Sounds plausible to me.
 
Ed
----- Original Message -----
Sent: Friday, November 14, 2003 10:09 AM
Subject: Re: [Futurework] The big slide?

Keith,
 
You wrote:
 
        It is possible that the events in Iraq are the cause of the weaker dollar
        that has occurred in the last day or two and that this is the beginning of a
        big slide -- much overdue, of course, in view of the trillion dollar
        trade deficit
 
A cheaper dollar has been the policy of the Bush Administration for quite some time although they deny it. They see it as a way of increasing exports and reducing imports. They are upset a China for pegging the Yuan to the dollar because it hurts their policy. This may be a way of getting at China but, of course, has the effect of making the Chinese more competitive in the US relative to the rest of the world.
 
Bill
 
On Fri, 14 Nov 2003 08:34:20 -0500 "Lawrence DeBivort" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> writes:
> Hi, Keith,
> As always, thanks for the stimulating and thoughtful posts.
>
> So....what non-US currency do you think will do best against the
> US$?
>
> Cheers,
> Lawry
>
> > -----Original Message-----
> > From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> > [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED]]On Behalf Of Keith
> Hudson
> > Sent: Fri, November 14, 2003 3:25 AM
> > To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> > Subject: [Futurework] The big slide?
> >
> >
> > It is possible that the events in Iraq are the cause of the weaker
> dollar
> > that has occurred in the last day or two and that this is the
> > beginning of
> > a big slide -- much overdue, of course, in view of the trillion
> dollar
> > trade deficit. If it continues, then this will cause higher prices
> to the
> > American consumer for those items that are imported and this will
> occur
> > long before American business can take up the slack. Greenspan
> might feel
> > obliged to raise interest rates in order to prevent too steep a
> slide in
> > the value of the dollar and this could then trip off the beginning
> of the
> > personal credit card debt crunch -- again long overdue and in need
> of
> > correction. We could now be in for bad times.
> >
> > Keith Hudson
> > Keith Hudson, Bath, England, <www.evolutionary-economics.org>
> >
> > _______________________________________________
> > Futurework mailing list
> > [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> > http://scribe.uwaterloo.ca/mailman/listinfo/futurework
> >
>
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>
 

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