Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: A Swarm of Nano Quadrotors - YouTube

2012-03-01 Thread Peter Robert Guerzenich Small
Makes me want to learn to shoot a shotgun. 



On Mar 1, 2012, at 8:39 PM, Owen Densmore o...@backspaces.net wrote:

 More on the drone front: 
 The Parrot AR.Drone 2.0 is Now Available to Pre-Order
 http://www.iclarified.com/entry/index.php?enid=20345
 
-- Owen
 
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Re: [FRIAM] [sfx: Discuss] Hospice Care

2011-06-17 Thread Peter Robert Guerzenich Small
I have a friend who provides in-home hospice care, usually one client at a time.
If you are interested in that kind of care, I will put you in contact with her.

Peter

On Jun 16, 2011, at 8:09 PM, Owen Densmore wrote:

 We are considering hospice care for a family member here in Santa Fe.
 
 Has anyone experience with this?  What are the problems?  Upsides?
 Downsides?  Pros/Cons?
 
 Thanks
 
 -- 
 
   -- Owen
 
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Re: [FRIAM] Graphics Class

2011-02-02 Thread Peter Robert Guerzenich Small
Hi Ed,
Was the meeting today?  The note read April 2.

Peter 



On Jan 31, 2011, at 3:10 PM, Edward Angel an...@cs.unm.edu wrote:

 I've received a lot of positive responses about the class so it looks it's a 
 go. Some of you have asked about scheduling. I'm pretty open as to times and 
 I intend to have a lot of material available on line. Steve Smith has set up 
 a doodle poll so people can put in their preferences. It's at 
 
 http://www.doodle.com/qw535ewa3ux3zxcw42grre5n/admin
 
 I had suggested we meet next week. I noted though that there is a Wedtech 
 scheduled for next week but none for this week so I've put us down to have a 
 roundtable discussion that might include content, possible projects, 
 scheduling and how to register with UNM of you want credit. So if you can 
 make it, we'll meet at the Complex Wednesday April 2 at noon.
 
 Ed
 __
 
 Ed Angel
 
 Chair, Board of Directors, Santa Fe Complex
 Founding Director, Art, Research, Technology and Science Laboratory (ARTS Lab)
 Professor Emeritus of Computer Science, University of New Mexico
 
 1017 Sierra Pinon
 Santa Fe, NM 87501
 505-984-0136 (home)   an...@cs.unm.edu
 505-453-4944 (cell)   http://www.cs.unm.edu/~angel
   
 http://artslab.unm.edu
   
 http://sfcomplex.org
 
 
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Re: [FRIAM] Graphics Class at the Complex

2011-01-31 Thread Peter Robert Guerzenich Small
Hi Ed,

I would like to take this class...  SIgn me up.

Peter


On Jan 30, 2011, at 7:39 PM, Edward Angel wrote:

 A number of you have shown interest in having a course in Computer Graphics 
 at the Complex. I've been working with UNM on it so that those of you who are 
 interested and what credit for the class can do that. So here is what I'm 
 proposing to do.
 
 We'll do the equivalent of UNM's CS/EECE 412 Introduction to Computer 
 Graphics which counts for both undergraduate and graduate credit. I'm hoping 
 we can use the new edition of my textbook Interactive Computer Graphics 
 which should come out around March. If it isn't available, my publisher will 
 get us copies of the first couple of chapters which we can use until the book 
 is available. 
 
 The course is an introduction to Computer Graphics using OpenGL. The 
 significance of the new edition is that it will be the first textbook that 
 uses the latest versions of OpenGL which are totally shader based. 
 Consequently we should be able to do projects on PCs or Macs with any version 
 of OpenGL from 3.1 up to 4.1 or on cell phones with OpenGL ES 2.0 or through 
 browsers with WebGL. All these versions are almost identical so participants 
 should be able to pick their platform and programming language. 
 
 The content includes hardware and software, geometry, viewing, modeling, 
 procedural methods, curves and surfaces. An old syllabus from UNM is at 
 www.cs.unm.edu/~angel/CS433. In the modern version that we'll do, everything 
 will be done using shaders on the GPU. I'd like to keep the format where we 
 all do a few startup projects and then each participant picks a project to do.
 
 The plan is to start around March 1 and do the class over the next couple of 
 months ending at the close of UNM's spring semester. 
 
 To make this work for those who want credit and to earn some much needed 
 funds for the Complex, I need seven people to register for UNM credit. 
 Otherwise, I don't really care if others sit in as long as they participate. 
 
 Not only is the subject of interest to a lot of you, if we can do this course 
 successfully with UNM, it will lead to a long term relationship under which 
 we could offer more courses at the Complex for which credit will be 
 available. I'll also be working on an on line version at the same time which 
 could also be a test case for future offerings through the Complex.
 
 Please let me know if you are interested. It would be good to have an 
 organizational meeting sometime next week, perhaps a round table at Wedtech 
 next week if nothing else has been scheduled yet.
 
 Ed
 __
 
 Ed Angel
 
 Chair, Board of Directors, Santa Fe Complex
 Founding Director, Art, Research, Technology and Science Laboratory (ARTS Lab)
 Professor Emeritus of Computer Science, University of New Mexico
 
 1017 Sierra Pinon
 Santa Fe, NM 87501
 505-984-0136 (home)   an...@cs.unm.edu
 505-453-4944 (cell)   http://www.cs.unm.edu/~angel
   
 http://artslab.unm.edu
   
 http://sfcomplex.org
 
 
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 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: [FRIAM] [sfx: Discuss] JavaScript Development

2011-01-17 Thread Peter Robert Guerzenich Small
I've been using TextMate to edit Javascript most of the time, augmented by a 
jslint plugin for TextMate.  jslint (http://www.jslint.com/) is a javascript 
syntax checker that makes sure the syntax is correct before you run the code.  
It is extremely helpful.

jsunit, the javascript unit testing framework, is also useful, and it will run 
outside a browser using rhino.

On Jan 15, 2011, at 4:51 PM, Owen Densmore wrote:

 We're going to start some JavaScript projects, and I'd like to know:
   How Do You Develop JavaScript apps/libraries?
 
 There are IDEs like Eclipse, NetBeans, IntelliJ and so on, all of which have 
 some sort of JS capability.  Also a new one, Cloud9 which, believe it or not, 
 is written in JavaScript natively!  Generally these aim for a debugger, and 
 for browser related programming, a way to preview your work in a browser 
 within the IDE.
 
 Then there are TextEditors, with fewer bells  whistles, but with syntax 
 highlighting and keyword completion, and generally a way to run your code in 
 your default browser.
 
 Then there is a more do-it-by-hand approach: use a simple text editor, and 
 create a work flow using the the JS engine and debugger in the browser.  
 Firefox and Firebug are quite popular, but Chrome and Safari also have 
 developer tools.  Often you'll just build a tiny HTML page with the JS 
 inline, just to see how it all works.
 
 Finally, for just experimenting and exploring, there are JS shells, 
 generally the browser JS engines but runnable outside of the browser on the 
 command line.  SpiderMonkey, WebKit, and Rhino are examples
 
 So the question is: how do you do your JS programming?  And good hints/ideas?
 
-- Owen
 
 
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[FRIAM] Can agent based modeling do a better job ( of economic modeling ) ?

2010-08-10 Thread peter baston
http://www.economist.com/node/16636121?story_id=16636121fsrc=rss

( : ( : pete
-- 
--
Peter Baston
IDEAS business technology integration
www.ideapete.com
Cell: 505-690-3627
Mailto:p...@ideapete.com

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[FRIAM] The death of Telco as we know it !

2010-08-07 Thread peter baston
This from one of the most conservative Telco CEOs in Europe

Or should it be called  why the Iphone - Pad and Android will rule the
world  Get out of telco stocks NOW unless they really get it !!

-

http://www.forbes.com/2010/08/06/lombard-microsoft-apple-google-intelligent-investing-france-telecom.html?boxes=Homepagelight

*Alexandra Zendrian, Forbes: *How do you anticipate this year will go
for *France
Telecom*http://finapps.forbes.com/finapps/jsp/finance/compinfo/CIAtAGlance.jsp?tkr=FTE(
FTEhttp://finapps.forbes.com/finapps/jsp/finance/compinfo/CIAtAGlance.jsp?tkr=FTE-
news
http://search.forbes.com/search/CompanyNewsSearch?ticker=FTE - people
http://people.forbes.com/search?ticker=FTE)?

*Lombard:* 2010 is a major year for the telecom sector worldwide. People
have made a lot of moves with evolution of Internet and activity of
telecoms. What is happening right now is restructuring for the sector.
Usually the way it works is the customer selected the telco and he enjoys
having the Internet, phone, etc. The ecosystem is organized around the
telco, with additional services coming form a lot of players. Now the data
traffic in mobile is exploding, which means that all customers worldwide are
using the phone as portable PC--not just with the neighbors and friends but
also a tool to be fully integrated into the network.

The big revolution which is happening now is that in the future the customer
will choose first the services they want and the device in which they will
receive the services. The secondary requirement will be the network. We've
reversed the model. The customer is fully interested by service and device
and content and the network is an accessory. They think that they can find
the network anywhere. It's a drastic change in business model. There needs
to be an investment in these different parts to be sure that the model we
have can go on. We have to be sure that each part will get necessary
financing to invest at minimum level to ensure services.

The networks, where the initial telephone network was installed a long time
ago. No one had to pay for new networks for a while. And now fiber optics
came along, which cost billions. You have to be sure that someone will pay
for the investment. You have to be sure that content provider have to find
some part of the revenue. The new model that I described which starts from
service provider guarantees that the revenues will reach these areas.

The fiber is very expensive because the solution which is very efficient is
to use this. We will wire each individual home. This works in comparison to
what happened during the last century. We will do something like that in
five years. The work wasn't done by our predecessors in *80 years.* So
there's an acceleration of the investment period and a lot of additional
expense with new technologies. The characteristics of the new digital world
is that everything is under the control of powerful software.

--


( : ( : pete
-- 
--
Peter Baston
IDEAS business technology integration
www.ideapete.com
Cell: 505-690-3627
Mailto:p...@ideapete.com

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[FRIAM] The Mysterious Triangular Truss!

2009-04-29 Thread Peter Lissaman

Wot be Cognitive Vertigo But a discussion by people don't know the topic?
ANY triangle consisting of three joined members (wood or gold, and not 
necessarily straight, or pinned) if supported on a base will resist any 
load through any vertex.  It is not particularly good at this and much less 
rigid than a single member of the truss in direct load .  Leonardo used 
these a lot.  Even made stylish cartoons of same. Called a simple triangular 
truss.  The basis of all space frames. 




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[FRIAM] The Mysterious Triangular Truss!

2009-04-29 Thread Peter Lissaman

Wot be Cognitive Vertigo But a discussion by people don't know the topic?
ANY triangle consisting of three joined members (wood or gold, and not 
necessarily straight, or pinned) if supported on a base will resist any 
load through any vertex.  It is not particularly good at this and much less 
rigid than a single member of the truss in direct load .  Leonardo used 
these a lot.  Even made stylish cartoons of same. Called a simple triangular 
truss.  The basis of all space frames. 




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[FRIAM] A leetle thermodynamics!

2009-04-10 Thread Peter Lissaman
Solar cookers can break your heart, but not the laws of thermodynamics. 
Consider this elementary fact, my dear Dr. Watson.  The insolation on earth 
near the equator is about 800 W/m2, it is less at the end of the day, and 
much less after sunset.  For an aperture of 0.1 m2, you getting about 80 W 
black body, ignoring losses.  Concentrators have nuttin to do with it! This 
amounts to about 270 BTU/hr from which you could boil a bit less than 2 
pints of water in an hour, assuming no losses.
BTW, you can, with care and ceremony,  make ice in the Egyptian deserts 
every cloudless night, by exploiting radiation to the stars from shallow 
water trays, and careful control of nucleation, convection and vaporization. 
In fact, the temple priests used to do it on the flat roofs of the temples 
to impress the unwashed on the bounty of whatever God they were scamming 
that week.   Much hoopla, involving sanctified water brought up from the 
basement (where it had got pretty cool, mixed with yesterday's ice), 
throwing holy dust on the surface (to provide nucleation particles) and 
wafting the surface at just the right time and rate with magic ostrich 
featherwands to actually control heat transfer due to convection and vapors. 
It's just thermodynamics, Nefertiti!  And if sometimes the ice didn't form, 
it was because someone's mother-in-law was a witch!  It's amazing what them 
religious guys know!!
I usedta teach elementary courses in thermo in CA and the conversion 
constants are from memory and only roughly correct. 




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[FRIAM] A leetle thermodynamics!

