Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Re: Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

2013-03-14 Thread Parks, Raymond
Replies in-line, below.

Ray Parks
Consilient Heuristician/IDART Program Manager
V: 505-844-4024  M: 505-238-9359  P: 505-951-6084
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On Mar 14, 2013, at 11:43 AM, Owen Densmore wrote:

On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 11:14 AM, Douglas Roberts 
d...@parrot-farm.netmailto:d...@parrot-farm.net wrote:
Oh come on guys, Google never makes a mistake. Ever.

--Doug

OK, how's this for specific.  Try these on:

Do you think Android will last?  I don't mean will it completely go away but 
will google, for example, drop out of the Android consortium and let the 
handset makers carry the load?

If Google drops Android, then it will not last - the handset makers will 
fragment it in order to have distinguishing features/selling points.  If Google 
sets up the Open Handset Alliance with funding, it might be able to keep the 
handset fragmentation at bay.


Will G+ be dropped?  After all, it mainly gives a Facebook-like world for most 
folks.  G+ is better from our standpoint, but I use twitter 100x more than 
either FB or G+ and FB has the masses and will never loose them. So G+ is just 
catch up and niche.

Probably not - Google seems to be pushing single sign on through G+ in order to 
better track people for targeted advertisement.

How about Chrome?  I think that is the more likely to remain stable forever 
simply because they depend on a browser as the root of all that they do.  Ditto 
the Dev Tools which are superb. Hopefully solid.

I agree - Chrome is probably a long-term investment.  Especially since it is 
their vehicle to get users to single-signon through G+.

How about Chrome OS? The twitter world is betting on Mozilla over Google in the 
browser-as-OS world.  Possibly because Brenden Eich became CTO recently.  Also 
their phone promises a way to have responsive design webapps become 
universal, getting rid of the need for customized android/iphone/windows apps.  
That's a pretty big win for perplexed companies moving into mobile.

Unless Mozilla can get out of their cruft rut, their browser-as-OS will be 
really slow and unresponsive.  As much as I like Firefox and its security 
plug-ins, I've had to give up on it on my Android phone - it's a memory and 
processing hog.  Firefox has grown bigger and slower with every version.  Also, 
Mozilla doesn't have desktop applications ready.

How about Dart?  Consider ASM.js vs Dart.  Which would you bet on?  I'm still 
betting on Mozilla's ASM.js because its simply more fundamental and 
understandable and even is part of a C++ to JS translation effort

Apples vs Oranges - asm.js is a subset of javascript for which Dart is a 
ground-up replacement.  The real comparison is how much penetration has Dart 
made into implementations (apparently, negligible).



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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Please sign this thing! Eliminate the bi-annual time change caused by Daylight Savings Time

2013-03-14 Thread Owen Densmore
Its not artificial when my alarm goes off in the morning!

On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 12:10 PM, Parks, Raymond rcpa...@sandia.gov wrote:

  Time.  Time is an artificial construct.  An idea based on the theory
 that events occur in a linear direction, at all times.  Always forward,
 never back.  Is the concept of time correct?  Is time relevant?


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Re: [FRIAM] [EXTERNAL] Please sign this thing! Eliminate the bi-annual time change caused by Daylight Savings Time

2013-03-14 Thread Pamela McCorduck
Only to human beings.


On Mar 14, 2013, at 2:10 PM, Parks, Raymond rcpa...@sandia.gov wrote:

 Time.  Time is an artificial construct.  An idea based on the theory that 
 events occur in a linear direction, at all times.  Always forward, never 
 back.  Is the concept of time correct?  Is time relevant?
 
 Ray Parks
 Consilient Heuristician/IDART Program Manager
 V: 505-844-4024  M: 505-238-9359  P: 505-951-6084
 NIPR: rcpa...@sandia.gov
 SIPR: rcpar...@sandia.doe.sgov.gov (send NIPR reminder)
 JWICS: dopa...@doe.ic.gov (send NIPR reminder)
 
 
 
 On Mar 13, 2013, at 9:45 PM, Carl Tollander wrote:
 
 But I like it!   Should happen an odd number of times a year!  Clocks are 
 arbitrary anyhow; just wake up with the Sun.
 
