RE: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-05-04 Thread Horn, John
 On Behalf Of Russell Chapman

 I agree with what you're saying, but I'm curious about why 
 you would include TWA800 in the list. It is the one attack 
 (if it was) on the US in recent times that
 (a) could have been done by a VERY few people - I mean 
 Stingers go missing all the time and it only takes one person 
 to drive out to the island and launch and
 (b) where very little meaningful evidence has been recovered.

Let's see if I can remember what was said at the time.  I'm not
bothering to look this up so it is from memory.  At the time of that
crash, the story was that the Navy was on maneuvers off Long Island.
One of the ships accidentally (or purposely) fired an anti-aircraft
missile that hit TWA800 and caused the crash.  That means that at the
very least, every sailor on that particular ship would have to be sworn
to secrecy.  And any sailors on any nearby ships that might have heard
or seen anything.  And their families...  That adds up to a lot of
people pretty quickly.

My recollection is that there was quite a bit of that airframe
recovered.  There wasn't much meaningful evidence because there wasn't
much evidence to be found.  No signs of external explosions or missile
hit.  We may not know for sure what caused TWA800 to explode but we know
pretty well what did not.

 - jmh


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RE: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-05-04 Thread Dan Minette


 -Original Message-
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On
 Behalf Of Russell Chapman
 Sent: Thursday, May 03, 2007 11:47 PM
 To: Killer Bs Discussion
 Subject: Re: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980
 
 Horn, John wrote:
 
 Maybe.  But it definitely illustrates that if you want to keep a
 conspiracy like this secret, you need to keep the number of people who
 know about it to a very, very few.  Not the thousands or hundreds of
 thousands needed for something like 9/11.  Or the downing of TWA flight
 800.  Or even UFOs at Roswell.  Now, a handful of CIA officers who
 wanted to take out JFK, that would be a different story (not that I
 believe that particular conspiracy anymore).
 
 
 I agree with what you're saying, but I'm curious about why you would
 include TWA800 in the list. It is the one attack (if it was) on the US
 in recent times that


 (b) where very little meaningful evidence has been recovered.

This is a popular myth, but I've seen the reconstructed plane on TV reports
a number of years ago and it looked rather substantial.  An analysis is
available at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/TWA_Flight_800

quote
Eventually, more than 95% of the airplane wreckage was recovered.[6] As the
wreckage recovery progressed, three main debris fields emerged. The yellow
zone, red zone, and green zone contained wreckage from front, center and
rear sections of the airplane, respectively.[6] The green zone with the aft
portion of the aircraft was located the furthest along the flight
path.[6].. Factors such as witness reports of a streak of light
and then a fireball, as well radar data recorded by a radar site at Islip,
New York,[6] led the NTSB to consider the possibility that a bomb exploded
inside the airplane or that a shoulder-launched missile exploded upon impact
with the airplane.[6] Testing conducted by the FBI found trace amounts of
explosives on three seperate pieces (described as a piece of canvaslike
material and two pieces of a floor panel).[6] However no damage
characteristics typically associated with a high-energy explosion of a bomb
of missile warhead (such as severe pitting, cratering, petalling, or hot gas
washing) were found on the recovered wreckage, including the pieces which
tested positive for explosives.[6] Of the 5 percent of the fuselage that was
not recovered, none of the missing areas was large enough to have
encompassed all the damage that would have been caused by the detonation of
a bomb or missile.[6] In addition, none of the victim's remains showed
evidence of injuries that could have been caused by high-energy
explosives.[6]
end quote

So, there was really a fair amount of data to base the conclusion on.

Dan M. 


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RE: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-05-04 Thread Horn, John
 On Behalf Of Dan Minette
 
  (b) where very little meaningful evidence has been recovered.
 
 This is a popular myth, but I've seen the reconstructed plane 
 on TV reports a number of years ago and it looked rather 
 substantial

That reminds me of more people who would have to be involved in this
conspiracy.  All of the people doing the recovery, research and analysis
of the pieces of the aircraft.

  - jmh


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Re: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-05-03 Thread Matt Grimaldi

From: Robert Seeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]

] This story is pretty far out there. (he he, he he, he he, he said far 
] out)
] And it remained, not secret, but under the radar for over 25 years.
] Both of those facts are worthy of remark.
]
] To be fair, I don't think it effects the arguments against 911 
] conspiracies to any great degree, but I do think the current 
] controversy over the firings of US Attorneys and similar controversies 
] that seed conspiracy theories *can* be effected by such revelations. A 
] lot of Time/Money/Manpower went into pulling off this scam and making 
] it successful, not to mention keeping it quiet until the greater 
] series of events (The Hostage Crisis) was resolved.
]
] I imagine that the question of how many of such operations are pulled 
] off successfully and without drawing public scrutiny occur, as 
] compared to those that fail and/or are leaked publicly before 
] completion, is a variable that must be posited.
]
] But overall, this story changes my perception of the potential success 
] rate of conspiracies and the ability to keep them out of the public 
] consciousness for long periods.

This was a conspiracy that was active for a short time (not years or decades)
and had a small number of people who even knew about it.  It had a
publicly visible component that could explain unusual behavior.  Once it was
finished, the number of people in the know remained small, and they had
rules in place about when to reveal their secret (no need to get in trouble by
talking now if you know it will be OK to talk in 30 years...)

Many of the grand conspiracy theories lack these kind of details that
would help them stay quiet.

