Your point about ratios : agreed, which is why I made another post, where I
tried to account for the legacy factor of Cisco gear. Once again, Cisco
loses, even with extreme assumptions that favor Cisco. Please see my other
post. The point is that a ratio of 380:1 is extremely difficult to wipe
out, no matter what assumptions you use. So you say I should not use the
annual run rates between the 2 companies, and that is reasonable. So
instead I presume there is $330 billion of Cisco gear sitting around out
there in the world, because it has been 15 years since Cisco's IPO times $22
billion of gear per year. This is clearly ridiculous because obviously
Cisco has not sold $22 billion of gear every year since its IPO, and also
because almost all of Cisco's gear that is more than a few years has been
junked. But, fine we'll make that assumption. So then the ratio should be
330:1. What's the real ratio? 380:1

About your drumming on skills versus certs. You are correct, I have already
conceded so. Of course it is true that experience and skills matter more
than a cert. It is just much easier for me to type CCIE or JNCIE rather
than "skills and experience that are generally held by the average CCIE or
JNCIE" (also because this whole discussion was launched from guys talking
about the MCSE vs. the CCIE, so I had to respond in kind) But , Okay fine.
If it makes you feel any better, go back to all my posts on this thread and
make that substitution every time I say CCIE or JNCIE. So basically, now
what I am saying in all my posts is that I believe that a certain level of
skill and experience in Juniper is probably more valuable than an equivalent
level of
skill and experience in Cisco.   How about that?

Now, about your point that it is unreasonable that regular people should go
for Juniper due to lack of access, of course you are correct. I am not
saying that people should just drop everything and go for Juniper if they do
not have proper access. What I am saying is that if you are given a choice
to study one or the other, and you have access to both. I believe it is
better for you to go for Juniper. Furthermore, I believe that even if you
don't have access to a Juniper lab right now, but you see the opportunity to
make moves in your career such that you will have such access, then that is
something you should consider.

Besides, I believe people should  be proactive and aggressive when it comes
to their career.  Your company and your boss doesn't really care whether
your skills are staying current (they may say that they care, but they
probably don't really care), they just want to get things done, and if that
means sticking you with learning skills for which there is little demand
elsewhere, they don't really care about that.  You don't want to get stuck
maintaining Windows 3.11  while everybody else in your company is learning
W2K, for example.   It is really the responsibility of every IT individual
to make sure that their skills remain up-to-date and valuable, and you can't
always be passive and just learn whatever technologies your company decides
to throw at you. sometimes you have to aggressively make moves with your
career to make sure you are learning skills that are in demand.  You don't
want to be always stuck maintaining Dec-VAX boxes and Vines networks and Bay
routers and then discover that when you get laid off, nobody wants to hire
you because your skills are obsolete.

You've got to remember - this whole thread started because I was responding
to somebody who was proposing that the MCSE was more valuable than the
CCIE,and his reasons for saying so were that there are more Microsoft jobs
than
Cisco jobs out there. My response (this whole thread) was that just because
there is more demand for a certain skill does not mean that that skills is
necessarily more valuable, because you also need to look at the supply side
of the equation, and I was using Juniper and the JNCIE as the
counterargument (as an example of a skills with low demand and even lower
supply).   The thread then digressed as people were shocked, shocked that I
would dare to question the orthodoxy that Cisco is great and Juniper is
nothing.  I was not proposing that everybody junk their Cisco lab and run
to study Juniper, not at all. Scarcity was not a concern for this thread.
Why not? Well, the guy who made the MCSE vs. CCIE argument wasn't invoking
scarcity either, even though it is clearly easier and cheaper to set up an
MCSE lab than a CCIE lab.  He was just talking about which skills was more
valuable (Microsoft or Cisco), without getting into any discussions of
scarcity of equipment.   So if he wasn't going to invoke equipment scarcity
in his argument, then why should I invoke it in my response?

By the same token, this is the same reason why I only talked about certs,
not skills.  Once again, I will say that of course you are correct that
skills matters more than certs.  But on the other hand, this thread started
because somebody was implying that the MCSE was better than the CCIE.  He
was talking certs only.  So, fine, I decided to fight him on his own terms.