2009-04-10 Thread Peter Lissaman
Solar cookers can break your heart, but not the laws of thermodynamics. 
Consider this elementary fact, my dear Dr. Watson.  The insolation on earth 
near the equator is about 800 W/m2, it is less at the end of the day, and 
much less after sunset.  For an aperture of 0.1 m2, you getting about 80 W 
black body, ignoring losses.  Concentrators have nuttin to do with it! This 
amounts to about 270 BTU/hr from which you could boil a bit less than 2 
pints of water in an hour, assuming no losses.
BTW, you can, with care and ceremony,  make ice in the Egyptian deserts 
every cloudless night, by exploiting radiation to the stars from shallow 
water trays, and careful control of nucleation, convection and vaporization. 
In fact, the temple priests used to do it on the flat roofs of the temples 
to impress the unwashed on the bounty of whatever God they were scamming 
that week.   Much hoopla, involving sanctified water brought up from the 
basement (where it had got pretty cool, mixed with yesterday's ice), 
throwing holy dust on the surface (to provide nucleation particles) and 
wafting the surface at just the right time and rate with magic ostrich 
featherwands to actually control heat transfer due to convection and vapors. 
It's just thermodynamics, Nefertiti!  And if sometimes the ice didn't form, 
it was because someone's mother-in-law was a witch!  It's amazing what them 
religious guys know!!
I usedta teach elementary courses in thermo in CA and the conversion 
constants are from memory and only roughly correct. 




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[FRIAM] Google M-Labs: Your Personal Traffic Cop - The Channel Wire - IT Channel News And Views by CRN and VARBusiness

2009-01-29 Thread peter

http://www.crn.com/networking/212903447
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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[FRIAM] Accountability: a rare courage!

2009-01-28 Thread Peter Lissaman
The idea is that a published paper should be preceded by the names of the
reviewers for and agin said work.  That terrifies the profs!  Still throws
no light on the naysayers if a paper is rejected!

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694





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[FRIAM] Homeostasis by Peer Review

2009-01-27 Thread Peter Lissaman
Peer Review is indeed an excellent preserver of status quo.  For the AIAA
(the main aerospace institution) the standard procedure is that the signed
draft paper is submitted by editors to reviewers, who then send anonymous
comments to the author.  Twenty years ago, as a Fellow of said august
Institution, I  proposed simply reversing the process:  sending the paper
anonymously to reviewers and then listing favorable reviewers on the
published paper.  It was received with deafening silence.  Actually, the
Royal Society does do something akin to this.

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694






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[FRIAM] Art, Science Vice-versa

2009-01-14 Thread Peter Lissaman
I reckon a rather convincing demonstration that, happily, Art is NOT like
Science is that artists don't write the sort of stuff appears in Friam on
the subject.

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694





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[FRIAM] Get rid of TMI - Information Clarity - Tufte seminar coming

2008-12-11 Thread peter
We are all in the business of data and information clarity and if you 
have never been to a Tufte seminar you should


Today we are all feeling the effects of To Much Information, most of it 
useless


It will revolutionize how you and your organization look at and transmit 
any form of information


Those of you who know me know I don't recommend these things lightly but 
this one is a must do.


Albuquerque Jan 30th 2009 http://www.edwardtufte.com/tufte/courses

( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/

3210 La Paz Lane

Santa Fe, NM 87507

/Albuquerque// Office: 505-890-9649/

/Santa Fe// Office: 505-629-4227/

/Cell: 505-690-3627/

/Fax: 866-642-8918/

/_Mailto:p...@ideapete.com mailto:p...@ideapete.com_/






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Re: [FRIAM] Strogatz and Ratti video conversation

2008-11-16 Thread peter
Exactly the point that stuck out to me is two experts ( Top Rated )  
from different disciplines saying  This is scary we really /_don't 
know_ /and should find out  instead of heck lets just build it and see 
if the humans live ( We don't even do that to amphibians or reptile pets 
) this from a senior member of a profession who's egos are bigger than 
Everest and about as unreachable.


The big kicker here will always be You cannot measure or model 
therefore manage Giant Non linear Complex Systems with simple linear 
technology not mater how pretty the GUI 


Phil mentions Jane Jacobs and her work which is full of visually 
identified rules ( that work and do not ) with feedback loops and I will 
add Chris Alexander http://www.patternlanguage.com/ ( we are using both 
in our parametric model designs of education facilities tied to 
educational excellence )


Jochen's point about Berlin not being the greatest place to live in can 
be I think covered under  What exactly do you call excitement that 
every psychopath wants to know and as Jane Jacobs and even  Ratti 
points out designs go wrong but in many cases its just left up to the 
people in the FUBAR to suffer baby suffer.


Again from the silliness and partially scary aspect ---  model your city 
or town on Discworld and see how close you can get, thats either good 
news or bad depending on your Guinness quota or in Jochens case Berliner 
Weisse


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Phil Henshaw wrote:


The idea offered that why cities become such thriving places for 
humans is because of the intensity of noise in the connections is 
somewhat fantastic.That's really what Storgatz  Ratti are 
proposing, as traditional science has always proposed to explain what 
is inexplicable to it's method.   To their credit, the one thing they 
seem to accurately agree on is that science doesn't have a clue how 
that would work, and that we do indeed observe daily that it somehow 
really does. 

 

They should read Jane Jacobs on the Nature of Economies or the Economy 
of Cities, who brilliantly describes the actual creative mechanism of 
the environment. The productive wide open door to recognizing 
it, that most everyone opts not to walk through, is that it's _the 
diversity options_, not _the diversity of instructions_ in a creative 
organism like a city that do it.That sort of messes up the 
deterministic model, of course, but points to a gap in our rules where 
things could both exit and enter.


 

Phil Henshaw  

 

*From:* [EMAIL PROTECTED] [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] 
*On Behalf Of *peter

*Sent:* Saturday, November 15, 2008 2:27 PM
*To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
*Cc:* [EMAIL PROTECTED]
*Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Strogatz and Ratti video conversation

 


Nice one indeed , great catch Steve

But do we all realize the implications with the words - /Feedback 
Loops - Giant Non Linear systems/ ( being measured with linear systems 
) - /Network theory/ not translating into /Euclidean geometry./


I found the piece on natural laws of cities totally enlightening but 
fortunately for all of us SaFeans we live in Discworld nirvana where 
no natural laws apply as Owen can testify from his phenomenal research 
under Professor Pratchett


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/

 

 



  

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Re: [FRIAM] Strogatz and Ratti video conversation

2008-11-15 Thread peter

Nice one indeed , great catch Steve

But do we all realize the implications with the words - /Feedback Loops 
- Giant Non Linear systems/ ( being measured with linear systems ) - 
/Network theory/ not translating into /Euclidean geometry./


I found the piece on natural laws of cities totally enlightening but 
fortunately for all of us SaFeans we live in Discworld nirvana where no 
natural laws apply as Owen can testify from his phenomenal research 
under Professor Pratchett


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Stephen Guerin wrote:

Nice video of Steven Strogatz and Carlo Ratti discussing complexity
and urban design:

http://salon.seedmagazine.com/salon_strogatz_ratti.html
Strogatz mathematically describes how natural and sociocultural
complexity resolves into vast webs of order. Ratti uses technology as
a tool to create interactive urban environments. In this video Salon,
Strogatz and Ratti discuss whether building and analyzing human
networks can help us overcome our poor mathematical understanding of
complexity.

-S

  

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[FRIAM] Re- Art of a Crime ( Graffiti )

2008-11-13 Thread peter

Hi David

Great article http://www.santafenewmexican.com/Teen/13-teen-story nice slant

Have you ever thought about where some graffiti artists eventually could 
end up, career wise, and what sort of opportunities are open to them,


Check out this guy http://www.ideapete.com/Hundertwasser.html and what a 
name ( Freedom ( country )  hundred waters ). He started out making 
simple graffiti designs around windows ( for which he was put in jail ) 
then made steel and wood plates to make the designs semi permanent 
fixtures, then he extended his work to cover the whole building and the 
rest is history. Look what he did with this industrial waste recovery 
plant its incredible and on the Danube no less, then multi 
denominational churches, hotels  and other fantastic stuff . ( You can 
do pre design concept work with virtual architecture in school ( 
software is free )Think of most of the terrible industrial box 
industrial designs ( Intel Rio Rancho - The Eldorado hotel - Your School 
Yuck ) that surround us


Then you have Graffiti as a math model ( right brain )  in relationship 
to fractals and I am sure that my dear friend Jonathan Wolfe 
http://www.fractalfoundation.org/jwolfe.shtm would love to bend your 
ears on that subject ( think ever changing fractal graffiti projected on 
the sides of buildings changing with the seasons or in the sky with 
lasers - surprise competitions with sponsors  ) The simple fact is that 
a huge amount of your fellow students relate to the world in right brain 
concepts and thats why left brain linear doesn't make much sense to them 
and its shows in their concept graffiti design.


Then you have graffiti projects that can be turned in to web movies 
http://www.blublu.org/  this is a great demonstration of combination of  
low tech ( Graffiti ) with high tech ( web )


Then again you could start a funding project for the schools ( or 
yourself ) with moving graffiti 
http://yadayadanyc.blogspot.com/2008/04/moving-graffiti.html


Last but not least the premier worlds graffiti artist 
http://www.banksy.co.uk/menu.html who's work now goes in excess of six 
figure $ (  My favorite piece is the anarchist flower thrower  )


Maybe you should put together a whole display of this stuff at one of 
the Friam complexes call it / Graffiti the next high tech frontier /  
( using  as you center design  ) , you would pack them in and give 
lots of your friends HOPE ( Steve [EMAIL PROTECTED] is the guy 
to talk to )


Just as a fun closure I showed the electronic page that your article 
appears on in the SFNM and asked all to rate the graphics ( There are 5 
including the header )  The graffiti shot won by a mile ( I use 
addblocker and that must give Ginny fits )


Yes I know there are bad uses of graffiti but personally I think it is a 
huge tsunami of creativity waiting to be unleashed and we can drown in 
it or surf the big one


Agh so much fun so little time and the world is your oyster ( painted or 
not )


( : ( : pete

--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/

3210 La Paz Lane

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[FRIAM] Computing Our Way Into The Collapse - Forbes.com

2008-11-12 Thread peter

http://www.forbes.com/forbes/2008/1117/044.html

About says it in a nutshell, quants and all

( : ( : pete
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[FRIAM] A Modest Query

2008-11-12 Thread Peter Lissaman
Does anyone know why Excel SOLVER gives unrepeatable (unspeakable) results
for a simple variation problem? A high order wave equation.  I'll give
details if you e-mail me.

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694





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Re: [FRIAM] Ruth Charney on Modeling with Cubes - The readable one

2008-11-04 Thread peter

Nice work Ken

Its especially interesting when this field breaks into multi dimension ( 
or hypercube in Ruths words )  start including hologram memory retention 
and the shifting POVS as you can now change your vector all around the 
dimension and all sorts of wonderful patterns come into view. Maybe 
mother nature with her fractal geometry for everything has some real 
relevance but we just have difficulty laying everything out in 2d and 
start from the wrong perspective


Keep it up and feed more to the group

( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

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Kenneth Lloyd wrote:

Pete,
 
First, thanks for the Charney link. For the past several years I have 
been working with connective Compositional Pattern Producing Networks 
(CPPNs) in HyperNEAT. 
 
http://eplex.cs.ucf.edu/papers/stanley_alife09.pdf
 
Specifically, I have been using CPPN's for pattern discovery in 
evolving complex systems. Jason Gauci wrote this interesting 
introduction to unsupervised pattern learning in a simple checkers 
game using these techniques - an definite improvement on Blondie24:
 
http://eplex.cs.ucf.edu/papers/gauci_aaai08.pdf
 
Ken



*From:* [EMAIL PROTECTED]
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] *On Behalf Of *peter
*Sent:* Monday, November 03, 2008 10:01 AM
*To:* The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group; Tom Johnson
*Subject:* Re: [FRIAM] Ruth Charney on Modeling with Cubes - The
readable one

Here is the actual presentation that was unreadable on Youtube

Ruth sent it to me and Steve reposted it at

http://www.friam.org/Charney_MAA10-08.pdf

She does remarkable work and thanks Tom for the heads up

Will do the same with Marty Golibitskys similar presentation  Patterns Patterns 
Everywhere  when I get it

( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/


 




Tom Johnson wrote:

From the Internet Scout
 

 
*Ruth Charney on Modeling with Cubes [Macromedia Flash Player]*


http://www.maa.org/news/102308charney.html

The Mathematical Association of America (MAA) continues to build
on their already solid online presence with the addition of this
lecture by noted mathematician and scholar Professor Ruth
Charney. This particular lecture was given at the MAA's Carriage
House Conference Center in the fall of 2008 and it deals with how
cubes can be used to represent a variety of systems. As Charney
notes, The geometry of these spaces is strange, complicated, and
a lot of fun to study. Visitors to the site can watch several
particularly lucid examples from Charney's talk, read her
biography, and also read a detailed interview with her conducted
by Michael Pearson. [KMG]

https://mail.google.com/mail/?ui=1view=pagename=gpver=sh3fib53pgpk#11d532fd493691f2_team



tj
==
J. T. Johnson
Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA
www.analyticjournalism.com http://www.analyticjournalism.com
505.577.6482(c)505.473.9646(h)
http://www.jtjohnson.com [EMAIL PROTECTED]
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]

You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the
existing model obsolete.
-- Buckminster Fuller
== 



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Re: [FRIAM] Ruth Charney on Modeling with Cubes - The readable one

2008-11-03 Thread peter

Here is the actual presentation that was unreadable on Youtube

Ruth sent it to me and Steve reposted it at

http://www.friam.org/Charney_MAA10-08.pdf

She does remarkable work and thanks Tom for the heads up

Will do the same with Marty Golibitskys similar presentation  Patterns Patterns 
Everywhere  when I get it

( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Tom Johnson wrote:

From the Internet Scout
 

 
*Ruth Charney on Modeling with Cubes [Macromedia Flash Player]*


http://www.maa.org/news/102308charney.html

The Mathematical Association of America (MAA) continues to build on 
their already solid online presence with the addition of this lecture 
by noted mathematician and scholar Professor Ruth Charney. This 
particular lecture was given at the MAA's Carriage House Conference 
Center in the fall of 2008 and it deals with how cubes can be used to 
represent a variety of systems. As Charney notes, The geometry of 
these spaces is strange, complicated, and a lot of fun to study. 
Visitors to the site can watch several particularly lucid examples 
from Charney's talk, read her biography, and also read a detailed 
interview with her conducted by Michael Pearson. [KMG] 
https://mail.google.com/mail/?ui=1view=pagename=gpver=sh3fib53pgpk#11d532fd493691f2_team 




tj
==
J. T. Johnson
Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA
www.analyticjournalism.com http://www.analyticjournalism.com
505.577.6482(c)505.473.9646(h)
http://www.jtjohnson.com [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]


You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the
existing model obsolete.
-- Buckminster Fuller
== 

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Re: [FRIAM] Why Model? Exactly so and vote for the best model or image of 1 of all time

2008-11-03 Thread peter
I cannot help thinking that there is a huge oxymoron when a defense of 
modeling is made with TEXT


When modeling can demonstrate its causality and need ( TOTALLY explain 
itself ) using its functions ( Right Brain )   Demonstrate your 
technology with your technology   then we are moving along the right 
track until then we are pontificating or a possible delusion.


