Re: Henwood Review, Communist Manifesto, more

1998-02-08 Thread Doug Henwood
James Devine wrote: a symposium on the COMMUNIST MANIFESTO with the lead essay by Eric Hobsbawm A good day for Verso in LA, evidently. This no doubt is a spinoff from the 150th Anniversary edition of the CM that Verso's publishing in the spring, with an intro by Hobsbawm. I haven't seen the

Re: primitive communism

1998-02-09 Thread Doug Henwood
Louis Proyect wrote: The first step is making the legal case. The next step is direct action to enforce the legal decision. This is what happened in the US after Brown versus Board of Education ruled against segregation. If people hadn't sat-in, marched and boycotted, Jim Crow would still be in

Re: David Card

1998-02-11 Thread Doug Henwood
Sid Shniad wrote: What the fuck's this line of discussion about? Because Canadians are so nice, Sid. Not loud nasty like Americans (or Australians for that matter). Doug

Re: U.S. will not sign MAI (fwd)

1998-02-15 Thread Doug Henwood
Bill Burgess wrote: I guess I'm a 'doubting Thomas' on the issue of MAI. Politically, I think it's important to defeat things like NAFTA MAI, but I think Bill is right to doubt. All these struggle flare up around documents proposed by bourgeois states, but the processes that lead the law, like

Re: productive/unproductive labour

1998-02-15 Thread Doug Henwood
Tom Walker wrote: Is the market a commodity? Can be, yeah. If The Market is worshipped as all-knowing, self-adjusting, and the model for all aspects of life? Sixty points for the correct answer. Do I win? Tom, do you have in mind something like what the Italian autonomist theorists called

EMU

1998-02-13 Thread Doug Henwood
What's good to read on European Monetary Union? Doug

Re: Henwood's CPI

1998-02-12 Thread Doug Henwood
Max B. Sawicky wrote: DH had a note a couple of weeks ago to the effect that despite the apparent defeat to the Boskin commission's recommendation to reduce the CPI by a full percentage point, the BLS had apparently found reasons to adjust it to that extent in any event. This troubled me and I

union free

1998-02-11 Thread Doug Henwood
I got a flyer in yesterday's mail announcing a series of seminars on "How To Stay Union-Free into the 21st Century" (printed with "UNION FREE" in red in what looks like 96- or 100-point type, in contrast with the rest of the phrase, which was merely in 30-point black type). It's sponsored by

Re: David Card

1998-02-10 Thread Doug Henwood
Michael Perelman wrote: I was thinking that we could invite him long but excuse him from some of the more acrimonious aspects of our culture. Why? Because he's Canadian? Doug

Re: primitive communism

1998-02-09 Thread Doug Henwood
Louis Proyect wrote: What about giving land back to the Indians as they are doing in Canada? Is this really going to happen? I find it nearly impossible to believe that a capitalist government would ever sign over significant amounts of land to aboriginals, no matter how solid their claim. Am

Re: Santa Fe-Krugman-Arthur

1998-02-08 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: Doug, You are interested in analyzing capitalism aren't you? It's a system isn't it? Also, you are one of the most intrepid and capable data wonks in cyberspace. Why the sudden horror of data? Look, I have nothing against analyzing society

more LBO web updates

1998-02-07 Thread Doug Henwood
to be reversed byt he next recession? An artifact of some CPI technical revisions? * Expanded links http://www.panix.com/~dhenwood/LBO_links.html. Doug -- Doug Henwood Left Business Observer 250 W 85 St New York NY 10024-3217 USA +1-212-874-4020 voice +1-212-874-3137 fax email: mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED

the non-prose supplement

1998-02-05 Thread Doug Henwood
Gil Skillman wrote: Well, the paragraph of English prose can't really "make this point just fine", in the sense of really knowing what the point means, what it necessitates, and what it rules out. Prose is best suited for indicating possibilities and connections, perhaps allusively. It's much

Re: Santa Fe-Krugman-Arthur

1998-02-05 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: Focusing purely on economics and a notch or two up mathematically, but probably still more accessible than anything else is my 1991 book, _From Catastrophe to Chaos: A General Theory of Economic Discontinuities_, Boston: Kluwer, not available in paperback. I am

