it's 3/5

On Tue, Aug 9, 2011 at 8:29 AM, Dave <dave_and_da...@juno.com> wrote:

> @Dipankar: You are correct about the answer to your alternative
> question being 17/80, but your answer 3/5 says that you don't think
> you have learned anything by the five heads flips. Don has given a
> good explanation as to why the answer is 17/18, but you apparently
> refuse to accept it. There is none so blind as one who will not see.
>
> Dave
>
> On Aug 8, 9:26 pm, Dipankar Patro <dip10c...@gmail.com> wrote:
> > 3/5.
> >
> > As the question doesn't ask anything about the sequence.
> > Had the question been " Find the probability that all 6 are H " then it
> > would have been 17/80.
> >
> > On 9 August 2011 04:07, Dave <dave_and_da...@juno.com> wrote:
> >
> >
> >
> >
> >
> > > @Vinay: What if you tossed 100 consecutive heads? Would that be enough
> > > to convince you that you had the double-headed coin? If so, then
> > > doesn't tossing 5 consecutive heads give you at least an inkling that
> > > you might have it? Wouldn't you then think that there would be a
> > > higher probability of getting a head on the sixth toss than there was
> > > on the first toss (3/5)? Don's conditional probability answer 17/18 is
> > > the right answer.
> >
> > > Dave
> >
> > > On Aug 8, 5:04 pm, vinay aggarwal <vinayiiit2...@gmail.com> wrote:
> > > > answer should be 3/5
> > > > think like that tossing 5 times will not help you predict the outcome
> > > > of sixth toss. Therefore that information is meaningless.
> >
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