I wouldn’t be so pessimistic about macOS or even iOS update rates.  Its 
considerably quicker than you think.  IMS, they announce upgrade rates during 
public earnings report conference calls typically to brag about how well a new 
OS is being received by the public over previous releases or competing OSs.

re Cocoa being deprecated: I think you have some time.  A lot of 
apps/components in the OS are written in Obj-C and it is a big undertaking to 
convert them all.  Not something that can feasibly be done in a year or two.  
Remember how long it took Finder to switch from Carbon to Cocoa?  And even then 
it was half Carbon & half Cocoa.  It took a couple releases for it be all 
Cocoa.  Not to mention Carbon was officially deprecated in 10.8 (back in 2012) 
and is only now dead in 10.15 (2019).  So I think Cocoa still has a good number 
of years of life left before it is deprecated and even more years before it is 
dead.

—Rob


> On Nov 14, 2019, at 12:30 PM, Pier Bover via Cocoa-dev 
> <[email protected]> wrote:
> 
>> Well I think the point is to go SwiftUI
> 
> What if you want to support previous macOS versions older than Catalina?
> 
> I doubt the majority of users will update to Catalina for at least 1-2
> years.
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