Re: Rightwing scandal-mongering

1998-02-01 Thread Doug Henwood
James Devine wrote: o impose state control on our bedrooms and bodies; no libertarians they.) Abortion is almost the only issue where Clinton shows any kind of backbone -- and that may be an opportunist effort to maintain his core constitutency. I thought it was very interesting that when he

gathering the news

1998-02-01 Thread Doug Henwood
back at 4, when I went out again at 5:30, and when I came back at 10. God, I love the working press. Doug -- Doug Henwood Left Business Observer 250 W 85 St New York NY 10024-3217 USA +1-212-874-4020 voice +1-212-874-3137 fax email: mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] web: http://www.panix.com/~dhenwood/LBO_home.html

Re: Santa Fe

1998-01-31 Thread Doug Henwood
William S. Lear wrote: I don't have time to get into the details, but this sort of thinking is designed to cut off any notion of social action in an economy. It's all individuals and the beautiful patterns they create, so just stand back and be amazed at the wonders of the market Not to

Re: Iraq crisis

1998-01-26 Thread Doug Henwood
Wojtek Sokolowski wrote: Asia, mostly. I think the Asian crisis goes well beyond the bailout issue. If the presss gave it enough attention, as it normally would, that could undermine the popular faith in the neoliberal ideology. A simple challenge for the propaganda apparatus to deal with:

Re: Iraq crisis

1998-01-26 Thread Doug Henwood
Wojtek Sokolowski wrote: That is why I think that the whole brouhaha is invented - a sort of "Wag the Dog" in reverse. in the movie, the political crisis was invented to cover up a sex scandal, in the Lewinsky affair, the sex scandal is invented to cover up a political-economic crisis. What

Lewis Clark

1998-01-26 Thread Doug Henwood
Hey Marty Hart-Landsberg, you out there? Forget all this Asia crisis stuff and answer the really important question: did you know Monica Lewinsky when she was at Lewis Clark? Doug

Re: French unemployed movement

1998-01-25 Thread Doug Henwood
Tom Walker wrote: But with the increasing organic composition of capital, output becomes less and less a function of direct labour. Why then is the U.S. capital/output ratio in a downtrend (I know, I know, this is by bourgeois measures) and the employment/population ratio in an uptrend? Doug

Japan's MoF

1998-01-22 Thread Doug Henwood
anyone know more about this? Is it just ideology, or is there something else at work? Doug -- Doug Henwood Left Business Observer 250 W 85 St New York NY 10024-3217 USA +1-212-874-4020 voice +1-212-874-3137 fax email: mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] web: http://www.panix.com/~dhenwood/LBO_home.html

Re: currency fundamentals

1998-01-19 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: Thus, I was sticking my neck out in saying the East Asian currencies are undervalued. But they certainly are on PPP grounds (determined by productivity and price levels). And old models by Dornbusch and others show that with fixed prices and wages a shock in the

Re: The Hong Kong peg?

1998-01-18 Thread Doug Henwood
Tom Walker wrote: I assume that Doug meant to say "market prices" instead of "market values". Yeah. It's not clear whether Doug is endorsing or simply reporting this definition deadpan. I think it's more or less true. But it is a good example of how to explain an indefinite term by

Re: The ghost in the mirror

1998-01-10 Thread Doug Henwood
Tom Walker wrote: The lesson of the Asian crisis is that the limit of fictional accounting has been reached. Humpty-dumpty has fallen off the wall. How do you know? Why can't the big boys restructure Asia into a nicely subordinate region just like they did Latin America after its import

Re: marriage and prostitution

1998-01-08 Thread Doug Henwood
Fleck_S wrote: What's different between prostitution and many marriage contracts? 1.prostitution is sex for direct payment of money, marriage is sex for indirect payment of money/financial security. I should say that Susie Bright made exactly this point in her radio interview with me. Doug

Re: prostitution

1998-01-08 Thread Doug Henwood
James Michael Craven wrote: On what basis do you assert that these women are "socialists"? Because they call themselves that, for one. I've never talked to Hartley, but I did a long interview on my radio show the other week with Bright, and we talked, among other things (like left puritanism)

Re: Marx on Native Americans

1998-01-05 Thread Doug Henwood
Thanks to everyone who's supplied titles on Indians. Most have been about their decimation by the Europeans - I'm more interested in stuff about their social lives - work, kinship, property, etc. Any ideas? Doug

EMU

1998-02-28 Thread Doug Henwood
I've been reading up on European monetary union, which is just 10 months away, and my impression is that no one is really prepared for just how big a deal it could be. Am I wrong? Doug -- Doug Henwood Left Business Observer 250 W 85 St New York NY 10024-3217 USA +1-212-874-4020 voice +1-212

Re: BLS Daily Report

1998-03-02 Thread Doug Henwood
Richardson_D quoted: Evidence is mounting that productivity growth is returning to the level of the golden 1950s and 1960s. Here are the numbers; I'll leave it to the readers to decide if Business Week's assertions are true, or just part of the intoxicating afterglow of checking your mutual

Re: EMU

1998-03-02 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: That's because you are in the US mostly reading US media and lit. Everybody in Europe knows it is a big deal and if you are there reading the local media at all for any extended period of time it is very clear that it is a big deal and that everybody knows it.

