively quickly and no new generation of drugs has
been able to top the old ones whereas a new generation of drugs that 
benefit
distance and sprint performances emerged in the 1990's.

The 800m is an interesting event also.  Too short for EPO to help, too long
for HGH, etc. to help by increasing muscle mass.  The stagnation from
Snell's 1:44.1 run on a 350 meter GRASS track to today's WR is astounding.
20 years ago it looked like 1:41 or 1:42 would be what it took to win major
events in the future and a 1:40 was just around the corner.  Instead, 1:44
can still win most events.
Paul



-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Richard McCann
Sent: Thursday, October 09, 2003 10:41 AM
To: alan tobin
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll
The stagnation of men's throwing marks since the mid 1980s runs counter to
that argument.  That's why I included them in the discussion.  The men's
shot WR stands from 1990, and the last burst of records was in 1987, the HT
WR is from 1986 and no top 10 since 1988, the DT from 1986 and before that
in 1978, and other Keshmiri's doubtful 1992 performances, the only others
in the top 10 since 1982 are 20 ft behind the WR.
The greatest benefits of steroids accrues to women in general, and
strength-based events in particular.  Those are the two categories that
have stagnated since increased drug testing.  Perhaps the causality is
spurious, but I think we need a counter hypothesis that is testable to
refute that point.
RMc

At 04:15 PM 10/9/2003 +, alan tobin wrote:
Could also be psychological differences between men and women. Men are
more aggressive and therefore would be more inclined to cheat. Women tend
to look internally instead of externally for success. When women cheat
it's usueally because of an overbearing male

Re: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll

2003-10-10 Thread alan tobin
The problem with steroids is that they carry a hefty federal penalty and 
that they have been the most tested for and analyzed drug of all time. If 
the testers have caught up to the users with any drug it would likely be 
steroids. It's still the most used drug in professional sports and only an 
idiot would get caught. The problem is that the penalty for being caught 
with steroids is more than just a 2 year ban as it is a federal offense.

Alan


From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: Re: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll
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The stagnation of men's throwing marks since the mid 1980s runs counter to 
that argument.  That's why I included them in the discussion.  The men's 
shot WR stands from 1990, and the last burst of records was in 1987, the HT 
WR is from 1986 and no top 10 since 1988, the DT from 1986 and before that 
in 1978, and other Keshmiri's doubtful 1992 performances, the only others 
in the top 10 since 1982 are 20 ft behind the WR.

The greatest benefits of steroids accrues to women in general, and 
strength-based events in particular.  Those are the two categories that 
have stagnated since increased drug testing.  Perhaps the causality is 
spurious, but I think we need a counter hypothesis that is testable to 
refute that point.

RMc

At 04:15 PM 10/9/2003 +, alan tobin wrote:
Could also be psychological differences between men and women. Men are 
more aggressive and therefore would be more inclined to cheat. Women tend 
to look internally instead of externally for success. When women cheat 
it's usueally because of an overbearing male presence (Eastern Bloc 
government, Chinese coaches, etc). Something to chew on. The men's records 
have fallen insanely since the mid/early 90s. The number of men who have 
run sub 2:08 in the marathon is just insane. In fact the whole world of 
running in general from drug cheats to 6:00 charity marathoners to the 
transformation of Jeff Galloway is just quite insane. Maybe I should 
become a triathlete.

Alan


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Re: Re: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll

2003-10-09 Thread alan tobin
That is pretty freaked up Malmo. I would give my left and right nut to get 
$2500 for the male equivalent 2:37 marathon. Hell, I'd run a marathon every 
month. Isn't it kind of funny that all this money is being pumped into US 
distance running and especially the marathon with all those Running USA 
teams and more money to be won at races yet we still fail to succeed in the 
depth we did 20 years ago when Boston Billy was working 40 hours a week and 
running 2:09

Alan


From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: alan tobin 
[EMAIL PROTECTED],[EMAIL PROTECTED],[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Re: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll
Date: Thu, 9 Oct 2003 11:59:47 -0500
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Any woman who comes within 33 minutes of the world record gets a bonus 
check of $2500 at Chicago. Now that's insane!

malmo


 From: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Date: 2003/10/09 Thu AM 11:15:35 CDT
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED],  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: Re: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll

