The 4th Infantry Divsion is deploying to Iraq right
now. To get a real sense of what the American
military is capable of right now, think about this.
For all practical purposes a nation the size of
California has been defeated by one British and the
equivalent of about 3+ American Divisions. The
--- Erik Reuter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> On Thu, Apr 03, 2003 at 11:37:52AM -0800, Gautam
> Mukunda wrote:
>
> > For all practical purposes a nation the size of
> California has been
> > defeated by one British and the equivalent of
> about 3+ American
>
--- "Gary L. Nunn" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
>> Unfortunately, China may be right. We (the US) make
> a big deal about
> other countries abuse of human rights, but we tend
> to overlook the
> abuses in the US because we are used to them.
> Certainly the US is not
> doing the same type of abuse, bu
--- Bryon Daly <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> I don't think charging to Bagdad was all that stupid
> an idea, and in fact,
> I think it was rather clever. The benefits I see of
> going straight for Bagdad:
> -Bryon
So far, I'd have to say that they will be studying
this plan in textbooks. But part
--- Gilbert Gosseyn <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Well, this is our propaganda, targeted to those who
> can't read the convention and take media coverage as
> truth. Between educated people, are we compelled to
> repeat it ?
Yes, since it's true. This sort of arrogance is one
of the most annoying
x27;m starting out with a review of Michael Lewis's
_Moneyball_ which I think the baseball fans on the
list might find interesting.
Gautam
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://mukunda.blogspot.com
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--- Jon Gabriel <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> The Geek Test: http://www.innergeek.us/geek.html
>
> I ranked:
> 44.3787% - Major Geek
>
> Jon
Somewhat to my surprise, I'm at only 32.54438% - Total
Geek. I think it's my lack of roleplaying-ish
experience...
Gautam
_
--- Ronn!Blankenship <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> No. Naturally-occurring uranium is about 99.3%
> U-238 (half-life 4.5
> billion years) and 0.7% U-235. Only the U-235 is
> fissionable, so the two
> isotopes must be separated for use in nuclear power
> plants or nuclear
> bombs. The left-over
--- Dan Minette <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> I wanted to ask you a question before Teri and I
> leave for a cruise to
> celebrate our 25th anniversary. (in other words, I
> won't be on line for
> almost 10 days). I remember you making a virtual
> bet that we'd find a
> smoking gun for WMD in Iraq
--- "Robert J. Chassell" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Please suggest another alternative, bearing in mind
> that the US
> government either did not put 2 soldiers on the
> search 6 weeks
> ago, or if it did, did not talk about the action.
>
> --
> Robert J. Chassell
ng is a post hoc explanation
that we impose upon our motivations to explain what
are, in fact, fundamentally irrational decisions :-)
Gautam
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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ate when we
arrived, Saddam _was_ defeated fairly easily, the
country _didn't_ collapse into civil war, the museum
_wasn't_ looted, and so on - at some point will the
media say (as the public already has) that empirical
reality and these people's beliefs are, let's be kind, or
might want to be
a little more careful with statements like the above?
Just a thought. I mean, if we do find them - and I
still think the odds are pretty good that we will -
what will you hate Bush foreign policy for then?
Gautam
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not fre
we can find their lost stuff, plus, just as an extra
special bonus, we'll bury their children alive in mass
graves.
Do you think they'd take that deal? Because by God
you talk like you think they would.
Gautam
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http
8
>From :
http://www.rightwingnews.com/archives/week_2003_06_08.PHP#001026
I guess all of those people were hoodwinked by the
Vast Right Wing Conspiracy, right Tom? It was all a
plot by the Bush Administration, which is so
Machiavellian they were able to trick people _even
befo
s of bad faith - defending a
tyrant simply for their own spite and domestic
political battles. So I return to my question about
credibility. All the people who talked about the
looting of the Museum as a cultural catastrophe akin
to destroying the Louvre or the Smithsonian or wha
n't happen_ -
it was a myth created by credulous people eager to
believe the worst of the United States and the Bush
Administration, and its revelation as a myth is
something that should further lessen their
credibility, if there was any left.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
&q
athist stooges who were covering
their own tracks for inside job thefts.
The only part of this argument that is beneath me is
the fact that I'm wasting my time on it.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
The only reason this is an
issue is an attempt by the defenders of Saddam to
trump up something, anything, to hide the catastrophic
failure of their beliefs.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
___
performance. Pretty much everywhere
outside of Baghdad and Tikrit, things actually seem to
be going pretty well. Maybe they will go south in the
future - I don't know. But so far, by any standard
other than some mythical perfection, things are going
remarkably well. Compare Baghdad to Ber
--- Erik Reuter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> On Wed, Jun 11, 2003 at 09:49:16PM -0700, Gautam
> Mukunda wrote:
>
> > On what curve exactly are you grading, Erik?