Re: Enter the Euro-dragon

1998-03-02 Thread Doug Henwood
Dennis R Redmond wrote: the Central European core will lock in the euro and then, once the thing has greater credibility further down the road and weathers whatever nastiness the Pacific meltdown has in store for the world economy, the semi-peripheries will be slowly locked into orbit around

Re: David Harvey's anomie

1998-04-29 Thread Doug Henwood
Dennis R Redmond wrote: Or you can teach 40 or so hip hop-chanting undergrads the latest in the global cultural dialectic. They'll keep you honest, believe me; if you start preaching theory at them, they go to sleep right in front of you (hey, after 10,000 hours of TV, they're past masters of

Re: privatize the Fed!

1998-04-29 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: In case you didn't know, privatizing money and eliminating central banks is an old Austrian idea long pushed by Hayek. Yeah, and some Thatcherites were hot on the idea, I think. But they weren't nutty enough to do it. Doug

Re: low-wage workers in less-developed countries

1998-04-03 Thread Doug Henwood
Wojtek Sokolowski wrote: At 01:39 PM 4/3/98 -0500, Doug Henwood wrote: homework and piecework strategies. As my pal Larry Summers put it, I don't see exactly what the supposed revolution in production has actually revolutionized. How about the destruction of the household as the production

Re: Global Intelligence: Japan to fall?

1998-04-07 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: I have argued on this list in the past that we are in the early stages of a long wave upturn and I think that the boom in many stock markets reflects the building into present values of the expected future rising dividends to accrue from that long wave upswing

Re: Global Intelligence: Japan

1998-04-07 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: Now we have the US in a fairly serious boom going faster over a longer period than any since before 1973. Eh? US BUSINESS CYCLES average annualized GDP growth rate -

Re: Global Intelligence: Japan

1998-04-07 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: And is it not true that the growth rate was higher in 1996 than in 1995 and still higher in 1997, in short, it is accelerating? How short-termist. If you look at a chart of actual/trend GDP you'd see that that acceleration has merely brought the actual back

Re: Pat Buchanan attacks Reagan and Thatcher's legacy

1998-04-08 Thread Doug Henwood
michael wrote: Pat Buchanan might not be a fascist, but I think that we have to give him credit for fashioning the language of hate that has become the mainstay of modern politics. He deserves to share that credit with Kevin Phillips, who has become something of a darling of the liberals these

Re: Good news: Welfare gains made in the last six years

1998-04-08 Thread Doug Henwood
Max B. Sawicky wrote: The spending here does not include EITC, which I took note of above. One can see from Nathan's numbers that the better part of the public assistance increase was due to the EITC and SSI, the latter focused on the elderly and reflecting health care cost pressures, to some

Re: Really?

1998-04-10 Thread Doug Henwood
Max B. Sawicky wrote: "I wouldn't be surprised if the 3/4 of the Dems who voted against NAFTA were allowed to do so only after it became clear that they had enough votes to pass it; that's the way Congress works sometimes." Our reportorial zeal for facts seems to be on hold. So do you know the

Fed lowers margin requirements

1998-04-10 Thread Doug Henwood
2700 Dow points ago, Alan Greenspan worried, cautiously of course, about "irrational exuberance" in the stock market. 1000 points ago, he said that 12 to 18 months from now we may come to look with regret on securities purchased today. Yet on April 1, the American Banker reported (as quoted in

Re: Help! II

1998-04-10 Thread Doug Henwood
MScoleman wrote: Barkely, first a question of information -- how low is the unemployment rate in Wisconsin? 3.1% in Feb. 20 states have U rates under 4%. Doug

Re: Really?