 Could also be psychological differences between men and women. Men are 
more
 aggressive and therefore would be more inclined to cheat. Women tend to 
look
 internally instead of externally for success. When women cheat it's 
usueally
 because of an overbearing male presence (Eastern Bloc government, 
Chinese
 coaches, etc). Something to chew on. The men's records have fallen 
insanely
 since the mid/early 90s. The number of men who have run sub 2:08 in the
 marathon is just insane. In fact the whole world of running in general 
from
 drug cheats to 6:00 charity marathoners to the transformation of Jeff
 Galloway is just quite insane. Maybe I should become a triathlete.

 Alan


 From: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Reply-To: Richard McCann [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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 At 05:22 PM 10/7/2003 -0700, t-and-f-digest wrote:
 Date: Mon, 6 Oct 2003 18:02:09 -0700 (PDT)
 From: Matthew Starr [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: t-and-f: The Study was a 1995 poll
 
   From:
 http://www.bishops.ntc.nf.ca/TeenIssues/C.%20Little/PED.htm
 PED Use in Professional Sports
 
 I will point out a major, fundamental flaw in this type of study:
 Responses to hypothetical surveys differ significantly from actual real
 world behavior.  This issue is a salient in the valuation of non-market
 resources (e.g., how much is a sunset worth, how much would one pay to
 preserve the spotted owl, etc.)  The National Oceanic and Atmospheric
 Administration (NOAA) comissioned a Blue Ribbon Panel to address this
 question in the early 1990s and concluded that contingent valuation
 surveys, where these type of hypothetical questions are asked, must

Re: Cheaters was Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative

2003-10-06 Thread alan tobin
Sprinters and throwers are dirtier than distance runners.

Probably true in the United States.
If American distance runners are doping, they ought to sue
their pharmacist for malpractice.
RT
Also, it goes back to my original statement about the lack of top level US 
distance runners. In the world of sprinting and throwing the US has a good 
number of the very top level elite and the closer you are to the top level 
elite (world champions/record holders/race winners) the more you are exposed 
to the fact that doping is a near necessity. 20 years ago the US had a lot 
of top level elite distance runners and the rumors of drug use was there 
(Salazar, Slaney, etc). Now, you might not like my opinion or agree with my 
logic but it does explain the falling off of US distance running as a whole. 
Whereas US sprinting and throwing has always been at the top in distance 
running we had falling off (likely due to the less is more, faster not 
longer late 80s credo) that led to this naive view of the top level. With 
fewer runners in the very top level there are fewer people exposed to the 
reality of that top level. Cheaters have been winning medals and races for 
100 years and there's no reason to think this has changed.

Alan

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RE: Cheaters was Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative

2003-10-06 Thread alan tobin
The original question was too inclusive. I said as a broad statement that in 
order to win a major championship you must be doped. That statement is 
likely wrong, but the general idea remains the same. I'm sure there are a 
couple athletes out there who are winning and not doped, but they are not 
the norm in my opinion. Yes, it is likely that many of those you listed 
either are currently or have doped. If you give me the names of the Olympic 
gold medalists and world record holders of the past 30 years I would say at 
least 80% of those were doped. Just one man's opinion.

Alan


From: Conway Hill [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Conway Hill [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: 'Randy Treadway' [EMAIL PROTECTED], 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: Cheaters was Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
Date: Mon, 6 Oct 2003 12:35:39 -0700
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The original statement that lead to this thread was that the only way to
win was to use drugs .. To wit I asked the question as to whether or not
that then implied that all finalists at Worlds and Olympics are/were
drug users .. And whether or not this then also meant that the likes of
ElGuerrouj, Gebresselassie, MJ, Montgomery, Greene, Guevara, Jones, and
others were then also implicated as drug users by default ...
I've seen no discussion on this point .. Just the constant - most of the
athletes are cheating .. If the implication is NOT that these and others
are cheating ... Then who is ?? And why is the immediate assumption that
if you are elite and producing outstanding marks then you must be a
cheat ..
Can't have your cake and eat it too ... That is saying that the majority
of the world is cheating and that one must cheat in order to win, yet in
the same breath assume that those at the top are NOT using drugs ... Or
only select ones (those you don't like) .. So what is it ??
Conway Hill
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Randy Treadway
Sent: Monday, October 06, 2003 10:11 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: Cheaters was Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
 Sprinters and throwers are dirtier than distance runners.

