Lúcio de Souza Coelho wrote:
On 6/12/07, Mike Tintner <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote:
(...)
But that might be an overly bleak interpretation. Another way to look
at the
rapid uptake of computers in the BRICs is an example of the astonishing
possibilities for catch-up that technology offers the developing world.
Russia is a special case, but Brazil, India and China have spent most
of the
last century or two in a state of development hopelessly far behind the
industrialized masters of the universe. Today, they are racing
forward, and
it seems likely that the more citizens they have sitting in front of LCD
monitors, the more quickly they will bridge what gaps remain.
(...)
A minor correction of sorts: as a Brazilian, I would say that "quaint"
CRT monitors are still the norm here. :) As you may imagine, low-end
equipment has an edge in a market largely composed by poorer folks.
However, it is true that LCD adoption has been growing at a
breathtaking speed even here, and maybe in a couple of years or so
CRTs will be history in this country too.
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Unless there are some replacements for certain rare elements...probably not.
Ephemeralization is about to become NECESSARY, as the pool of available
material resources is shrinking FAST!!
(This statement is based on one article, but I found it utterly
convincing, as I was expecting that this result would be discovered as
soon as someone looked.)
So I think the next necessary area of development is MEMs and
nano-tech. Assemblers and disassemblers are going to be needed within
20 years. For some elements even sooner. Screens will need to start
shrinking rather than growing...plausibly being worn as glasses are now
until a direct neural feed becomes available.
One good place to start might be solar powered desalinization...and then
material recovery from the brine. That's one's difficult, as there's
already lots of competition. OTOH, there's an *immense* market if you
can get the price down.
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