1998-04-10 Thread Doug Henwood
Max B. Sawicky wrote: In other words, really-existing politics, rather than what is often observed in these precincts (PEN-L), namely routine classification and judgement on moral criteria abstracted from politics. This reminds me of a talk that Randall Dodd gave at URPE summer camp a few years

Re: Electoral Politics (was: Ugh!)

1998-04-10 Thread Doug Henwood
Dennis R Redmond wrote: On Fri, 10 Apr 1998, James Devine wrote: Speaking of jargon, Dennis, what's a "punter"? A Wall Street professional, a.k.a. stock broker (that restrained, sober term for silicon highway robbery). Any etymological-minded political economists out there know if this was

Re: The Chilean Model?

1998-04-16 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: Doug's question about what lies behind Chile's alleged 7% growth rate implies a judgment that salmon fisheries and apple orchards are intrinsically less worthwhile endeavours than say car assembly or silicon chip plants. Perhaps we should question that, maybe by discussing the

Re: The Chilean Model?

1998-04-16 Thread Doug Henwood
Louis Proyect wrote: If we confine ourselves to choosing between Pinochet's Chile and the latest permutation of that model, and the South Korean chaebols, we are selling ourselves short. Lou, that wasn't the point. The point was to refute Mark's rather odd pastoral take on Chilean agri- and

Re: Dollars Break, the Yen Bends

1998-04-17 Thread Doug Henwood
Dennis R Redmond wrote: If Japan really did what Wall Street says, namely raised interest rates and cut domestic spending, you'd see a global credit and GDP holocaust which would make the breakup of the Soviet economy look like a success story. No, Wall Street doesn't want that. Wall Street

Re: The Chilean Model?

1998-04-18 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: So, just as you find my cassandra-ism risible, I am mystified at the self-deception you are stricken with. Actually, I find you schizoid -- on one e-list you can be seen expressing deep fears for the globally-warmed, asphalted-over future; on another you are praising to the

Re: IMF Article VI Change Update

1998-04-20 Thread Doug Henwood
e. ahmet tonak wrote: I urgently need an update about the developments re. IMF Article VI change. Thanks very much. One of the best sources on the doings of the IMF is Marike Torfs of Friends of the Earth in Washington; I don't know if she does email, but FOTE is at 202-783-7400. Also, the 50

wharfies for the radio?

1998-04-22 Thread Doug Henwood
Any nominees/volunteers to talk about the Australian wharfies' situation on my radio show tomorrow, Thursday, 5 PM New York time? Doug -- Doug Henwood Left Business Observer 250 W 85 St New York NY 10024-3217 USA +1-212-874-4020 voice +1-212-874-3137 fax email: mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] web

Re: New Marxism list

1998-04-24 Thread Doug Henwood
Louis Proyect wrote: Doug's mail-list is tied to LBO and will try to involve his subscriber base. I'll certainly try to recruit LBO subscribers, but the whole world is welcome (with a few exceptions). Doug

Re: IMF vote

1998-04-25 Thread Doug Henwood
Nathan Newman wrote: Marx did not like Bismarck but he supported centralization of the German state, since that was preferable to the competition of small little states. Just as Marx could attack Bismarck's actions while supporting a more centralized state, it is perfectly consistent for left

Re: IMF vote

1998-04-26 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: So, what's your take on the House of Representatives apparently not voting the "emergency" $18 million? (Boddhi, you didn't call that one; the House Republicans are NOT backing the IMF). Is this just grandstanding for the yokels because the "crisis is over"

privatize the Fed!

1998-04-27 Thread Doug Henwood
Today's TheStreet.com, the market webzine, has an article urging that the Fed be privatized, and that private banks issue their own money! End the government monopoly over what is just another commodity! Let's have CitiMarks and JPMorgan dollars, and the rest. Most of the readers who've posted

Re: Internet provocateurs

1998-04-27 Thread Doug Henwood
Louis Proyect wrote: Interesting how blue-collar OSU has more guts on this question than Columbia with all its Marxish professors. Of course, it may be just the accident of different individuals on the line, but I wonder if there's also some difference between private and public institutions on

Re: BLS Daily Report

1998-04-27 Thread Doug Henwood
Richardson_D wrote: Average job tenure of American workers at medium and large companies has reached 13.1 years, nearly a year longer than earlier in the decade, according to a study by a management consulting firm. Examining the employment records of 1.1 million workers at 59 companies, Watson

RE: IMF vote

1998-04-26 Thread Doug Henwood
Max B. Sawicky wrote: Max, for the ADA I'd spin it by saying that the IMF deliberately depresses investment in countries desperately in need of higher levels of investment. In Asia, the only region of the "Third World" to show gains in income relative to the First over the last several