Still pondering the implications of Marty Golubitsky who quoted Rene 
Thom statement / When you build a model its really just a theory and 
may have nothing whatsoever to do with the real world except in the 
opinion of the modelers /


As for phenomenal models and I will include images of potential models 
that SPEAK for themselves with awesome potential  
http://www.edwardtufte.com/tufte/posters Minards 1812 poster and go to 
Tufte's seminar it will blow your mind ( Figuratively speaking or not 
depending on who you are with )


Next challenge for Steve and Owen  How do we use cloud technology 
illustrate and investigate model technology in its full multi 
dimensional glory


Heck Monty Python did in more ways than wun.

( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Robert Holmes wrote:
Hmmm anyone else troubled by the fact that both definitions of 
indoctrination seem to be wholly applicable to the Epstein piece?


Robert

On Sun, Nov 2, 2008 at 10:02 PM, Douglas Roberts [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


I prefer the dictionary definition:

Dictionary.com Unabridged (v 1.1)
http://dictionary.reference.com/help/luna.html - Cite This
Source
http://dictionary.reference.com/cite.html?qh=indoctrinationia=luna
- Share This
http://dictionary.reference.com/browse/indoctrination#sharethis
in·doc·tri·nate
http://dictionary.reference.com/audio.html/lunaWAV/I01/I0137800
/?n?d?ktr??ne?t/ Pronunciation Key - Show Spelled
Pronunciation[in-*dok*-tr/uh/-neyt] Pronunciation Key - Show IPA
Pronunciation --verb (used with object), -nat·ed, -nat·ing.
1.  to instruct in a doctrine, principle, ideology, etc., esp. to
imbue with a specific partisan or biased belief or point of view.



On Sun, Nov 2, 2008 at 9:55 PM, Marcus G. Daniels
[EMAIL PROTECTED] mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Douglas Roberts wrote:

Why think, when there is dogma to save you the bother?

A quick check of Wikipedia might suggest an explanation..

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indoctrination
 Indoctrination is the process of inculcating ideas,
attitudes, cognitive strategies or a professional methodology.





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[FRIAM] EMOTICONS at TED

2008-11-03 Thread peter

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eYyN_6GmzWI

I just had to post this
--

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[FRIAM] The first article on the cloud

2008-11-01 Thread peter

http://www.economist.com/specialreports/displayStory.cfm?story_id=12411882

A survey of corporate IT: IT's global cloud | Let it rise | The Economist

( The one previous post and the others come after )
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Re: [FRIAM] Ruth Charney on Modeling with Cubes

2008-11-01 Thread peter
Yes great stuff BUT sad that the you tube postings of the presentations 
suck and are un-viewable due to poor camera work ( I have emailed Ruth 
for a copy of her power point presentation and will post it when I get it )


There is also a fascinating guy on a similar program called Martin 
Golubitsky http://www.maa.org/news/090508mg.html and 
http://www.math.uh.edu/~mg/ discussing  Patterns Patterns Everywhere  
which will blow your socks of ( Sadly same problem as Ruth's with the 
camera work  and ditto with the powerpoint posting if he will send it to 
me.)


I heard a lecture or interview of his once in which he says / Its 
especially important to realize that most models are just theories which 
may have no connection to anything in real life except in the mind of 
the modeler /  Just about says it all.


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEA-*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Tom Johnson wrote:

From the Internet Scout
 

 
*Ruth Charney on Modeling with Cubes [Macromedia Flash Player]*


http://www.maa.org/news/102308charney.html

The Mathematical Association of America (MAA) continues to build on 
their already solid online presence with the addition of this lecture 
by noted mathematician and scholar Professor Ruth Charney. This 
particular lecture was given at the MAA's Carriage House Conference 
Center in the fall of 2008 and it deals with how cubes can be used to 
represent a variety of systems. As Charney notes, The geometry of 
these spaces is strange, complicated, and a lot of fun to study. 
Visitors to the site can watch several particularly lucid examples 
from Charney's talk, read her biography, and also read a detailed 
interview with her conducted by Michael Pearson. [KMG] 
https://mail.google.com/mail/?ui=1view=pagename=gpver=sh3fib53pgpk#11d532fd493691f2_team 




tj
==
J. T. Johnson
Institute for Analytic Journalism -- Santa Fe, NM USA
www.analyticjournalism.com http://www.analyticjournalism.com
505.577.6482(c)505.473.9646(h)
http://www.jtjohnson.com [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]


You never change things by fighting the existing reality.
To change something, build a new model that makes the
existing model obsolete.
-- Buckminster Fuller
== 

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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: [FRIAM] Subject:Grappa Wireless Internet

2008-10-27 Thread peter
 or Cable come available, I think they are a 
better answer.




Robert

On Thu, Oct 23, 2008 at 4:10 PM, peter [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


http://grappawireless.com/about.html

Anyone in the group have any experience or comments on these guys

( : ( : pete
-- 


Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/


 

 




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[FRIAM] Greenspan - Bad data hurt Wall Street computer models - NYTimes.com

2008-10-24 Thread peter

http://www.nytimes.com/external/idg/2008/10/23/23idg-Greenspan-Bad.html?scp=2sq=greenspan%20tsunami%20modelsst=cse

The two most fascinating paragraphs are below / its also fun to note the 
federal sentencing guidelines now take into account the financial impact 
amount of fraud which means our merry Quants could be doing multi 
lifetimes in the pokey

/
/

/But at a hearing 
http://www.idg.com/www/rd.nsf/rd?readformu=http://oversight.house.gov/story.asp?ID=2256 
held today by the House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, 
Greenspan acknowledged that the data fed into financial systems was 
often a case of garbage-in, garbage-out.
Business decisions by financial services firms were based on the best 
insights of mathematicians and finance experts, supported by major 
advances in computer and communications technology, Greenspan told the 
committee. The whole intellectual edifice, however, collapsed in the 
summer of last year because the data inputted into the risk management 
models generally covered only the past two decades a period of euphoria.
He added that if the risk models also had been built to include 
historic periods of stress, capital requirements would have been much 
higher and the financial world would be in far better shape today, in my 
judgment.

/

/It was unclear from Cox's testimony just what sort of regulatory 
changes he was suggesting. But he said that the SEC is now engaged in 
aggressive law enforcement/


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[FRIAM] Grappa Wireless Internet

2008-10-23 Thread peter

http://grappawireless.com/about.html

Anyone in the group have any experience or comments on these guys

( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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Re: [FRIAM] Blinded By Science - When models FAIL taking all the humans

2008-10-18 Thread peter


Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








glen e. p. ropella wrote:

Thus spake peggy miller circa 10/17/2008 09:32 AM:
  

Translation -- statistics and common sense verified that the larger the
operation becomes, with noticeably poorer decisions happening at the size of
business over $1 billion in profits, matched by replacement of
ownership/manager with non-owner managers, judgment fails. Caring appears to
be a part of ownership. Somethings counter this problem, like profit sharing
-- giving workers part of profits -- but ownership of business and smaller
size seems to be almost irreplaceable. Small banks and credit unions, owned
locally, rarely fail. The owner's name, reputation and thus decisions are on
the line.



Why is it that we are (and continue to be) so myopic to the flaws to
such large-scale abstraction (aggregation and accumulation)?

It seems (to me) that we should have learned this lesson thoroughly when
we demonstrated that many contexts call for distributed as opposed to
centralized solutions.  We had to learn that lesson over and over in
various disciplines.  Why hasn't that knowledge translated to corporate
governance?  (Or government even?)

Centralization, abstraction, aggregation, and accumulation seem to be
the dominant tendency.

My undefended conjecture is that such abstraction is the only way an
individual can _both_ multiply their money _and_ keep the consequences
at arm's length.  I.e. it's the only way one can both make butt-loads of
money and retain a clear conscience.  (Gee, do I sound like a socialist?
or what? ;-)

But it's also quite possible that the only way to maintain a survival
by growth method is to engage in such accumulation.  For corporations,
it's obvious.  For the federal government, it's less so because it's
reasonable to assume that the management of 3.5 million square miles and
350 million people requires a centralized solution.

  

How many names of the managers of these large failed institutions do we
know? a couple? and they get paid handsomely either way ..



This reminds me of:

Thus spake peter circa 10/01/2008 09:50 AM:
  

Sure I will dig out some names ...
[...]

glen e. p. ropella wrote:


But can you help me reduce my ignorance?  Which complexity science
geniuses created these credit models?  And which ones do you think
might go to jail?
  


Peter?  Did you ever get a chance to dig up some names of these
complexity science geniuses?
  


Lets see how accurate these names are and when they get their subpoenas

Rothman / Kearns / Goldberg / Cushing  /  Jessop / Mouicci



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[FRIAM] Can Math Cure Cancer? - Forbes.com

2008-10-18 Thread peter

http://www.forbes.com/forbes/2008/1027/074.html

Now this is MATH with a purpose

( : ( : pete
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[FRIAM] Blinded By Science - When models FAIL taking all the humans with them

2008-10-15 Thread peter





 The
best piece in this entire article ( Posted in full because its
subscribers only ) is "
How
could so many smart people have got it so wrong? One reason is that
their faith in their models' predictive powers led them to ignore what
was happening in the real world."

What does that say about our entire approach to modeling especially
when our clients believe in the model, thinking it reflects the real
world as most of these poor ( pun ) bankers and financial geniuses did

Ill post the master text from the main article " The
Blunders that lead to the catastrophe " - How the
brightest and the best mathematical modelers fail at their task of
keeping disaster at bay in the next post To be fair the main
quant defense is we didn't have enough related data but when the result
is a financial loss to the financial world equal to all the sums made
in the systems lifetime that excuse frankly sucks

( :: ( : pete

Peter
Baston

IDEAS

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Editorial: When the numbers don't add up
Blinded by science - Financial regulators have allowed
themselves to be bamboozled
( Ably assisted by quants and techies
on huge bonuses - my insert ( : ( : pete ) 


   24 September 2008
  
   From New Scientist Print Edition. Subscribe
and get 4 free issues. 