----- Original Message -----
From: "Baker, Jason"
To: "nrf" ;
Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2001 9:47 PM
Subject: RE: Is the CCIE really worth it??? [7:3485]


> you are quoting ratios again and you have not gone completely against
> juniper. Take example
> below.
>
> how about quoting ratios of all cisco equipment out there to total CCIE's
> and then take all Juniper equipment out in market place as opposed to
> juniper certifed people.
> I think you will find that to be extremely in favor of cisco.
>
> Also Juniper equipment is in service provider field. How many people get
to
> touch it ? Not many.
> And those that do i am gathering are probably not certified in juniper
> anyway.
>
> So if you are not using it, going on what you say you need hands on to get
> cert, why is it worth
> studying it, as the equipment is not in the persoanl lab market.
>
> So if you understand the technology regarless of cert and are good at what
> you do, then you will
> most likely get to use it. Therefore salary is not compleltely based on
your
> certification but
> on what you know and can produce.
>
> so back to my initial argument being certified in juniper does not get you
> your salary
>
>
>


Your point about ratios : agreed, which is why I made another post, where I
tried to account for the legacy factor of Cisco gear. Once again, Cisco
loses, even with extreme assumptions that favor Cisco. Please see my other
post. The point is that a ratio of 380:1 is extremely difficult to wipe
out, no matter what assumptions you use. So you say I should not use the
annual run rates between the 2 companies, and that is reasonable. So
instead I presume there is $330 billion of Cisco gear sitting around out
there in the world, because it has been 15 years since Cisco's IPO times $22
billion of gear per year. This is clearly ridiculous because obviously
Cisco has not sold $22 billion of gear every year since its IPO, and also
because almost all of Cisco's gear that is more than a few years has been
junked. But, fine we'll make that assumption. So then the ratio should be
330:1. What's the real ratio? 380:1

About your drumming on skills versus certs. You are correct, I have already
conceded so. Of course it is true that experience and skills matter more
than a cert. It is just much easier for me to type CCIE or JNCIE rather
than "skills and experience that are generally held by the average CCIE or
JNCIE" (also because this whole discussion was launched from guys talking
about the MCSE vs. the CCIE, so I had to respond in kind) But , Okay fine.
If it makes you feel any better, go back to all my posts on this thread and
make that substitution every time I say CCIE or JNCIE. So basically, now
what I am saying in all my posts is that I believe that a certain level of
skill and experience in Juniper is more valuable than an equivalent level of
skill and experience in Cisco. How about that?

Now, about your point that it is unreasonable that regular people should go
for Juniper due to lack of access, of course you are correct. I am not
saying that people should just drop everything and go for Juniper if they do
not have proper access. What I am saying is that if you are given a choice
to study one or the other, and you have access to both. I believe it is
better for you to go for Juniper. Furthermore, I believe that even if you
don't have access to a Juniper lab right now, but you see the opportunity to
make moves in your career such that you will have such access, then that is
something you should consider.

You've got to remember - this whole thread started because I was responding
to somebody who was proposing that the MCSE was more valuable than the CCIE,
and his reasons for saying so were that there are more Microsoft jobs than
Cisco jobs out there. My response (this whole thread) was that just because
there is more demand for a certain skill does not mean that that skills is
necessarily more valuable, because you also need to look at the supply side
of the equation, and I was using Juniper and the JNCIE as the
counterargument (as an example of a skills with low demand and even lower
supply). I was not proposing that everybody junk their Cisco lab and run
to study Juniper, not at all. Scarcity was not a concern for this thread.
Why not? Well, the guy who made the MCSE vs. CCIE argument wasn't invoking
scarcity either, even though it is clearly easier and cheaper to set up an
MCSE lab than a CCIE lab. So if he wasn't going to invoke scarcity in his
argument, then why should I invoke it in my response?








