Re: Re: Racism and Ecology.

2000-06-29 Thread Carrol Cox



Louis Proyect wrote:

 Carrol:
  in astronomy or esp

 I don't know. That astronomy is pretty fishy stuff. The astronomy

Got me! :-)

Carrol




Re: Re: China and GM food

2000-06-29 Thread Ken Hanly

The development of GM foods in China is a very mixed blessing. Companies such as
Monsanto are quite active there and may become more active as other countries
place barriers
on the development of GM seeds. The present trend towards capitalism in China
will only be
furthered. The development of herbicide resistant plants for example increases
dependence upon pesiticdes developed by companies such as Monsanto. On the other
hand there are potentially progressive and useful trends as well. For example
genetically engineered rice with higher vitamin A content. Shiva's comments on
this are really for the birds. She will go to any length to imagine difficulties
with any GM application.
She claims for example that people will get too much vitamin A and this great
traditionalist wants Asians to change their diet to get vitamin A. Shiva is not
even in favor of  genetic engineering of drought resistant plants, plants that
might be a great aid to subsistence farmers in drought-stricken areas. China is
not blessed with any effective opposition NGO's and environmental groups that
might help avoid potentially disastrous mistakes. While in Europe the risks of
GM seeds are probably over-stressed, in China any risks will likely be ignored.
   Cheers, Ken Hanly

Louis Proyect wrote:

 Whatever ecological reservations progressive people may have about this, it
 is entirely understandable that a country like China needs to make a major
 push to gain relative advantage in the world. This would release vast
 amounts of labour power and purchasing power for economic transformation of
 the east Asian region.
 
 Chris Burford

 Economic transformation? You are referring to capitalism in rather neutral
 terms, it seems.

 Louis Proyect
 Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Cinton Fungus (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread md7148


Emilio

Apocalypse Now
By Alfredo Molano B.
The Anti-Narcotics Brigade, in a victory march, will open door after door in 
Putumayo and Caqueta so that Carlos Castano's troops can, in Mrs. Albright's 
words "extend democracy to the south". EL ESPECTADOR Sunday, 25 June 2000
Ever since I read news of the approval of the two trillion Colombian pesos 
to strengthen the "oldest democracy in South America" black butterflies in 
my stomach have not stopped fluttering.
How many Colombians, who today are alive, have dreams, and sweat doing odd 
jobs, will die with the decision of the United States Congress? Do the 
settlers of Caño Mosco, pushed into growing coca by the landowners of 
Villanueva who robbed them of their lands, know what awaits them? What are 
the dentist, the carter, the motorboatman, the mayor’s office employee of 
Pinuña Negra, innocent of the fact that the bombs that will kill them are 
already made and that the helicopters that will fire them are ready to take 
off, doing?
Tomorrow, while Senator Lott’s boys continue getting high on the heroin 
produced by the Mujadeen that defeated the Russian Communists in Afganistan 
a few years ago, or on the cocaine that their new allies in southern Bolivar 
department produce, in the mountains of Almaguer, Cauca, the peasants will 
be left with the sockets of their own eyes to hide in because everything 
else will be scorched earth. The Anti-Narcotics Brigade, in a victory march, 
will open door after door in Putumayo and Caquetá so that Carlos Castaño’s 
troops can, in Mrs. Albright’s words "extend democracy to the south".
Each day, reports of human rights violations will attribute less and less 
responsibility to the Armed Forces for obvious, evident, and tacit reasons. 
And Senator Helms will pass them over to Senator Leahy, who will not be able 
to say anything. Perhaps General Wilhelm will land at the Tres Esquinas base 
to distribute cans of American powdered milk, American corn, and American 
deviled meat, and a photo of the American First lady to 20 displaced 
families prepared especially for the occasion while General McCaffrey 
copiously gives out an English primer with the basic principals of the 
International Human Rights, put into practice by him in the Persian Gulf 
War.
The Minister of Defense, without a tie, as is customary these days, will 
frenetically applaud the exemplary act of generosity and sovereignty.
I do not want to think of what awaits the small black children who try to 
fly kites made from potato chip packages on the banks of the Atrato River, 
the day that the paramilitaries are given the green light to finish off even 
the seeds as the chulavitas (the Conservative paramilitaries during the 
Violence period) did in Rovira, Tolima in the 1950’s. Nor, of what will 
happen to the U’wa Indian people when the national army, with painted faces, 
laser sensors, and grenade launchers, carry out an aerial operation on their 
sacred lands to show off the Black Hawk helicopters, whose makers managed to 
prevail in the Senate after extensive lobbying.
I wouldn’t want to imagine - today is the day of Saint John, who wrote - 
"and there were lightening bolts and thunder and a great tremor on the 
earth" - what 40,000 guerrillas armed to the teeth will do, once they step 
away from the negotiating table and go out to wage war without quarter and 
with no return. I am not going to read - in a way I have already read them - 
the headlines of the media exalting the bravery and abnegation of the U.S. 
advisors that sacrifice their golf games on the greens of the School of the 
Americas to come and "give us a hand" as Luis Alberto Moreno would say. I 
would prefer to read within a few years, God-willing, the reports of the 
diverted funds, crooked dealings, payoffs, bribes, and the trafficking of 
cocaine and heroin on the part of the new allies in defense of the oldest 
democracy in Latin America, in order to write, if I am still able: "Live - 
and Learn".

Weekly News Update on the Americas * Nicaragua Solidarity Network of NY
339 
Lafayette St, New York, NY 10012 * 212-674-9499 fax: 212-674-9139 
http://home.earthlink.net/~dbwilson/wnuhome.html * [EMAIL PROTECTED]
* CLM-NEWS is brought to you by the COLOMBIAN LABOR MONITOR at * * 
http://www.prairienet.org/clm * * and the CHICAGO COLOMBIA COMMITTEE * * 
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[EMAIL PROTECTED] * * To subscribe send request to 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] * * subscribe clm-news Your Name *


Get Your Private, Free E-mail from MSN Hotmail at http://www.hotmail.com




Re: Re: China and GM food

2000-06-29 Thread Chris Burford

At 19:48 28/06/00 -0400, you wrote:
 Whatever ecological reservations progressive people may have about this, it
 is entirely understandable that a country like China needs to make a major
 push to gain relative advantage in the world. This would release vast
 amounts of labour power and purchasing power for economic transformation of
 the east Asian region.
 
 Chris Burford

Economic transformation? You are referring to capitalism in rather neutral
terms, it seems.

Louis Proyect


Yes, I think I was using neutral terms. Many people have strong views 
already about whether China is fully capitalist. The Chinese Party appears 
determined to try to keep some control of the state and the economy and 
would no doubt continue to argue that its acceptance of greater economic 
flexibility is in the ultimate interests of socialism. They argue with more 
conviction that it is in the ultimate interests of China.

What I was referring to in neutral terms was the likelihood of an enormous 
increase in the technological means of production of agricultural goods in 
China, the expansion of the market and the release of labour power. This 
will have enormous geopolitical significance for a multi-polar economic world.

Many will see this as increased exploitation of the land and the labour force.

However in the struggle against global unequal exchange it is very 
difficult for any developing country, whether capitalist, socialist or 
social democrat, to retain a higher proportion of its surplus product for 
reinvesting locally.