Probably true in the United States.
If American distance runners are doping, they ought to sue
their pharmacist for malpractice.

RT
The original statement should probably be improved upon to say that:
Sprinting and Throwing as sports are dirtier than distance running, at
least in the United States.
...Not to imply, of course, that EVERY sprinter and thrower is doping,
or that
there are NO American distance runners using something like EPO or HGH.
RT
(dodging a 16 lb shot accidently dropped from an office building)



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Re: Cheaters was Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative

2003-10-03 Thread alan tobin
Sprinters and throwers are dirtier than distance runners. There are a lot 
more muscle building illegal drugs out there than endurance building illegal 
drugs. Your assumption is correct about that list but I wouldn't say ALL of 
them are dirty, just most. Can't hate a man for having an opinion. It just 
makes it easier to accept when the ax comes crashing down. Carl freakin 
Lewis was dirty for christs sakes. Isn't he the saint of US track and field?

Alan


From: Conway Hill [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: Cheaters was Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
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OK .. Then does that mean that all finalists at the Olympics and Worlds are
dirty - since they are the one's in a position to win ?? All of the
finalists in the men's 100 this year, for example too turns beating each
other all season long ... So the assumption then is that they are all dirty
?? That's part of my problem with the whole drug testing system and 
attitude
... The attitude is they are all dirty we just have to catch em ... And if
they are really good they must be really dirty !!

Here's a list of big time winners and medalists .. Is the assumption that
they are all dirty ??
Hicham El Guerrouj
Haile Gebrselassie
Paul Tergat
Wilson Kipketer
Michael Johnson
Frankie Fredericks
Maurice Greene
Tim Montgomery
Marion Jones
Cathy Freeman
Allen Johnson
Jonathon Edwards
Are these and others assumed to be dirty since they are/were all top
performers ??
I also find it interesting that the majority of those so vehemently against
the cheaters are of the distance running ranks .. Not the sprinters and
hurdlers, or the field event people ... But predominantly distances .. and
even more so American distance ranks who are the only group (in the States)
that are not internationally competitive ... Is that why the assumption is
that anyone that is competitive must be cheating ???
- Original Message -
From: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, October 02, 2003 2:50 PM
Subject: RE: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
 No one is saying you have cheat to be good. You only have to cheat to 
win.
 Big difference.

 Alan


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RE: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative

2003-10-02 Thread alan tobin
No one is saying you have cheat to be good. You only have to cheat to win. 
Big difference.

Alan

From: Andrew Owusu [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: RE: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
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Yes, there are cheats in track and field like any other pro sports.
However, it bothers me is that quite a number of people on this list
seem to hold the view that you have to cheat in order to be good.
Consequently statements such as when a top athlete is busted I'm not
shocked implies that almost all top runners, jumpers, and throwers are
dirty.
Andrew Owusu

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of alan tobin
Sent: Thursday, October 02, 2003 11:29 AM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
It doesn't matter if no one cares about it as long as there is a lot of
money involved then there will be cheaters in the sport. Players cheat
in
baseball and other sports. Why not track and field? Is this sport and
the
Kenyan culture so angelic that it's beyond belief? Go to Nairobi and
tell me
that Kenyans are so angelic they wouldn't even take an asprin much less
use
EPO *Shock* *Awe*. I simply believe most of the top athletes in the
world
are using something. That's my opinion. This way when a top athlete is
busted I'm not shocked. Even a B rate sport like track and field and
road
racing has enough money in it that many people will cheat to win that
money.
Alan

From: Mike Prizy [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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To: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
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Conspiracy theories??? For a sport most could careless about???
Collaboration between some or all
200 federations who can't get along with each other???

And, on Page 2 of the supermarket tabloid ... the IAAF and USATF are
actually ruled by Ollan Cassell
at his double-secret headquarters at Area 51, near the hanger where the
alien spaceship is housed,
next to Elvis' office.

alan tobin wrote:

  Why would we Mike? It's not like there is a lot of money at stake or
that
  other sports are filled with cheats. In my world the sky is always
clear
and
  people help old ladies cross the street.
 