ONE
of the most alarming things about the crisis in the global financial
system is that the warning signs have been out there for some time, yet
no one heeded them. Exactly 10 years ago a hedge fund called Long-Term Capital Management
failed to convince investors that it could repay its debts, thereby
bringing the world to the brink of a similar "liquidity crisis" to the
one we now see. Disaster was averted then only because regulators
managed to put together a multibillion-dollar bailout package.
LTCM's
collapse was particularly notable because its founders had set great
store by their use of statistical models designed to keep tabs on the
risks inherent in their investments. Its fall should have been a
wake-up call to banks and their regulatory supervisors that the models
were not working as well as hoped - in particular that they were
ignoring the risks of extreme events and the connections that send such
events reverberating around the financial system. Instead, they carried
on using them.
Now
that disaster has struck again, some financial risk modellers - the
"quants" who have wielded so much influence over modern banking - are
saying they know where the gaps in their knowledge are and are
promising to fill them (see
"How the risk models failed the world's banks"). Should we trust
them?
Their
track record does not inspire confidence. Statistical models have
proved almost useless at predicting the killer risks for individual
banks, and worse than useless when it comes to risks to the financial
system as a whole. The models encouraged bankers to think they were
playing a high-stakes card game, when what they were actually doing was
more akin to lining up a row of dominoes.
How
could so many smart people have got it so wrong? One reason is that
their faith in their models' predictive powers led them to ignore what
was happening in the real world. Finance offers enormous scope for
dissembling: almost any failure can be explained away by a judicious
choice of language and data. When investors don't behave like the
self-interested Homo economicus that economists suppose them to
be, they are described as being "irrationally exuberant" or blinded by
panic. An alternative view - that investors are reacting logically in
the face of uncertainty - is rarely considered. Similarly, extreme
events are described as happening only "once in a century" - even
though there is insufficient data on which to base such an assessment.
Bankers' faith in their
models' predictive powers led them to ignore what was happening in the
real world
The
quants' models might successfully predict the movement of markets most
of the time, but the bankers who rely on them have failed to realise
that the occasions on which the markets deviate from normality are much
more important than those when they comply. The events of the past year
have driven this home in spectacular fashion: by some estimates, the
banking industry has lost more money in the current crisis than it has
made in its entire history.
Can modellers do better? There are alternatives to the standard
approach: models based on people's real-world behaviour (New
Scientist, 30 August, p 16) and on "virtual agents" (New
Scientist, 19 July, p 32)
have shown promise, though these are still fringe fields in economics.
Most quants, while acknowledging the shortcomings of their models, tend
to argue that approximations are necessary, given the difficulty of
modelling extreme events, which are in any case rare.
That
may be true, but it is dangerous to assume that the approximations are
sound. Sometimes even small modelling deficiencies can have huge

[FRIAM] The Blunders that lead to the catastrophe - Humpty Dumpty's modeling school

2008-10-15 Thread peter




The main article 
( : ( : pete
Peter
Baston
IDEAS
www.ideapete.com




The blunders that led to the banking crisis

   25 September 2008
  
   From New Scientist Print Edition. Subscribe
and get 4 free issues. 
  Rob Jameson







WHAT'S
the quickest way to kill a bank? As recent events in the financial
world have shown, the answer is to deny them access to ready cash. Over
the past year, a string of banking institutions have found themselves
in such a "liquidity crisis": unable to convince the market they can
honour their promises to pay back money they owe. The result has been a
series of high-profile failures, from Northern Rock in the UK last year
to Lehman Brothers last week.
The
crisis did not come without warning. Ten years ago this month, a giant
hedge fund called Long-Term Capital Management collapsed when it too
suffered a liquidity crisis. Yet banks and regulators seem not to have
heeded the lessons from this wake-up call by improving the mathematical
models that they use to manage their risk.
That
raises two key questions. How did the risk modellers get it so wrong?
And what can they do to prevent similar crises in future?
Banks
are vulnerable to liquidity crises because they borrow money that may
have to be repaid in the short term, and use it to back up more
lucrative longer-term investments. If depositors withdraw their money
and other lenders refuse to lend the bank the funds they need to
replace it, the bank ends up in trouble because it can't easily turn
its long-term assets into cash to make up the shortfall.
Banks
pay enormous sums to lure researchers away from other areas of science
and set them to work building complex statistical models that
supposedly tell the bankers about the risks they are running. So why
didn't they see what was coming?
The
answer lies partly in the nature of liquidity crises. "By definition
they are rare, extreme events, so all the models you rely on in normal
times don't work any more," says Michel Crouhy head of research and
development at the French investment bank Natixis, and author of a
standard text on financial risk management. What's more, each liquidity
crisis is inevitably different from its predecessors, not least because
major crises provoke changes in the shape of markets, regulations and
the behaviour of players.
Liquidity crises are rare,
extreme events, so all the models you rely on in normal times don't
work any more
On
top of this, banks wrongly assumed that two areas of vulnerability
could be treated in isolation, each with its own risk model. When the
two areas began to affect each other and drive up banks' liquidity risk
there was no unifying framework to predict what would happen, explains
William Perraudin, director of the Risk Management Laboratory at
Imperial College London.
False assumption
The
first set of models covers the bank's day-to-day trading. These models
typically assume that market prices will continue to behave much as
they have in the past, and that they are reasonably predictable.
Unfortunately, while this assumption may hold for straightforward
financial instruments such as shares and bonds, it doesn't apply to the
complicated financial instruments which bundle up different kinds of
assets such as high-risk mortgages. What's more, information about the
market prices of these products usually goes back only a few years, if
it is available at all. "Statistical models based on short time series
of data are a terrible way to understand [these kinds of] risks," says
Perraudin.
The
models also assumed that the bank would be able to sell "problematic"
assets, such as high-risk sub-prime mortgages, and this too turned out
not to be true. "It's the combination of poor price risk modelling and
being unable to sell out of the position that has produced the
nightmare scenario," Perraudin says.
The
second set of risk models is intended to estimate the risk from
borrowers failing to repay money they owe the bank. Because it's harder
to sell off loans than bonds or stock, these models assume that the
banks may have to bear the risks for longer. Such models were often
regarded as the cutting edge of risk modelling, using sophisticated
mathematics to predict how different debtors might be affected by
economic conditions.
However,
Perraudin says these models mostly overlook how bad news can affect
banks' ability to raise funds. "The real risk," he says, "turns out to
be a cycle of drops." It plays out like this: word gets around that
banks have got something on their hands that has dramatically lost
value; this makes other institutions reluctant to lend them money to
help them out, which in turn makes the value of their assets shrink
further. The overall effect is to suck liquidity out of the market.
Perraudin
is working on a model for a hedge fund that takes account of this
feedback, but he says it's a fiendishly difficult problem, partly
because the models ha

[FRIAM] SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO what is data anyway

2008-10-12 Thread peter
On the quest of how truth / morality and honesty drive data ( or not ) I 
came across this priceless quotation which I though I would share.


Call me nuts but it makes so much sense

QUOTATION: 	There is a tendency to mistake data for wisdom, just as 
there has always been a tendency to confuse logic with values, 
intelligence with insight. Unobstructed access to facts can produce 
unlimited good only if it is matched by the desire and ability to find 
out what they mean and where they lead. Facts are terrible things if 
left sprawling and unattended. They are too easily regarded as evaluated 
certainties rather than as the rawest of raw materials crying to be 
processed into the texture of logic. It requires a very unusual mind, 
Whitehead said, to undertake the analysis of a fact. The computer can 
provide a correct number, but it may be an irrelevant number until 
judgment is pronounced.
ATTRIBUTION: 	Norman Cousins (1912--1990), U.S. editor, author. Freedom 
as Teacher, Human Options: An Autobiographical Notebook, Norton (1981)



( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

[FRIAM] Good, Evil and the Persistence and Treatment of Fools

2008-10-06 Thread Peter Lissaman
It is certainly unreasonable to expect people to behave rationally, especially 
when most of them claim to believe in a God who somehow judges and punishes!
Well, one must admit that in the END there is retribution for most BAD acts - 
the clever thing is that it is usually the innocent who are punished. Indeed, 
He doth move in mysterious ways!!!But, but, but, all is not hopeless, it is 
for inspired leaders to fool the fools into doing good things; as exemplified 
by Augustus, Churchill, Roosevelt (III) and Kennedy.
Peter Lissaman, Da Vinci Ventures
Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.
1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728 FAX: (505) 983-1694
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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Re: [FRIAM] This Economy Does Not Compute

2008-10-01 Thread peter

Right on Ken

Thats the major issue --- we inside of the industry understand that the 
non dynamic non world related models are SIMULATIONS but to most people 
these are wizard visions of actuality and bluntly our marketing to them 
fudges this whenever a contract or money comes up.


For example:  At a recent seminar for the city of santa fe economic 
vision each department ( Some 8 in all ) had created there own silo 
viewpoint on a pdf and associated power point with very little 
consideration of interaction.and absolutely no multi dimensional 
viewable interaction, forget about the real world it was not invited.. 
In my usual smooth understated way I pointed that the last three visions 
were now gathering dust on someones shelf as a result of the word pdf 
workflow used and unless they could bring this alive connect it to the 
real world in a constant way that adapted dynamically to reality it was 
DOA. Now what looks like to be occurring is a non dynamic political 
correct sim city YUCK but what they need is dynamic SysBIM on steroids 
but god love them I guess fiction is more comfortable and no one on our 
side of the table is telling them the REAL truth


As a similar metaphor its worth noticing that the success of the abacus 
had nothing to do with technology or ease of use it was so that anyone 
could watch EXACTLY what the bean counters did, as no one trusted them.


I submit we have a similar problem and need an equivalent example hence 
the thought on do no evil etc and for that we need to come out of our 
specialist academic ( It ain't my problem OH is that what you wanted ) silos


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Kenneth Lloyd wrote:

Excellent article!

As complexity wonks, most of us understand that static models are woefully
incomplete, and that dynamical systems modeling is one of the precursors to
understanding complexity.  This implies the study of systems at some
distance from equilibrium. 


Hopefully, we can encourage people to join us in the 21st century and adopt
these methodologies.

Just got a FRIAM post: This economy does not compute.  Perhaps a move from
the deterministic to the stochastic is in order.  Our economy computes, but
in non-analytical ways.  It's complex ... Doh!

Ken

  

-Original Message-
From: [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
[mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] On Behalf Of Matthew Francisco

Sent: Wednesday, October 01, 2008 9:43 AM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] This Economy Does Not Compute

from Rob Axtell:
http://krasnow.blogspot.com/2008/09/goldilocks-on-wall-street.
html#links

On Wed, Oct 1, 2008 at 8:29 AM, glen e. p. ropella 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/01/opinion/01buchanan.html?_r=3ref=opi


nionoref=sloginoref=sloginoref=slogin

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv Meets Fridays 
  
9a-11:30 at cafe 

at St. John's College lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at 
http://www.friam.org


  


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College 
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org





  

FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: [FRIAM] Vote Obama or McCain: Global Electoral College | The Economist

2008-10-01 Thread peter
WOW trust the Brits that means Bob Mugabe from Zimbabwe will be a dead 
cert for our next president


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/






Owen Densmore wrote:

div class=moz-text-flowed style=font-family: -moz-fixedKinda nifty:
  http://www.economist.com/vote2008/
.. a world wide vote, even using an electoral college model.  Such a 
huge landslide for Obama .. but then its quite a select audience!


Interesting use of GIS as well.  I wonder how hard it is for their IT 
department to cons up such a critter?!


   -- Owen



/div


FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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Re: [FRIAM] Slashdot | Stallman Says Cloud Computing Is a Trap

2008-10-01 Thread peter
On projects - Especially all the google apps are great at solving the 
dilemma  -  You cannot manage what you do not measure and you cannot 
measure what you do not see  but what happens when it sees something 
the client does not like ?


We are using several of the toolsets from the google world in the realm 
of project information can know be gathered from multiple sources with 
the APIs in the cloud and the biggest impediment we have run across is 
not the technology thats very effective but the clients desire to make 
the models or attached SysBIM  SCADA info sets say something that the 
cloud data disproves


ie: We have contracts that involve construction due diligence and so we 
have great terrain models with structures and suitable attributes of 
issues attached which showed very clearly that the data repositories of 
the City Santa Fe and the State CID have huge error problems that taken 
together with to be polite  ancient work practices on one project 
alone have cost $5m which state wide would rate in  multi million even 
billion dollar waste issues. Both CID and CSF have very large 
investments in  problematical flat word technology and do not take 
kindly to any of their problems being spotlighted and will immediately 
hide behind lawyers and try and pass the buck or worse imitate the ostrich.


Like so many practices its a business logic people approach that will 
take time to resolve but sadly we have created a GIGO world where the O 
bit in the bureaucratic system will be defended to the death


Its commonly thought that SCADA - BIM is some kind of gigantic complex 
parametric model ( Think the boasting about the supercomputer ) but its 
not its multiple of SIMPLE systems such as the wikis / basecamp / Google 
earth maps apps feeding a multidimensional model as the display piece 
all verified in real time


Google is doing a great job as you have noted as most of there 
connectors work fairly seamlessly but in some cases require tweaking to 
upscale. The issue of GIS interface to the real world is a bit more 
complex as the GIS flat data is still really only accurate to 60ft +- 
which become problematical when related to a sphere. In the most recent 
major satellite maps of NM when incorporated with the aerial photos and 
maps it was found that error rates where as high as 42% which involves 
mathematical tweaking which has its own verification issues non of which 
would pass QA either ISO or 6sig. When ESRI moves it flat data to 
multidimensional its using a impropriety system moving from flat to 
multidimensional when todays world we are diving straight in the higher 
dimensions. Th big kicker for all this is it need fast web usage for 
every participant at all levels and very simple field accuracy 
verification and thats a major major problem for GIS currently  ( Just 
overlay some of the SFC GIS output data on building blobs for the city 
onto a real G earth or Nasa sat shots and you will see what I mean )


I think the best analogy for all the issues is to understand that APIs 
used to live in a box ( small or big networked or not ) now they live in 
the cloud and its up to you to sort out the hows and the whys and its 
the last bit I think has Stallman upset.


If your interested here is what we use in the overview construction / 
systems engineering industry  for the API and protocol requirements 
http://www.ideapete.com/workinglogic.html and 
http://www.ideapete.com/introparametricmodeling.htm none require the 
sole use Revit or Pro E or Catia but all the systems can integrate at 
that level if needed and all are web usable


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Owen Densmore wrote:
div class=moz-text-flowed style=font-family: 
-moz-fixedInteresting discussion on /.

  http://tech.slashdot.org/article.pl?sid=08/09/30/2146250

When we started thinking about the sys admin issues for sfx 
(http://sfcomplex.org/), we had to decide on how to address free web 
services.  One example we had used earlier was PBWiki, a very nice 
wiki engine.  Another was http://www.airset.com/ .. a very nice web 
community site.


The principle we evolved was simply this: we can use any SaaS 
(Software as a Service) system as long as any data we put into the 
system was easily available in a standard format.


This means, for example, use of Google Calendar was fine: it is an 
iCal system with easily downloadable calendar data in a standard 
format.  Note that GMail similarly passes the test: the mail data can 
easily be captured via the IMAP or POP protocols.