RE: IMF vote

1998-04-26 Thread Doug Henwood
Max B. Sawicky wrote: You are putting an ideological overlay on this vote which is probably not held by the ones voting. The vote was one part political -- let's give Clinton a win after kicking his ass on Fast Track -- and one part a fear of disaster, since Rubin and Summers give their end of

RE: IMF vote

1998-04-26 Thread Doug Henwood
Max B. Sawicky wrote: When we roll over, we roll over big time. You have inspired me to present a resolution on the IMF at the upcoming ADA convention. Max, for the ADA I'd spin it by saying that the IMF deliberately depresses investment in countries desperately in need of higher levels of

Re: Richard Rorty *- demise of left

1998-04-24 Thread Doug Henwood
James Devine wrote: I thought that the point of left politics in the 1990s was not to oppose the old left vs. the new, etc., etc., but to try to seek a synthesis, criticizing the lefts both old and new (ruthlessly, of course, to use Marx's word), but while rejecting the "bad," also trying to

Re: The Chilean Model?

1998-04-17 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: Doug, tell me as a Marxist: is it better for the world if people pick strawberries or make 4x4's? I suppose having tried to impose a forced choice on you I deserve one in turn. But like you I'm not going to play. So I'll say this: I hate 4x4s and everything they come

Re: Dollars Break, the Yen Bends

1998-04-17 Thread Doug Henwood
Dennis R Redmond wrote: Tom Schlesinger - who's putting Fed transcripts up on the Financial Markets Center website What's the URL on this? I spidered for this and came up empty. It's not up yet; lots of text to input. When I talked to Tom yesterday, he pointed out how boring most of the

Re: The Chilean Model?

1998-04-16 Thread Doug Henwood
Louis Proyect wrote: Doug, it is a mistake to detach planning from the overall class structure of a given society and try to make some kind of case for the merits of socialism on that basis. I know this; I've made this very point just about every time I've been in this sort of exchange. There

Re: BLS Daily Report

1998-04-14 Thread Doug Henwood
Thomas Kruse wrote: I wasn't paying close enough attention to a thread a bit ago entitled, I belive, "what went right". If memory serves, the discussion was in part on the creation of new jobs in the US. Does anyone have handy some of the data from that thread, in particular the rate at which

Re: Social Security Rescue

1998-04-10 Thread Doug Henwood
J Cullen wrote: I know Doug Henwood reported in 1995 that the Social Security "collapse" was based on low-balled projections of economic growth during the next 75 years -- an analysis that is still overlooked in nearly all reports on the Social Security "crisis". My question

Re: Democrats, labor leaders and NAFTA/IMF

1998-04-10 Thread Doug Henwood
Nathan Newman wrote: IMF funding is a real tactical division: I very much doubt labor allies in South Korea, for example, support cutting off IMF funding. They would like support in easing the terms of the IMF in exchange for funds, but merely shutting down the pipeline won't help workers

Re: Democrats, labor leaders and NAFTA/IMF

1998-04-10 Thread Doug Henwood
Nathan Newman wrote: I am not talking about myself but the denunciations by Doug of the AFL-CIO and other political leaders. My god, don't they deserve it? Speaking of union outrages, have you seen Bob Fitch's cover story in this week's Village Voice (available at

Re: Democrats and NAFTA

1998-04-09 Thread Doug Henwood
Nathan Newman wrote: For the record, here is Gephardt's comments on his position from Inter Press Service News Wire on Mar 5 1998: "Gephardt was driven to support the IMF funding out of concern for labor, because 'a country on the brink of economic ruin isn't going to worry about enforcing its

Re: Democrats and NAFTA

1998-04-09 Thread Doug Henwood
Nathan Newman wrote: No. Only one out of four Democrats in the House voted for NAFTA. Still looking for that Dem job, Nathan? If George Bush tried to get NAFTA through Congress, he probably would have failed. It took a Dem president twisting arms and buying votes (and, by the way, the lying

Re: Global Intelligence: Japan to fall?

1998-04-07 Thread Doug Henwood
Dennis R Redmond wrote: On Tue, 7 Apr 1998, Colin Danby wrote: The other day Hashimoto asked how can Japan be in such bad shape if it has so many foreign assets. Big deal. If anything the extent of its foreign assets is an indication of the lousy return on capital within Japan, for which

Re: Global Intelligence: Japan to fall?

