any breakdown on the 23 in regard if any were at comps and how many fatalities?

> On 4 Mar 2016, at 2:46 PM, Anthony Smith <anthony.sm...@adelaide.on.net> 
> wrote:
> 
> From the Feb-Mar 2016 issue of Gliding Australia:
>  
> From 1 Oct 15 to 30 Nov 15: There were 34 reported accidents and incidents.
>  
> Of these:
>  
> In flight                 2
> Launch                  5
> Ground Ops       1
> Landing                23
> Outlanding          3
>  
> I haven’t found the total reported hours for the same / similar period yet. I 
> will not hazard a guess about the average hours per year per pilot.
>  
> Latest Gliding International magazine estimated that we have~2600 active 
> pilots.  Mandy reported 2560 active pilots in January this year.
>  
>  
>  
> From: Aus-soaring [mailto:aus-soaring-boun...@lists.base64.com.au] On Behalf 
> Of Mike Borgelt
> Sent: Friday, 4 March 2016 12:48 PM
> To: Discussion of issues relating to Soaring in Australia. 
> <aus-soaring@lists.base64.com.au>
> Subject: Re: [Aus-soaring] Potential dangers in the sport of gliding
>  
> Making it anywhere from 50 to 80 km/hr isn't going to change things by all 
> that much.
> 
> Call it a good physics order of magnitude estimate. It is better than that 
> actually.
> 
> Mike
> 
> At 11:51 AM 3/4/2016, you wrote:
> 
> 
> 
> On 4/03/2016 12:07 PM, Mike Borgelt wrote:
> 
> I doubt you'll find glider crash rates per km. Hours, yes.
> 
> What is the average speed of a motorcycle on the roads. I'll say 60km/h based 
> on driving a car with a car computer a few times.
> 
> Off the top of my head, I couldn't say for sure. I don't have time to go 
> trawling through the literature right now, but I'd guess it might be a bit 
> higher than for cars, given the proportion of motorcycle use that is 
> recreational (as opposed to commuting in traffic).
> 
> 
> 
> That gives you around one crash per 1600 hours or so for motorcycles. I guess 
> this is crashes not fatals? If so sounds about right for gliders too.
> 
> Yep, that's crashes, not fatals. Finding papers that have exposure data *and* 
> fatality data for motorcycles would take a bit more time (I didn't see any 
> during my quickish search earlier); and the nature of the beast is that just 
> copypasting the exposure data into someone else's fatality rate calculation 
> is prone to give you wildly inaccurate results, due to differences in sample 
> characteristics, methodology, etc, etc. (These things are never easy.)
> 
> 
> Teal
> 
> 
> 
> Mike
> 
> At 10:58 AM 3/4/2016, you wrote:
> 
> 
> 
> On 4/03/2016 10:44 AM, DMcD wrote:
> 
> And I don't think you could compare gliding with motorcycle riding (racing 
> maybe). In terms of deaths per hundred thousand rider or comp pilot hours, 
> you'd find a difference of several orders of magnitude. We have what  2500 
> pilots active in Australia? And how many die each year? 1-2?
> 
> FWIW, I can help a bit with that question. Good road traffic exposure data 
> can be a bit hard to come by, but a bit of searching found a paper* reporting 
> motorcycle crash rates for NSW from (I think) 2004, and they said: "The mean 
> crash rate (based on self-reported crash involvement) was 0.96 
> crashes/100,000 km".
> 
> Now, if anyone has crash data and exposure figures for glider pilots 
> (measured in km travelled) then we can see how glider fatalities compare with 
> motorcycle fatalities, should we so desire.
> 
> 
> Teal
> 
> 
> *Source: Harrison, W. A., & Christie, R. (2005). Exposure survey of 
> motorcyclists in New South Wales. /Accident Analysis & Prevention/, /37/(3), 
> 441-451.
> 
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