Hi, Keith,
As always, thanks for the stimulating and thoughtful posts.

So....what non-US currency do you think will do best against the US$?

Cheers,
Lawry

> -----Original Message-----
> From: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> [mailto:[EMAIL PROTECTED] Behalf Of Keith Hudson
> Sent: Fri, November 14, 2003 3:25 AM
> To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
> Subject: [Futurework] The big slide?
>
>
> It is possible that the events in Iraq are the cause of the weaker dollar
> that has occurred in the last day or two and that this is the
> beginning of
> a big slide -- much overdue, of course, in view of the trillion dollar
> trade deficit. If it continues, then this will cause higher prices to the
> American consumer for those items that are imported and this will occur
> long before American business can take up the slack. Greenspan might feel
> obliged to raise interest rates in order to prevent too steep a slide in
> the value of the dollar and this could then trip off the beginning of the
> personal credit card debt crunch -- again long overdue and in need of
> correction. We could now be in for bad times.
>
> Keith Hudson
> Keith Hudson, Bath, England, <www.evolutionary-economics.org>
>
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