So, are we now giving up retail at the mall?

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Sara Mattes




> On Nov 12, 2023, at 2:08 PM, Rich Rosenbaum <s...@bcdef.com> wrote:
> 
> Given the history of businesses leaving the mall, $165k seems to be a thin 
> margin for predicting future rental profitability.
> 
> It might be noted that rental income is only part of the RLF financials. 
> Their overall net seems to be $212,000 for 2022 and -$251,431 (loss) for the 
> prior year. That doesn't paint a picture of financial stability to me.
> 
> Rich
> (not an accountant, either)
> 
> On Sun, Nov 12, 2023 at 10:07 AM Karla Gravis <karlagra...@gmail.com 
> <mailto:karlagra...@gmail.com>> wrote:
>> I want to emphasize that the Mall is currently a profitable concern.The RLF 
>> disclosed a rental profit of $164,571 in 2022. Details here 
>> <https://projects.propublica.org/nonprofits/organizations/46132391/202341749349301024/full>.
>>  However, if we rezone it by right, Civico would get to decide what mix of 
>> commercial and residential to build. As a private enterprise, they will 
>> choose to build whatever leads to the highest profits, which we know is 
>> residential. Ms. Barnes mentioned that commercial space will be reduced 
>> during the forum on Wednesday. We have no guarantees that Civico would 
>> maintain Donelan's or any of the existing commercial space. This outcome 
>> would be at odds with our goal of supporting our commercial center and 
>> reducing the town's carbon footprint. This is one of the reasons why it is 
>> so important that the Mall redevelopment goes through Town Meeting.
>> 
>> It is also important to puncture the myth that building units at Lincoln 
>> Station would do much to boost the commercial prospects of the area:
>> The Planning Board released a Lincoln Station Planning Study in 2014. The 
>> study concluded that each 100 units added would only support 2,500 sq ft of 
>> space. For reference, Donelan's footprint is 20,387 sq ft. Study  here 
>> <https://www.lincolntown.org/DocumentCenter/View/65765/Lincoln-Station-Planning-Study-3-27-2014bwfinal>
>> 2,500 sq ft of commercial space per 100 units is probably a very optimistic 
>> number. The Study assumed that the leakage (% of convenience buys by 
>> residents that happen outside of Lincoln Station) would come down from 80% 
>> to 50%. If we use the actual 80% leakage, those 100 units would only support 
>> 1,000 sq ft of space.
>> In all likelihood the leakage is actually higher than 80% today given the 
>> increased penetration of online sales in the nine years elapsed.
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