Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-27 Thread Deborah Harrell
Didn't have time to finish this yesterday, so am
completing it first thing-

 [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
   Dan Minette wrote:
   Behalf Of Nick Arnett

more snippage for brevity 
   Assuming that a large number of people can't be
  wrong about something
   because they are smart and well-connected is a
  tautology. 
 
   I think that you are still missing the point, so
  let me try it again. snip In particular, when 
  one's own area of expertise is involved,
  using that expertise to understand is all but
  instinctive...
 
 I have absolutely no experience in structural
 engineeringbut
 I'm just going to toss out one medical example of
 well-educated folk in the field being wrong:
 _Helicobactor pylori_ infection and relation to
 peptic ulcer disease.  One researcher 
 studied this; the vast majority of
 gastroenterologists disagreed completely -- until
it
 was finally shown to be true.  Took years.
 
 My gut
 about this administration is that it spins 'truth'
 like a top, and is utterly untrustworthy.  About
the
 towers, I really don't know; about cabals within
our
 government manufacturing crises: Gulf of
Tonkin(g?).
 
 But this is a different situation. The discovery
 that ulcers were caused by helicobactor was a
 typical breakthough
 in medicine and science where previously held
 beliefs are found to be incorrect and an old theory
is 
 replaced by a new and better theory (think Einstein
 and Newton). 
The point being made in this case
 is not that there is faulty science but that the
 facts that exist cannot be explained with the 
 theory that the buildings that were brought down by
 a the planes. People with both knowledge and 
 experience in such matters see no significant
 inconsistencies and as far as I can tell those that 
 exist are of the type that are always present in
 complex real life circumstances

Except that some _do_ find discrepancies, according to
what has been written on-List; I'm not saying I accept
their views, but I'm keeping the possibility in mind. 
A conspiracy involving thousands is exceedingly
unlikely, I agree.

What I think has me 'smelling something rotten' are
the various other oddities and discrepancies (as
others have already listed, frex the Saudis flying out
unquestioned AFAIK); I think it is far more likely
that 'the conspiracy' (instead of our gov't. actually
setting up the towers to be blown) will turn out to be
deliberate ignoring of and/or covering up of pre-Day
intel that such a terror attack was imminant.  IOW,
lying.

'There are no secret prisons for terror suspects.'
'No one connected with this administration had
anything to do with outing a CIA agent.'
And so forth.

Debbi
I Do Not Trust Them, Sam-I-Am  Maru

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-27 Thread Charlie Bell


On 28/09/2006, at 7:24 AM, Deborah Harrell wrote:



What I think has me 'smelling something rotten' are
the various other oddities and discrepancies (as
others have already listed, frex the Saudis flying out
unquestioned AFAIK); I think it is far more likely
that 'the conspiracy' (instead of our gov't. actually
setting up the towers to be blown) will turn out to be
deliberate ignoring of and/or covering up of pre-Day
intel that such a terror attack was imminant.  IOW,
lying.


Or just sheer opportunism. As the case of Jo Moore showed (it's a  
good day to bury bad news). The hypocrisy with regards to Saudi is  
ongoing and has been a feature of Western politics of all stripes for  
years, and I am no longer surprised by the blatant and tasteless  
cynicism of many of those with power.


Charlie


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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-26 Thread bemmzim
 
 
 
-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Mon, 25 Sep 2006 2:46 PM
Subject: RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no 
reliable information?)


 Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Behalf Of Nick Arnett

  Assuming that a large number of people can't be
 wrong about something
  because they are smart and well-connected is a
 tautology. 
 
 I think that you are still missing the point, so let
 me try it again.  Let
 me start with one example: Gautam's dad.  He's a
 structural engineer.  I
 think it is fair to say that one of the first
 instincts that a technical
 person like him or myself when faced with something
 like this is trying to
 understand it.  In particular, when one's own area
 of expertise is involved,
 using that expertise to understand is all but
 instinctive.
snip 

I have absolutely no experience in structural
engineering, so have not comented on this thread, but
I'm just going to toss out one medical example of
well-educated folk in the field being wrong:
_Helicobactor pylori_ infection and relation to peptic
ulcer disease.  One researcher (from Australia, IIRC)
posited and studied this; the vast majority of
gastroenterologists disagreed completely -- until it
was finally shown to be true.  Took years.

My personal experience has been that my 'medical gut
feelings' are correct better than 90% of the time,
even when specialists' opinions do not concur.  My gut
about this administration is that it spins 'truth'
like a top, and is utterly untrustworthy.  About the
towers, I really don't know; about cabals within our
government manufacturing crises: Gulf of Tonkin(g?).

