On Thu, May 15, 2014 at 11:42 PM, Kevin O'Malley <kevmol...@gmail.com>wrote:
> ***Does that mean you think it's a 51% probability that "Rossi is real"? > I don't know if I can quantify the feeling with so much precision. I'm on the fence about the underlying premises of prediction markets. Perhaps a feeling that there is an 80+% chance that he's got something, with a healthy allowance for the possibility of a negative surprise in the future. Eric