1998-04-06 Thread Doug Henwood
James Devine wrote: I wouldn't call US consumers "bankrupt," but the lack of sufficient real wage increases fits with what I said above. It's more accurate to say that current US consumer debt/income ratios are hard to sustain. Greenspan was asked about consumer debt loads when he addressed the

Re: globaloney

1998-04-04 Thread Doug Henwood
James Devine wrote: So the term "globalization" obscures more than it reveals? Yup. The fact is that "globalization" is an abstraction. All abstractions simplify -- i.e., distort, obscure -- reality. We hope that they also reveal more than they obscure, which is why we insist on clear,

Re: Coke Is It!

1998-04-03 Thread Doug Henwood
James Devine wrote: Advertising and marketing are taking over the world. Pretty soon the April Fool's story that (US) NPR had a couple of years ago will come true: in the story, teenagers were having brandnames tattooed on their foreheads in exchange for discounts on products. Saith one: "living

Re: low-wage workers in less-developed countries

1998-04-03 Thread Doug Henwood
Thomas Kruse wrote: What do you make of such arguments? The intention is clearly to challenge analyses that suggest globalizaton is driven be the search for low wages. I think it shows that the word "globalization" is so vague as to be useless, even misleading. There are electronics workers in

Re: trivia quiz - 1

1998-03-11 Thread Doug Henwood
DOUG ORR wrote: Who said: "I can hire half of the working class to kill the other half." Was it Henry Frick? Doug

Re: What went right

1998-03-13 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: No need to speculate, Bill, here are the facts (we were discussing Dennis's views about the unimportance of the UK vis a vis Japan and Germany). I suspect a lot of those purchases attributed to the UK are for international operations of all kinds of financial institutions

Re: What went right

1998-03-13 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: I read Doug Henwood's book attentively. Yes, it is a good book. But his view that Wall St was not a good custodian of US national and industrial assets, cannot surely be our final judgment. Wall St led and initiated a massive restructuring of US capitalism, hauling it round

Yale's soul

1998-03-13 Thread Doug Henwood
The Yale Alumni Magazine reports that its radio station, WYBC, is going to drop the hipster college radio format for "rhythmic contemporary hits." Though student-run it is advertiser-sponsored. It also put in a bid on a bankrupt New Haven AM station that offers "urban contemporary music and

Re: PPP and QLI

1998-03-17 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: Although Doug Henwood has said that PPP overstates living standards in poor countries. Probably not so. I didn't say that. I said using PPP shrinks the apparent income gap between rich and poor countries, which is of some ideological use to the capitalist oinkers

Re: Pie in the Sky

1998-03-18 Thread Doug Henwood
Dennis R Redmond wrote: My theory is, the bigger the speculative bubble (and Dow 8700 at a time when every corporation on the block, from Nike to Compaq, is reporting sluggish earnings and falling profit margins, surely qualifies as the most stupendous mania since the South Sea Bubble) the more

Re: Griliches Poverty

1998-03-19 Thread Doug Henwood
Jay Hecht wrote: Zvi vs a FRB Economist, with Zvi claiming no U-Turn in poverty rates (based on consumption, not income) and the Fed guy responding that while not as "bad" as census is reporting, poverty has been trending upward (possibly). Eh? Where'd this happen? Which Fed economist, where?

further progress in econonmics

1998-03-20 Thread Doug Henwood
"A Microeconomic Analysis of Slavery in Comparison to Free Labor Economies" BY: HALUK I. ERGIN Bilkent University SERDAR SAYAN Bilkent University SSRN ELECTRONIC DOCUMENT DELIVERY: http://papers.ssrn.com/paper.taf?abstract_id=62685

Re: zero marginal costs

1998-03-22 Thread Doug Henwood
Michael Perelman wrote: Books cost virtually nothing to produce. We even send the publishers disks that eliminate the cost of typesetting, yet prices skyrocket. Publishing isn't a high-profit industry though, except maybe high-end sci/tech and financial publishing. Trade publishers earn less

Re: proposed leading indicator

1998-03-24 Thread Doug Henwood
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: What is not clear to me in this thread is are we looking for a 'leading indicator' of cyclical fluctuations or of 'standard of living'. If it is the former, then it seems to me unlikely that the kind of social indicators (drug use, incarceration rates, crime, child