PBWiki failed: there was no easy way to capture the format in a 
standard format .. i.e. in a wiki markup language.  Ditto for airset, 
the system was too difficult to extract and place into any of the 
usual CMS systems (Joomla, Drupal etc)


On the other hand, one of our projects is looking hard at deploying 
web applications on Google Maps and Google App Engine.  This looks 
fairly safe

Re: [FRIAM] This Economy Does Not Compute ( Re Democrap is wusnt us )

2008-10-01 Thread peter
Actually there is a version of truth in the democrap diatribe but not 
where the article points


The Glass Siegel act forbade most of the business activities that are 
the root of many of todays financial issues outside of the modeling muckup.


The man who was instrumental in getting Glass Siegle abolished was 
Robert Ruben 
http://www.ustreas.gov/education/history/secretaries/rerubin.shtml under 
Bill Clinton.


Rubin was Co Chair of Goldman Sachs coincidentally our current secretary 
Henry Paulson was also a past Chairman.


Now of course we are playing pass the hand grenade blame everyone but moi.

Goldman Sachs will come of of this gangbusters, WOW what a coincidence

Watching how the market is doing its own song and dance today has anyone 
noticed how the repeal of a simple equation called  Mark to Market  
has changed the whole equation and there must be multiple people in the 
AIG boardroom saying  What the fuck  banging there heads on the wall


The economist did a wonder skit on this 
http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=12305786 with 
Henry becoming the first King Henry of the USA due to the fubar we have


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Matthew Francisco wrote:

Doug,
I think it's a poor move to use a model--did the Officers use a model
for their article in Time?--to fix blame with such confidence
especially when the thing to blame is a vague collective identity.
Granted, sometimes it seems that such fixing is needed because we need
to reaffirm our own group identifications especially if they are under
attack or ignored and more so if we are in political season.  The
point of Buchanan's article, I think, is that models are good at
generating alternative narratives about causation in systems where no
single person or group of people can ever know 'the system' and the
experts and stakeholders all see the system in different ways, with
different stories about how the system works.  I think a more
ambitious goal for modeling these systems is bringing together or
overlaying (integrating?) these local stories into a sort of
meta-narrative.
Matt

On Wed, Oct 1, 2008 at 8:44 AM, Douglas Roberts [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
  

On another mailing list that I frequent, there is a small core of
Republicans who *insist* that is was the DemoCRAPS[sic] who caused our
current economic crisis.

I sent the following message to them yesterday, after finding the nice,
short informative article in Time (link below).  I find that it is sometime
necessary to use small words when dealing with political zealots.

Astonishingly, it was not the DemoCRAPS[sic] who were the cause of our
current financial fuck-up.  Read this short article to discover who is
really to blame.

Can you say, Risky derivatives trading?   Can you say, Irresponsible
hedge fund management?

I knew you could.

http://www.time.com/time/business/article/0,8599,1845209,00.html?cnn=yes


Me, I'm an independent.

--Doug

--
Doug Roberts, RTI International
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

On Wed, Oct 1, 2008 at 9:29 AM, glen e. p. ropella [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:


http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/01/opinion/01buchanan.html?_r=3ref=opinionoref=sloginoref=sloginoref=slogin

--
glen e. p. ropella, 971-219-3846, http://tempusdictum.com



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org
  





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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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[FRIAM] Economic Disequilibrium or How Complexity Science nearly killed America

2008-09-30 Thread peter

http://www.make-digital.com/make/vol15/?pg=173

Here is a beautiful article by George Dyson that is truly one of the 
clearest examples of the current problems with complexity theory 
especially its relationship to economics , what it is trying to do and 
what it actually did with the mess created on wall street it should make 
every every CTO and CEO sit up and shudder.


Basically the credit models created by complexity science geniuses, that 
are the foundation of most high flying arbitrage financial houses, 
created there own version of  reality that had very little relevance to 
the real world.  These same geniuses made enormous amounts of money by 
designing this fake world and convincing there neophyte non tech masters 
they should be paid millions for its discovery conveniently forgetting 
that its roots were firmly built in fiction  Someone shouts the Emperor 
has no clothes and presto the whole house comes tumbling down


The FBI is also apparently digging into this cesspool so expect to see a 
large number of these bright software phds entering federal prison in 
the not to distant future


It also has relevance to the scary statement by Janet Wing at the 
institute when she said that future computer models need not be grounded 
in reality but could create there own.


Think also on the connection that not only are these complex models non 
verifiable but so are most databases and agent modeling systems. Without 
easy verifiability I would submit they are worse than

useless

As Dyson points out the tally sticks  stocks that where used in the 
13th century are far superior to the billions of dollars of hardware and 
software used today. A stick  Stock  lived in the real world and was 
verifiable at the lowest level of inspection. Sadly today our complex 
system have proved to be totally non verifiable with the associated 
collapse of trust.


Its also a stark example to our 1st mile friends about the higher 
relevance of what goes into the pipe rather than the pipe itself and why 
hi speed verification of what is happening in the real world is so much 
more important


The quicker we realize that the raison d'etre of the digital world is to 
improve the quality of life and include some moral directives in our 
work based in reality the more we will be able to sleep at night


( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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[FRIAM] law and order

2008-08-29 Thread peter

Right on Peggy / Ray glad you got the point

For your power users conversion project the model is

1. What are the Base - Peaking targets for replacement energy taking all 
factors into account and that includes usage
2. How does this affect the location transmission targets and how can 
this altered to match 1

3. Communicate between systems and put the rubber on the road

I have spent years in the power industry and the deep dark secret is 
that operation efficiency for the entire industry is


Production at power plant - 25 / 40 %
Transmission Line efficiency = 15 / 45%
Power distribution use off of main transmission to user = 10 / 30 %

Each one percent improvement nationwide relates to about  $25B

So if the plants, the transmission lines and the distribution system 
were smart like law and orders outlines ( which is already possible with 
todays technology ) think of the humongous possibilities especially if 
tax and financial incentives are included in the targets.


Here is a fun future outline http://www.ideapete.com/AATG.html that we 
are making into a promo movie to illustrate all the above, maybe we 
should talk


( : ( : pete

--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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[FRIAM] Law and Order - Enough fun stuff here to keep Owen and Steve awake at night

2008-08-27 Thread peter
Title: Peter Baston




printed in full because the site
is subscriber only but very pertinent to what we are all trying ( Or
not ) to do


Why complex systems do better without us

   06 August 2008 
   From New Scientist Print Edition. Subscribe
and get 4 free issues. 
  Mark Buchanan


 
Enlarge image

 
Enlarge
image
Smart traffic lights




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WE HUMANS prefer
the tidy to the untidy, the ordered to the disordered. We like pristine
geometrical regularity, and eschew what is erratic and irregular. We
want predictability and, more than anything, we want control.
In
these confusing times, it might seem as if we have little power over
anything. Instead of letting it get us down, though, perhaps we should
take comfort from the work of Dirk Helbing,
a physicist at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETH) in
Zurich. Helbing has been studying the movement of tens of thousands of
cars on road networks; the workings of vast webs of interacting
machines on factory floors; and other systems, where the complexity of
what happens and why routinely defeats the human mind.
What
Helbing and others are finding is that our penchant for regularity and
control is seriously misguided. In many situations they are discovering
that it is better to give up some of our control and let systems find
their own solutions. Often the answers turn out to be unlike anything
our minds would imagine, yet the outcomes are far more efficient.
The
findings come as something of a relief to today's engineers, who are
increasingly dealing with problems too complicated for them to solve.
Take one of the earliest successes chalked up by machines allowed to
take control.
Back in 1992, General
Motors
were having trouble managing the automated painting of trucks at an
assembly plant in Fort Wayne, Indiana. Machines in 10 different paint
booths could paint trucks as they came off the line, but because the
trucks came off in an unpredictable order and the painting machines
needed sporadic maintenance and repair, finding an efficient assignment
of trucks to booths seemed impossible.
General
Motors' visionary engineer Dick Morley suggested letting the painting
machines find a schedule themselves. He set out some simple rules by
which the various machines would "bid" for newly available paint jobs,
trying their best to stay busy while taking account of the need for
maintenance and so on. The results were remarkable, if a little weird.
The system saved General Motors more than $1 million each year in paint
alone. Yet the line ran to a schedule that no one could predict, made
up on the fly by the machines themselves as they responded to emerging
needs.
Production processes generally
depend on so many inputs, parameters and factors that even small
changes in the set-up can lead to wildly different and unpredictable
consequences. That is why it is almost impossible to predict what will
happen in a new production line based on previous experience. "Managers
sometimes take performance in past set-ups and try to estimate what
will happen in a new setting by interpolation," says Helbing. "This
often gives very bad results."
To cope, he says,
engineers need a healthy respect for the complex unpredictability of
these systems and how natural human inclinations often lead to
undesirable outcomes. "You can't steer these things like you can a
bus," says Helbing. "You have to learn to use the system's own
self-organising tendencies to your advantage."
Helbing
has come to this view by an unusual path. Though he trained as a
physicist, he became fascinated in the early 1990s by parallels between
physics and human movements. "I was inspired by the similarity between
fluid flows and how people walk around obstacles," he recalls. For
nearly two decades, he and colleagues have been studying the
mathematics of collective human motion, which explains why He

Re: [FRIAM] A talk of possible interest to FRIAMers

2008-07-12 Thread peter
Interesting Talk by Jeanette Wing who's online handle is Dragonlady ( 
wonderfull mythical pun ) that would make it DLCT


So we have computational thinking CT,  What fears that arises to develop 
into  PCCT Politically Correct CT or the only right way to think   
CTCT Correct Thinking CT ( Guided by suitably well minded intelligentsia 
just like CCCP ) especially targeting young manipulatable minds of 
children in education. What consideration that we are already ignoring 
reality of human thought and type with indicators such as MBTI creating 
a vision of a cuddly universal world through the distorted lens of 
computer hardware and APIs ( Now MBTICT  I could handle  especially how 
it sounds ) . Maybe Bill and Larrys world IS the future. We already have 
to much of Bill Gates Windows Computational Thinking BGWCT ( It that why 
SFI uses Macs, me to )


Siting in the midst of a group of biologists, some of whom are studying 
biomimicry potential, you could hear the unease and it the case of my 
neighbo  who kicked out ( feel ) in frustration over the statement  CT 
could enables you to target what you need without visualizing and 
understanding what is   George Orwell here we come


To emphasize here is an article on how a computer was able to predict 
which death row inmates would be executed 
/www.eurekalert.org/pub_releases/2008-06/ns-ccp062508.php does CT mean 
it could do a better job if it was in charge  ouch  visions of 
minority report Philip K Dicks world .


Maybe its time to change homo sapiens to homo mimicus

Nice to attend a lecture that gets the blood flowing ( Terrible pun )

( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Pamela McCorduck wrote:
Jeanette Wing, the President's Professor of Computer Science, Carnegie 
Mellon University, and Associate Director, Computer and Information 
Science  Engineering, U.S. National Science Foundation, will give a 
talk on Computational Thinking and Thinking about Computing.


Place: Santa Fe Institute, Robert N. Noyce Conference Room

When: Friday, July 11, 2008, at 3:30 p.m.

Abstract:  My vision for the 21st Century: Computational thinking will 
be the fundamental skill used by everyone in the world.  To reading, 
writing, and arithmetic, let's add computational thinking to every 
child's analytical ability.  Computational thinking has already 
influenced other disciplines, from the sciences to the arts.  The new 
NSF Cyber-enabled Discovery and Innovation initiative in a nutshell is 
computational thinking for science and engineering.  Realizing this 
vision gives the field of computing both exciting research 
opportunities and novel educational challenges.


The field of computing is driven by technology innovation, societal 
demands, and scientific questions.  We are often too easily swept u 
with the rapid progress in technology and the surprising uses by 
society of our technology, that we forget about the science that 
underlies our field.  In thinking about computing, I have started a 
list of Deep Questions in Computing, with the hope of encouraging 
the community to think about the scientific drivers of our field.



Host: Joe Traub




He has van Gogh's ear for music.

Billy Wilder




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[FRIAM] TerraSAR-X Hot New

2008-07-12 Thread peter

How about this to solve all our first mile data problems in Santa Fe

http://www.dlr.de/tsx/start_en.htm

TerraSAR-X laser  --  Speed its moving at = 15,000 mph -- Distance its 
transmitting  = 3000 miles ---Symmetrical Data Rate average - 5,5gig ( 
Thats only on its first iteration it has exchanged 50gig signals with 
USMD  and Cheyenne Mountain)


I want one but I cannot find it on amazon

( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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[FRIAM] CALCULUS, POINTS AND OTHER MYSTERIES (TO SOME)

2008-07-09 Thread Peter Lissaman
Why can't a point have a position, speed, acceleration and any other
derivative?   Can't one judge calculus by results?  Or by its fruits as
the Good Book hath it!  In the 50' and 60's I and others got folks to the
moon and back using these abstract calculus concepts of old Isaac.  At
least they went to the moon according to the press, our earthbased
Newtonian commo systems, and to two astronaut students of mine who called
me afterwards and SAID they'd been there.  Mebbe they weren't thinking it
through carefully enough!

