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On Feb 1, 2010, at 3:45 PM, S. Artesian wrote:
>
> Fossil fuels provide 98% of the energy for transportation-- now we can
> certainly reduce that by knocking down the usage of automobiles--  
> but unless you envision mini-reactors, or solar-sails,  on board  
> every locomotive, every container ship, ever cargo plane, ever  
> tractor-trailer, we are not going to eliminate fossil fuels in the  
> near, and probably distant, future.


This is unduly pessimistic, because it doesn't consider the (since  
1937) unutilized transport technology of the past and the future: the  
airship.  But consider the degree of change in heavier-than-air  
technology since 1937, and imagine for instance what modern aviation  
technology (lightweight ultrastrong carbon-fiber materials for  
example) offers to lighter-than-air ships. The (300m long)  
Hindenburg's hydrogen unit had less than 700,000 cubic meters  
displacement.  A 500x125x125m cylindrical unit would have ten times as  
much displacement and could achieve more than proportionally greater  
lift even with its hydrogen at a much greater pressure.  Several of  
them would fit on every modern jet runway. The airships would be  
driven by engines powered by fuel cells feeding on the ship's own  
hydrogen (to be repressurized when necessary from fueling tanks at  
each airport) as well as by solar cells on its upper surface during  
daytime flights. The hydrogen would be produced through electrolysis  
driven by local wind farms located relatively nearby, and by a massive  
single-purpose wind farm located near the primary manufacturing  
facility (a factory on the scale of River Run, which fortuitously is  
entirely disposable for such a purpose!).

The gondolas of the airships could carry 1,000 or more tons (the  
Hindenburg supported 90).  A gondola one/fifth the length of the  
airship could carry 500 passengers and crew with 6 m.sq. (65 square  
feet) per person--the change would be from traveling in a sardine can  
to traveling in a spacious lounge (of course all the components of an  
airship are scalable, so they can be almost as small or large as  
desired).  A dirigible undoubtedly will fly much less fast than a  
jumbo jet but the stress on every passenger would be less by an even  
greater magnitude (and in the age of the internet--that is right now-- 
who except a contract killer or the child of a dying parent really  
*needs* to get from Moscow to Los Angeles inside of one day?)  And as  
with passengers, likewise with freight.

So everything needed for medium and long distance transport can be  
supplied with no absolutely no need for fossil fuel or nuclear power  
at all. And since automobiles and trucks can all be made electric  
(hydrogen fuel cells and batteries charged with wind-farm electricity)  
the residual share of fossil and nuclear fuel in transportation would  
eventually look like 2, not 98 percent.

Is this futurism a utopia? Of course, *exactly* as much a utopia as  
socialism itself.  Because capitalism of any sort will never make the  
massive investment needed, nor will it write off the humungous amount  
of capital now invested in the--obsolescent--transportation industries.

But I do dream of the day when the first of the great airships  
(called, of course, the Humanity) makes its maiden round-the-world  
voyage and people everywhere look up and exclaim Oh! the Humanity!



Shane Mage

> This cosmos did none of gods or men make, but it
> always was and is and shall be: an everlasting fire,
> kindling in measures and going out in measures."
>
> Herakleitos of Ephesos
>




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