Hideki,

Thank you. Your results look quite compelling. Do you allow memory (the number 
of nodes in the tree) to grow along with thinking time or is there a fixed 
limit? 

IIRC Don et. al.'s excellent scaling studies included gnugo but its effect was 
probably small. Self play dominated. Perhaps, what David Doshay calls, the 
"evil twin effect" causes self play to give the appearance of scaling better.

- Dave Hillis





-----Original Message-----
From: Hideki Kato <hideki_ka...@ybb.ne.jp>
To: computer-go <computer-go@computer-go.org>
Sent: Sat, Oct 31, 2009 10:39 pm
Subject: Re: [computer-go] First ever win of a computer against a pro 9P as 
black (game of Go, 9x9).




hillism...@netscape.net: 
<8cc26e08cfc0f77-5fd0-a...@webmail-m052.sysops.aol.com>:
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Hideki Kato <hideki_ka...@ybb.ne.jp>
> To: computer-go <computer-go@computer-go.org>
> Sent: Wed, Oct 28, 2009 1:41 am
> Subject: Re: [computer-go] First ever win of a computer against a pro 9P as 
lack (game of 
Go, 9x9).
> ...
> BTW, recently I've measured the strength (win rate) vs time for a move 
> curves with Zen vs GNU Go and Zen vs Zen (self-play) on 19 x 19 board.  
> Without opening book, it saturates between +400 and +500 Elo against 
> GNU but doesn't upto +800 Elo in self-play.  That's somewhat 
> interesting (detail will be open soon at GPW-2009).

> Hideki

I'd say that is more than "somewhat" interesting. While we're waiting for the 
aper, 
can you give us a picture of how many games against Gnugo went into this 
nalysis? 
Do you see this in 9x9?
I've attatched two charts of current results for convinience.  
hart1 is against GNU Go and Chart2 is self-play.
The numbers for the 1st curve "HA8000 (AMD Opteron  2.3GHz) 16 thread" 
n Chart1 are:
ime(s) Win Draw    All Dup WR  std-dev Elo
.02    325 27  2,933   0   11.54%  0.59%   -353.8
.1 509 23  728 0   71.50%  1.67%   +159.8
.2 946 47  1,147   0   84.52%  1.07%   +294.9
.5 1,803   60  2,000   0   91.65%  0.62%   +416.2
.0 1,849   33  2,000   0   93.28%  0.56%   +456.8
.0 4,455   121 4,812   0   93.84%  0.35%   +473.1
The numbers for Chart2 are:
ime(s) Win Draw    All Dup WR  std-dev Elo
.1 147 4   2,000   0   7.45%   0.59%   -437.7
.3 992 36  2,000   0   50.50%  1.12%   +3.5
.0 3,742   38  4,000   0   94.03%  0.37%   +478.8
.0 13,157  43  13,328  1   98.89%  0.09%   +779.3
Since above results are measured with no opening book, I'm now 
enchmarking opening book enabled but right now the samples are 
ot enough (642 games; see the 4th curve in Chart1, "HA8000 (AMD 
pteron  2.3GHz) 16 thread w/ Book").
 Not a curve but a point now :-)
For 9x9 it's not clear.  The curve starts saturating near +500 Elo 
ut still seems increasing.
Hideki
-
g...@nue.ci.i.u-tokyo.ac.jp (Kato)


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