  Alan
 
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Re: RE: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative

2003-10-02 Thread alan tobin
Is Malmo the only one on here who is speaking with a clear head? Malmo has 
been there and done that in the world of elite track and field so he has an 
insight that 90% of this board does not. In fact I would even wager that he 
has an insight into the dirty world of track and field and road racing that 
even most of today's US elite do not have. That's simply because in his day 
his times were competitive on an international scale and more US runners in 
general competed on an international scale. Today there are fewer US runners 
who truely are world elite and thus there are fewer US runners with the 
right insight into top level dealings.

I'm not trying to kiss your ass Malmo, just trying to make a point to the 
board. Many of the top US runners from 20-30 years ago would share ther same 
insight that is lacking in today's US runners. You can't see the man behind 
the curtain if you still at the front door.

Alan


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Subject: Re: RE: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
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You've INFERRED that I'm not shocked... is the linguistic equivalent to 
almost all top runners, jumpers, and throwers are dirty. Wrongly.

I think that those who have uttered the phrase I'm not shocked... on this 
forum would let me speak for them when I say, I'm not shocked... IMPLIES 
that many (more than you want to believe) top runners...are dirty

Am I correct shocked track fans?

malmo

Rick: How can you close me up? On what grounds?
Louis (Police Inspector): I'm shocked - shocked - to find gambling is going 
on in here!
Croupier: Your winnings, sir.
Louis (Police Inspector): Oh, thank you very much.



 From: Andrew Owusu [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Date: 2003/10/02 Thu PM 01:25:52 CDT
 To: 'alan tobin' [EMAIL PROTECTED],  
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
 CC: [EMAIL PROTECTED],  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: RE: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative

 Yes, there are cheats in track and field like any other pro sports.
 However, it bothers me is that quite a number of people on this list
 seem to hold the view that you have to cheat in order to be good.
 Consequently statements such as when a top athlete is busted I'm not
 shocked implies that almost all top runners, jumpers, and throwers are
 dirty.

 Andrew Owusu

 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of alan tobin
 Sent: Thursday, October 02, 2003 11:29 AM
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Cc: [EMAIL PROTECTED]; [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative

 It doesn't matter if no one cares about it as long as there is a lot of
 money involved then there will be cheaters in the sport. Players cheat
 in
 baseball and other sports. Why not track and field? Is this sport and
 the
 Kenyan culture so angelic that it's beyond belief? Go to Nairobi and
 tell me
 that Kenyans are so angelic they wouldn't even take an asprin much less
 use
 EPO *Shock* *Awe*. I simply believe most of the top athletes in the
 world
 are using something. That's my opinion. This way when a top athlete is
 busted I'm not shocked. Even a B rate sport like track and field and
 road
 racing has enough money in it that many people will cheat to win that
 money.

 Alan


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 To: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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 Subject: Re: t-and-f: Lgat's B Sample Negative
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Re: t-and-f: Kenyan drug scandal

2003-09-24 Thread alan tobin
 was primarily a 5000 runner; the 26:58 was only his second track
10,000. But that certainly doesn't mean he had done nothing to indicate 
etc. At
the time of the record, he was the reigning World Champion at 5000, and 
four
years earlier he'd been the first man to beat Said Aouita at the distance 
in 10
years. He had three of the top nine times on the all-time list (13:01.82,
13:03..58 and 13:04.24) and had run the year's top mark in 1989 and 1991, 
and #2
in 1992.  He didn't generally run the 10,000 because he didn't like it, and
with 3:34.36 (1990) 1500 speed, he figured he was better suited to the 5000 
--
but he clearly had no trouble adapting!. He had been at the top (i.e. top 
10
of the world list) for five years when he set the record and continued to 
run
on the circuit for two more years before retiring at the age of 34 after 16
years of competitive running. What the hell were long time fans stunned 
about?

