On 07/12/2012 22:53, Russell Wallace wrote:
Similarly, progress in air travel was supposed to have given us suborbital passenger flight by now; space travel was supposed to have given us solar power satellites, orbital manufacturing, colonies on Mars, manned missions to the outer planets and projects to build interstellar probes; medicine was supposed to have given us cures for cancer long ago; the Pentium 4 was supposed to go past ten gigahertz. All of these things were backed up by arguments just as plausible as the ones you have put forward. The reality is that we only find out about limits after we hit them.
Except that we haven't really hit much in the way of limits so far. Clock speeds have stalled - but not really through reaching a limit. We'll have much faster serial operation in the future - probably when better software means that we don't feel so much need to maintain synchronous, deterministic operation in hardware. -- __________ |im |yler http://timtyler.org/ [email protected] Remove lock to reply. ------------------------------------------- AGI Archives: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/303/=now RSS Feed: https://www.listbox.com/member/archive/rss/303/21088071-f452e424 Modify Your Subscription: https://www.listbox.com/member/?member_id=21088071&id_secret=21088071-58d57657 Powered by Listbox: http://www.listbox.com
