I think the 40-days war showed the real strength - or rather weakness -
of these paraitic monarchies. Most of their labour force are migrants
and significant sectors of the Arab population in their countries hate
them. They could bomb the civilians in Yemen and finance proxies. But as
a fighting force against a serious opponent like Iran they are
weaklings. The Saudis even fear the Houthis. I believe that the Gulf
monarchies will also come out of this war as loosers.
Am 09.04.2026 um 21:40 schrieb Mark Baugher:
On Apr 9, 2026, at 10:13, Marv Gandall via groups.io
<[email protected]> wrote:
That said, Iran has already won a strategic victory by demonstrating
its ability to close the Strait. Also, the economic destruction
wrought by the war will likely further deepen popular discontent in
and may ultimately bring about regime change, but not necessarily of
the pro-Western kind favoured by the US, Israel, and much of the
Iranian diaspora.
But the Gulf States, at least Saudi Arabia, tried to assassinate the
king and missed. In this case, the 'king' is the theocracy with its
Reactionary Guard Corps. That's why I think we are in a more dangerous
place than ever. I expect that the US war industry can produce
unlimited quantities of million-dollar missiles. MBS as well as
Netanyahu might insist that Trump oblige his dark-money donors who
produce those missiles by exploding more of them. MBS is a practiced
war criminal who would never have stopped murdering Yemeni civilians
if Obama hadn't cut off his missiles. MBS found a friend in Trump and
subsequently gave Trump/Kushner billions in financing. Will Trump
undercut MBS?
Conversely, might the Iran leadership want to continue the war? Iran
has the upper hand. Would China arm Iran? If US warships blocked the
Hormuz, China would have to respond.
Mark
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