I am far from enthusiastic about these reports from China, but they look 
very significant and something we should watch.

Chris Burford

London




Re: re: energy

2000-06-29 Thread M A Jones

Rod Hay wrote:
 Okay, Mark, please explain why no other energy technology is feasible.


This kind of thing is debated on Jay Hanson's list, where ex-vice presidents
of PV companies argue that PV's are the future and people answer them like
this:

From: Mark Boberg  [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: Wed Jun 28, 2000 11:02pm
Subject: PV (was RE: Re: Lynch recap)


--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Glenn Lieding [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:
 Investing today's oil-energy in manufacturing, deploying, and
 maintaining PV, in order to realize an energy return on that
 investment in the future, makes sense if the average rate of energy
 made available by the PV, multiplied by the lifespan of the PV,
 exceeds the total energy invested.

A real world test of PV viability would be for a PV manufacturer to
commit to building and operating a PV production facility using only
PV power to do it. Solarex (BPAmoco) has a plant with an impressive
all-PV roof. I sent them an Email asking whether that plant was self
sufficient. Their answer was: no, actually we are the second largest
electricity consumer in the county.

So, PV industry, if you're listening, here's the challenge:

1) Using your coolest, best, most efficient technology, build say 10
megawatts of PV panels. Acquire all the necessary mounts,trackers,
inverters, wire, batteries, controllers, etc. We won't even count the
energy required to make all this, its a freebie.

2) Find the best solar site in the World and set up your system
there.

3) Locate, lease, and set up the equipment necessary to construct a
PV plant from scratch. Select versions of all this stuff that will
run on PV electrical power (invent new versions as required - an
electric backhoe comes to mind). Use a PV powered truck, train, boat
to bring the equipment and raw materials to the site. The lease cost
of this stuff will be charged to the future PV production of the
plant
on an energy basis (ie equivalent PV panel lifetime energy
production).

4) Saw the wood, smelt the steel, burn the limestone for the cement,
crush the gravel, machine the bolts, dig the dirt,etc, etc, and erect
the building, all using the PV from your 10 megawatt system.

5) Locate, lease, and set up the equipment necessary to produce PV
panels complete (silicon production, wafer production, panel
assembly,
etc.) The lease cost for this stuff will also be charged to the
future PV production of the plant on an energy basis.

6) Operate the plant, the employee housing, the stores and utilities
supporting the employees, all from the 10 megawatt system. Don't
forget to pay the employees in scrip redeemable in PV panels.

7) Produce PV panels until "breakeven", which would be something like
10 megawatts worth (item 1) plus a bunch more (items 3, 5 and 6).

8) (Maybe) produce a bunch more "net" panels until the plant wears
out. Don't forget to subtract any panels made to replace "burnouts"
in your 10 megawatt array and PV panel scrip redemptions by the
employees (I'm guessing about one to three 100 watt panels per
employee per week).

9) Divide the number of panels produced by the number of "breakeven"
panels in item 7). If the number is say, 2.0 or more, you win. Less
than 2.0, we all lose.

This isn't really an unreasonable challenge, IF PV really has what it
takes to replace some significant portion of the hydrocarbon energy
demand.

So, how about it? Solarex? Siemens? Koyocera? Solec? Anybody?




energy entropy + capitalist crisis

2000-06-29 Thread M A Jones

Entropy is of course a key concept in any meaningful discussion about
energy. The argument that energy supply is 'infinite' derives from the
neo-classical economics concept of substitutability. The argument does not
of course (for obvious epistemological reasons) take account of the bounded
nature of the planetary energy system or of the entropy involved in any use
of energy. Whether or not sunshine is infinite, the earth is a closed
entropic system. The solar fluxes it can capture (by photosynthesis or human
photovoltaic technology, or wind (a climatic product of solar energy) or
whatever other method) are therefore also limited. Thus it is intuitively
obvious that energy supplies available to planetbound humans are by nature
limited. There are industry suggestions of capturing helium from the gaseous
clouds around Jupiter, and using this as the raw material of the future
hydrogen economy. Such talk is suggestive of desperation more than anything
else. The problem with substitutability is that it involves the same kind of
leap of faith which Yoshie Furuhashi reminded us was the great French
mathematician Pascal's definition of Christianity. You cannot argue with
neoclassicals because their faith in markets is not susceptible to reason.
As is clear from discussions on this List, some who might define themselves
as Marxists also turn out when scratched to be made of different metal.

It is argued that invoking energy as the prime mover of capitalist
accumulation is actually a ricardian thing to do, or even Physiocratic.
Malcolm Caldwell's highly original book 'Wealth of Some Nations' attracted
this kind of criticism when first published in the early 70s. Caldwell
argued that capitalism was coterminous with the era of fossil fuel use: it
began when coal began to be used extensively in industry and transport, and
will end when oil runs out. Malcolm (he was a friend of mine) paid with his
life for his visionary ideas, the logic of which drove him to support the
kind of sustainable communist utopia which he imagined Pol Pot and the Khmer
Rouge were just then installing in Cambodia. Being himself a communist and a
man of action, he went to Cambodia and was assassinated there on Christmas
Day in (I think) 1975.

I was influenced by his ideas then and am now: but I did not support his
solidarity with the Khmer Rouge and urged him to abandon it (the last time
we met and talked about this was in a pub outside Heathrow Airport, from
where he was about to depart to Khampuchea; I never saw him again).  But
there is an awful warning about his fate, and I sympathise a little with the
motivations of those who joke about me as a 'Jim Jones apocalypticist'. But
they are wrong to identify me with a cause so abhorrent as Pol Pot's.
Actually my position is exactly the opposite to Malcolm Caldwell's: I am
saying that *if we want to avoid that kind of dreadful outcome, we need to
not sleepwalk into another and this time final energy crisis*. We need to
keep our utopian speculations alive, but place them in the context of a
different world from the one which socialists hoped for: a world with a
damaged ecosphere, and very little *usable* energy (orders of magnitude less
than now).

In such a world, capital, raw materials and energy will be relatively more
valuable factors of production than they are now, and labour will be worth
very much less. This is actually a recipe for a return to warlordism, for
slavery and for grinding poverty, terrible barbarity and generalised
brutality. But it need not be this way, and some societies, for example
modern Cuba, show how it can be different. It is Cuba, not Cambodia, which
must be our common future.

Energy is a commodity like any other, and its value (and ultimately price)
is determined by the socially-necessary abstract labour which it embodies.
But energy is also a commodity unlike any other, since it is an input (like
labour-power) into all other commodities, and since available energy is the
key determinant of the rate of *relative* surplus-value. The rise in social
productivity which is the technical, material correlative of the rate of
s-v, can be expressed as *the more efficient use of energy in the
transformation of objects into commodities*. And this applies to energy
itself, the appropriation of which has always been subject to
technical/material transformation and to increased efficiency and
productivity (in material/technical terms, this is the process of
'decarbonisation' according to which energy-bases and industrial systems
switch from more to less carbon intensive fuels: from coal, to oil, to gas,
to hydrogen; each time an atom of carbon is dropped, capitalism has renewed
itself on a new and radically more efficient energy base).