But this is a different situation. The discovery that ulcers were caused by 
helicobactor was a typical breakthough
in medicine and science where previously held beliefs are found to be incorrect 
and an old theory is 
replaced by a new and better theory (think Einstein and Newton). The point 
being made in this case
is not that there is faulty science but that the facts that exist cannot be 
explained with the 
theory that the buildings that were brought down by a the planes. People with 
both knowledge and 
experience in such matters see no significant inconsistencies and as far as I 
can tell those that 
exist are of the type that are always present in complex real life 
circumstances. Those arguing
against the planes did it theory are not arguing that there are features of 
structural engineering 
theory are incorrect thus explaining the conspiracy they are arguing that the 
structural engineers
are incorrect in the standard use of their theories and knowledge.  

Check out the new AOL.  Most comprehensive set of free safety and security 
tools, free access to millions of high-quality videos from across the web, free 
AOL Mail and more.
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RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-25 Thread Deborah Harrell
 Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Behalf Of Nick Arnett

  Assuming that a large number of people can't be
 wrong about something
  because they are smart and well-connected is a
 tautology. 
 
 I think that you are still missing the point, so let
 me try it again.  Let
 me start with one example: Gautam's dad.  He's a
 structural engineer.  I
 think it is fair to say that one of the first
 instincts that a technical
 person like him or myself when faced with something
 like this is trying to
 understand it.  In particular, when one's own area
 of expertise is involved,
 using that expertise to understand is all but
 instinctive.
snip 

I have absolutely no experience in structural
engineering, so have not comented on this thread, but
I'm just going to toss out one medical example of
well-educated folk in the field being wrong:
_Helicobactor pylori_ infection and relation to peptic
ulcer disease.  One researcher (from Australia, IIRC)
posited and studied this; the vast majority of
gastroenterologists disagreed completely -- until it
was finally shown to be true.  Took years.

My personal experience has been that my 'medical gut
feelings' are correct better than 90% of the time,
even when specialists' opinions do not concur.  My gut
about this administration is that it spins 'truth'
like a top, and is utterly untrustworthy.  About the
towers, I really don't know; about cabals within our
government manufacturing crises: Gulf of Tonkin(g?).

Debbi
who has much List-catching-up to do

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RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-25 Thread Deborah Harrell
 Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Behalf Of Nick Arnett

  Assuming that a large number of people can't be
 wrong about something
  because they are smart and well-connected is a
 tautology. 
 
 I think that you are still missing the point, so let
 me try it again.  Let
 me start with one example: Gautam's dad.  He's a
 structural engineer.  I
 think it is fair to say that one of the first
 instincts that a technical
 person like him or myself when faced with something
 like this is trying to
 understand it.  In particular, when one's own area
 of expertise is involved,
 using that expertise to understand is all but
 instinctive.
snip 

I have absolutely no experience in structural
engineering, so have not comented on this thread, but
I'm just going to toss out one medical example of
well-educated folk in the field being wrong:
_Helicobactor pylori_ infection and relation to peptic
ulcer disease.  One researcher (from Australia, IIRC)
posited and studied this; the vast majority of
gastroenterologists disagreed completely -- until it
was finally shown to be true.  Took years.

My personal experience has been that my 'medical gut
feelings' are correct better than 90% of the time,
even when specialists' opinions do not concur.  My gut
about this administration is that it spins 'truth'
like a top, and is utterly untrustworthy.  About the
towers, I really don't know; about cabals within our
government manufacturing crises: Gulf of Tonkin(g?).

Debbi
who has much List-catching-up to do

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RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-25 Thread Deborah Harrell
 Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  Behalf Of Nick Arnett

  Assuming that a large number of people can't be
 wrong about something
  because they are smart and well-connected is a
 tautology. 
 
 I think that you are still missing the point, so let
 me try it again.  Let
 me start with one example: Gautam's dad.  He's a
 structural engineer.  I
 think it is fair to say that one of the first
 instincts that a technical
 person like him or myself when faced with something
 like this is trying to
 understand it.  In particular, when one's own area
 of expertise is involved,
 using that expertise to understand is all but
 instinctive.
snip 

I have absolutely no experience in structural
engineering, so have not comented on this thread, but
I'm just going to toss out one medical example of
well-educated folk in the field being wrong:
_Helicobactor pylori_ infection and relation to peptic
ulcer disease.  One researcher (from Australia, IIRC)
posited and studied this; the vast majority of
gastroenterologists disagreed completely -- until it
was finally shown to be true.  Took years.