 On 3/11/13 3:25 PM, Owen Densmore wrote:
 The title sez it all: 
 Eliminate the bi-annual time change caused by Daylight Savings Time |
 We the People: Your Voice in Our Government
 
 Basically a petition to either keep DST or standard time, and not flip/flop 
 for no apparent reason.  Arizona for example has survived without time 
 change so maybe the rest of us can too?
 
 https://petitions.whitehouse.gov/petition/eliminate-bi-annual-time-change-caused-daylight-savings-time/ShChxpKh
 
 I am SO sick of this weird, unnecessary attack on my poor ailing 
 metabolism.  Takes me a week to adjust.  Taint needed.
 
-- Owen
 
 
 
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 FRIAM Applied Complexity Group listserv
 Meets Fridays 9a-11:30 at cafe at St. John's College
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Re: [FRIAM] Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

2013-03-14 Thread glen

I'm very interested in the desire to and the frustration surrounding
_not_ being able to figure Google out.  I wonder if different people
(people ensconced in other domains, other fora) feel this same
desire/frustration around, say, Unilever or General Electric?

I can certainly see it from a single tightly focused quantifiable
predictibility measure ... like whether to buy a company's stock.  But
without that tight use case, and with a large multi-national beast with
layers of varying liability, impact, presentation, etc., they strike me
as complex beasts.  Each aspect from which you measure them will present
different, perhaps even incommensurate results.  I know this was the
case while I was working for Lockheed Martin.  It was especially vivid
to me since I was on loan to Vought systems at an old air base working
on aircraft avionics, on loan from the missiles division, which recently
bought Vought and which had been recently bought by Loral, which was
soon to be bought by Lockheed Martin.

I could no more imagine figuring Lockheed Martin out than I could
imagine figuring out C. Elegans.

Because of this, it strikes me that what you're expressing is some sort
of deep seated pattern recognition bias towards centralized planning.
You're looking for a homunculus inside a machine.

And that leads me to my fundamental gripe with web services.  The whole
point of the open source movement was to put upstream causal power into
the hands of more people, to make the producer-consumer relationship
more symmetric.  In web services, it seems like we, as consumers,
_still_ want asymmetric producer-consumer relationships.  GMail is a
great example.  I hate GMail simply because I can't download the
software and run my _own_ GMail server on my own hardware ... similar to
SparkleShare, Tor, Wordpress, Drupal, etc.

If they allowed that, then I'd love GMail.  And, if they did that, you
wouldn't have to worry about Google abandoning it, as long as it had a
sufficiently pure free agent following (like the role Debian plays for
Linux).

Why?  Oh why? Do we insist on these soft paternalist producer-consumer
relationships? What's the underlying cause for people to prefer the
Raspberry Pie over Arduino?  GMail over postfix?

[sigh]

Owen Densmore wrote at 03/14/2013 09:34 AM:
 Good by Google Reader (which I use a lot):
 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5371725
 .. and a host of others in this year's Spring Cleaning
 http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2013/03/a-second-spring-of-cleaning.html
 
 I will give them this: they have an export stunt, and I apparently can
 move to others.  I don't use the google front page they killed off,
 Yahoo instead.
 
 But seriously, does anyone have a crystal ball?  I just can't figure
 Google out!
 
 - Are they consolidating?  .. i.e. converting everything to G+?
 - What's next to go? .. Google Docs?  It gets use by digerati, but few
 others.
 - Is GMail safe? .. It gets a lot of use, but its easy to scrape off the
 ads, so can't be a profit center.
 
 I'd certainly pay for many of google services .. although I doubt this
 would stop them from randomly killing off ones I care about.
 
 Is there some obvious trend, like I mentioned above, for example ..
 moving everything to G+?
 
 Damn!


-- 
== glen e. p. ropella
The dog is dead and the sacrifice is done



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Re: [FRIAM] Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

2013-03-14 Thread Jochen Fromm

Like many others I use Google Reader daily, it is hard to understand how they 
can kill such a good and useful product. Apparently it has to do with G+, see 
http://thenextweb.com/google/2013/03/14/former-google-reader-product-manager-confirms-our-suspicions-its-demise-is-all-about-google/

-J.