This process by itself goes some way to explain the paradox that although
energy is becoming relatively more scarce, its value and price continue to
fall and will do so until a qualitative change sets in. At this point the
world energy-system, 

Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNational Emissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Brad De Long

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

I have found myself in agreement with Lou's recent post suggesting that
the roots of ecological crisis and overpopulation pressures lie in the
contradictions of capitalism, and that a socialist revolution is not
only necessary but also desirable if we are to have a sustainable
ecological system in the future.

Hmm, ok, maybe I can get an answer from you: what changes in 
industrial and agricultural practices, energy sources, the built 
environment, living arrangements, etc., will occur under socialism 
that will avoid the eco-catastrophe capitalism supposedly has in 
store for us. It's not just a matter of invoking the words 
"socialist revolution" along the lines of "Presto Change-o," is it?

Doug

Well, they do have to be the opposite of the changes that took place 
under really existing socialism...

Brad DeLong




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: RE: My looniness

2000-06-29 Thread Brad De Long

I don't understand. Is the YES meant to imply that electricity production
depends ultimately upon fossil fuels?

Unless you live in the Pacific Northwest or France, the bulk of your 
electricity comes from power plants that burn fossil fuels...




RE: On Mark to Rod, was Re: Re: re: energy

2000-06-29 Thread Max Sawicky

HE: . . .   We intellectuals have to join the organizations of these
committed workers and help them write a consistent programme
how to avoid ecological catastrophe by a world wide
proletarian revolution, and establish a minority
dictatorship which will carry out this programme with
Stalinist methods.

You will be surprised how many liberals with support such a
proletarian-based movement once it is big enough.  . . .

[mbs]
When it's big enough, will we have a choice?

HE: . . . Therefore
my advice is: join any proletarian communist party, whether
it be the Worker's World Party (my personal favorite at the
moment), the CPUSA, the SWP, etc., whatever, . . .

[mbs] WWP does great banners, but my favorite is
the Naxalbari (CPI-M).  They came into villages
and cut off landlords heads.

HE:  . . .  Or use
your computer skills to write the software for a
computer-based planned economy, . . .

[mbs] I've already done this.  Unfortunately we
will have to limit ourselves to the production
of nuts and apples.

HE:   . .  Whatever you
do, think big.  Stop diddling around.

Word.

mbs




help! How do I unsubscribe?

2000-06-29 Thread Turan Subasat

Can anyone tell me how to unsubscribe? 

regards

Turan Subasat




Re: Re: My looniness

2000-06-29 Thread Carrol Cox



Charles Brown wrote:

  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/28/00 05:27PM And Rod also wrote:

  It's just that as
 a point of departure global warming will not work.

 )

 CB: I don't think the facts of the recent history of party formation support you 
here, Carrol. The biggest new party in the world in the last 40 years is the Greens. 
We are a long way from Lady Bird's "Don't be a litterbug" campaign.

Long range threats to the environment will, I admit, energize many people, but
there seems to be at least two limits: (a) the issue itself reverberates at all
for only a relatively small number of people and (b) within that constituency
too many flake off in weird directions (witness Dennis Redmond on the
Marxism list putting whales before Indian literation. My original point was
that *within* larger movements otherwise generated concern for the
environment and the long range health of humanity will further energize
those movements, but that they will never emerge from a primray focus
on the environment. I think the rest of your post supports my point.

 Another example, the one demonstration held in conjunction with the Detroit BRC 
meeting was to protest a polluted dump on Wabash street. A leader of Detroiters for 
Environmental Justice was a co-chair of the BRC host committee.

Two big points here. First, the BRC did not arise from environmental concern but
(and rightly so) has incorporated environmental concers into its program. The
second point in a way is even bigger. The particular action you cite fits David
Harvey's picture of environmental action, and David Harvey is categorized by
Lou as a "Brown Marxist." I doubt that the protestors would have taken time
out from more important business (political or personal) to leaflet on Wabash
Ave. not about the local dump but on the dangers of Detroit drowning in
Lake Erie 50 years from now.


 I think a lot more people than explicitly express it now, have by common sense in 
the back of their mind a concern that they can't just keep "partying" at this level 
without paying  the piper eventually.

I agree. That is why I believe environmental and energy concerns should figure
prominently in any left program. But the program has to be founded on other concerns.

 It is like smoking cigarettes. If given a way and if everybody else starts stopping, 
 they would like to stop.

Tsk Tsk Charles. Do I perceive methodological individualism raising its sinister
head. :-)


 Also, to me , the struggle against nuclear weapons is half an "environmental" 
struggle.

Granted. That is abstractly true. But I am talking about the tasks of *building*
a working-class movement. I argue that environment can be an important but
still subordinate part of that movement. The movement against nuclear weapons
did gather to it many people from many different walks of life and political
perspectives -- but frankly I dout it would have come into existence to reach
that movement were it not for the various CPs linked to the USSR.

What I'm arguing for is more consideration of the way various issues and
potential issues link to each other and world conditions now. I think that,
temporarily at least, Mark and Lou are so focused on global warming
and energy depletion that (even assuming them to be correct in that
concern)  they are losing their political senses. Lenin remarks on the
common fact of petty-bourgeois youth driven to a frenzy by the horrors
of imperialism. He should have said conscious people from all classes
being so driven. I fear that Lou and Mark are similarly being driven to
an (unthinking) frenzy by the environmental horrors they perceive.

Carrol




Re: On Mark to Rod, was Re: Re: re: energy

2000-06-29 Thread M A Jones

Hans, do Hillier/Buttler have some secret parallel list where they hold the
*real* discussion, as  opposed to the vacuous imbecilism of their
front-organisation, the marxist-leninist-take-me-for-an-idiot-list?

Mark Jones
http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList
- Original Message -
From: "Hans Ehrbar" [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, June 29, 2000 3:57 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:20939] On Mark to Rod, was Re: Re: re: energy



  On Wed, 28 Jun 2000 18:10:45 -0500, Carrol Cox
  [EMAIL PROTECTED] said:

  So unless you really do agree with Hans Ehrbar on the need
  for an elitist putsch to stop global warming, you had
  better give some thought to how that mass support can be
  (beginning now) marshalled


 It is not my view that an elitist putsch can stop global
 warming.  On the contrary, only those who experience the
 exploitation and oppression of capitalism by their own body
 and soul every day are able to put up the consistent fight
 against capitalism that is needed.  An appeal to the
 intellect that the world is burning will not change the
 members of PEN-L or any other email list into the devoted,
 disciplined, selfless fighters which are able to overturn
 the system.  Thinking that it can or that it ought to is
 idealism.  Such fighters exist today, capitalism creates
 lots of them every day with its cruelty, but in the leading
 industrial countries they will always be in a minority.  We
 intellectuals have to join the organizations of these
 committed workers and help them write a consistent programme
 how to avoid ecological catastrophe by a world wide
 proletarian revolution, and establish a minority
 dictatorship which will carry out this programme with
 Stalinist methods.