One more point and I'll stop. Here's John Molvar again on August 19: EPO 
did
not become widespread in cycling until about 1990.  Shortly thereafter I
believe it invaded our sport via an agent for the Kenyans who was a former 
cycling
agent who got banned from that sport for drugs. And later in the same 
post,
. . . the biggest Kenyan agent was banned from pro cycling for providing
drugs to athletes. I believe John is talking about Dr. Gabriele Rosa, an 
Italian
sports medicine specialist who coaches a large number of athletes, mainly
Kenyans, under the sponsorship of Fila. I've defended Rosa against doping
accusations a couple of times in the past on this list (October 24, 1997 
and  August
28, 1998), so I'll try to keep this short. He's not an agent; he's a coach. 
He
left cycling in 1985 on his own initiative because doping had become so
endemic. He's never been named in any of Italy's repeated doping exposes 
and has
never been banned from anything. (Perhaps Rosa is being conflated with 
Prof.
Francesco Conconi, who was at the center of the big doping court case in 
2000, but
Conconi has never had anything to do with Kenyans.) On what secret evidence
John has come to believe that [EPO] invaded our sport through Rosa and 
his
Kenyans I have no idea.

Interestingly, a persuasive defense of Rosa and his operation is
inadvertently offered by Alan Tobin (August 28), who compares the doctor's 
success with
the Kenyans and the Americans he has coached and concludes, The fact that  
the
US program was plagued with injuries and the Rosa Kenyan program has done 
well
gives even more light to the rumor that Rosa is a druglord. In a second
post, he elaborates: So FILA/Rosa start up a US program using the above 
[weeks of
high intensity, high mileage training of the sort he uses in Kenya] and the
athletes procede to get injured or slide down the slippery slope of chronic
fatigue. So, the question is asked 'Why?'. My answer is hGH or a synthetic
steroid, something that enhances protein synthesis so recovery is quickened 
so that
Rosa's Kenyan athletes can handle such intense workloads week after week 
after
week.

Whoa!  Rosa dopes his Kenyans, but gives nary a drop to the Americans? 
Let's
think about this. Rosa and Fila began their US program because, successful 
as
their Kenyans were, they weren't doing much to boost Fila's bottom line. 
What
was needed was runners with whom prosperous Western consumers could more
readily identify. The US has a huge talent base and scores of millions of
well-to-do runners -- the ideal place to develop a couple of new 
superstars. So, with a
per capita investment orders of magnitude larger than what they spend in
Kenya, Fila and Rosa set up camp three years ago for about a dozen 
promising young
distance runners at 6000 feet in Mount Laguna, CA. In addition to the
anticipated commercial benefits for Fila, the program gave Rosa a chance to 
further
establish his brilliance as a coach. If only one or two world-class 
marathoners
emerged in California, he would have proved that it was his methods, not 
just
natural talent, that had produced his success in Kenya. Now, with so much
riding on the US program and Rosa knowing the only way his Kenyans survive 
his
full-throttle training is through the use of hGH or a synthetic steroid, 
are
we to believe that he would withhold these vital elixirs from his US 
athletes?
Come on.

So what does explain the fact that the Kenyans don't seem to suffer the
injuries or chronic fatigue that has afflicted the Americans? First, some 
of Rosa's
Kenyans do get hurt or worn out, and they simply wash out of the program. 
But
there are so many who are so good that losing a few doesn't matter. And the
survivors tend to be tough. Remember, they grow up, for the most part, 
without
cars, without public transportation, without bicycles, without shoes. A 
tired
cliché, I know, but all those barefoot miles over all those years must have
some effect, and I suggest one is to condition kids to the rigors of the
training they'll do later. There may be innate

RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000

2003-08-28 Thread alan tobin
Four quality workouts in a row week after week WILL destroy your body and 
WILL overtrain you. In the ONE Geb week no mention is made of what kind of 
sprint work he is doing on that day. Hell, anyone can do 10x200 near all 
out with 200 meter recoveries at the end of an easy run everyday but I 
wouldn't call that a very hard workout. Sprint work isn't made to be 
tiresome. So in his ONE week we have a long run, a hard tempo-type run, 
track intervals, and sprint work. If his sprint work isn't that demanding 
then I don't see how the week is so much different than what has been 
successful for years. If he truly is running 4 very hard days back to back 
then we have to look and see that is again only ONE week. Now, if he's doing 
this week in and week out then we've have to look and see what he's using to 
be able to recover so quickly. I think it's foolish to look at this ONE week 
and conclude that this is how he trains week in and week out. Even if he 
does do this week in and week out then I think it's foolish to think he's 
doing this without some sort of recovery enhancement (growth hormone, 
synthetic steroid, etc).