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694


 [Original Message]
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: friam@redfish.com
 Date: 7/9/2008 10:00:32 AM
 Subject: Friam Digest, Vol 61, Issue 7

 Send Friam mailing list submissions to
   friam@redfish.com

 To subscribe or unsubscribe via the World Wide Web, visit
   http://redfish.com/mailman/listinfo/friam_redfish.com
 or, via email, send a message with subject or body 'help' to
   [EMAIL PROTECTED]

 You can reach the person managing the list at
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 When replying, please edit your Subject line so it is more specific
 than Re: Contents of Friam digest...


 Today's Topics:

1. Fwd: [OS X TeX] gmane archives out of date. (Owen Densmore)
2. Re: Fwd: [OS X TeX] gmane archives out of date.
   (Marcus G. Daniels)
3. Sun's MPK20 (Mikhail Gorelkin)
4. Announcing the Complexity Noodlers Corner (Nicholas Thompson)
5. Mentalism and Calculus (Nicholas Thompson)
6. Re: Announcing the Complexity Noodlers Corner (Steve Smith)
7. Re: Mentalism and Calculus (Marcus G. Daniels)
8. Re: Mentalism and Calculus (Robert Holmes)


 --

 Message: 1
 Date: Tue, 8 Jul 2008 11:20:40 -0600
 From: Owen Densmore [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [FRIAM] Fwd: [OS X TeX] gmane archives out of date.
 To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
   friam@redfish.com
 Message-ID: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=ISO-8859-1; format=flowed; delsp=yes

 Well, one can always learn!  And Nick, note that I too can screw up a  
 mail list!

 Here's the story: I joined the OS X TeX list.  My first email to them  
 was simply that their gmane archive was broken.  But the way I did  
 this was to view the first email I received on the list (on an  
 entirely different topic), hit Reply, deleted the body of the email  
 and changed to a new Subject.  Basically a way to get a fresh email  
 with the correct To: address.

 In other words, I used an existing email for a template for a new  
 email to the list.

 Turns out this is a no-no.  It confuses modern email clients into  
 thinking this is the same thread even though the subject has changed.   
 It certainly occurs all the time in my client (Mail.app), but I just  
 presumed Mail.app was struggling to identify same thread-ness via  
 context and failing.

 Nope.  The headers keep a In-reply-to field to help in threading.   
 So when I cloned a new email, deleting all but the to: field, I  
 inadvertently kept the In-reply-to header field, thus screwing up  
 everyone's email threading.

 (BTW: This never happens with Nabble and Forum software due to the  
 explicit new-post/reply buttons, thus completely isolating a thread.   
 There the etiquette is simply search before a new post to see if there  
 is already a similar thread underway.)

 Sigh!  But Nick, I now know what you mean by that calm, stern, reply- 
 to-an-idiot tone of voice.

 -- Owen

 Begin forwarded message:

  From: Bruno Voisin [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Date: July 8, 2008 12:28:21 AM MDT
  To: TeX on Mac OS X Mailing List [EMAIL PROTECTED]
  Subject: Re: [OS X TeX] gmane archives out of date.
  Reply-To: TeX on Mac OS X Mailing List [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
  Le 8 juil. 08 ? 01:49, Owen Densmore a ?crit :
 
  On Jul 7, 2008, at 5:27 PM, Gary L. Gray wrote:
 
  Please don't hijack existing threads -- see the List Reminders  
  and Etiquette link in the footer of this message.
 
  Yikes! Not sure how I hijacked an existing thread.  Is there a os  
  x tex gmane thread?  Anyway, sorry!
 
  You hijack an existing thread by replying to a message from this  
  thread to create a new message with different subject.
 
  Symptom: in emailers which support threading (such as Apple's Mail,  
  Mozilla's Thunderbird), your new message and the various answers it  
  will get will be classified within the same thread as the original  
  message you replied to.
 
  Cause: by replying to an existing message, whatever new subject you  
  enter manually for the reply, this reply will keep in its hidden  
  headers an In-reply-to header such as (in your case)
 
  In-reply-to: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 
  Cure: always use Address Book to create a new message

Re: [FRIAM] Friam Digest, Vol 61, Issue 2

2008-07-02 Thread peter

Re: Complexity Science movie? (Parks, Raymond)

I may be a simple right brainer but the scenes which resonate for me are in what the Bleep  


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

Send Friam mailing list submissions to
friam@redfish.com

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When replying, please edit your Subject line so it is more specific
than Re: Contents of Friam digest...
  



Today's Topics:

   1. Re: Complexity Science movie? (Parks, Raymond)
   2. Re: Complexity Science movie? (Alfredo Covaleda)
   3. Statistical Mechanics: Algorithms and Computations,   by Werner
  Krauth (Owen Densmore)
   4. Re: Statistical Mechanics: Algorithms and Computations, by
  Werner Krauth (G?nther Greindl)
   5. Re: Statistical Mechanics: Algorithms and Computations,   by
  Werner Krauth (Ken Lloyd)
  




Subject:
Re: [FRIAM] Complexity Science movie?
From:
Parks, Raymond [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date:
Tue, 01 Jul 2008 12:24:38 -0600
To:
The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com

To:
The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com


Joshua Thorp wrote:
Can anyone think of a movie or scene in a movie that exemplifies 
complexity science themes,  such as many interacting parts with 
emergent patterns, non-linear behaviors, self organizing,  etc.  


  I think the scenes in Yellowbeard where Madeline Kahn's and Graham 
Chapman's characters are remembering the sequence of movements to find 
the treasure show something of non-linear behaviors, possibly self 
organizing.


Stagger, stagger, crawl, crawl, jump...




Subject:
Re: [FRIAM] Complexity Science movie?
From:
Alfredo Covaleda [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date:
Tue, 1 Jul 2008 13:51:33 -0500
To:
The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com

To:
The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com


Hola

Maybe A Sound of Thunder movie is the film you are looking for. 


http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_Sound_of_Thunder

Hasta pronto y exitos

Alfredo C.


2008/6/30 Joshua Thorp [EMAIL PROTECTED] mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]:

Can anyone think of a movie or scene in a movie that exemplifies
complexity science themes,  such as many interacting parts with
emergent patterns, non-linear behaviors, self organizing,  etc.  


Any thoughts?

--joshua





FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Subject:
[FRIAM] Statistical Mechanics: Algorithms and Computations, by Werner 
Krauth

From:
Owen Densmore [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date:
Tue, 1 Jul 2008 22:45:13 -0600
To:
The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com

To:
The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com


Has anyone read this critter?  Looks fascinating.
http://www.phys.ens.fr/doc/SMAC/
http://www.smac.lps.ens.fr/index.php/Main_Page

   -- Owen






Subject:
Re: [FRIAM] Statistical Mechanics: Algorithms and Computations, by 
Werner Krauth

From:
Günther Greindl [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date:
Wed, 02 Jul 2008 11:20:42 +0200
To:
The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com

To:
The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group friam@redfish.com


Hey,

the book has already crossed my radar but I have not had the occasion
to read it, as I'm drowning in books already.

But I would like to queue in with Owen as to interest in FRIAMer 
comments if some of you have already read it?


Cheers,
Günther

Owen Densmore wrote:

Has anyone read this critter?  Looks fascinating.
http://www.phys.ens.fr/doc/SMAC/
http://www.smac.lps.ens.fr/index.php/Main_Page

-- Owen



FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Subject:
Re: [FRIAM] Statistical Mechanics: Algorithms and Computations, by 
Werner Krauth

From:
Ken Lloyd [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date:
Wed, 2 Jul 2008 07:27:53 -0600
To:
'The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group' 
friam@redfish.com

[FRIAM] Canadian Uni hot under the collar over Wi-Fi safety | The Register

2008-06-10 Thread peter

http://www.theregister.co.uk/2006/02/22/canada_uni_wifi_ban/
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/





FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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[FRIAM] Dirty Power Linked to Cancers in California School in Milham-Morgan Study

2008-06-07 Thread peter

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/24957072/

This is re the comments posted recently on power magnetic field health 
causes, there are a few PDFs also on line which seem to make sense


Again I think these are ways that we can model and demonstrate in the 
real world at the center to prove validity and I just cannot wait for 
Steve to sponsor a summer race with the kids in santa fe, for the following


 Redfish's great cell phone popcorn popping completion   the first one 
to pop a full cup of popcorn with their cell phones wins xxx for life 
--- No LANL or Sandia modifications allowed and no cell phones the size 
of a pickup truck.. The banner alone should prove awesome


( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

[FRIAM] Men who use mobile phones face increased risk of infertility | Mail Online

2008-06-07 Thread peter

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-412179/Men-use-mobile-phones-face-increased-risk-infertility.html

( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

[FRIAM] Mixing Incredible Modeling tools

2008-06-07 Thread peter

Three of the most powerful modeling tools we have experimented with are

http://www.antics3d.com/

http://sketchup.google.com/

http://earth.google.com/

Antics does POWERFUL animation ( Go ok you will not believe the results 
) and the power of sketchup mixed with the goggle tool set, earth, gears 
and other attributes is awesome  All interact well 


One of SKPs biggest secrets is the use of Ruby on Rails running in the 
background so that almost any attribute can be manipulated  Such as  
Physics  and for the more adventurous you can role your own. API access 
and registration for the truly creative also available


Go look at some of the demos and turn these loose with your kids this 
summer and you will not hear a peep outa them. You can build or download 
complex infrastructure models in SKP and download them into the antics 
modeling programs and ready made humans scenes and actions and even 
produce a full animation production files


The icing on the cake is that all have free versions that produce beyond 
professional results


I think Owen is researching some summer camp ideas for the complex and 
these should be high on our list



( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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[FRIAM] A band that uses only IPODS !!!

2008-06-07 Thread peter

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mwoPgnvpPQgfeature=related

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S6qKPUB3troNR=1

(  : ( :  pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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[FRIAM] Libraries in France switch off wi-fi internet @ popping popcorn with a cell phone

2008-06-06 Thread peter

Just wait and see what happens when the Wiops get hold of stuff like this

http://www.connexionfrance.com/news_articles.php?id=173

http://fr.youtube.com/watch?v=kAd0aWxs7kQ

( : (  pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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[FRIAM] Why have municipal Wi-Fi networks been such a flop? - By Tim Wu - Slate Magazine

2008-06-06 Thread peter

http://www.slate.com/id/2174858/
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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[FRIAM] Why Free Internet Won't Happen Soon: FCC Owned By Wireless Industry - Silicon Alley Insider

2008-06-06 Thread peter

http://www.alleyinsider.com/2008/6/why_free_internet_wont_happen_soon_fcc_owned_by_wireless_industry
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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[FRIAM] Don't buy any download accelerator -Inquirer

2008-06-06 Thread peter

http://www.theinquirer.net/gb/inquirer/news/2008/05/31/download-accelerator-for-linux
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/





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[FRIAM] re power lines

2008-06-03 Thread peter
There is also an artist that does shows by planting a couple of hundred 
florescent tubes in the ground under high voltage lines and they all 
light up, its quite a sight, no wires. I will go find the photos


I have also got some nice shots taken at Crystal River Florida Power 
plant on a really humid day just before a rainstorm and you can see the 
arcs jumping 150' outside of the containment area


Maybe we can get Steve to do some Tesla demos at the complex be really 
great for July 4th and we wouldn't need any fireworks


( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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[FRIAM] The Fractal Foundation

2008-05-28 Thread peter
For all of you who have never been this is a truly great show that is 
held regularly at the planetarium in Abq


http://www.fractalfoundation.org/

Want to see kids of all ages give a STANDING ovation to MATH 

Go see you will have fun but get there early as the shows are always 
sold out


Jonathan Wolfe who runs this is a deep brain type immersed in cognitive 
and complexity theory


Friam should have one of his shows at the complex for W21 and First mile 
think how this could be blasted to schools everywhere


Owen also mentioned yesterday at the ad hoc friam that he is trying to 
get the Institute to give a similar summer show at the Complex - 
GREAT Idea how do we make it happen ?


( : ( : pete

--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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Re: [FRIAM] Max (Stephen Guerin) Headroom!

2008-05-05 Thread Peter Weiss
Actually, it's fun to make him follow the cursor, someone should tweak this 
have him pant and bark occasionally too...
 but seriously, I like this tech a lot, good job!
On Monday, May 05, 2008, at 10:27AM, Steve Smith [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:


Good trick...   A nice complement to the computational photography work...

http://www.sandtable.org/structuredLight/

Rotating the hollow shell of Steve Guerin around gives me the eerie 
feeling that he's going to start talking all Max Headroom style at any 
moment!

Wait... I get that feeling when I'm talking to him in person too!  grin

- Steve


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[FRIAM] It aint all Elitist BS!

2008-04-01 Thread Peter Lissaman
The remarks about the Apex of the Vee as religious cant supporting the Old 
Guard are all well made.  But, but, but we must remember that in the geese 
migration case the older birds have better navigational and weather prediction 
skills, so are indeed useful leaders.  In the case of HMS Bounty, only Bligh 
and Christian had the essential skill of celestial navigation so were 
functional leaders by superior knowledge, and in this case, clearly not 
character!!


Peter Lissaman, Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728 FAX: (505) 983-1694
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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[FRIAM] The Apex of the Vee

2008-03-30 Thread Peter Lissaman
The interesting discussions relating to bussing, pelotons and human/animal 
behavior call to mind some papers I published at Caltech in 1969 relating to 
the advantages of Vee formation flight for migrating birds.  Because the saving 
is in induced drag the least energy position is, counter intuitively,  the apex 
(point) of the Vee.  I was immediately assailed by ornithologists and bird 
watchers, who knew much more about the subject than I, and rather than checking 
the equations, challenged my results on their ideas of behavioral grounds.  It 
turns out that the apex position is indeed taken by the oldest and strongest 
bird.  Would he, they asked, take the easiest job?  My answer was:yes.!