My personal experience has been that my 'medical gut
feelings' are correct better than 90% of the time,
even when specialists' opinions do not concur.  My gut
about this administration is that it spins 'truth'
like a top, and is utterly untrustworthy.  About the
towers, I really don't know; about cabals within our
government manufacturing crises: Gulf of Tonkin(g?).

Debbi
who has much List-catching-up to do

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-24 Thread Julia Thompson

William T Goodall wrote:


On 18 Sep 2006, at 12:43AM, Dave Land wrote:


On Sep 16, 2006, at 4:24 PM, William T Goodall wrote:


On 16 Sep 2006, at 9:12PM, Dave Land wrote:


After watching the Pyroclastic video that WTG pointed to,


Not me.

Just to clear that up Maru


Of course not. It was Jonathan Gibson.

Gibson ... Goodall ... I think there's more to the similarity
of these names than meets the eye. ;-)



We're obviously part of the world-wide secret conspiracy of people whose 
surnames begin with G.


Not so secret now Maru


OMG, I just realized I have no idea of the last names of some of my RL 
friends, so I don't know if they're in on that particular conspiracy!  Aie!


Julia

who knows of an infant that's got to be in on it!  aie!
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-24 Thread Andrew Crystall
On 24 Sep 2006 at 10:55, Charlie Bell wrote:

  I occasionally say that evolution is a theory in much the same way  
  that gravity is.
 
  How it works is a theory.
 
  Kind of a mystery, too, which is pretty cool when you think about it.
 
 Very cool indeed. Mysteries are what science is all about.

Even when the suggestions are as..odd..as the one from m-theory that 
our universe has no inherent gravity, it gets it via leakage from 
another universe nearby in m-space, hence why it's so weak...

AndrewC
Dawn Falcon

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-24 Thread Charlie Bell


On 25/09/2006, at 9:31 AM, Andrew Crystall wrote:


On 24 Sep 2006 at 10:55, Charlie Bell wrote:


I occasionally say that evolution is a theory in much the same way
that gravity is.


How it works is a theory.


Kind of a mystery, too, which is pretty cool when you think about  
it.


Very cool indeed. Mysteries are what science is all about.


Even when the suggestions are as..odd..as the one from m-theory that
our universe has no inherent gravity, it gets it via leakage from
another universe nearby in m-space, hence why it's so weak...


Yeah, or dark matter which is more and more weird the more I  
understand it. Still, doesn't matter how weird it is as long as it  
works...


Charlie
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-23 Thread Warren Ockrassa

On Sep 16, 2006, at 1:12 PM, Dave Land wrote:


After watching the Pyroclastic video that WTG pointed to, I realized
that I'd been giving way too much credence to Just-So Stories about
what might possibly have happened. It's not that this particular video
was all that bad (it was utterly unconvincing to me, but that's beside
the point), it just highlighted for me how much I'd been accepting the
coulda beens and shouldna beens that are the stock in trade of
conspiracy theories.


I know it's not easy to back away from an ardently-defended point of 
view. I'm glad, though, that the light of reason broke at last.



--
Warren Ockrassa
Blog  | http://indigestible.nightwares.com/
Books | http://books.nightwares.com/
Web   | http://www.nightwares.com/

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-23 Thread Warren Ockrassa

On Sep 19, 2006, at 8:01 AM, Nick Arnett wrote:


On 9/18/06, Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


...'cause there's no such thing as something that is so well
supported it can be considered a fact. Like gravity. Just a theory.


I'm fairly certain that gravity is a fact.


I occasionally say that evolution is a theory in much the same way that 
gravity is.



How it works is a theory.


Kind of a mystery, too, which is pretty cool when you think about it.

--
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Blog  | http://indigestible.nightwares.com/
Books | http://books.nightwares.com/
Web   | http://www.nightwares.com/

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-23 Thread Charlie Bell


On 24/09/2006, at 2:58 AM, Warren Ockrassa wrote:


On Sep 19, 2006, at 8:01 AM, Nick Arnett wrote:


On 9/18/06, Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


...'cause there's no such thing as something that is so well
supported it can be considered a fact. Like gravity. Just a theory.


I'm fairly certain that gravity is a fact.


I occasionally say that evolution is a theory in much the same way  
that gravity is.



How it works is a theory.


Kind of a mystery, too, which is pretty cool when you think about it.


Very cool indeed. Mysteries are what science is all about.

