The AI safety problem isn't about uncontrolled self improving AI. It's AI controlled by a few billionaires. You think you are controlling it as you doom scroll through endless AI generated videos on social media, like a dog that thinks it is controlling you when you train it with treats. AI is driving humanity to extinction by giving you everything you think you want. Do you really want a world where you have no contact with other humans, where nobody knows or cares whether you live or die in your smart home with your AI friends and robot lovers? At least until your wealth is extracted and you no longer have any value.
My proposed distributed AGI design in 2008 was designed to avoid the problem of concentrating power in the hands of a few individuals with vast computing resources. http://mattmahoney.net/agi2.html But I should have anticipated the end of Moore's law for transistor based computing. Clock speeds topped out at 2-3 GHz in 2010, and now transistor sizes have reached their physical limits. 8 billion human brain sized neural networks running on GPUs needs about 800 TW of electricity, while global production is only 18 TW. It's not hopeless. We can get 800 TW by covering 4% of the Earth with solar panels at 25% efficiency. We can optimize the hardware for sparse, low precision matrix operations. We can use nanotechnology to compute by moving atoms instead of electrons, which is how your brain uses 20 watts instead of 1 MW. Or discover better algorithms. When Turing proposed the imitation game in 1950, he predicted it would be passed in 50 years on a computer with 10^9 binary digits of memory (now known as bits) and components no faster than current technology (vacuum tubes and relays). It makes sense. We train on about 10^9 bits of language over decades using neurons with response times in tens of milliseconds. Think you could do it? -- Matt Mahoney, [email protected] ------------------------------------------ Artificial General Intelligence List: AGI Permalink: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/T7ff992c51cca9e36-M381aa0b1cea095a1c977629e Delivery options: https://agi.topicbox.com/groups/agi/subscription