PS-I too know the effects of running back to back to back to back hard days 
as I did it quite often in high school. 4 hard days a week was the norm with 
some weeks 5 or 6 hard days. I improved for two years then remained pretty 
static. My former college coach used the same system and improvement came 
little by little. When I tried to adapt the same 4 hard day a week schedule 
to a marathon I ended up with an achilles injury.

Alan


From: Michael Contopoulos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:22:44 -0400
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Alan, just read them.  Sorry, I don't see the number of intense workouts 
that would ever suggest to me that any of these guys will be near 2:08 or 
27:20 let alone 2:05 and 26:22.

Im talking ablout 4 workouts in a row, 30 miles on Sunday (not 20), etc.  
There are so many AM: 10, PM: 10 in these logs I am giving myself a 
headache.  If they were doing hill followeed by tempo, followed by 
interval, followed by sprint, all in the midst of 2-a days, 30 miles of 
running on Sunday and 2 easy days then I will agree.  You haven't shown 
me that yet.

I had a coach in college who I probably did not respect as much as I should 
have (Coach Hadsell... if you're out there... here's a shout-out).  He 
would have us do a hill workout one day followed by a tempo the next and 
fartleks on the 3rd.  I thought I was being over-trained.  Turns out I was 
just a wimp.

M


From: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 18:36:05 +

Mike, a lot of Americans are doing this. Check out Rod Dehaven's log: 
www.allsportrunning.com/rodscorner.  Check out the Hanson's Runners and 
their training: http://www.hansons-running.com/ecom/sp/cat=Training+Log   
I don't think it has been shown anywhere that the top US runners are 
running a lot of miles really slow. What I see is a tried and true process 
that has been successful for 20-30 years: 100-150 miles a week, a long run 
that is usually run pretty fast or at least with fast segments, a long 
workout be it either threshold or just long intervals, and a short 
workout consisting of your basic Vo2max type intervals. Some may add a 
hill workout here and there or a short sprint workout here and there but 
the basics are still the same: Lots of miles at a moderate or sometimes 
fast pace, a long moderate run, two workouts.

Alan

From: Michael Contopoulos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
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RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000

2003-08-28 Thread alan tobin
I think we are missing what I'm saying:

Hell, anyone can do 10x200 near all out with 200 meter recoveries at the 
end of an easy run everyday but I wouldn't call that a very hard workout.

As I said above: 10x200 with 200 recovery is not a hard workout. It's not 
supposed to be. If you are doing sprint work correctly you shouldn't be dead 
for days on end because you are giving yourself enough rest between efforts 
so that you are able to give a near all-out effort each time. It's basically 
strides and I'd call strides at the end of a run sprint work. I've done 
20x200 with 200 recovery and 20x200 with 100 recovery. The latter is worlds 
ahead much harder than the former because of recovery. I would call the 
first workout a sprint workout and the second workout a lactate tolerance 
workout. In the first workout you are able to go near full speed on each 200 
because you have two times as much recovery time. In the second you can't go 
near full speed because the recovery is short. Because the recovery is short 
you build up a high level of blood lactate so through most of the workout 
(especially the second half) you are running with a high level of blood 
lactate, thus it improves your ability to run hard under a high level of 
blood lactate.

We have no specifics on Geb's sprint work. It could very well be nothing 
more than organized strides and plyometrics.

Alan


From: Michael Contopoulos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 10:40:27 -0400
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The easiest workouts I have ever done have been longer intervals (most of 
the time those are done near LT)

The hardest workouts I have ever done are hill repeats and sprint workouts 
(150s, 200s, 300s).

The latter leave me sore, with an oxygen debt headache, and wiped out for 2 
days.

If you can do 10x200 every day, you're not doing 10x200 correctly.  I'll 
never forget the 12x200 in 25 I did on the indoor track at Columbia.  Damn 
thing nearly killed me.