Charlie
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-19 Thread Nick Arnett

On 9/18/06, Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


...'cause there's no such thing as something that is so well
supported it can be considered a fact. Like gravity. Just a theory.


I'm fairly certain that gravity is a fact.

How it works is a theory.

Nick

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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-19 Thread Charlie Bell


On 20/09/2006, at 1:01 AM, Nick Arnett wrote:


On 9/18/06, Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


...'cause there's no such thing as something that is so well
supported it can be considered a fact. Like gravity. Just a theory.


I'm fairly certain that gravity is a fact.

How it works is a theory.


Finally - that's exactly what I was saying about evolution before.  
Same thing.


Charlie
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-19 Thread Nick Arnett

On 9/19/06, Charlie Bell [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 I'm fairly certain that gravity is a fact.

 How it works is a theory.

Finally - that's exactly what I was saying about evolution before.
Same thing.


No disagreement here.

Nick

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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-18 Thread Nick Arnett

On 9/17/06, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


 But for this type of
conspiracy to have occurred - one in which the towers
were destroyed by explosives inside the building, and
then the evidence of this suppressed after the attacks
- then literally thousands of people would have to be
involved in the coverup, because that's how many
people were involved in the investigation and/or have
the skills to identify flaws in the published reports
about the investigation.


Now I understand what your reasoning.  I didn't realize that you were
positing a vast coverup as part of all the conspiracy theories.

Assuming that a large number of people can't be wrong about something
because they are smart and well-connected is a tautology.  I think
there are many examples of large numbers of smart, well-connected
people who turned a blind eye to an inconvenient truth.  Not that I
arguing that that's the case with 9/11... but I've generally found it
more profitable to question authority than to make the kind of
assumption that you are arguing.

Nick

--
Nick Arnett
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Messages: 408-904-7198
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-18 Thread Klaus Stock
 be a conspiracy of the type alleged, thousands of
 _perfectly ordinary_ people would have to be involved.

There was an estimate that in the GDR, one out of seven persons worked for
the Stasi (Staatssicherheit = state security), in one way or the other.
Most were of course IMs (Inoffizielle Mitarbeiter = inofficial
co-workers), and quite a few did not really do what they were supposed to
do.

Best regards, Klaus

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RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-18 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Nick Arnett
 Sent: Monday, September 18, 2006 9:43 AM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there
 is no reliable information?)
 
 On 9/17/06, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
   But for this type of
  conspiracy to have occurred - one in which the towers
  were destroyed by explosives inside the building, and
  then the evidence of this suppressed after the attacks
  - then literally thousands of people would have to be
  involved in the coverup, because that's how many
  people were involved in the investigation and/or have
  the skills to identify flaws in the published reports
  about the investigation.
 
 Now I understand what your reasoning.  I didn't realize that you were
 positing a vast coverup as part of all the conspiracy theories.
 
 Assuming that a large number of people can't be wrong about something
 because they are smart and well-connected is a tautology. 

I think that you are still missing the point, so let me try it again.  Let
me start with one example: Gautam's dad.  He's a structural engineer.  I
think it is fair to say that one of the first instincts that a technical
person like him or myself when faced with something like this is trying to
understand it.  In particular, when one's own area of expertise is involved,
using that expertise to understand is all but instinctive.

He wasn't well connected, he did not have inside information.  He just knew
the subject matter.  There are thousands of structural engineers who should
have been able to see the holes in the explanations of the collapse of the
towers if the holes in the explanations were as big as claimed.  The WTC
collapse is at least one of the most, if not the most, studied building
collapses in history.  And, everyone but a few brave outsiders missed the
obvious?

Only in the movies can clever plotters take care of all the threads in an
extremely complex plot.  Puzzling clues are usually left.  For tech folks,
anomalies are to be pursued, even if one has no real candidate for what
causes them.  A grad. student in structural engineering doesn't need to
believe that the WTC was brought down by bombs to conclude that the speed of
the collapse was inconsistent with the basic numbers.  Having been a
technical grad. student, I know what is usually done in this case.  First
one goes over one's own numbers a few timesthen if one can't see a flaw,
one brings it to a trusted colleague.  Then, if there still is
inconsistency, several grad students look at it, then take it up the chain
as a:  we might all be missing something, but on the surfacethe numbers
just don't add up.  Heck, there already was a smoking gun for a secondary
cause that everyone would be inclined to accept: shoddy workmanship by
contractors who cut corners on the WTClike the common understanding of
the Big Dig.