 You will be surprised how many liberals with support such a
 proletarian-based movement once it is big enough.  Therefore
 my advice is: join any proletarian communist party, whether
 it be the Worker's World Party (my personal favorite at the
 moment), the CPUSA, the SWP, etc., whatever, and help them
 reach more workers or improve their theory.  For those who
 cannot function in such an environment, an alternative might
 be to use your computer skills to build a new internet-based
 international which combines all these scattered proletarian
 organizations.  Sven Buttler and Jim Hillier's
 marxist-leninist-list is working in this direction.  Or use
 your computer skills to write the software for a
 computer-based planned economy, which could then perhaps be
 adopted by countries like Cuba, using Cockshott and Cottrell's
 "Towards a New Socialism" as the starting point.  Whatever you
 do, think big.  Stop diddling around.



 I am appending a message I sent to the bhaskar list on June 12
 which explains more of the theory behind this.


 Hans Ehrbar.



  Sunday morning I sent the following message to Louis Proyect's
  marxism list and to leninist-international.  I think it might
  also be of interest to the Bhaskar list, since it was
  inspired by RB in at least two respects:
 
 
  (1) Bhaskars criticism of Marx that he, following Hegel, put
  too much emphasis on internal, at the expense of external
  contradictions (the ecological limits of the earth are an
  external contradiction of capitalism, and Marx's dictum in
  the preface that "the problem itself arises only when the
  material conditions for its solution are already present or
  are at least in the course of formation" is only valid for
  internal, not for external contradictions).
 
 
  (2) Bhaskar's repudiation of the fact-value distinction
  which encourages me to say here that only those who truly
  hate the capitalist system have a correct grasp of its
  reality.
 
 
  I have not yet received any responses for this posting on
  the other two lists.  Something tells me that I might get a
  response on this list here.
 
 
   Capitalism makes profits by the exploitation of labor.
   Those who create all the surplus value, on which capital
   depends in order to function, see their lives reduced to
   drudgery, without enough time or money to care for their
   children, without access to proper medical care, see their
   neighborhoods blighted, their youth terrorized by police,
   denied their life chances and a decent education, driven
   into drugs.  Every day they are reminded of the contempt the
   system has for their lives and everything that is dear to
   them.  These people get to the point where every molecule in
   their body hates the system.  They are also the ones that
   can overturn the system, because capital needs them,
   organizes them, teaches them hard work and discipline, and
   at the same time makes implacable enemies out of them.  They
   are willing to face bullets and torture and their own deaths
   and continue fighting after 1000 defeats.  This is what it
   takes to overturn the system.  This is the vanguard which
   needs to organize itself world wide, even if they are a
   minority in countries like the 

Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

M A Jones wrote:

But capitalism will collapse anyway.

Right. Where have I heard that one before?

Doug




Re: re: energy (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread md7148


o la la.. Jay Hanson's energy list serv? never been to, but it must be
interesting. Jay is a phenomenal guy personality wise. Three basic ideas
he subscribes to in every occasion I have been to: 1) genetic roots of
authoritarianism 2)inherent destructiveness of human nature 3)
inevitability of energy crisis. 

I *love* Hobbesians when they present themselves as Marxists...

bye,

Mine


This kind of thing is debated on Jay Hanson's list, where ex-vice
presidents of PV companies argue that PV's are the future and people
answer them like this From: Mark Boberg [EMAIL PROTECTED] Date: Wed Jun 28,
2000 11:02pm Subject: PV (was RE: Re: Lynch recap) 


--- In [EMAIL PROTECTED], Glenn Lieding [EMAIL PROTECTED]
wrote:
 Investing today's oil-energy in manufacturing, deploying, and
 maintaining PV, in order to realize an energy return on that
 investment in the future, makes sense if the average rate of energy
 made available by the PV, multiplied by the lifespan of the PV,
 exceeds the total energy invested.

A real world test of PV viability would be for a PV manufacturer to
commit to building and operating a PV production facility using only
PV power to do it. Solarex (BPAmoco) has a plant with an impressive
all-PV roof. I sent them an Email asking whether that plant was self
sufficient. Their answer was: no, actually we are the second largest
electricity consumer in the county.

So, PV industry, if you're listening, here's the challenge:

1) Using your coolest, best, most efficient technology, build say 10
megawatts of PV panels. Acquire all the necessary mounts,trackers,
inverters, wire, batteries, controllers, etc. We won't even count the
energy required to make all this, its a freebie.

2) Find the best solar site in the World and set up your system
there.

3) Locate, lease, and set up the equipment necessary to construct a
PV plant from scratch. Select versions of all this stuff that will
run on PV electrical power (invent new versions as required - an
electric backhoe comes to mind). Use a PV powered truck, train, boat
to bring the equipment and raw materials to the site. The lease cost
of this stuff will be charged to the future PV production of the
plant
on an energy basis (ie equivalent PV panel lifetime energy
production).

4) Saw the wood, smelt the steel, burn the limestone for the cement,
crush the gravel, machine the bolts, dig the dirt,etc, etc, and erect
the building, all using the PV from your 10 megawatt system.

5) Locate, lease, and set up the equipment necessary to produce PV
panels complete (silicon production, wafer production, panel
assembly,
etc.) The lease cost for this stuff will also be charged to the
future PV production of the plant on an energy basis.

6) Operate the plant, the employee housing, the stores and utilities
supporting the employees, all from the 10 megawatt system. Don't
forget to pay the employees in scrip redeemable in PV panels.

7) Produce PV panels until "breakeven", which would be something like
10 megawatts worth (item 1) plus a bunch more (items 3, 5 and 6).

8) (Maybe) produce a bunch more "net" panels until the plant wears
out. Don't forget to subtract any panels made to replace "burnouts"
in your 10 megawatt array and PV panel scrip redemptions by the
employees (I'm guessing about one to three 100 watt panels per
employee per week).

9) Divide the number of panels produced by the number of "breakeven"
panels in item 7). If the number is say, 2.0 or more, you win. Less
than 2.0, we all lose.

This isn't really an unreasonable challenge, IF PV really has what it
takes to replace some significant portion of the hydrocarbon energy
demand.

So, how about it? Solarex? Siemens? Koyocera? Solec? Anybody?




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in theWorld-System and National Emissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Michael Perelman wrote:

I just read that NY City is the largest consumer of pesticides in the state.
Now that you have that part of the agricultural system, may the rest won't be
too hard.

Could you be a little less opaque? Do you mean that reducing 
pesticide use will require depopulating the cities? Where will 
everyone go?

NYC also houses half the U.S. non-poverty households without cars. We 
use less energy here than practically any place in the USA. If you 
depopulate us, will we have to start driving? Or do I have to grow my 
own food and weave my own cloth?

Doug




Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-Systemand National Emissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

what are you trying to prove with your insults Doug? are you implying the
impossibility of a socialist agenda? who is fantasizing here?

Ok, so you don't have any idea what changes are necessary in the 
actual structures of production and consumption. All that's required 
is loyalty to Marx and a critical attitude. That's pretty much what I 
suspected, but it's good to see my suspicions confirmed.