>
> I don't grade on a curve, but I guess that explains
> your comments, you
> are curving 71 u
rt of thing, and read some
stuff on how hard it is to find these items, I was
probably overoptimistic. But God forbid that a little
knowledge or expertise would be injected into this
loop.
Gautam
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogsp
does this surprise you? There
are plenty of people who blame the US for Castro's actions.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
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a's work on the subject. In any case, the
evidence seems to suggest that democratic governments
are considerably more, not less, stable than their
autocratic counterparts.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
_
Independence.
And it is simply inconceivable that Americans, at
least, would decide that the solution to the problem
was genocide - while it is quite clear that the
Palestinian groups - the PLO very much included - wish
to finish what Hitler started.
=
Gautam M
srael who care about the difference live in the
United States, and most of them are conservatives?
Gautam
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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sing these things, or do you just start frothing
at the mouth as soon as someone mentions George Bush?
I mean, you seem like a bright and reasonable guy -
right up until someone mentions a Republican and then
I swear to God someone else takes over your body -
it's like the Exorcist or somet
gt; Cheers
> Russell 007 C
It seems like he's getting the better of the deal. I
mean, which would you rather have, a volcano lair or
bikini clad vixens?
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
tages, it will
still be most. I do wonder if, at some point, the
difference between the left and right on Israel might
cause you to reevaluate some of your views on politics.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
_
dicating Israel. Would _you_ want a country on
your border that wanted to destroy you and thought a
reasonable tactic was brainwashing people into
committing suicide using explosives next to kindergartens?
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogs
tically vocal Americans
on this list are off the liberal deep end compared to
the American population as a whole. That's not in the
least an exaggeration. President Bush's unfavorables
in some polls run around 20%. What do you think the
ratio is on this list?
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAI
> Rich
Not sure if thalassemia is a European term for sickle
cell anemia, which has the same effects. One copy of
the cystic fibrosis gene conveys a high degree of
resistance to cholera, so CF is prevalent in areas
where there have been high historic rates of cholera infection.
=
Gautam
on the US for protection,
although the US doesn't hurt. Israel is an
independent state because the people of Israel are
willing to do whatever it takes to make it and keep it
that way.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
_
incoln might well be the
finest strategist _ever_. I agree with that
assessment - but Ben-Gurion isn't far behind and had,
if anything, a more difficult task.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.b
ctives on the US
are distorted - then think about how much worse it
must be for Israel.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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n interesting question of why that is,
and a further one of how long it will be before that
fact makes American Jews vote Republican more often,
but that does seem to be the way the numbers work.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
__
the number of Jews there are
currently living in, oh, every Arab country put
together. I rather think that the number is, in fact,
more than a few hundred. I remain in my belief that
the situation is somewhat different, however grasping
the attempts at moral equivalence.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMA
there is much of one, because you can
still find Sioux, Apaches, and Navajo all over the
place. The colonists did a lot of very bad things.
They did _not_ set out to kill every Native American
in the Western Hemisphere - because if they had set
out to do so, they would have succeeded. So even if
militaries. Bush was seen reading it soon after it
came out, probably not by coincidence, and Cohen
himself is quite influential within the Administration.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
__
--- Gautam Mukunda <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> My pleasure. I daresay I made at least a couple of
> mistakes, though - it's been at least a couple of
> years since I looked at the issue in detail. I
> imagine that someone here will correct me if I did.
In fact, I caught
rican ignorance of Europe, the reverse actually
seems to be the case at least as often, if not more so.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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gt;
Well, Europeans who I would think of as my
counterparts in Europe - so not professionals in the
subject (as I am not) but not people you would expect
to know little or nothing about the US either :-)
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.muk
n of him?
>
> Dan M.
>
>
> ___
> http://www.mccmedia.com/mailman/listinfo/brin-l
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
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--- Steve Sloan II <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Gautam Mukunda wrote:
>
> > OK, this is one of those irritating cliches that
> > people keep repeating. How _did_ Europe "pay its
> debt
> > by giving the Jews somebody else's land."
>
Bush seems to
have adopted the strategy most likely to get the
second to happen. It's possible things won't work out
well, but I'm not sure what _else_ could be done right now.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
__
at some gut level, that anyone with
power is always in the wrong. Israel has more power
than the Palestinians, so they oppose Israel. The
right is (too) comfortable with power, so the fact
that Israel is a democracy becomes more important.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not
h/Gore. What do you think the
list split? I'd bet something like 25/75 Bush/Gore,
and that's being generous.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
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w, other than pure
anti-Semitism (surely a good part of it) so many other
people _don't_.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
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an example.