-- Matt









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Re: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-05-03 Thread Russell Chapman
Horn, John wrote:

Maybe.  But it definitely illustrates that if you want to keep a
conspiracy like this secret, you need to keep the number of people who
know about it to a very, very few.  Not the thousands or hundreds of
thousands needed for something like 9/11.  Or the downing of TWA flight
800.  Or even UFOs at Roswell.  Now, a handful of CIA officers who
wanted to take out JFK, that would be a different story (not that I
believe that particular conspiracy anymore).
  

I agree with what you're saying, but I'm curious about why you would 
include TWA800 in the list. It is the one attack (if it was) on the US 
in recent times that
(a) could have been done by a VERY few people - I mean Stingers go 
missing all the time and it only takes one person to drive out to the 
island and launch
and
(b) where very little meaningful evidence has been recovered.

As far as I could tell from the other side of the world, it didn't seem 
to have much effect on policy in terms of anti-terrorist funding or 
policy change, so there wouldn't have been much point for the hawks to 
carry it out...

Cheers
Russell C.


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RE: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-05-02 Thread Horn, John
 On Behalf Of Robert Seeberger

 But overall, this story changes my perception of the 
 potential success 
 rate of conspiracies and the ability to keep them out of the public 
 consciousness for long periods.

Maybe.  But it definitely illustrates that if you want to keep a
conspiracy like this secret, you need to keep the number of people who
know about it to a very, very few.  Not the thousands or hundreds of
thousands needed for something like 9/11.  Or the downing of TWA flight
800.  Or even UFOs at Roswell.  Now, a handful of CIA officers who
wanted to take out JFK, that would be a different story (not that I
believe that particular conspiracy anymore).

  - jmh


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Re: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-04-29 Thread Robert Seeberger
- Original Message - 
From: Bryon Daly [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: Killer Bs Discussion brin-l@mccmedia.com
Sent: Saturday, April 28, 2007 11:18 PM
Subject: Re: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980


 On 4/28/07, Robert G. Seeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 This is an amazing story and is purportedly true. I've seen some
 corroborating evidence that supports the story from other sources.



 Amazing story.  Definitely seems true, because a quick google search 
 turned
 up this:

 https://www.cia.gov/csi/studies/winter99-00/art1.html

 This is a CIA historical study, written by Mendez himself.  It's 
 very
 readable and it adds a lot of details not covered in the Wired 
 article.  One
 fun tidbit: An ironic coda: by the time Studio Six folded several 
 weeks
 after the rescue, we had received 26 scripts, including some 
 potential
 moneymakers. One was from Steven Spielberg.

I suppose I am in a strange mood this morning, but something occurs to 
me.
If we accept this story as factual, not only in the general sense, but 
in it's particulars; then I believe it has to effect the way we filter 
conspiracy theories.

This story is pretty far out there. (he he, he he, he he, he said far 
out)
And it remained, not secret, but under the radar for over 25 years.
Both of those facts are worthy of remark.

To be fair, I don't think it effects the arguments against 911 
conspiracies to any great degree, but I do think the current 
controversy over the firings of US Attorneys and similar controversies 
that seed conspiracy theories *can* be effected by such revelations. A 
lot of Time/Money/Manpower went into pulling off this scam and making 
it successful, not to mention keeping it quiet until the greater 
series of events (The Hostage Crisis) was resolved.

I imagine that the question of how many of such operations are pulled 
off successfully and without drawing public scrutiny occur, as 
compared to those that fail and/or are leaked publicly before 
completion, is a variable that must be posited.

But overall, this story changes my perception of the potential success 
rate of conspiracies and the ability to keep them out of the public 
consciousness for long periods.


xponent
Sekrits 101 Maru
rob 

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Re: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-04-29 Thread Bryon Daly
On 4/29/07, Robert Seeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED]  wrote:


 But overall, this story changes my perception of the potential success
 rate of conspiracies and the ability to keep them out of the public
 consciousness for long periods.



Not for me.  Per the Mendez version, the press were already hot on the trail
of the existence of the 6 free in Iran.   It took a promise of an
post-rescue exclusive to a reporter to hold things back.  And after the
rescue, Canada's large role was immediately and widely acclaimed.  So the
who (the Canadians and the 6 trapped Americans), the what (the americnas
exfiltrated under the noses of the Iranians with enormous Canadian help),
and a significant part of the how (Canadians provided authentic passports to
help them walk past security).

What's left makes for a very interesting story and perhaps a made for TV
movie, but is hardly a conspiracy-class secret.   Aside from someone wanting
to cash in on the story in some minor way, I don't see much motivation for
people to spill the beans.  Compare that to a 9-11 class conspiracy theory,
in which people theoretically betrayed their own country and people, and
where coming out with the truth in a credible way could literally topple
the highest reaches of the goverment.  All it would take is one guilty
conscience, belated bout of patriotism, or disgruntled insider looking to
make amends, become famous, or get revenge to blow it open.
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Re: Fake Sci-Fi Heroics 1979-1980

2007-04-28 Thread Bryon Daly
On 4/28/07, Robert G. Seeberger [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

 This is an amazing story and is purportedly true. I've seen some
 corroborating evidence that supports the story from other sources.



Amazing story.  Definitely seems true, because a quick google search turned
up this:

https://www.cia.gov/csi/studies/winter99-00/art1.html

This is a CIA historical study, written by Mendez himself.  It's very
readable and it adds a lot of details not covered in the Wired article.  One
fun tidbit: An ironic coda: by the time Studio Six folded several weeks
after the rescue, we had received 26 scripts, including some potential
moneymakers. One was from Steven Spielberg.

-Bryon
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