Oh, and solving the population problem? When people are happier 
they'll have fewer babies. Population growth is virtually 0 in 
Western Europe, but Western Europe is only a bit more ecologically 
sustainable than the U.S. But is a growth rate of 0 low enough? Could 
we feed and house 6 billion people if we all spent our time searching 
for "Jack-in-the-Pulpits or fishing for pickerel"? That kind of rural 
leisure is available to someone living in a rich country; in a poor 
country, you'd be more likely tilling the soil or grinding corn from 
dawn til dusk. These apocalpytic imaginings aren't serious politics, 
they're just lurid fantasies.

Doug




Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Charles Brown



 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/28/00 05:59PM 
[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

I have found myself in agreement with Lou's recent post suggesting that
the roots of ecological crisis and overpopulation pressures lie in the
contradictions of capitalism, and that a socialist revolution is not
only necessary but also desirable if we are to have a sustainable
ecological system in the future.

Hmm, ok, maybe I can get an answer from you: what changes in 
industrial and agricultural practices, energy sources, the build 
environment, living arrangements, etc., will occur under socialism 
that will avoid the eco-catastrophe capitalism supposedly has in 
store for us. It's not just a matter of invoking the words "socialist 
revolution" along the lines of "Presto Change-o," is it?

_

CB: To purport to answer your question fully would be to assume the approach of a 
utopian.   The answer to your question must come in the main from the practice, trial 
and error, of billions of people.  Building an ecologically  viable society cannot be 
done based on a detailed blueprint proposed by a few genius intellectuals anymore than 
building socialism. The Marxist approach to eco-relief is the same as its approach to 
exploitation-relief:  Identify and highlight the basic crisis generating 
contradictions as a guide, not dogma, for practice. This is the opposite of a "presto 
chango" solution, for the actual solution "on the ground"  will take difficult 
struggle based on some fundamental guiding principles, i.e. general eco-socialist 
consciousness in the masses of people on earth.  It WONT be easy to answer your 
question in detail even in practice, and impossible to answer it theoretically in 
detail without practice as on an e-mail list.

The ecological crisis is integral with and a concrete aspect of capitalist crisis.  
Capitalism in its imperialist stage has based itself critically on the use of oil.  
So, given that this means that there would have to be a super drastic drop in 
profiteering by the oil companies, auto companies and many other companies dependent 
upon oil directly and indirectly for production, these imperialists are inherently 
unable to even explore such a radical change. Ergo, the logic of capitalism as it is 
concretely constituted in 2000 can't  do the job. It cannot possible actually seek the 
answers and actions in detail that you ask above ( and as I say, nor can a few genius 
intellectuals give you the details in advance of practice by the billions).

But, one thing we can say as a general guide ( not the detailed blueprint)  is that  
Year 2000 capitalist accumulation as the arch-controlling logic of the whole of human 
society must be obliterated to free up the practice of the billions to find the 
detailed answers to the questions you ask.




Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Carrol Cox



Doug Henwood wrote:

 M A Jones wrote:

 But capitalism will collapse anyway.

 Right. Where have I heard that one before?

Actually the prediction was made by many old guys millenia ago
before capitalism was ever heard of. You know, the old stuff about
the rise and fall of this or that. ONe doesn't have to be even remotely
a marxist to know this. Now *dating* it -- that's something else.

And of course it is also another quesion whether the collapse will
be followed by socialism or barbarianism. But who can seriously
object to the abstract proposition that "Capitalism will collapse."
It seems a rather trivial tautology.

Carrol




Krugman Watch: Japan (again)

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine

 June 28, 2000 / New York TIMES

 RECKONINGS/ By PAUL KRUGMAN

 Japan's Memento Mori

 ... Whenever I write about Japan, I get quizzical letters from Americans 
who don't see why they should care. The world's second-largest economy is 
neither doing well enough to provide villains for a Michael Crichton novel 
nor badly enough to pose any clear and present danger to prosperity 
elsewhere. So why should anyone without a direct financial stake be 
interested in its troubles?

 The answer -- the reason professional macroeconomists are grimly 
fascinated by Japan's economic malaise, and you should at least be 
interested -- is that Japan's sad tale is a reminder that the roots of 
prosperity may be shallower than we like to think. It's not just the 
historical parallels, though Japan in the late 80's shared many of the 
features of America in the early 00's: high growth without inflation, 
technological dynamism, extremely high stock valuations that analysts 
somehow managed to rationalize. What is really unsettling about Japan is 
not so much the fact that it went wrong but the way it went wrong.

 If you had polled serious economists a decade ago, and asked whether it 
was possible for a modern economy to experience a decade of "demand-side" 
stagnation -- productive capacity going unused because consumers and 
businesses could not be persuaded to spend enough -- I am sure that 99 
percent of them would have answered "no." We had learned the lessons of the 
Great Depression; never again would the leaders of a major economy make the 
mistakes that allowed that slump to go on so long. Even now a fair number 
of my colleagues seem to think that a slump that cannot be cured with a 
sufficiently low interest rate is theoretically impossible. Yet that's the 
reality in Japan, and if it can happen there, why not here? 

It's interesting that "a fair number" of the elite of the economics 
profession see the possibility of a Great Depression-type slump or 
stagnation in the US. However, have "we" really "learned the lessons of the 
Great Depression"? A surprisingly large number of elite economists -- 
including PK sometimes -- seem to think that saving promotes real 
investment, a naive return to pre-Keynesian economics (called Say's "Law"). 
That suggests that the lessons haven't been learned.

(A few years ago PK favored a "modern" version of Say's Law that saving 
encourages investment. He assumed that the Federal Reserve could determine 
the level of output, attaining the level of real GDP corresponding to the 
non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment, the NAIRU. With given real 
GDP, a rise in saving indeed leads to a rise in investment. But not only is 
the NAIRU totally unknown if not non-existent, but the Fed doesn't even try 
to set the level of output. Instead, it fixes interest rates such as the 
Fed Funds rate in hopes of preventing inflation. I believe that PK has 
repudiated his modern Say's Law.)

 Admittedly, Japan does not look like a nation in the midst of depression, 
mainly because we have learned something these past 70 years: instead of 
trying to balance its budget in the face of a slump, the L.D.P. [Liberal 
Democratic Party] has engaged in huge "pump-priming" deficit spending. Or 
maybe that's a bad metaphor. Japan's fiscal efforts don't call to mind a 
farmer getting his pump running so much as sailors frantically bailing out 
a leaky boat. So far they have succeeded in keeping the boat from sinking, 
giving themselves time -- but time to do what? Neither the L.D.P. nor the 
opposition seems to have any idea. 

I think that there's been a failure of the imagination here, a failure 
arising because there's not enough pressure on Japan's elite to break with 
old ways of dealing with the problem. Awhile back, I suggested an idea to 
PK that he seems to have ignored (as has the Japanese elite). Why couldn't 
Japan do what the US did in a big way during the 1950s and 1960s, i.e., 
give "tied" foreign aid. Thus, they could give GigaYen to the poor folks 
in, say, East St. Louis (Illinois), in a way that could only be spent on 
buying Japanese goods and transported using Japanese ships, etc. Not only 
does this stimulate economy of Japan, but it prevents the overbuilding of 
infrastructure, something which seems to have happened. It would also make 
Japan look like a philanthropist on a world scale, a global Bill Gates. 
Then they could spend some of their moral capital they've earned by selling 
arms to other countries (and by stirring up wars) ... Of course, all or 
most of this might be unpopular with the US Treasury Secretary, who seems 
to have a lot of input in deciding their policy.