M



From: alan tobin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 14:31:37 +

Four quality workouts in a row week after week WILL destroy your body and 
WILL overtrain you. In the ONE Geb week no mention is made of what kind of 
sprint work he is doing on that day. Hell, anyone can do 10x200 near all 
out with 200 meter recoveries at the end of an easy run everyday but I 
wouldn't call that a very hard workout. Sprint work isn't made to be 
tiresome. So in his ONE week we have a long run, a hard tempo-type run, 
track intervals, and sprint work. If his sprint work isn't that 
demanding then I don't see how the week is so much different than what has 
been successful for years. If he truly is running 4 very hard days back to 
back then we have to look and see that is again only ONE week. Now, if 
he's doing this week in and week out then we've have to look and see what 
he's using to be able to recover so quickly. I think it's foolish to look 
at this ONE week and conclude that this is how he trains week in and week 
out. Even if he does do this week in and week out then I think it's 
foolish to think he's doing this without some sort of recovery 
enhancement (growth hormone, synthetic steroid, etc).

PS-I too know the effects of running back to back to back to back hard 
days as I did it quite often in high school. 4 hard days a week was the 
norm with some weeks 5 or 6 hard days. I improved for two years then 
remained pretty static. My former college coach used the same system and 
improvement came little by little. When I tried to adapt the same 4 hard 
day a week schedule to a marathon I ended up with an achilles injury.

Alan


From: Michael Contopoulos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 16:22:44 -0400
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Alan, just read them.  Sorry, I don't see the number of intense workouts 
that would ever suggest to me that any of these guys will be near 2:08 or 
27:20 let alone 2:05 and 26:22.

Im talking ablout 4 workouts in a row, 30 miles on Sunday (not 20), etc.  
There are so many AM: 10, PM: 10 in these logs I am giving myself a 
headache.  If they were doing hill followeed by tempo, followed by 
interval, followed by sprint, all in the midst of 2-a days, 30 miles of 
running on Sunday and 2 easy days then I will agree.  You haven't shown 
me that yet.

I had a coach in college who I probably did not respect as much as I

RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000

2003-08-28 Thread alan tobin
Mike. I've done both. Less recovery is MUCH harder. You might run it like a 
fartlek, but the way I ran it was 200 meters in around :32 100 meters slow 
slow jog. The workout with 200 meter recover was 200 meters in about :28-30 
with 200 meters slow slow jog. My best 200 is a flying start high :26.x and 
:27.x standing start. The one with less recovery was MUCH harder. The faster 
200s were hard simply because of the number of them. 10x200 with 200 
recovery is my usual sprint/form/stride/acceleration work and isn't hard at 
all. I don't want to hear about well, :25 is much much harder, you're just 
too slow to appreciate how hard, blah blah blah, everything is relative.

Alan

From: Michael Contopoulos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED], [EMAIL PROTECTED], 
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Date: Thu, 28 Aug 2003 15:58:12 -0400
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Alan,

I can't disagree with you're sentiments on sprint work more.  200 meter 
strides are meant to work on your form.  That is not sprint work.  The one 
with 100 meter recovery is harder?  Are you kidding me?  The one with 100 
meter recovery is basically a fartlek (I run my recovery jogs relatively 
quickly).  The one with 200 recovery will kick anyone's ass 100x moreso.  
Off to France.  Enjoy the weekend everyone.

Michael

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RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000

2003-08-27 Thread alan tobin
Mike, a lot of Americans are doing this. Check out Rod Dehaven's log: 
www.allsportrunning.com/rodscorner.  Check out the Hanson's Runners and 
their training: http://www.hansons-running.com/ecom/sp/cat=Training+Log   I 
don't think it has been shown anywhere that the top US runners are running a 
lot of miles really slow. What I see is a tried and true process that has 
been successful for 20-30 years: 100-150 miles a week, a long run that is 
usually run pretty fast or at least with fast segments, a long workout be it 
either threshold or just long intervals, and a short workout consisting of 
your basic Vo2max type intervals. Some may add a hill workout here and there 
or a short sprint workout here and there but the basics are still the same: 
Lots of miles at a moderate or sometimes fast pace, a long moderate run, two 
workouts.