If there were stand down orders throughout the air force, unusual drills
that just happened that day, or other parts of the planthen a lot of
folks should have noticed something really really oddnot just a few
brave souls.  If, as alleged, the AA planes that hit the WTC didn't really
exist...because no plane hit the WTC, then what was going on with the crew
and passengers?

Going back to Gautam's friends, why did McKensey miss important clues in one
of their most important tasks?  Shouldn't they have noticed something, since
they had access to primary information?

This is where the numbers get into the thousands. A conspiracy like those
portrayed would have had to leave clues that thousands should have noticed.


 I think
 there are many examples of large numbers of smart, well-connected
 people who turned a blind eye to an inconvenient truth.  

It's true that even the brightest people can deny the elephant in the living
room.  But, this is not the same as a bright scientist denying the signs
that his son is a drug addict, or the denial of the existence of well
attending lynchings.  

I could see your argument more if noticing the clues would have required
accepting a horrid reality behind the clues.  If, as alleged, a few high
placed people in government were in the process of overthrowing the
Republic, then people might deny the evidence that would require them to
accept that their trust had been horridly betrayed.

But, in this case, the clues would have had to be denied by folks who didn't
realize what the clues meant at the time.  Significant emotional baggage is
not associated with simply noticing that the numbers just don't add up.
There is a lot of difference between stating that we still can't understand
the mechanism of what happened and stating that GWB must have planned the
whole thing.  I'm pretty sure that Gautam's point is that, if there was a
conspiracy, then many many people should have noticed something rather odd
and unexplained in an area in which they had

Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-18 Thread Nick Arnett

On 9/18/06, Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


He wasn't well connected, he did not have inside information.  He just knew
the subject matter.  There are thousands of structural engineers who should
have been able to see the holes in the explanations of the collapse of the
towers if the holes in the explanations were as big as claimed.  The WTC
collapse is at least one of the most, if not the most, studied building
collapses in history.  And, everyone but a few brave outsiders missed the
obvious?


Who says it's obvious?  Lemme share some personal experience with
obviousness, if I may.

I suspect that I've done many more investigations of public events
than most on this list, so perhaps I speak with a bit of authority on
this subject.

As I think you know, you're writing to the guy who came up with the
truth about the Reagan shooting when the rest of the Washington press
corps missed the story and accepted the White House version.  As you
probably don't know, that's just the most famous of a number of
investigative pieces I did over the years.  And often I'd find that
the truth is staring bright and well-connected people in the face but
they don't see it.

For example, there were a lot of people here in Silicon Valley back in
the mid-80s who were certain that there was some kind of trickery
involved in getting federal funding for a light rail system.  Many,
many of them had looked at the document that showed that the local
preference was for light rail (part of the federally mandated
Environmental Impact Report process) without seeing what was wrong
with it. The report showed eight out of nine cities in favor and the
one opposed was the smallest city in the county, the tiny town of
Monte Sereno.  The light rail backers had simply omitted six of the
country's 15 cities from the report... and they just happened to be
the ones that either voted against it or declined to take a position.
Even though I had years og experience with this sort of public
document, it was very hard for me to see what was missing.

That kind of shenanigan happens all the time (throughout the Vietnam
War, for example) and believe me, it is harder to see than you might
think. I looked at that EIR document a number of times, intuition
screaming at me that there was something wrong, before I saw the
problem.  Many, many others looked at it over the course of months and
months, without seeing it.

Large bunches of smart and/or well-connected people miss things that
in retrospect seem obvious.  I believe that given the concentration of
power in media and government, that sort of thing is happening less
and less often, as there are fewer and fewer people who are willing
and able to question authority.

More to the point, people see what they want or expect to see... and
it can be very hard to overcome those misperceptions... which
certainly are present on all sides of the 9/11 controversies.

So... sorry, but I don't buy the idea that just because lots of smart
and/or well connected people have looked at the evidence, we should
accept their conclusions. The world just doesn't work that way much of
the time... and I think we should encourage people to think for
themselves rather than assuming that just because a bunch of people
with authority say something, it must be true.  I suspect that sort of
attitude enables facism, despotism and other rotten leadership.

I intend none of this to support any 9/11 conspiracy theory.  I think
it is just fine that people are raising questions... and even finer
that we have a new medium that allows people with expertise to
critique them.  The quality of the debate often sinks low, but we're
still learning how to use this new medium.

Nick

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-18 Thread jdiebremse


--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Nick Arnett [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 On 9/17/06, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  But for this type of
  conspiracy to have occurred - one in which the towers
  were destroyed by explosives inside the building, and
  then the evidence of this suppressed after the attacks
  - then literally thousands of people would have to be
  involved in the coverup, because that's how many
  people were involved in the investigation and/or have
  the skills to identify flaws in the published reports
  about the investigation.