Sent from AndroidOwen Densmore o...@backspaces.net wrote:Good by Google 
Reader (which I use a lot):
    https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5371725
.. and a host of others in this year's Spring Cleaning
    http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2013/03/a-second-spring-of-cleaning.html

I will give them this: they have an export stunt, and I apparently can move to 
others.  I don't use the google front page they killed off, Yahoo instead.

But seriously, does anyone have a crystal ball?  I just can't figure Google out!

- Are they consolidating?  .. i.e. converting everything to G+?
- What's next to go? .. Google Docs?  It gets use by digerati, but few others.
- Is GMail safe? .. It gets a lot of use, but its easy to scrape off the ads, 
so can't be a profit center.

I'd certainly pay for many of google services .. although I doubt this would 
stop them from randomly killing off ones I care about.

Is there some obvious trend, like I mentioned above, for example .. moving 
everything to G+?

Damn!

   -- Owen
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Re: [FRIAM] Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

2013-03-14 Thread Nicholas Thompson
Yeah.  Do no Evil, except, of course if you feel like it.  N

 

From: Friam [mailto:friam-boun...@redfish.com] On Behalf Of Jochen Fromm
Sent: Thursday, March 14, 2013 4:00 PM
To: The Friday Morning Applied Complexity Coffee Group
Subject: Re: [FRIAM] Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

 

 

Like many others I use Google Reader daily, it is hard to understand how they 
can kill such a good and useful product. Apparently it has to do with G+, see 

http://thenextweb.com/google/2013/03/14/former-google-reader-product-manager-confirms-our-suspicions-its-demise-is-all-about-google/

 

-J.

 

 

Sent from Android


Owen Densmore o...@backspaces.net wrote:

Good by Google Reader (which I use a lot):

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5371725

.. and a host of others in this year's Spring Cleaning

http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2013/03/a-second-spring-of-cleaning.html

 

I will give them this: they have an export stunt, and I apparently can move to 
others.  I don't use the google front page they killed off, Yahoo instead.

 

But seriously, does anyone have a crystal ball?  I just can't figure Google out!

 

- Are they consolidating?  .. i.e. converting everything to G+?

- What's next to go? .. Google Docs?  It gets use by digerati, but few others.

- Is GMail safe? .. It gets a lot of use, but its easy to scrape off the ads, 
so can't be a profit center.

 

I'd certainly pay for many of google services .. although I doubt this would 
stop them from randomly killing off ones I care about.

 

Is there some obvious trend, like I mentioned above, for example .. moving 
everything to G+?

 

Damn!

 

   -- Owen


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Re: [FRIAM] Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

2013-03-14 Thread Steve Smith

Glen -

I appreciate your analysis here at several levels (assuming I actually 
sorted it correctly), it is nicely dense and layered, appropriate for my 
particular palate at least.

I'm very interested in the desire to and the frustration surrounding
_not_ being able to figure Google out.

It *is* entertaining.


I can certainly see it from a single tightly focused quantifiable
predictibility measure ... like whether to buy a company's stock.
Obviously (to me?) Owen's (and the others discussing such things) stake 
is not whether to buy GOOG but rather whether to invest one's 
personal/professional energy and attention in learning/using/integrating 
their tools into one's workflow (or Digital Ecology as Owen is wont to say).

   But
without that tight use case, and with a large multi-national beast with
layers of varying liability, impact, presentation, etc., they strike me
as complex beasts.  Each aspect from which you measure them will present
different, perhaps even incommensurate results.
Absolutely... and secondarily to considering Google and how/when/if/why 
you might integrate their products/systems into your workflow/ecology, 
there is the more speculative questions of what would I develop if I 
were GOOG or since I am not GOOG but the ARE the 800lb gorilla, where 
do the tools I might develop fit into whatever oddly shaped phase-space 
is left after GOOG takes theirs?

   I know this was the
case while I was working for Lockheed Martin.  It was especially vivid
to me since I was on loan to Vought systems at an old air base working
on aircraft avionics, on loan from the missiles division, which recently
bought Vought and which had been recently bought by Loral, which was
soon to be bought by Lockheed Martin.

