On Sat, Dec 8, 2012 at 2:25 PM, Tim Tyler <[email protected]> wrote:

>  On 07/12/2012 22:31, Russell Wallace wrote:
>
>  Hell, for all any of us knows, Moore's Law might hit  the end of the line
> next year.  I think even the most optimistic futurologists would agree that
> would throw an awful lot of things out the window.
>
>
> I think most would consider the idea of Moore's Law running out next year
> to be
> too silly to entertain.  That's the sort of thing you can see coming.
>

Actually, experience shows it is precisely the sort of thing even the
experts do not see coming (see list of examples already given); thus,
whether  Moore's law is good for another decade or will run out next year,
we would expect to observe the same thing today.



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AGI
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