Von:Jed Rothwell
<jedrothw...@gmail.com>
An: vortex-l@eskimo.com 
Gesendet: 22:02 Montag, 2.April 2012
Betreff: Re: [Vo]:The Fukushima disaster
 
>No one disputes that coal fired plants kill far more people than
nuclear power, even taking into account casualties from uranium mining
pollution.
 
>Putting aside the long term perspective, nuclear power is uniquely
disastrous from an economic and business point of view. No other source of
energy could conceivably cause so much damage in a single accident,

Agree.
Your assessment is sane.

What seems to be difficult to understand to some, is distinguishing different
risk-categories.

a) coal-fired plants probably emit more radioactivity than any orderly working
nuclear power-plant over decades.
Because this has an intrinsic upper limit, as a function of time, society can
decide and switch it off.
b) on the other hand, you have a nuclear plant, which occasionally explodes or
is otherwise severely damaged, and kills the neighbouring people.

Now how to decide?
Assume, both probabilities are equal in the long term, (which is purely
hypothetical, because noone knows) .
Which option would you choose?
Surprise: It depends where you live!

And this has other surprising consequences, eg, that the probability-space in
the time-domain is transformed into a probability-space in the space-domain.
And the results are VERY different.

G.

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