As for his popularity slipping, well, he's not going
to stay at 60+%, no. OTOH, the odds that he's going
to win in 2004, well, let's just say that I'm not
urging my politically active friends to count on
getting a Democratic White House job in 200
There's something wrong with that?
>
>
> Tom Beck
It suggests that the Americans on the list are not
representative of the American public, which was my
point. Even most Democratic activists don't hate
Republicans the way you do, Tom.
=
Gautam Mukunda
in England?
>
> Kevin T. - VRWC
Hi Kevin. I'm not using Movable Type because blogger
is free and takes no resources to set up - and I have
exactly no resources, so the match works out fairly
well :-( Otherwise I'd certainly very strongly prefer
Movable Type. I think the comments
--- Damon <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Heh heh. Would it surprise you then to know I am a
> registered Democrat and
> voted for Gore?
>
> Damon.
Well statistically it shocks the hell out of me,
Damon. Army officers are what, 90% Republican?
Something in that range.
the best way to go about
it. Unfortunately when you save the letter in a
different format (as a Web Page, for example) it tends
to screw up the formatting. Thanks for any suggestions.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.bl
--- "Horn, John" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > From: Gautam Mukunda
> Perhaps this will work... Save it as a text file
> and put tags
> around it. That's for preformatted text. Then the
> browser will just
> display it as is and not try to mess wit
Hi folks,
The letter from the front is up - sans pictures, I'm
afraid - I just don't have time right now to deal with
whatever technical issues are involved. Still, some
of you might find it interesting. He really is as
much fun in person as you would guess from the letter itself.
==
ne of the best action set-pieces I can recall
reading. Other than the fact that the Quidditch was a
little disappointing, I honestly don't have a negative
word to say - I'm already eager for the next one.
Simply a joy to read.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is n
reading it, and if I had started,
I wouldn't have stopped until I was done. It was that good.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
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--- "G. D. Akin" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> Sorry for the top posting here, but PLEASE NO HARRY
> SPOILERS!
>
> George A
I thought I was being pretty careful...
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free
work. I can't think of any other way to
force China's hand - can you?
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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x27;t? While he wasn't exactly brilliant in his
final campaign, Custer's Civil War record is pretty
impressive. You don't make Major General at 23 by
accident. He did that after having _13_ horses shot
out from under him. I would describe that as "very
brave" under any circums
ay away from Gutenberg's printing press. Nor is
there any evidence that Gutenberg copied it - so far
as I am aware, there's no way he could even have known
about the Chinese invention. He appears to have come
up with the idea independently on his own.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PRO
cavalrymen still wear spurs on
their boots.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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_
ages in
the US have been substantially higher than those in
the rest of the world - something you could only
sustain with significantly higher productivity.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
__
Do
Strategic
and International Studies Global Aging project.
=
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[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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_
) in the late 40s - early 50s (the data on China
isn't as good) and Europe will be in the late 50s. In
Italy the ratio of people working to people retired
will be below 1.
Herbert Stein famously said that an unsustainable
trend will not be sustained. I don't quite see how
this
Italy, probably the two most
Catholic countries in Europe, it's hard to argue that
Catholicism is helping here. They may not practice
all that much in either country, but this started a
generation ago when they definitely were practicing.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PRO
t
it will sort of kind of work in our case. Europe and
Japan, by contrast, simply don't have that option, yet
they don't seem to be taking any steps to fix the
problem.
All of this excluding England, of course, which _has_
fixed its pension problem, and at least has heal
--- Gautam Mukunda <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> --- Erik Reuter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> > America's demographics aren't so hot either, just
> > not as bad as
> > Europe's. But that isn't anything to be happy
> about.
> > As Will
atization has
gone out the window and Europe seems to be in even
worse shape), and even if they have to wait a few
years, the shock shouldn't be catastrophic.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
___
x27;t suggest that anything
disastrous is going to happen to the American capital
markets, at least.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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usly.
>
> JDG
Well, it fell below replacement level only recently,
but it started falling a long time ago.
I believe that Mexico's population is starting to
fall, actually, or will start to fall soon, so that
might be a test case for you.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"F
quot; will be younger still. By 2040 I will be 61,
and at the peak of my saving years - and so pouring
money into the capital markets at a rate that I can't
currently manage. That's what I was referring to.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http:
ut 2.0. My best guess is
that Americans are sufficiently wealthier than people
in other societies that they can afford to have more
kids. That's just a guess.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
___
her. But I don't recall seeing a demographic
projection that puts the _US_ situation at 1.5:1 by
2050. Europe, certainly - Italy will be below 1:1.
If that were to happen, though, there's no doubt in my
mind that the retirement age would go up substantially
to prevent exactly that fr
that
the situation is nearly as bad as you suggest. It's a
problem, not a disaster. For us, anyways. Even for
the Europeans, if they act quickly enough.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.b
--- Erik Reuter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
> On Sun, Jun 29, 2003 at 07:10:56PM -0700, Gautam
> Mukunda wrote:
>
> > I would ask why, btw, you think that new savings
> won't be enough to
> > counteract the outflow.