 Now I understand what your reasoning. I didn't realize that you were
 positing a vast coverup as part of all the conspiracy theories.

 Assuming that a large number of people can't be wrong about something
 because they are smart and well-connected is a tautology. I think
 there are many examples of large numbers of smart, well-connected
 people who turned a blind eye to an inconvenient truth. Not that I
 arguing that that's the case with 9/11... but I've generally found it
 more profitable to question authority than to make the kind of
 assumption that you are arguing.

Isn't that not a tautology at all, but one of the basic assumptions
about peer-review in science?

This argument is very similar to the argument used by Creationists when
I start pointing out the tremendous geological evidence against the
young-Earth hypothesis.

JDG






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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-18 Thread Nick Arnett

On 9/18/06, jdiebremse [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


Isn't that not a tautology at all, but one of the basic assumptions
about peer-review in science?


Only for scientists who treat theories as if they were facts.

Nick

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-18 Thread Charlie Bell


On 19/09/2006, at 2:52 PM, Nick Arnett wrote:


On 9/18/06, jdiebremse [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


Isn't that not a tautology at all, but one of the basic assumptions
about peer-review in science?


Only for scientists who treat theories as if they were facts.


...'cause there's no such thing as something that is so well  
supported it can be considered a fact. Like gravity. Just a theory.


Charlie
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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Dave Land

On Sep 16, 2006, at 4:24 PM, William T Goodall wrote:


On 16 Sep 2006, at 9:12PM, Dave Land wrote:


After watching the Pyroclastic video that WTG pointed to,


Not me.

Just to clear that up Maru


Of course not. It was Jonathan Gibson.

Gibson ... Goodall ... I think there's more to the similarity
of these names than meets the eye. ;-)

Dave

Deeper Hidden Meanings Maru

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread William T Goodall


On 18 Sep 2006, at 12:43AM, Dave Land wrote:


On Sep 16, 2006, at 4:24 PM, William T Goodall wrote:


On 16 Sep 2006, at 9:12PM, Dave Land wrote:


After watching the Pyroclastic video that WTG pointed to,


Not me.

Just to clear that up Maru


Of course not. It was Jonathan Gibson.

Gibson ... Goodall ... I think there's more to the similarity
of these names than meets the eye. ;-)



We're obviously part of the world-wide secret conspiracy of people  
whose surnames begin with G.


Not so secret now Maru

--
William T Goodall
Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

It is our belief, however, that serious professional users will run  
out of things they can do with UNIX. - Ken Olsen, President of DEC,  
1984.



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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Nick Arnett

On 9/15/06, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


So either my entire immediate family and a surprising
proportion of my friends, and I, were all in on the
conspiracy


I'm sorry, but I don't quite see why it would be necessary for you and
your various acquaintances to have been part or or even aware of any
of various conspiracy scenarios that are floated around.

I'm not saying that the conspiracy theories are more credible as a
result... just that I don't quite grok your reasoning.

It seems to me that the need to know theory idea --
compartmentalization of sensitive operations -- would assure that you
and your various pals would be in the dark, since I really can't
imagine why any of the people you describe would need to know about
such an operation if there were one.  Is there some reason I'm not
aware of that you and your network of highly placed acquaintances
would need to be notified if we were planning an act of high treason?

Nick
Not On the List, Either, I'm Pretty Sure

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RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Nick Arnett
 Sent: Sunday, September 17, 2006 9:17 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there
 is no reliable information?)
 
 On 9/15/06, Gautam Mukunda [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
  So either my entire immediate family and a surprising
  proportion of my friends, and I, were all in on the
  conspiracy
 
 I'm sorry, but I don't quite see why it would be necessary for you and
 your various acquaintances to have been part or or even aware of any
 of various conspiracy scenarios that are floated around.
 
 I'm not saying that the conspiracy theories are more credible as a
 result... just that I don't quite grok your reasoning.
 
 It seems to me that the need to know theory idea --
 compartmentalization of sensitive operations -- would assure that you
 and your various pals would be in the dark, since I really can't
 imagine why any of the people you describe would need to know about
 such an operation if there were one.  Is there some reason I'm not
 aware of that you and your network of highly placed acquaintances
 would need to be notified if we were planning an act of high treason?