Peter Lissaman, Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728 FAX: (505) 983-1694
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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[FRIAM] Don't believe everything you think catagory

2008-03-10 Thread peter

http://www.wired.com/medtech/health/magazine/16-03/ff_autism

I found it especially interesting to note the high utilization of 3D and 
other multi dimensional concept visualization among so called autistics 
as opposed to so called normals


WOW well done I stand in awe is all I will say

( : ( : pete
--

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/







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Re: [FRIAM] Santa Fe Complex BarCamp March 7 and 8 (?)

2008-02-21 Thread peter
Sure looks like fun / If you want a light hearted  brown bag 
presentation holler


( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Douglas Roberts wrote:

Sounds pretty geeky.  Local attendance should be good.

;-}

--
Doug Roberts, RTI International
[EMAIL PROTECTED] mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
[EMAIL PROTECTED] mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
505-455-7333 - Office
505-670-8195 - Cell

On Feb 15, 2008 9:22 PM, Stephen Guerin [EMAIL PROTECTED] 
mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:



So, how about a Santa Fe Complex BarCamp on March 7,8 at
http://www.santafecomplex.org? Out of towners can camp in the
space and *maybe*
Simon has an alternative offering for a few :-)

-Stephen

--- -. .   ..-. .. ...    - .-- ---   ..-. .. ... 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]
www.Redfish.com http://www.Redfish.com
624 Agua Fria Street, Santa Fe, NM 87501
mobile: (505)577-5828
office: Santa Fe, NM (505)995-0206 / London, UK +44 (0) 20 7993 4769



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Re: [FRIAM] FW: National Science Foundation Update Daily Digest Bulletin

2008-02-15 Thread peter

Sure Nick

We need to move into the visual world.  The same issue you mention is a 
huge problem in all forms of engineering / architecture as well let 
alone plants. The data is lousy period when it goes through immutable 
text variations but at least with the tactile we should be facing in the 
same direction more fun here  http://www.ideapete.com/gwendolyn.htm


Add the famous we only see 2D and its ripe for disaster

To err is human to really screw up you need text and a computer

( : ( : pete

Peter Baston

*IDEAS*

/www.ideapete.com/ http://www.ideapete.com/








Nicholas Thompson wrote:

All --

Has anybody thought about how to make use of truly lousy data?  There are 
increasingly sources of public data on subject matters such as weather and

(see below) flowers and birds where the quality of the data is truly awful
by ordinary standards and yet there is so much of it that it seems a crime
not to try to make use of it.  So Sally writes in to say that her morning
glories are in bloom in April when what she means is her pansies.  Her
neighbor gets the pansies right but screws up on the tithonia.  Is there
any way to add this all up and get something?  


thoughts?

nick





Nicholas S. Thompson
Research Associate, Redfish Group, Santa Fe, NM ([EMAIL PROTECTED])
Professor of Psychology and Ethology, Clark University
([EMAIL PROTECTED])




- Original Message - 
From: National Science Foundation Update 
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: 2/15/2008 2:27:26 AM 
Subject: National Science Foundation Update Daily Digest Bulletin



You have requested to receive a Daily Digest e-mail from National Science
Foundation Update.
Message: 1
From: National Science Foundation Update [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Thu, 14 Feb 2008 10:35:16 -0600 (CST)
Subject: Volunteers Across Nation to Track Climate Clues in Spring Flowers

Volunteers Across Nation to Track Climate Clues in Spring Flowers 
 
A nationwide initiative starting this week will enable volunteers to track

climate change by observing the timing of flowers and foliage. Project
BudBurst, operated by the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research
(UCAR) and a team of partners, allows students, gardeners and other citizen
scientists in every state to enter their observations into an online
database that will give researchers a detailed picture of our warming
climate. 
The project, which will be launched tomorrow, ... 


More at
http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=17govDel=USNSF_51 

This is an NSF News item. 




Message: 2
From: National Science Foundation Update [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Thu, 14 Feb 2008 14:58:55 -0600 (CST)
Subject: Scientists Reveal First-Ever Global Map of Total Human Effect on
Oceans

Scientists Reveal First-Ever Global Map of Total Human Effect on Oceans 
 
More than 40 percent of the world's oceans are heavily affected by human

activities, and few if any areas remain untouched, according to the first
global-scale study of human influence on marine ecosystems. 
By overlaying maps of 17 different activities such as fishing, climate

change and pollution, the researchers have produced a composite map of the
toll that humans have exacted on the seas. 
The work, published in this week's issue of Science, was conducted at the
... 


More at
http://www.nsf.gov/news/news_summ.jsp?cntn_id=13govDel=USNSF_51 

This is an NSF News item. 




Message: 3
From: National Science Foundation Update [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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Subject: A Newly Discovered Solar System Contains Scaled-Down Versions of
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A Newly Discovered Solar System Contains Scaled-Down Versions of Saturn and
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A team of international astronomers reports in the Feb. 15 issue of Science

the discovery of a solar system nearly 5,000 light years away containing
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galaxy could conceivably contain many star systems similar to our own. The
National Science Foundation (NSF) sponsored the research. 
NSF is delighted to have played a role in enabling such an exciting
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Nanotechnology Undergraduate Education (NUE) in Engineering 
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[FRIAM] DIFFERENTIABILITY, CONTINUITY AND COMMON SENSE

2007-07-28 Thread Peter Lissaman


I am bewildered at the plethora of verbiage poured out on the first two
topics.  I studied math as a grad student scholar at Cambridge and CIT, but
don't understand most of the big words your correspondents use.  I know,
it’s my ignorance!
But, to be constructive, I put forward a modest proposal: that
correspondents holding forth on scientific/mathematical issues provide
examples and algebra (or, even better, numbers) supporting their
polysyllabic pronunciamentos.  My advisors always gave examples of concepts
I challenged.  Except once, where one said, “This theorem is so GENERAL
that it’s impossible to find a good example”!  I did not have the temerity
to respond in the immortal words of Richard Feynman, “Surely you jest, Dr
XXX!” 
Your correspondent noted that F was “poor mathematician”. We were both on
the faculty of CIT.  I knew Dick and his family socially for 30 years, but
perhaps it was not long enough to see that side of his Promethean
personality.He was an inveterate joker, always claiming that he “knew
no math” and mocking those who used pomposity instead of science to make a
case. I am not qualified to judge his math ability, but folks who were,
physicist friends from Los Alamos (in the competent Manhattan days) and
CIT, marveled at Feynman’s math ingenuity.
So, I dunno.  I'm suppose your correspondent knew him and his works better.
I'm sure a FRIAM member would never make an unsupported statement.

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694






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Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org

[FRIAM] Diff Contin. to Nick!

2007-07-25 Thread Peter Lissaman
 2. DIFFERENTIABILITY AND CONTINUITY (Nicholas Thompson)
Nick: Let me be your math consultant! Taught that stuff at Caltech many years!! 
The mathematicians are horn swogglin' you with mis-understood function theory! 
A'course the f'n roof is continuous. If it weren't the rain would come through! 
It is trivial to write a continuous function, f(x) defined for 0x =c and g(x) 
defined for cx1 with f(c) = g(c), with the peak at x=c  and a different slope 
for x=c, than for xc.  But the function is continuous. Just like a roof ridge. 
 A geometric function has, at each point, some degree of continuity, denoted by 
C N, where N is the order of the first discontinuous derivative. The triangular 
roof frame rafter is C1, meaning continuous in ordinate, discontinuous in 
slope. Smoother shapes have continuity of higher derivatives. Analytic 
functions have infinite continuity (thanks to M. Cauchy!). Airfoils have to be 
very smooth, but they can't be infinity smooth, since we need to tailor the 
pressure distribution to control separation, and the trailing edge must usually 
be sharp.   Some of my airfoils of the olden days, when we did this by hand, 
were C16 -- that is continuous only up to the 16th derivative. The airfoil I 
designed for the Victor B Mk II(1956) is that rough, 'cause we did things on 
Friden calculators in them days. But, as the RAF nuclear delivery system in the 
hottest days of the Cold War, it scared the daylights out of the Ruzski. The 
airfoil on the Gossamer Condor (Lissaman 7769) is much smoother than that, 
although that too was pretty primitive. I did it personally using the old 
(1971) TRS with punched tape inputs. I used the Radio Shack computer eksactly 
as Picasso recommended: as an automated calculator to make the tiring number 
crunches needed to provide answers to my questions. Incidentally, with a 
trained geometric eye, which I think I have since I've been laying out airfoils 
and streamline shapes since the 50's, you can see about 4 derivative 
continuity. But the bloody air is unforgiving and wants higher smoothness than 
that. It responds to curvature of curvature of curvature that you didn't even 
know was there. But the computer does. Artists talk only up to C3, meaning 
continuity of curvature. Art Deco derives a lot of its arresting visual tension 
by deliberately exploiting discontinuities in curvature - for example a scroll 
of fixed radius terminating a straight banister (C3). Art Nouveau designers 
would rather die than do such thing -- for them it's all swooning smoothity!!
I'm sure this is more than you wanted to know, but I love digressing on this, 
and for 20 years gave a course at Art Center on Leonardo and his art and 
technology.  He was not a mathematician, even by the fairly unsophisticated 
standards of the High Renaissance, but how he longed to express things 
mathematically!!
Peter Lissaman, Da Vinci Ventures
Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.
1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728 FAX: (505) 983-1694
FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
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[FRIAM] It's the Spies, Stupid!

2007-07-22 Thread Peter Lissaman
Thanks to all who responded in much more courteous terms than my present
title!  A'course, it reminded me and well should I have remembered!  But
old men forget as da Bard had it (Lear).  My old tutor (thesis advisor in
these parts, (one S.W., for those in the know )) was one of the Bletchley
Boys who cracked Enigma in WW II.  And, as a math grad student, I well
remember more than 1/2 century ago hearing his tales as we looked out over
the rainy rooftops of Cambridge!  A'course, the Enigma Machine was entirely
deterministic, mechanical, but verrray complicated. Wheels within wheels!! 
New setting each morning!  I can imagine some totally bored Wehrmacht
Feldwebel cranking away at this horizontal axis coffee grinder while he
slurped his ersatz Kaffee and wished he had some sugar!The Brits said,
languidly and  typically Englishly, we usually managed to 'sort out' the
day's code by tea time.  Also, being an honorable Englishman, (there were
still a few left then), my tutor said very little of substance because the
Official Secrets Act ran for 50 years.
My remarks are really meant entertain, so thanks to all for putting up with
this BS!!!

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694


 [Original Message]
 From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: friam@redfish.com
 Date: 7/22/2007 10:02:51 AM
 Subject: Friam Digest, Vol 49, Issue 20

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 Today's Topics:

1. Why true random? (Peter Lissaman)
2. Re: Why true random? (Robert Holmes)
3. Re: Why true random? (Russell Standish)
4. Re: Why true random? (Prof David West)
5. Re: Why true random? (Phil Henshaw)
6. Re: Why true random? (Douglas Roberts)
7. Re: Why true random? (Phil Henshaw)
8. Re: Why true random? (Roger Frye)


 --

 Message: 1
 Date: Sat, 21 Jul 2007 10:24:42 -0600
 From: Peter Lissaman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [FRIAM] Why true random?
 To: friam@redfish.com
 Message-ID: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii

 Why is it important (except intellectually) to have true randomness??? 
I very well remember the early, good old, bad old, days of Aerospace, in
the 50's, when we were really doing practical earthshattering things --
like going to the moon -- sans computers!!  The RAND corporation, for whom
I consulted, published a typed book (size of a Manhattan telephone
directory) of random numbers  for engineering application.  Much
entertainment was occasioned when, about three months later, they
distributed a list of typos to their original list of random numbers. 
Today I use homemade random numbers alla time for real problems,
specifically the actual response of real flight vehicles in real
atmospheric turbulence.  Flight tests support  analysis, in the sense that
what we predict is not obviously incorrect.  We have never found it
necessary to utilize any more perfectly random random sequences!


 Peter Lissaman, Da Vinci Ventures

 Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

 1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
 TEL: (505) 983-7728 FAX: (505) 983-1694
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 Message: 2
 Date: Sat, 21 Jul 2007 13:34:44 -0600
 From: Robert Holmes [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Why true random?
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED],The Friday Morning Applied Complexity
   Coffee Group friam@redfish.com
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   [EMAIL PROTECTED]
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 Cryptography. The required robustness of a random generator is highly
 sensitive to the intended application;

- Generating a thought for the day for your blog? Required
randomness = low.
- Response testing a missile system? Required randomness = medium
- Stealing above test results, encrypting them and transmitting them
to Al Quaeda in a form that you hope the NSA won't understand? Required
randomness = high

 Robert

 On 7/21/07, Peter Lissaman [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:
 
   Why is it important (except intellectually) to have true
randomness???
  I very well remember the early, good old, bad old, days of Aerospace,
in the
  50's, when we were really doing practical

[FRIAM] YELP, HELP!