>
> I guess I'm not being clear. It
ools. There's a lot to be said for that system -
it means that school isn't such an all-consuming part
of the life of most kids. If they don't have a social
outlet in school, they can find one somewhere else.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
htt
(although it is very, very strange to
be reading papers where "pessimistic projections" are
ones that involve people living _longer_ lives). But
it's quite stunning to read stuff that suggests that
someone of my age can (they predict), barring
revolutionary medical advances, expect t
ED]>
I hope that was a joke, Erik. If so, it was a poor
one. I found the article quite interesting, and
appreciate that John posted it. Among other things, I
would hate to miss a TMQ. The fact that The Fool
lacks the ability to respond civilly to differing
opinions doesn't make it
Fool (or others) choose to be an
hysteric, that's not John's fault. He's not the only
one who has noticed that the civility on this list
when religious matters are discussed is entirely one-sided.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.
MAIL PROTECTED]>
No, that was a poor turn of phrase. I should have
said extremely one-sided. Which it does seem to be.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
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until Koufax moved
to Dodger Stadium, he wasn't an overwhelming pitcher.
He was very good, but if I had to pick one pitcher of
the post-war era to win a game for me, the list would
go something like:
1. Pedro
2. Pedro
3. Tom Seaver
4. Roger Clemens
5. Greg Maddux
6. Koufax
And I'm not ev
ng in his entire career. Clemens
has, I believe, 6.
=
Gautam Mukunda
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that
James wouldn't even have put him in the top 10.
=
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. He was an incredible pticher -
I'd just rather have Clemens or Seaver for career
value, or Pedro for peak value.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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__
plift, unless Dr. Brin is revealing the secret
identity of the Progenitors to us unintentionally...
:-)
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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ing like that out there right now, I might go
back to playing computer games.
=
Gautam Mukunda
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Cy Young, Walter Johnson,
and Roger Clemens). It doesn't make him the single
most dominant pitcher of all time. Gibson had a
better single season ERA than Koufax ever managed -
why not argue for him? He was very, very great. But
every piece of evidence for which I am aware argues
t
chers, but let's
leave that one be. For career value - well, it's
close now, but I'd probably take Pedro at the moment.
I'd take Clemens in a heartbeat over either, though.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
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yer) - all these
wonderful tools that people have invented to measure
exactly how good a pitcher is. They are designed to
take into account all these varying factors that go
into what makes a great pitcher. Bob, so far as I can
tell, is arguing that we should just abandon all of
these ideas in favor o
7;s not
random - it's because he has flawless mechanics and is
the most efficient pitcher in the history of the
modern game.
=
Gautam Mukunda
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that Terrell Davis belongs in the pantheon
> of greatest NFL backs, even if I wouldn't rate him
> #1.
>
> JDG
Yeah, that's my entire point. He's a fine running
back. But it takes more than that to be "the best ever".
=
Gautam Mukunda
ason was. Or one of Koufax's
great ones. It just so happens that Koufax's don't
seem to quite make the grade against Pedro's best, and
Koufax's career clearly doesn't quite make it against,
say, Seaver or Clemens. That doesn't make him
anything less than a phenomena
won four consecutive Cy Young
Awards. Did Koufax do that? I know that he did not.
Randy Johnson has now won four consecutive Cy Youngs
as well, I believe. Same question.
=
Gautam Mukunda
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http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
_
Johnson
would still have won all four? And Maddux as well?
Clemens might not have won all six, to be fair.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
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o call a strike in Questec-equipped parks, but
that this difference might not even be statistically
significant. I don't know enough about it to assess
the technical merits of the system, but that suggests
that it isn't doing much either way.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
&
rs). But in this case, I don't
think I'm actually making a modern's bias argument.
Adjusted for era, Pedro's numbers at his peak are just
flat-out better. A modern's bias would be if the two
were roughly equal, and I was saying _that_ showed
that Pedro was better. But that
rior
to that of the Red Sox - and we are heading in the
direction of being able to answer that question fairly
soon - then that evidence would go a long way towards
falsifying my belief. What evidence would convince
you? If Koufax's own personal testimony doesn't, what would?
television, and quite possibly great art.
=
Gautam Mukunda
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
"Freedom is not free"
http://www.mukunda.blogspot.com
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defenceless person that is
> going to at best hurt enough to make them cry, or at
> worst seriously
> injure or blind them? That's sick.
>
> Russell C.
It certainly is. This smells like a hoax - I wonder
if someone read "The Most Dangerous Game" and decided
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