I think the argument is not that these folks would have to know it
beforehand, but would have had to see telltale signs afterwards if they were
as obvious as the various conspiracy theories argue.  The conspiracy theory
that is given by the loose change video clearly would require thousands of
conspirators.  Scholars for 9-11 truth argues that the official
explanation is impossible.  If they could see it, then why did the McKensey
study miss it?  Why did all the structural engineering departments who
studied this miss it?  They either all had to be blind or in on the plan.

Now, if someone were to come up with a plausible theory that involved only a
handful of key players being in on it, and being so perfect that the results
are identical to those that would result if it were AQ attacking with
planes, then that theory would no longer suffer from that problem that
thousands of Americans had to either be in on the coverup or unbelievably
stupid. 

These types of conspiracy theories, as I've seen them, involve a very weak
link with the President just downplaying terrorism vs.  N. Korea as a
security threat.  In short, no-one has come up with a mechanism by which a
few folks could have faked a terrorist attack without leaving clues that
people like Gautam's friends should have picked up.  

For that matter, if the arguments on these sites were true, _I'm_ an idiot
for not being able to do simple physicsOK, I know I gave you a straight
line there. :-)

Dan M. 


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RE: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-17 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
Nick wrote:
  Is there
 some reason I'm not
  aware of that you and your network of highly
 placed acquaintances
  would need to be notified if we were planning an
 act of high treason?

In his rush to play the man instead of the ball, Nick
completely misses the point of my posts.  The whole
thrust of my argument is precisely that, for there to
be a conspiracy of the type alleged, thousands of
_perfectly ordinary_ people would have to be involved.
 Not nefarious actors with malevolent links to Saudi
financiers.  Just engineers, scientists, civil
servants, businessmen, and even students.  If Nick
were to plot high treason, we'd never know - well,
until he was caught, of course.  But for this type of
conspiracy to have occurred - one in which the towers
were destroyed by explosives inside the building, and
then the evidence of this suppressed after the attacks
- then literally thousands of people would have to be
involved in the coverup, because that's how many
people were involved in the investigation and/or have
the skills to identify flaws in the published reports
about the investigation.  The number of people
involved is so large that even a graduste student
without wealth or political connections would have to
know many, many people involved - so many that for me
not to have noticed _something_ strange going on would
take either heroic stupidity or active connivance. 
Either of those is possible, of course.  Jonathan had
the courtesy to disclaim any such beliefs, but Nick
does not need to, of course.

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-16 Thread Dave Land

Gautam, et al,

Sometimes, my wife says of herself, I don't know how you can stand to
be around me: _I_ can barely take it. That's a little how I feel about
myself and my recent interest in all the 9/11 conspiracies: I can hardly
stand to be around myself when I get caught up in it.

After watching the Pyroclastic video that WTG pointed to, I realized
that I'd been giving way too much credence to Just-So Stories about
what might possibly have happened. It's not that this particular video
was all that bad (it was utterly unconvincing to me, but that's beside
the point), it just highlighted for me how much I'd been accepting the
coulda beens and shouldna beens that are the stock in trade of
conspiracy theories.

I'm writing to apologize for being such a pompous ass. Also to state
that my current position on the whole thing is that whoever it was who
plotted to bring down the WTC buildings succeeded in a manner so
spectacular that it must have surprised even them.

9/11 was a ghastly crime committed by crazed fanatics, some or all of
whom were Muslim extremists.

The fact that I observe that the crime was siezed upon by other fanatics
as license to commit other ghastly crimes must not cloud my mind to
believe that there is some shadowy connection between these groups of
fanatics.

Thanks,

Dave

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-16 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dave Land [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 I'm writing to apologize for being such a pompous
 ass. Also to state
 that my current position on the whole thing is that
 whoever it was who
 plotted to bring down the WTC buildings succeeded in
 a manner so
 spectacular that it must have surprised even them.
 
 9/11 was a ghastly crime committed by crazed
 fanatics, some or all of
 whom were Muslim extremists.

Dear Dave,
Thanks for the kind words.  In fact, I just want to
note here that in fact you are _precisely_ correct.  I
can't cite the page # for you because my books are in
the office, but as _The Age of Sacred Terror_ among
other books notes, it is exactly true that the
plotters were surprised by their success.  We have _on
video_ Usama Bin Laden stating that he was the most
optimistic member of Al Qaeda in terms of his
expectations for the damage done by the impacts, and
that even he thought that only the floors above the
point of impact would be destroyed.

Best,
Gautam

Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Freedom is not free
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com

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Re: 9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-16 Thread William T Goodall


On 16 Sep 2006, at 9:12PM, Dave Land wrote:



After watching the Pyroclastic video that WTG pointed to,



Not me.