2007-01-31 Thread Peter Lissaman
Does anyone know a computer wizard who will come (for $) to my home in
Santa Fe, and fix a recalcitrant laptop which seems to be surfing in
molasses!  I know it defies laws a' probability but the last four I paid
knew less than I!

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694





FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


[FRIAM] Will Rogers and Animal Behavior

2007-01-10 Thread Peter Lissaman
When he was given a brief description of the learned theories of Dr. Freud,
and told that they accounted for all human behavior, Will Rogers stated
that: he found it real interesting, but reckoned that in Oklahoma, folks
mainly did things jes' acause they felt like it.  I gave a paper at AIAA
annual meeting in Reno earlier this week on birds extracting energy from
turbulence. There's a lot in it for the birdies, with their low flight
speeds, superb sensing and rapid response. Ravens in Santa Fe are
marvellous aerobats in the turbulence rolling off the Sangres. But why? 
When you see them rolling off perfect chandelles, as with dolphins surfing
and gamboling in the bow wave, you have to admit that they're jes' havin'
fun, contrary to these gloomy animal behavioristos who claim animals do
everything for a reason.  

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694





FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


[FRIAM] Anecdote vs Observation

2007-01-10 Thread Peter Lissaman

Yogi Berra said, You can observe a lot by just looking around.

I am not an ornithologist, so really have only anecdotal knowledge of bird
formations, derived from my own un instrumented and un scientifically
recorded sightings, so I dunno much here.  They're not observations in the
scientific sense.   And I've  been looking hard at birds only since 1969. 
The only birds I have ever seen in Vee formations are brown and white
pelicans and various large migratory geese and swans.  I have watched many
times the big Vulture (Aasvogel) of East Africa, where I was born.   They
do not formate and HATE company.  Doan wanna share their supper!   Ravens
do not formate but they sure fool around.  Now folks who know what they're
talking about (unlike me) say that the rough and tumble play of cubs and
puppies is a training for fighting and killing in the adult state.  Maybe,
and maybe ravens whooping it up in the turb is a training for evading
redtail hawks and other predators that bag them.  Yeah, yeah!  I do know
fighter and test pilots though, professionally, and they certainly fly
aerobatics to improve their emergency, evasive and killing skills, but they
still LOVE doin' it!
 
This really exhausts my professional knowledge, indeed goes a little beyond
it, so I reckon I'll sign off and leave the subject to the innocent and the
eager.
Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694






FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
lectures, archives, unsubscribe, maps at http://www.friam.org


[FRIAM] Research in Formation Flight

2007-01-09 Thread Peter Lissaman
The video of frigate birds is charming but says nothing.  Anyone who can
read anything from that must be an astrologer.  (I'm an Aquarian and
Aquarians don't believe in astrology!).  Mebbe two lions ambling side by
side across the bushveldt are practicing drafting!  You can bet they're
sniffing the breeze for a few foolish upwind hunters!   But, but, but, the
wings of frigate birds are indeed interesting, because the highly tapered
tip planform is contrary to established aerodynamic theory.  We dunno why! 
I have a Ph. D. student at USC working on this.

It seems wise not to use the word draft incorrectly, it has a
well-defined meaning among professionals.

There is no issue of whether there is a physical principle underlying
formation flight  - this has been established since Wieselsberger (1914). 
I'm told that Doktor W. went on to help the design of the Albatros D.III, a
favorite gun platform of Von Richthofen!
  
Benefits of formation flight are supported by a large body of research.  In
fact, the field is overripe in research to the level of decay.  There is a
huge amount of professional stuff in the aerodynamic and ornithological
literature.  There's a nice recent Ph. D. thesis by Rachel King that I had
something to do with (On the Use of Wing Adaptation  Formation Flight for
Improved Aerodynamic Efficiency, NCSU, 2005). It contains a 69 entry
bibliography, all legit., I think!Her supervisor, Ashok Gopalakrishnan,
knows a lot more than I about this topic -  I've only published six papers
on it and given one grad course on this at UCLA.   Also one can find stuff
in Google that provides a start, if slightly dangerous!  Google has an
extract from a bit I wrote on formation flight for Tony Filippone's book, 
Flight Performance of Fixed and Rotary Winged Aircraft (Elsevier, 2006). 
The extract is slightly wrong, but OK in many respects.  Be careful of web
material - lotsa stuff I've found in Wikki on advanced mathematics is
incorrect.Trubble is -- how the hell do you know it's BS -- if you
don't know already!!

Peter Lissaman,  Da Vinci Ventures

Expertise is not knowing everything, but knowing what to look for.

1454 Miracerros Loop South, Santa Fe, New Mexico 87505
TEL: (505) 983-7728FAX: (505) 983-1694






FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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[FRIAM] Mechanics of Formation Flight

2007-01-07 Thread Peter Lissaman
MECHANICS OF FORMATION FLIGHT   -- PETER LISSAMAN
 
Here are some actual facts, which folks may wish to use for discussion – on 
t’other hand maybe they just prefer their own opinions!  Doesn't matter to 
anyone who just wants to ramble on a fascinating subject.   I am designing 
flight systems to use turbulent energy, in test flight right now, so, 
unfortunately, gotta stick to Newton’s Laws!.
 
1. A lifting wing develops one half its induced wash AHEAD of it.  Yeah, folks, 
before the air has even met the wing.  It’s a continuous fluid, remember!  The 
balance of the induced wash due to the trailing system develops downstream of 
the wing and is reaches its asymptotic value about 3 spans downstream.  Within 
the span of the wing this induced flow is downwash, more or less spanwise 
uniform; outboard it is upwards, very intense just beyond the tip and 
attenuating rapidly as one moves away from the wing.
2. If another wing system is positioned outboard of the wing, it experiences a 
strong upwash, that will greatly reduce its power requirements.  This effect is 
mutual, and its integrated intensity depends only on the tip separation as a 
fraction of span.
3. Consider three identical wings, line abreast, call them Left (L) Center (C) 
and Right (R).  In this configuration the wing R experience a favorable upwash 
due to C and L, but the L contribution is fairly small.  So it has a certain 
saving in its induced drag.  But the wing C experiences the full upwash effect 
from both L, R and  consequentially C has approximately double the saving.  
Good news for C!
4. If the wings L, R get pissed off at all that hard work, and drift 
downstream, they will experience stronger upwash due to the trailing system of 
C, but their influence on C will be attenuated, so they will experience larger 
savings at the expense of C.  If they drift very far downstream, then they will 
have no influence on C, but L, R will still experience the induced flows of C 
so that ALL the saving will now be transferred to R , L.   In the vernacular, C 
doesn't even know the wingmen are there, far astern, but they can see C’s fully 
developed wake lying right between them!  There is a configuration providing 
equipartition which defines the Vee angle of this little “Vic”.
4. This mechanism continues for flights with larger numbers of wings.  The 
calculations indicate, as so often in aerodynamics, that infinity is not far 
away, and reached very soon, so that large flights are advantageous but with 
diminishing returns.
5.  The stability mechanism (we have the math, but it’s too much for here) is 
that if a formation were in echelon (a single skewed line) then the front bird 
would have a hard time, and he'd drift downstream. His wingman would then be 
leading and think, “Jesus, I'm in front now!  No way”.  And he'd drift 
downstream.   This would proceed until you had about three or four birds in one 
file of the Vee.  By that time the current lead bird would be experiencing 
maximum favorable induction from both sides, and would be quite comfortable and 
equipartition would have been achieved.
6.  Steady winds have no effect on formation flight, of course.  Chap called 
Galileo Galilei (1564-1642) had some wise words on that topic, almost a century 
after Leonardo had made some nearly right hypotheses re flight.   But wind 
variation due to shear layers or turbulence due to these shear layers can 
always be exploited.  Albatrosses use the marine shear layers to fly thousands 
of Km across the southern oceans with flapping a wing. This dynamic soaring has 
recently been validated in manned flight with a two place L-23 Super Blanik in 
a recent (May, 2006) USAF project out of Dryden.  Energy extraction from random 
turbulence is also attractive, but requires wings with rapid sensing and 
response systems.  The Santa Fe ravens are pretty good at riding the gusts of 
the Sangres, but it’s hard for machines to operate at this time scale.   A 
Ph.D. student of mine is investigating this with a 2 m R/C IMU instrumented 
computer controlled flight model at Stanford.  He and I are giving a paper on 
this at the Annual AIAA meeting in Reno this week.  It’s my idea of reality -- 
not talking, and  not (God forbid!) computer simulation – it’s a real airplane 
flying in a real atmosphere.
7. Flight speeds, size and other physical aspects of the wing system have no 
effect on the benefits of formation flight, but the savings are reflected only 
in the induced drag term.
8. There is no favorable drafting effect in any flight system.  Drafting is 
always bad news for the draftee and has no effect on the lead vehicle.  Anyone 
who has flown under tow, or seen movies of glider towing, will know that you 
have to stay high above your tow plane to get away from that bloody wake.   
Brown Pelicans are often observed flying line astern on fishing forays, but one 
sees each bird stays well above the preceding one.
9. All the above mechanisms apply

Re: [FRIAM] Friam Digest, Vol 43, Issue 6 Formation Flight

2007-01-06 Thread Peter Lissaman
In connections with the comments about FORMATION FLIGHT


FORMATION FLIGHT  by PETER LISSAMAN

The formation flight of birds has long been of interest to natural
scientists.  Leonardo da Vinci discussed this in 1504, as did Lord Rayleigh
in 1889.  The Vee formation produces significant energy saving.  There is
no debate about this.  It has been established unequivocally theoretically,
measured in flight tests with aircraft, and also, indirectly, in the
remotely monitored pulse rate of formations of our feathered friends,
actually Brown Pelicans. The mathematics is complicated.  It relates to the
flows induced by the vortex wake behind a lifting wing.  Outboard of the
wing a large upwash is induced, proportional to the circulation on the
wing, and the wing man (“bird”?), if he tucks up tight on the tip, is
flying in a strong upwash, with big drag savings.  That’s all there is to
it!  But, Ah, the Details!  As Leonardo said God is in the Details!   It
would be boring to go into those mathematics, except to say that the
procedure is considered well-understood and correct, but a helluva mess!
The birdies jus' do it, and could care less!

 The first paper I know of that treated the topic mathematically (and
brilliantly) was Wieselsberger in ZFM, 1914; and there has been a fairly
lively activity since then, as computers have removed the formidable and
intelligent math required, and made it possible for anyone to get results
without understanding them.  In 1969 Carl Shollenberger, my valued friend
and colleague, and I worked on this, and published the results in Science. 
The paper (Lissaman  Shollenberger, Formation Flight of Birds, Science, 
Vol. 168, 1970) shows the very large size of these savings.  We used the
impressive new IBM 360 computer at Caltech.  It occupied a three storey
building about the size of a four unit apartment block, and had men’s and
women’s toilets inside, as well as 12 real people who punched cards, fed
data and generally dealt with the I/O.   One picked up outputs at about
3:00 am each night.  My wife never really believed that was what kept me
up, although I did my thesis on mathematics of wing theory some years
before using that old 360!  And used the same story!   Computation is
clumsy, but more than Doktor Wieselsberger ever had!  Carl was killed a few
years later, flying in night mountain turbulence over the Sierra Madres. 
It was a great loss to aviation – he was a fine pilot and aerodynamicist. 
I acknowledge his contribution fondly.  He would be glad that his work was
still used.   Recently I revisited this subject in a paper Simplified
Analytical methods for Formation Flight (Lissaman, AIAA. Jan. 2005) and
next week will give a paper  Neutral Energy Cycles for a Vehicle in
Sinusoidal and Turbulent Vertical Gusts (Lissaman  Patel, AIAA. Jan 2007)

The Science paper shows that in theVee, for tight formations, one can
almost double the range for a given energy input.  Also that there is a
stability mechanism, by which a member finds that moving ahead of the line
of the Vee requires power increases. So there’s a comfortable “groove” to
fall into, which animals love!  One should always be skeptical of
attributing effects derived from theoretical calculations to animal
behavior, but the general consensus of ornithologists and aerodynamicists
is that this Vee formation saving is so significant, and its application so
ubiquitous, that migrating birds DO use it to extend their range.  The
paper addressed the savings for different positions in the Vee.  In line
abreast, the center birds experience twice the saving of the tip members,
but if the tip members find this hard work and fall back to take advantage
of the increased favorable downstream upwash of the vortex wakes of the
inner members, then a balancing of savings occurs. We calculated the angle
of the Vee for equipartition.   It is about the same as is observed with
migrating birds.  We also showed that it was not necessary have equal legs
of the Vee.  Provided there are at least about 6 birds on one side of the
Vee, the other leg can be almost as long as the birds choose to make it.  
Interestingly, for a linear Vee, the wing at the apex of the Vee has the
maximum saving.  In 1971 I was in communication with ornithologists in
Florida, who noted that their observations validated our Vee estimates and
indicated that the apex position was usually taken by the older and more
powerful birds.  They wondered why the more powerful members of the flight
should take the easiest jobs!  My answer was that most intelligent species
are pretty anthropomorphic!

It may be noted that the savings are not related to drafting, that is
following behind a draggy object to take advantage of its lower dynamic
pressure wake.  I am very familiar with this, and, as an automobile
aerodynamicist, have utilized this theory in race car design, and as is
obvious, the slingshot maneuver is very significant. But not in flight!  It
is, in fact, horrible to fly