I could no more imagine figuring Lockheed Martin out than I could
imagine figuring out C. Elegans.
This is a moderately apt analogy.  My daughter (PhD microbiology living 
in your neck of the woods... Portland/OHSU)  were just using C. Elegans 
as an example in another discussion over the weekend. In this case, C. 
Elegans relative simplicity and ancient roots are roughly opposite 
Google's complexity and very recent roots. Despite the gray hair 
contributed by Andy Bechtolsheim, their *intellectual* roots are pretty 
shallow compared to say... Lockheed or Martin (both established 
1912?).   On the other hand, GOOG *is* highly studied by many, though 
arguably maybe less than AAPL or the ancient IBM.


Because of this, it strikes me that what you're expressing is some sort
of deep seated pattern recognition bias towards centralized planning.
You're looking for a homunculus inside a machine.
I'm not quite clear on this point.  It sounds as if you are identifying 
corporations such as LockMart and Google as being more like evolved 
organisms than machines?


And that leads me to my fundamental gripe with web services.  The whole
point of the open source movement was to put upstream causal power into
the hands of more people, to make the producer-consumer relationship
more symmetric.  In web services, it seems like we, as consumers,
_still_ want asymmetric producer-consumer relationships.
This fits my biases as well...  but apparently in a different way. There 
are many services I am happy (smug) to provide for myself (heat and 
water) and/or at least lust after being able to provide for myself 
(electricity).  There are others I suppose I am happy to defer to the 
cloud.  While I *likely* am able to rebuild my starter motor or 
alternator, I probably wouldn't be able to fabricate a good enough 
bearing or brushes to do the rebuild and therefore depend on the cloud 
including AC/Delco and many other industrials of that ilk to supply me 
with such things.  I definitely am happy that we have a Michelin and 
Yokohama in the cloud, I can't imagine making tyres that would be useful 
to me.  Having a public/common Internet or even a private/common 
telecomm or private electrical grid (cloud) are almost required...   I'm 
still holding out for a fully distributed mesh network to grow together 
from it's many tiny patches (see the recent posting on Mesh networks 
here) or a fully distributed electrical grid (home/neighborhood 
solar/wind/???)  but there are good (non political, non-social) reasons 
that we didn't get broadly scalable infrastructure until it came from 
one or a small handful of entities (public or private), behaving in a 
paternalistic way for the most part.




  GMail is a
great example.  I hate GMail simply because I can't download the
software and run my _own_ GMail server on my own hardware ... similar to
SparkleShare, Tor, Wordpress, Drupal, etc.


Ma Bell used to provide handsets with phone service but eventually gave 
over and allowed customers to procure their own, but I don't think they 
ever offered customers the option of setting up their own switch 
downtown (although I suppose the did allow/require big customers to set 
up their own switchboards, etc). So maybe your 

Re: [FRIAM] Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

2013-03-14 Thread Owen Densmore
On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 2:57 PM, glen g...@ropella.name wrote:


 I'm very interested in the desire to and the frustration surrounding
 _not_ being able to figure Google out.  I wonder if different people
 (people ensconced in other domains, other fora) feel this same
 desire/frustration around, say, Unilever or General Electric?


Please, Glen.  I do not wish to be mystical only practical.

I use Google Stuff.  So I want to know when it is likely to actually do
what it appears it is going to do.  When it goes away, I'm naive enough to
be surprised.  So would like at least a hint of WTF is going on.  Normal.
 Human.  Me.

I can certainly see it from a single tightly focused quantifiable
 predictibility measure ... like whether to buy a company's stock.  But
 without that tight use case, and with a large multi-national beast with
 layers of varying liability, impact, presentation, etc., they strike me
 as complex beasts.  Each aspect from which you measure them will present
 different, perhaps even incommensurate results.  I know this was the
 case while I was working for Lockheed Martin.  It was especially vivid
 to me since I was on loan to Vought systems at an old air base working
 on aircraft avionics, on loan from the missiles division, which recently
 bought Vought and which had been recently bought by Loral, which was
 soon to be bought by Lockheed Martin.

 I could no more imagine figuring Lockheed Martin out than I could
 imagine figuring out C. Elegans.