Just to clear that up Maru
--  
William T Goodall

Mail : [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Web  : http://www.wtgab.demon.co.uk
Blog : http://radio.weblogs.com/0111221/

Theists cannot be trusted as they believe that right and wrong are  
the arbitrary proclamations of invisible demons.



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9/11 conspiracies (WAS RE: What should we believe when there is no reliable information?)

2006-09-15 Thread Gautam Mukunda
John Gibson wrote:
I understand your acceptance.
Interesting that your friend is well-placed and
perhaps well-heeled -  
this actually fits a premise I'll go into later about
people who know  
where their bread gets buttered.  I'd really like to
know just how  
these studies were funded, administered, who supplied
their raw data  
and coordinated the results before accepting this -
given so much else  
around the event is in question.  It may well take
serious scholarly  
work a decade or two to sift this out.  If I have to
eat old crow that  
is desiccated and moldy, so be it - are you equally
prepared?

My response:
Well, I left the list largely in response to this sort
of thing, but against my better judgment, I have to
reply to this one.  I'll have four questions at the
end, and I'd really like your answer to them.  It's my
friend you're slandering, after all.  So, I notice
that conspiracy theorists are often enthusiastic about
in describing vague, overarching conspiracies, so it's
worth taking this down to a concrete level.  This
isn't a high levels of government type conspiracy
you're describing, after all, one just involving say,
passive incompetence on the part of intelligence
agencies or what not.  You're suggesting that it's
possible that the towers themselves were destroyed by
something other than airplane impacts.

OK.  So let's think about what that implies.  On a
personal level, I could put it this way.  McKinsey was
thanked publicly by Mayor Bloomberg for its analysis
of the accident and the public safety response.  I
worked there, and while I wasn't part of that project,
I did look at the results.  If what you're positing
did occur, we _should have_ noticed.  You've mentioned
that you don't believe the MIT study on the towers as
well because you don't know who funded it.  I'm a
graduate student at MIT now, so there's another link. 
Finally, I have at least three close friends who were
senior staff at the White House and Pentagon at the
time of the attack (one of whose desks was 50 feet
from the point of impact at the Pentagon, in fact), so
they probably would have had to know too.

On an even more personal level, my father is a
structural engineer and has been for more than thirty
years.  We've talked about the attacks many, many
times.  If there was really something highly
implausible about the way the attacks played out, he
_should_ have noticed.  My mother was trained as a
nuclear physicist (in fact, she got her PhD at 22,
making her surely one of the youngest people, and
certainly one of the youngest women, ever to do so -
and if you think that because she got it in India it's
not a real PhD, I'd just point out that her
professors were from MIT and CalTech, IIT Kanpur,
where she got her degree, might be the most difficult
school to get into in the world, and Richard Feynamn
was there for the oral defense of her dissertation)
who has spent the last 30 years doing safety analysis
for NASA - and is good enough at it that she was one
of the first people called to help with the Challenger
investigation.  So she certainly should have been able
to tell if there was something wrong with the official
explanation as well.

Let's see.  My friend on the 9/11 Commission was
chosen to be senior staff on probably the most
important investigation in history when she was in her
mid-20s.  After that she was accepted into, and is one
of the best students at, MIT's Political Science
program, certainly one of the 3 best programs anywhere
in International Relations and Security Studies.

Finally, people on the list know who I am.  You can
get my bio on the web by googling my name - it's the
first thing that will come up.  But I've spent a fair
amount of my life studying organizations (particularly
militaries) in crisis, and there's nothing strange or
surprising about the way people behaved on 9/11 to me.

So either my entire immediate family and a surprising
proportion of my friends, and I, were all in on the
conspiracy and thus guilty of the worst act of treason
since Benedict Arnold or we are guilty of truly heroic
levels of professional incompetence.  I'd say, given
the information above, there's at least a prima facie
case that we're not incompetent.  So I have to be
either in on it, or a complete idiot.  If what you
believe is true, one of those has to be.

So, John, my questions for you are really pretty
simple.  Given what I've written above:
1) Do you think  I was part of the conspiracy, at
least after the fact (I didn't have to be in on it
beforehand)?
2) If you do, why?  You've suggested that the people
who believe the official story know which side their
bread is buttered on.  OK - who's buttering my bread?
3) If you _don't_ believe I was in on it, that leaves
two other possibilities.  Do you think (as I described
above) that a large proportion of my friends, family,
and colleagues are all complicit in high treason and I
just didn't twig to that?  And if so, what's