Of course, there may also be infrastructure that needs to be built but 
isn't because of domestic or foreign political opposition. Branching out 
beyond the usual infrastructure, there may be some education or 
basic-research investment that could be done. I don't know anything about 
this in the case 

Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and NationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Charles Brown wrote:

To purport to answer your question fully would be to assume the 
approach of a utopian.   The answer to your question must come in 
the main from the practice, trial and error, of billions of people.

This is evasive. I'm not asking for a 24-volume detailed blueprint - 
I'm asking for general principles of organization, and specifically 
those that are technically feasible but politically impossible under 
capitalism. If red-greens can't do this, they will convince no one of 
anything except their millennarian fervor.

Doug




Re: Asperger's Syndrome

2000-06-29 Thread Brad De Long

By mistake, I've been sending pen-l my wrong web-page address, the 
one that refers to the support group for parents of kids with 
Asperger's Syndrome (mild autism) that my wife and I run. However, 
if you're interested, click away. (Hey, it's my life away from 
pen-l!)

Instead, the article reflects the biases of the psychology 
profession. The fascination with the high IQs of many of those with 
AS is probably the magazine's most blatant sign of ideology...
Jim Devine  --  [EMAIL PROTECTED]


Lest this list remain guilty of flatness of affect, how is your kid 
doing? (If, that is, you feel like this particular mode of social 
interaction; not to pressure you or put you on the spot or 
anything--just concern and curiosity...)


Brad DeLong




Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Carrol Cox



Doug Henwood wrote:

 Charles Brown wrote:

 To purport to answer your question fully would be to assume the
 approach of a utopian.   The answer to your question must come in
 the main from the practice, trial and error, of billions of people.

 This is evasive. I'm not asking for a 24-volume detailed blueprint -
 I'm asking for general principles of organization, and specifically
 those that are technically feasible but politically impossible under
 capitalism. If red-greens can't do this, they will convince no one of
 anything except their millennarian fervor.

Bullshit Doug. On the contrary, any statement of the kind you want
would be arrogant and stupid, not merely utopian. No one except
a few academics and journalists (I ignore sheer demogogues) has
ever taken up resistance to capitalism on the basis of being convinced
there is a "better system." And frankly I doubt the good faith of
anyone who asks such questions.

Carrol




Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in theWorld-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Charles Brown



 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/29/00 01:18PM 


Doug Henwood wrote:

 M A Jones wrote:

 But capitalism will collapse anyway.

 Right. Where have I heard that one before?

Actually the prediction was made by many old guys millenia ago
before capitalism was ever heard of. You know, the old stuff about
the rise and fall of this or that. ONe doesn't have to be even remotely
a marxist to know this. Now *dating* it -- that's something else.

And of course it is also another quesion whether the collapse will
be followed by socialism or barbarianism. But who can seriously
object to the abstract proposition that "Capitalism will collapse."
It seems a rather trivial tautology.

_

CB: Yea, I mean isn't the alternative idea that capitalism is eternal  ? Like God .

It is a dialectical truth that capitalism will end.  I don't know about a tautology. A 
tautology is a formal logical truth , A is A, the law of non-contradiction.  The truth 
that capitalism will collapse is based on contradiction, not non-contradiction.  And 
I'm not sure it is trivial either. Rather important , actually, especially since the 
ruling ideas of our age are that capitalism is an eternal, natural human condition.




Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Carrol Cox wrote:

Bullshit Doug. On the contrary, any statement of the kind you want
would be arrogant and stupid, not merely utopian. No one except
a few academics and journalists (I ignore sheer demogogues) has
ever taken up resistance to capitalism on the basis of being convinced
there is a "better system."

Hmm, I can see it now, "Risk your livelihood, even your life, for an 
ineffable future!" Why would anyone take up resistance without even a 
hint of what they were fighting for?

  And frankly I doubt the good faith of
anyone who asks such questions.

This has all been very clarifying. Why am I reminded of that old joke 
about Rebels without a clue?

Doug




Partial Retraction + Expansion was ... World-System ...

2000-06-29 Thread Carrol Cox



Carrol Cox wrote:

  And frankly I doubt the good faith of
 anyone who asks such questions.

You piss me off but I retract that charge.

But I want to push the issue a little further. Over the years I have in
fact moved a number of people to become communist activists, and
I have persuaded quite a few people to give more trust to communists
than non-communists without becoming communists themselves. And
I have *never* once, even tentatively, given any assurance that
socialism would actually work.

Neither have I ever adopted a "sceptical" perspective -- I have been
quite dogmatic in fact in insisting that we can't know whether socialism
will work or not and we can't know whether we can even establish
it or not. I have simply argued in innumerable ways, *always* taking
off from the activist experience of those I was talking to, that we had
to resist capitalism, and that the overthrow of capitalism would
provide a new field of struggle. In fact the only thing that I have ever
been really dogmatic about is this point. I have always encased my
recruiting efforts beween two slogans as it were:

Barbarianism or socialism (and maybe barbarianism in any case)

What is? Struggle. (That represents close to my entire ontology.)

And as a result I have always been able to give the same reply to all
complaints about this or that error, defeat, crime of this or that
socialist movement (in power or not): "It's a struggle." And people
do accept this if you haven't begun your relationship with them by
spinning a lot of bullshit about the certain glories of socialism or
given this that recipe for the cookshops of the future.

Please note a key phrase above, "the activist experience of those I
was talking to." I simply don't talk serious politics to those who are
not already engaged in struggle of some sort -- some struggle which
in some way or other I am engaged in with them.

And this is why the experience of academics or journalists -- even very
good and very committed activists and journalists -- is not only
irrelevant but to some extent incompatible with the political agitation
and organization. (And this is why, also, I never for a moment fooled
myself into thinking that my teaching was or even could be political in
any meaningful sense.) The journalist or academic has an essentially
passive audience, and has no real relationship to that audience
except through the words/ideas he/she can put forth. That can be
useful -- but it simply cannot be a model for political work.

And in your continual demands for scenarios (for revolution) or
some picture or other of socialism you speak as a journalist and/or
academic.

And I believe you said as much yourself in a post the other day.

I believe journalists and academics can be comrades -- but they have
to learn from history the limits of the academic or journalistic
perspective.

Carrol




BLS Daily Report

2000-06-29 Thread Richardson_D

BLS DAILY REPORT, WEDNESDAY, JUNE 28, 2000

RELEASED TODAY:  In May, 222 metropolitan areas reported unemployment rates
below the U.S. average (3.9 percent, not seasonally adjusted), while 102
areas registered higher rates.  Twenty-nine metropolitan areas had rates
below 2.0 percent, with 12 of these located in the Midwest, 9 in the South,
and 5 in New England.  Of the eight areas with jobless rates over 10.0
percent, six were in California, and two were along the Mexican border in
other states. ...  

