It is possible that the events in Iraq are the cause of the weaker dollar
that has occurred in the last day or two and that this is the beginning of
a big slide -- much overdue, of course, in view of the trillion dollar
trade deficit. If it continues, then this will cause higher prices to the
American consumer for those items that are imported and this will occur
long before American business can take up the slack. Greenspan might feel
obliged to raise interest rates in order to prevent too steep a slide in
the value of the dollar and this could then trip off the beginning of the
personal credit card debt crunch -- again long overdue and in need of
correction. We could now be in for bad times.
Keith Hudson
Keith Hudson, Bath, England, <www.evolutionary-economics.org>
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