----- Original Message -----
From: "Baker, Jason"
To: "nrf" ;
Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2001 9:47 PM
Subject: RE: Is the CCIE really worth it??? [7:3485]


> you are quoting ratios again and you have not gone completely against
> juniper. Take example
> below.
>
> how about quoting ratios of all cisco equipment out there to total CCIE's
> and then take all Juniper equipment out in market place as opposed to
> juniper certifed people.
> I think you will find that to be extremely in favor of cisco.
>
> Also Juniper equipment is in service provider field. How many people get
to
> touch it ? Not many.
> And those that do i am gathering are probably not certified in juniper
> anyway.
>
> So if you are not using it, going on what you say you need hands on to get
> cert, why is it worth
> studying it, as the equipment is not in the persoanl lab market.
>
> So if you understand the technology regarless of cert and are good at what
> you do, then you will
> most likely get to use it. Therefore salary is not compleltely based on
your
> certification but
> on what you know and can produce.
>
> so back to my initial argument being certified in juniper does not get you
> your salary
>
>
>


Your point about ratios : agreed, which is why I made another post, where I
tried to account for the legacy factor of Cisco gear. Once again, Cisco
loses, even with extreme assumptions that favor Cisco. Please see my other
post. The point is that a ratio of 380:1 is extremely difficult to wipe
out, no matter what assumptions you use. So you say I should not use the
annual run rates between the 2 companies, and that is reasonable. So
instead I presume there is $330 billion of Cisco gear sitting around out
there in the world, because it has been 15 years since Cisco's IPO times $22
billion of gear per year. This is clearly ridiculous because obviously
Cisco has not sold $22 billion of gear every year since its IPO, and also
because almost all of Cisco's gear that is more than a few years has been
junked. But, fine we'll make that assumption. So then the ratio should be
330:1. What's the real ratio? 380:1

About your drumming on skills versus certs. You are correct, I have already
conceded so. Of course it is true that experience and skills matter more
than a cert. It is just much easier for me to type CCIE or JNCIE rather
than "skills and experience that are generally held by the average CCIE or
JNCIE" (also because this whole discussion was launched from guys talking
about the MCSE vs. the CCIE, so I had to respond in kind) But , Okay fine.
If it makes you feel any better, go back to all my posts on this thread and
make that substitution every time I say CCIE or JNCIE. So basically, now
what I am saying in all my posts is that I believe that a certain level of
skill and experience in Juniper is more valuable than an equivalent level of
skill and experience in Cisco. How about that?

Now, about your point that it is unreasonable that regular people should go
for Juniper due to lack of access, of course you are correct. I am not
saying that people should just drop everything and go for Juniper if they do
not have proper access. What I am saying is that if you are given a choice
to study one or the other, and you have access to both. I believe it is
better for you to go for Juniper. Furthermore, I believe that even if you
don't have access to a Juniper lab right now, but you see the opportunity to
make moves in your career such that you will have such access, then that is
something you should consider.

You've got to remember - this whole thread started because I was responding
to somebody who was proposing that the MCSE was more valuable than the CCIE,
and his reasons for saying so were that there are more Microsoft jobs than
Cisco jobs out there. My response (this whole thread) was that just because
there is more demand for a certain skill does not mean that that skills is
necessarily more valuable, because you also need to look at the supply side
of the equation, and I was using Juniper and the JNCIE as the
counterargument (as an example of a skills with low demand and even lower
supply). I was not proposing that everybody junk their Cisco lab and run
to study Juniper, not at all. Scarcity was not a concern for this thread.
Why not? Well, the guy who made the MCSE vs. CCIE argument wasn't invoking
scarcity either, even though it is clearly easier and cheaper to set up an
MCSE lab than a CCIE lab. So if he wasn't going to invoke scarcity in his
argument, then why should I invoke it in my response?








----- Original Message -----
From: "Baker, Jason"
To: "nrf" ;
Sent: Tuesday, October 02, 2001 9:47 PM
Subject: RE: Is the CCIE really worth it??? [7:3485]


> you are quoting ratios again and you have not gone completely against
> juniper. Take example
> below.
>
> how about quoting ratios of all cisco equipment out there to total CCIE's
> and then take all Juniper equipment out in market place as opposed to
> juniper certifed people.
> I think you will find that to be extremely in favor of cisco.
>
> Also Juniper equipment is in service provider field. How many people get
to
> touch it ? Not many.
> And those that do i am gathering are probably not certified in juniper
> anyway.
>
> So if you are not using it, going on what you say you need hands on to get
> cert, why is it worth
> studying it, as the equipment is not in the persoanl lab market.
>
> So if you understand the technology regarless of cert and are good at what
> you do, then you will
> most likely get to use it. Therefore salary is not compleltely based on
your
> certification but
> on what you know and can produce.
>
> so back to my initial argument being certified in juniper does not get you
> your salary




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