On Wed, 9 Sep 2020 at 19:33, John Clark <johnkcl...@gmail.com> wrote:

>
>
> On Tue, Sep 8, 2020 at 6:14 PM Stathis Papaioannou <stath...@gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
> > If there are 100 John Clarks tomorrow then John Clark has survived,
>
>
> Yes.
>
>  > because all it takes is one
>
>
> Yes, so there is a 100% chance John Clark will see a prime number on his
> room number and a 100% chance John Clark will not see a prime number on his
> room number.
>
> > *and there is a 25/100 probability that a randomly chosen John Clark
>> will see a prime number.*
>
>
> OK.
>
>  > *This is the non-delusional interpretation of the question “what is
>> the probability that you will see a prime number?”. *
>
>
> Then the referent to the personal pronoun "you" is not John Clark It is a
> subset of randomly selected John Clarks made after 100 duplications that
> were shown numbers between one and 100. But the question  "what will *you*
> see?" was asked before the duplications and so there was nobody in that
> subset at the time, So who was the question directed at and who was
> expected to answer?
>

You could say the “you” is at best ambiguous and at worst meaningless in
this case. But if duplication were commonplace, people would use “you”.
Most who go through duplication would advise their friends, “don’t bet on a
prime number, because going on my experience, you are unlikely to get it”.

> The “you” cannot refer to a magical soul, because such a thing never
>> existed in the first place.
>
>
> I agree with that but I don't think "you" refers to anything or anyone.
> Of course all this confusion could be avoided if people would simply stop
> using personal pronouns in thought experiments that are supposed to make 
> Abstract
> ideas about personal identity clearer.
>
> John K Clark
>
>
>
>>
>>
>>
>
>
>
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>
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>
> --
Stathis Papaioannou

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