 Because of this, it strikes me that what you're expressing is some sort
 of deep seated pattern recognition bias towards centralized planning.
 You're looking for a homunculus inside a machine.

 And that leads me to my fundamental gripe with web services.  The whole
 point of the open source movement was to put upstream causal power into
 the hands of more people, to make the producer-consumer relationship
 more symmetric.  In web services, it seems like we, as consumers,
 _still_ want asymmetric producer-consumer relationships.  GMail is a
 great example.  I hate GMail simply because I can't download the
 software and run my _own_ GMail server on my own hardware ... similar to
 SparkleShare, Tor, Wordpress, Drupal, etc.


Er.. IMAP?  You have complete control over gmail.  I uploaded 20+ years of
mail to it over a day or so and have it all cached on my IMAP clients
(thunderbird and mail.app) .. yes one needs  1 and I'm positive you have
multiple clients.

Protocols.  Formats.  That they get and I can use to my advantage.


 If they allowed that, then I'd love GMail.  And, if they did that, you
 wouldn't have to worry about Google abandoning it, as long as it had a
 sufficiently pure free agent following (like the role Debian plays for
 Linux).

 Why?  Oh why? Do we insist on these soft paternalist producer-consumer
 relationships? What's the underlying cause for people to prefer the
 Raspberry Pie over Arduino?  GMail over postfix?


Generally our use of them.   I actually used Goog Reader so now will look
for a replacement.

Now I do have to admit its generally fun!  We get enough time to look at
great replacements. Flipboard is really quite good as a media consumer and
reader is basically that.  But FB is tablet only.  Might want something for
laptop/desktop.

I may however spend a bit of time trying to figure out why G+ is so
popular.  I do think Google is a fail in social, don't you?  But if they
can make G+ a replacement for skype, facebook, reader and others, so much
the better.  They haven't a chance with twitter however, but they can use
twitter's open formats and protocols to integrate twitter into G+.  I
suspect they already have .. or someone has.

There is one other bitch I have over killing reader: Minimalist is a nifty
chrome extension that lets you modify sites to your liking.  Started with
gmail but then generalized into others including reader.  I sorta hate
seeing innovative engineers get screwed by Google.

But like the demise of delicious, I ended up with Pinboard which is so
vastly superior, I'm extremely thankful delicious failed.

What a weird world we live in.  And yes, I still want to get google.
 Sorry!

   -- Owen

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Re: [FRIAM] Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

2013-03-14 Thread Roger Critchlow
Funny.

Going back to Hamming's lectures, again, in one of the early ones he lays
out the case that scientific knowledge is growing exponentially, that most
scientific researchers who ever lived are alive now, and that keeping
current is a very awkward problem both personally and institutionally.
 It was true in the 50's when they made up the argument at Bell Labs, it
was truer in the 90's when Hamming was giving the lectures, and it's still
truer now.

I started ignorant, I'm getting exponentially more ignorant all the time,
and I'm never going to the reverse the trend -- now, go back to work and do
something really smart.

So, Google the search is an attempt to ameliorate this problem:  if you can
guess what the answer is called, then maybe Google can find it for you, and
maybe you can figure out if it's really what you wanted.

And Google the company is a place founded on the same principle: its
projects and knowledge grow exponentially, no one person can ever know what
it's doing, all they can do is occasionally kill some of it off to make
some empty space for the rest of it to grow into.

So, why is progress supposed to make sense?

-- rec --



On Thu, Mar 14, 2013 at 9:50 PM, Steve Smith sasm...@swcp.com wrote:

  Glen -

 I appreciate your analysis here at several levels (assuming I actually
 sorted it correctly), it is nicely dense and layered, appropriate for my
 particular palate at least.

 I'm very interested in the desire to and the frustration surrounding
 _not_ being able to figure Google out.

  It *is* entertaining.


 I can certainly see it from a single tightly focused quantifiable
 predictibility measure ... like whether to buy a company's stock.

  Obviously (to me?) Owen's (and the others discussing such things) stake
 is not whether to buy GOOG but rather whether to invest one's
 personal/professional energy and attention in learning/using/integrating
 their tools into one's workflow (or Digital Ecology as Owen is wont to say).