A new study by three respected economists is fueling debate inside the
Federal Reserve while bringing to a head an academic argument that has been
brewing for 5 years. The subject:  How low can unemployment go without
triggering inflation? ...  In a soon-to-be-released paper, three scholars
conclude that the jobless rate could long remain as low as 4.5 percent
without a surge in prices.  That is higher than the current rate of 4.1
percent, but well below the consensus of mainstream analysts, most of whom
believe that unemployment can't stay below about 5 percent for long without
igniting inflation.  The paper was written by George Akerlof, economist at
the University of California-Berkeley; George Perry, senior economist at the
Council of Economic Advisors during the Kennedy administration who is now at
the Bookings Institution; and William Dickens, former member of the Council
of Economic Advisors under President Clinton, now also at Brookings.  The
economists believe a long-term jobless rate of 4.5 percent would push
inflation somewhat above its current rock-bottom levels with consumer prices
rising at about 3.4 percent a year, compared with the 3.1 percent annual
rate recorded so far this year.  But they say that prices would then
stabilize at that level and wouldn't accelerate, as other economist fear.
In fact, they argue that a moderate level of price increases -- not zero
inflation -- is the ideal because it allows the maximum number of Americans
to hold jobs without threatening the economy. ...   (Yochi J. Dreazen in
Wall Street Journal, page A2).

The consumer confidence index declined 5.9 percentage points from 144.7
percent in May to 138.8 percent in June.  This was attributed mainly to a
drop in the expectations for business conditions 6 months ahead, although
the present-situation measure also turned down. Taken in the context of
other economic reports showing somewhat slower growth, this latest report
"points toward a bit of a cooling," the director of the Conference Board's
consumer research center told the Bureau of National Affairs.  But the size
of the decline does not suggest a sharp turnaround in consumer spending, the
director said. ...  (Daily Labor Report, page A-10)_Consumer confidence
fell in June, reflecting concern with the direction of the economy in the
face of rising interest rates and soaring gasoline prices. The June reading
remains near record levels and is not seen as a sign of an end of economic
growth.  But consumers did begin to indicate that they were less optimistic
about future economic conditions (Washington Post, page E11)_Consumer
confidence fell in June from a record high a month earlier, dampened by
higher gasoline prices and the Federal Reserve's effort to slow the economy.
...  (New York Times, page C10)_Consumers are feeling somewhat less
secure about the economy.  As the Federal Open Market Committee enters its
second day of meetings, its members should welcome a sign of waning consumer
optimism.  More Americans expect the number of jobs will shrink over the
next 6 months, and fewer said they planned to buy new cars or homes than in
May. ...  (Wall Street Journal, page A2).  

Internal Revenue Service data shows just how far prosperity has spread
across America, with stock options, two-career couples, and capital gains
helping to lift a record number of families to six-figure annual incomes.
One taxpayer in 15 resided in this economic realm in 1998, Treasury reported
-- an increase of 1.1 million over 1997.  The number of taxpayers (IRS
counts a married couple who file jointly as one taxpayer) with incomes of
$100,000 or more soared in 1998 to 8.3 million, up 15 percent from 7.2
million in 1997, preliminary figures from 1998 income tax returns showed.
...  Analysis of the IRS data also showed that the share of the economic pie
going to those making $100,000 or more expanded to 36.9 percent in 1998,
from 34.2 percent in 1997. ...  (New York Times, page C1),

Competing for the smallest pool of college graduates of accounting programs
in more than a decade, many of the nation's largest accounting firms and
associations have begun grooming talent at secondary schools, the latest
battlefield in an industrywide recruitment war.  With scholarships and
internships in hand, they are hoping to resuscitate a field that is rapidly
losing conscripts to the wonders of technology and the glamour of being an
entrepreneur. A 23-percent drop in enrollment in 

query

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine

does anyone know the specifics of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' CPI-U-X1 
consumer price index? why is it preferred by mainstream macro-econometricians?

thanks ahead of time.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




[Fwd: Position in the World-System and NationalEmissions of](fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Charles Brown



 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/29/00 01:44PM 
Charles Brown wrote:

To purport to answer your question fully would be to assume the 
approach of a utopian.   The answer to your question must come in 
the main from the practice, trial and error, of billions of people.

This is evasive. I'm not asking for a 24-volume detailed blueprint - 
I'm asking for general principles of organization,

_

CB: And of course there is a big element of the "idiot questioner" in your question. 
You already know the major elements of the socialist proposal for the transformation 
of society. 

You are also not acknowledging that one major general principle of organization that I 
gave you is the same as the old one: abolition of private property, because 
profiteering is an absolute barrier to any major diminution in oil usage because oil 
is such a critical resource in concrete capitalism 2000.

As far as, GENERAL principles of organization specifically related to ecological 
problems, Louis Proyect and Mark Jones, et al.,  have given you them in spades over 
the course of many years.

95% plus of the history of humanity has demonstrated that humans can survive with a 
drastically different technical base than that of today in the West. 
And  it has by no means been proven that people are happier today than through out 
most of that time period.

__--


 and specifically 
those that are technically feasible but politically impossible under 
capitalism.



CB:  The general principles of organization that are technically feasible but 
politically impossible under capitalism:  

 We don't have an alternative to oil and fossil fuels right now ( and I don't have 
some genius natural science discovery ). So, as a general matter I would start with 
fulfillment of the physiological necessities. Food, shelter , etc. for 6 billion 
people. Perhaps as a ROUGH estimate for a first step,  the whole world should become 
one giant Cuba in terms of its average individual material kit.  Oil usage should be 
drastically confined to basic sufficient food , medicine and shelter production

Totally elimination of all production and existing nuclear weapons and other weapons 
of mass destruction, and 95% of all the rest of military production (impossible 
without the abolition of capitalism). Howabout a new general custom that almost 
everybody goes to sleep when it is dark, so that electric light usage is drastically 
reduced  How about a moratorium on 95% of television for some number of years ? 
Moratorium on the production of jetskis for some number of years., living arrangements 
more like those from the first thousands of years of humanity etc, etc. etc. etc. etc. 
etc. etc.  etc. etc. 

With sufficient consciousness in the billions, all of this would not have to reduce 
the average quality of life. It is possible to be genuinely happy with much simpler 
kit of pleasures leisures and productive activities if one is raised differently than 
the average Westerner.

__


 If red-greens can't do this, they will convince no one of 
anything except their millennarian fervor.

__

CB: They've already done it, as far as GENERAL principles. The general principles are 
the reversal of the critical problems  that have been repeated 10,000 times, hundreds 
of times on these lists , alone. These are the guides to the search for the more 
specific and technical answers, which people really do have the creativity to find, if 
they divest of commodity fetishism.

If you took up the red-green assumptions, rather than taking up a permanent posture of 
skepticism, you could convincingly answer your own question as far as GENERAL 
principles.







Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in theWorld-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread kjkhoo

At 1:47 AM +0800 30/6/00, Carrol Cox wrote:
Doug Henwood wrote:

 Charles Brown wrote:

 To purport to answer your question fully would be to assume the
 approach of a utopian.   The answer to your question must come in
 the main from the practice, trial and error, of billions of people.

 This is evasive. I'm not asking for a 24-volume detailed blueprint -
 I'm asking for general principles of organization, and specifically
 those that are technically feasible but politically impossible under
 capitalism. If red-greens can't do this, they will convince no one of
 anything except their millennarian fervor.

