> I think that in 2 years we will all see
> less spam as a result of the measures that AOL and MSN are taking.

   I believe that what the technical measures AOL and MSN are doing today
are just stopgap measures that reduce the spam volume temporarily, but have
only sent the spammer scrambling to set their networks up with reverse DNS
and acceptable rDNS names.    The only measure that is somewhat effective is
the flock of lawyers you can point to the senders.  This will only encourage
another level of technological indirection to distance the spammer from the
sending networks as they scurry to hide from the flock of lawyers.

   Spammers can set up their networks to comply with the newly proposed DNS
based SMTP authentication techniques as easily as I can.   The next
generation of RBL will need to block based on the authoritative DNS IP to
get around this "DNS controlled by spammer".  As has been pointed out
elsewhere, SMTP Greylisting can easily be bypassed with today's spam tools.

   I predict that 6 months from now, AOL will see the same overloading
crisis on their mailservers that led to the drastic measures in the last
month or so.



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