But
 without that tight use case, and with a large multi-national beast with
 layers of varying liability, impact, presentation, etc., they strike me
 as complex beasts.  Each aspect from which you measure them will present
 different, perhaps even incommensurate results.

  Absolutely... and secondarily to considering Google and how/when/if/why
 you might integrate their products/systems into your workflow/ecology,
 there is the more speculative questions of what would I develop if I were
 GOOG or since I am not GOOG but the ARE the 800lb gorilla, where do the
 tools I might develop fit into whatever oddly shaped phase-space is left
 after GOOG takes theirs?

I know this was the
 case while I was working for Lockheed Martin.  It was especially vivid
 to me since I was on loan to Vought systems at an old air base working
 on aircraft avionics, on loan from the missiles division, which recently
 bought Vought and which had been recently bought by Loral, which was
 soon to be bought by Lockheed Martin.

 I could no more imagine figuring Lockheed Martin out than I could
 imagine figuring out C. Elegans.

  This is a moderately apt analogy.  My daughter (PhD microbiology living
 in your neck of the woods... Portland/OHSU)  were just using C. Elegans as
 an example in another discussion over the weekend.   In this case, C.
 Elegans relative simplicity and ancient roots are roughly opposite Google's
 complexity and very recent roots.   Despite the gray hair contributed by
 Andy Bechtolsheim, their *intellectual* roots are pretty shallow compared
 to say... Lockheed or Martin (both established 1912?).   On the other hand,
 GOOG *is* highly studied by many, though arguably maybe less than AAPL or
 the ancient IBM.


 Because of this, it strikes me that what you're expressing is some sort
 of deep seated pattern recognition bias towards centralized planning.
 You're looking for a homunculus inside a machine.

  I'm not quite clear on this point.  It sounds as if you are identifying
 corporations such as LockMart and Google as being more like evolved
 organisms than machines?


 And that leads me to my fundamental gripe with web services.  The whole
 point of the open source movement was to put upstream causal power into
 the hands of more people, to make the producer-consumer relationship
 more symmetric.  In web services, it seems like we, as consumers,
 _still_ want asymmetric producer-consumer relationships.

  This fits my biases as well...  but apparently in a different way.
 There are many services I am happy (smug) to provide for myself (heat and
 water) and/or at least lust after being able to provide for myself
 (electricity).  There are others I suppose I am happy to defer to the
 cloud.  While I *likely* am able to rebuild my starter motor or
 alternator, I probably wouldn't be able to fabricate a good enough bearing
 or brushes to do the rebuild and therefore depend on the cloud including
 AC/Delco and many other industrials of that ilk to supply 

Re: [FRIAM] Google Reader and More: Google Abandoning of Apps/Services

2013-03-14 Thread Arlo Barnes
[email composed 5 messages back]
There is a lot I don't know about Google, and considering it's complexity I
agree that some aspects may be unknowable.
But it is not going to drop Gmail soon. Although it may not be as much of a
money maker as it was when ads were more prominent, it is the main way for
drawing people into the Google pantheon, aside from maybe the search
service itself. In fact, many people conflate Gmail and Google because of
this. I think many (though maybe not most) of Google's decisions are
generated at least in part because of public appearance - for instance,
many of it's services were cut a few years back when Page  Brin took a
more executive role again, because (according to them) the company was
getting 'cluttered'. At the time I was a little disappointed, as some of my
favorite projects were Google's quirkiest (GOOG-411, for instance) and
therefore at the top of the list to be cut. But I could see what the
reasoning behind it was.
And Reader had already been cut before now, when they removed social
sharing so that it would not compete with Google Plus (Google seems touchy
about social things; both Buzz and Wave were cut, for reasons that were
predictable if not acceptable at the time).
Now, there are many things Google does that could be considered evil (or at
least heading that way; all that foofaraw with Verizon?), but not providing
service previously provided for free is not one of them. It is merely
annoying, or at worst (if all your workflow is locked into the service)
frustrating/infuriating.

As for opening Gmail, didn't they try that with Gears when that was still a
thing? I don't recall.

-Arlo James Barnes

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