Alan

From: Michael Contopoulos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: Michael Contopoulos [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
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I find it interesting that when all of you post you throw names out like 
Pirie, Zatopek and Igloi's.  WE'RE TALKING ABOUT TODAY'S AMERICANS.  
Listen, being 25 and having run at least at one time with guys in pretty 
much every distance final at USATF's at one point or another... and  
because discussing training brings great joy to my life, I can tell you 
that TODAY'S AMERICANS do NOT train as much quality as I would imagine it 
would take to run as fast as the E. Africans.  In the US we have two mode's 
of thinking... easy mileage or lots of shorter faster runs.  People don't 
undertstand... you need to be doing mileage, fast and often, with workouts 
3-5 times a week where you focus on ALL aspects of running including 
sprinting! Its not one or the other.  Its not 150 miles easy or 80 miles 
hard.  Its 150 miles hard with workouts.

M



From: P.F.Talbot [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Reply-To: P.F.Talbot [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: \Athletics\ [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Date: Wed, 27 Aug 2003 09:39:12 -0600
On hard training.  People seem to forget that Pirie, Zatopek and Igloi's
runners would run 100+ mile weeks of intervals.  People trained harder 
in
that era than in any other.  Obviously it didn't produce sub 27:00 10k's.  
I
seriously doubt that it's a matter of western runners not training hard
enough.

If there is a mental block my guess it would be more on the lines of,
they're on drugs so we can't beat them.  To which I say, go do drugs, 
but
that's another matter entirely.

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of edndana
Sent: Tuesday, August 26, 2003 5:22 PM
To: Athletics
Subject: Re: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Joe -

Well. ..you and I are arguing over semantics, and I don't think our
argument has anything to do with whatever problem there is.
Five years ago, I sensed more of the excuse mentality from American
runners - I don't so much any more.  Maybe they aren't training hard
enough - I really am not sure - but I don't think we have the same 
mentality
problem we used to have.

As for Geb's hard days in a row, Bruce Lehane's subsequent post would seem
to contradict it.  But the world's best marathoners (including Americans)
have been doing a variation on that for at least 30 years.  Derek Clayon 
may
have been the first to really push that particular envelope, although I
can't help wondering if Lydiard also did during his experimentation in the
1950's and din't have the same success.  I 

RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000

2003-08-25 Thread alan tobin
Can I join the betting pool?

When someone closes in :25 or 12:57 it has little to do with pure speed. 
It's all about slowing down the least. Let's say a normal elite runner can 
run a 10k race going through the 5k mark 5% slower than his/her all out 5k. 
How would you train in order to drop that % to say 3%? What if your all out 
best 200 is in the :24-:25 range? How would you train in order to drop a :25 
second last 200 at the end of a 10k? Lots of fast hardcore speedwork? Or, 
would you improve your endurance by running a lot of hard miles? If you 
improve your endurance you'll slow down less as you go up in distance.

These guys went through the 5k about a minute off their best 5k times. 
Relatively speaking, they were jogging the first 5k

Alan

From: malmo [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: RE: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
Date: Mon, 25 Aug 2003 15:10:16 -0400
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I'd be a big seller on that claim.

malmoo

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of edndana
Sent: Monday, August 25, 2003 1:01 PM
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Subject: Re: t-and-f: 12:57 last 5000
 Perhaps our 10k guys (and 5k guys) go about training too much like
 they would for a marathon and don't focus enough on speed.  Geb
 constantly
talks
 about improving his speed.  How many of our 10k guys can run 24.5 flat
 out let alone at the end of a 10k?

Jeez, I'm sure at least 8 of our top 10 10K guys could run 24.5 all out,
if not all of them.  They may never actually have done so, but I bet
nearly all of them could.
- Ed Parrot



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Re: t-and-f: Kenyan Drug Scandel

2003-08-20 Thread alan tobin
Drugs and our sport:

If drug scandal's have taken fans away from this sport it is because we let 
them. Pro baseball, football, etc don't have drug scandals (aside from the 
recreational use of cocaine) because the governing bodies simply don't care 
what their athletes are on as long as money keeps pouring in and the average 
fan won't care unless people tell them to care.

I think in the end for track and field/road racing to be a popular sport 
there must be US athletes winning races. For that to happen there either 
needs to be a proven way to get rid of drugs in the sport or more US 
athletes will have to give up their moral compass or be duped the way many 
naive foreigners have been.

Alan

Tis only a vitamin pill, I promise...

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