It is possible that the events in Iraq are the cause of the weaker dollar that has occurred in the last day or two and that this is the beginning of a big slide -- much overdue, of course, in view of the trillion dollar trade deficit. If it continues, then this will cause higher prices to the American consumer for those items that are imported and this will occur long before American business can take up the slack. Greenspan might feel obliged to raise interest rates in order to prevent too steep a slide in the value of the dollar and this could then trip off the beginning of the personal credit card debt crunch -- again long overdue and in need of correction. We could now be in for bad times.

Keith Hudson
Keith Hudson, Bath, England, <www.evolutionary-economics.org>

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