Re: proposed leading indicator

1998-03-24 Thread Doug Henwood
Thomas Kruse wrote: Agreed, totally, except insofar as they're a window on a very perverted cultural context and political process. For exmple, an interesting Harper Index kinda stat might be "number of times drug wars declared since the Harrison Act of 1914" It's all one drug war, it just

Re: turnover rates

1998-03-27 Thread Doug Henwood
michael yates wrote: Can anyone direct me to a surce for employment turnover rates? One of the recent OECD Employment Outlooks did comparative data on the % of the U getting a job, and the % of the E losing one. Doug

Russia

1998-04-01 Thread Doug Henwood
I was just told by a U.S. government official that claims of a 50% decline in Russian incomes during this decade are based on flawed stats, and that few Russians would claim that they're worse off now than in 1990. This strikes me as preposterous, but does anyone have some data to back up my

Re: Russia

1998-04-01 Thread Doug Henwood
Rosser Jr, John Barkley wrote: One piece of evidence is that consumption stats on such things as electricity have not fallen nearly as much as official income stats. One point, a lot more of the economy is now underground unreported income for a variety of reasons. Things are a lot worse

Re: Russia

1998-04-01 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: I presume the official concerned did not attempt to consult the 3 million men aged between 23-45 who according to official Russians stats (cited on JRL) died *in excess of * the demographic trendline since 1991. This calamity, the worst ever in Russian peace time

UK foreign assets

1998-03-31 Thread Doug Henwood
In updating the stats for the paperback edition of Wall Street (forthcoming in June, order multiple copies, now!), I discovered that British net foreign assets declined from 5.8% of GDP in 1993 (down from 22% in 1985!) to 0.8% in 1996, the most recent year the IMF has numbers for. The few other

Re: centres of excellence

1998-03-29 Thread Doug Henwood
Mark Jones wrote: The article also suggests that US professors who are heads of departments earn at least $200,000. Can this be true? A bit of an exaggeration. Stars in the humanities and social sciences can earn in the $100,000-150,000 range, plus perks. The perks can probably push the total

Re: Soviet balance sheet

1998-03-27 Thread Doug Henwood
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: I would like to get some feedback about the net impact of the Soviets on World History. Here are some variables that I would consider: The threat of the Soviet Union caused the U.S. and other capitalist countries to soften the harsh face of capitalism -- more

Re: Doug's In Style

1998-03-23 Thread Doug Henwood
Jay Hecht wrote: Once again, the "paper of record" comes not to praise (or bury) Doug, but to note that his tome "Wall Street" a quote "left deconstruction of financial markets" was #1 in sales at the "academic, Labyrinth Books." Of course, Doug is good enuff for the style section, but, ahem,

thanks

1998-03-22 Thread Doug Henwood
Thanks to all those who've offered (and I hope will continue to offer) suggestions on indicators. Yes by all means international indicators, especially those that make the US look awful, of course. Doug

Re: Is Inflation Dead?

1998-03-22 Thread Doug Henwood
Jay Hecht wrote: From what I can tell, prior to the last decade or so, there really hasn't been a left consensus on inflation. Is there now? I'm all against tight money, but I still think the populist/liberal left is too sanguine about inflation. I think it often represents a cheap substitute

US real earnings boom

1998-03-20 Thread Doug Henwood
Between Feb 97 and Feb 98, U.S. real hourly earnings for all private sector workers were up 2.7%, led by 3.0% gain in services; manufacturing lagged at up 1.6%. There's been a steady acceleration in real wage growth since it turned up in mid-1995, with a spurt over the last year; just a year ago,

Re: a proposed leading indicator -Reply

1998-03-20 Thread Doug Henwood
Louis Proyect wrote: Related to this is the question of the number of people living in apartments, those who are not homeless but who are miserably crowded. The NY Times ran articles last year about the horrible problems facing Mexican and other immigrants who are crammed 10 to a one-bedroom

Re: a proposed leading indicator

1998-03-20 Thread Doug Henwood
Speaking of indicators, The Nation has asked me to put together a set of economic/social indicators, to be published quarterly, that would be revealing, interesting, and against the grain of conventional thinking. Any suggestions? Doug

more Wall Street wisdom

1998-03-20 Thread Doug Henwood
I just heard a stock pundit in CNBC who was touting Pfizer, which has the Street all, um, excited over its new impotence drug. "The stock just hit 90, and stocks that hit 90 almost always go to 100." See why these guys make so much money? Doug

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