Bullshit Doug. On the contrary, any statement of the kind you want
would be arrogant and stupid, not merely utopian. No one except
a few academics and journalists (I ignore sheer demogogues) has
ever taken up resistance to capitalism on the basis of being convinced
there is a "better system."

Perhaps no one except a few academics and journalists has taken up
resistance on the basis of being convinced there is a better system,
but many have _not_ taken up systemic resistance because they _don't_
believe there is a better system.

But as a matter of fact, the bullshit is Cox's if he seriously truly
that the revolutions were not made by people who all believed that
there was a better system which they were ushering in.

Why do you think there is so much insistence on TINA?

And frankly I doubt the good faith of anyone who asks such questions.

And many others will doubt the good faith of anyone who refuses to
answer such questions in outline, especially since the collapse of
ten years ago. A 100-years ago, it was still possible to leave it
vague; even 50 years, or 30 years, ago. No more; not today.

Sorry if this comes across as offensive, but one has to live in a
cocoon world not to recognise that the massive defeat of 10 years
ago, and the u-turn of Deng 20 years ago, hasn't had the massive
effect of eroding belief in an alternative system and consequently
resistance with a view to an alternative system, and not just against
specific onerous and oppressive features of the existing.

And within the former Soviet Union, ten years of declining life
expectancy, of severe economic hardships and a contraction worse than
that of the great depression, even of the Asian financial crisis, of
a mafia economy, etc. has not generated any serious organised
resistance. Does anyone seriously believe this has nothing to do with
loss of faith in a "better system"?

KJ Khoo




Re: query

2000-06-29 Thread Joel Blau

Jim:

The BLS replaced the CPI-U with the CPI-X1 in 1983 because the CPI-I included
appreciation of the asset value of a home and therefore confused the investment
and consumption dimensions of homeownership. The CPI-X1 tends to show a lower rate
of inflation.

Joel Blau

Jim Devine wrote:

 does anyone know the specifics of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' CPI-U-X1
 consumer price index? why is it preferred by mainstream macro-econometricians?

 thanks ahead of time.

 Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine





Re: query

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Jim Devine wrote:

does anyone know the specifics of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' 
CPI-U-X1 consumer price index? why is it preferred by mainstream 
macro-econometricians?

It's an experimental revision of the old CPI numbers in accordance 
with the change in how housing costs were accounted for starting in 
1983. It lowered reported inflation (which has the benefit of raising 
real incomes and, if it were applied to the poverty line, would lower 
the poverty rate).

The latest back-projected CPI is the CPI-U-RS, which revises all the 
old numbers to account for all the wondrous changes in the CPI over 
the last couple of years. Details at 
http://www.bls.gov/pdf/cpirsqa.pdf.

The Census Bureau has a statement on using both in the latest income 
report http://www.census.gov/prod/99pubs/p60-206.pdf.

Doug




Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNational Emissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread md7148


[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

what are you trying to prove with your insults Doug? are you implying
the
impossibility of a socialist agenda? who is fantasizing here?

Ok, so you don't have any idea what changes are necessary in the 
actual structures of production and consumption. All that's required 
is loyalty to Marx and a critical attitude. That's pretty much what I 
suspected, but it's good to see my suspicions confirmed.

this is complete BS. We discussed what changes were necessary in the
"actual structures of production" if you had paid enough attention
to the subject matter of the posts instead of insulting people. One of
them being, as it was mentioned, is the abolution  of the distinction
between town and country side. This distinction exists in every advacned
capitalist country and it has been taking place in every developing  
country that is in the process of capitalist modernization.On the one
hand, we have uneven urbanization and industrilization in the cities, on
the other, we have commercialized agriculture in the country side: two
forms of inequalities and class conflicts existing side by side and
refinforcing each other. why to abolish this distinction as a sociialist
agenda (since there is a rationale for it) 1) first, as MArx said in
primitive accumulation chapter of Capital that capitalism first started in
the country side, tranforming the property relations and generating the
surplus necessary to build capitalism in the cities, so country had to be
modernized first with new instruments and techniques of production. 2)
although this transformation was progressive, it also impoverished the
agricultural folk., either by forcing them to work under new capitalist
landlords or forcing them to migrate to cities as wage laborers. If you
also look at the actually existing socialisms, Doug, you will see an
attempt to abolish this country/city duality towards a more equitable
redistribution of wealth, so we are not talking about fantasy here or
something which did not exist.. Land reforms in Russia, China, Cuba all
attemped to achieve abolition of property in land; since traditional
agricultural economy was also largely untransformed in those countries due
to historical reasons, land reforms played an important role in applying
rents of land to public purposes through a progressive income tax (which
Marx talks in the Manifesto) and "abolution of right of inheritance".  I
am not saying land reforms were compeletely sucessfull; I am saying they
were  historically progessive compared to previous times (capitalism). For
example, in Russia, between 1917-1921,  various decrees were implemented
by the soviet government to abolish the special priviliges of
aristocrats, tsarist officials and capitalists (at a time when there
were still monarchies in Europe). in 1929, the revolutionary cadre
accomplished  the elimination of estates of nobles (structurally) and
their various "honorofic and political priviliges and their landed
properties.the class of capitalists too with its private ownership and
control of various industrial and commercial enterprises met its demise in
this periodduring the 1920s, Red army and party leaders were heavily
recruited from industial workers and peasent background" (Skocpol, p. 227)   

Socialism should be judged vis a vis historical circumstances by means of 
assesing the resources available to actors. We should learn from history
and the experiences of actually existing socialisms.I know this is of zero
interest to you Doug.

Regarding population-- the part of your post which does not directly
concern me, but i will answer. 0 population rate in Europe has nothing to
do with the sustainability of environment there. Over-population pressures 
are created by capitalism, not by people, among the several reasons being
HISTORY OF COLONIALISM, IMPERIALISM, POVERTY, PLUNDERING OF NON-WHITES AND 
THEIR RESOURCES, DECLINING LIVING STANDARTS IN THE THIRD WORLD, GLOBAL
INEQUALITIES, INCREASING ECONOMIC INSECURITY. IN THOSE COUNTRIES
FACING EXTEREME POVERTY, CHILDREN ARE SEEN AS AN ASSET-- A SOURCE OF
INCOME AND CHEAP LABOR. THINK ABOUT CHILD SLAVERY, THINK ABOUT CHILD SEX..

Another point worth mentioning: strawman of over-population is one's of
the ways of obscuring capitalism's inequalities and racism.. I am working
in an underclass black neigh, and I generally walk there. The people are
structurally marginalized in that area of Albany, living below the poverty
line. They are isolated into a small area; living as a big family,
children playing outside etc.. so what happens is that they seem to be
over-populated: small houses not having enough capacity to carry people
and unevenly built to marginalize african american people there!! This is
racism, dude racism!

okey, my blood pressure is gradually increasing. have a suny day on wall
street! 

Mine

Oh, and solving the population problem? When people are happier they'll
have fewer babies. Population growth is virtually 0 in Western 

Re: Position within the World System (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread md7148


[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

what are you trying to prove with your insults Doug? are you implying
the
impossibility of a socialist agenda? who is fantasizing here?

Ok, so you don't have any idea what changes are necessary in the
actual structures of production and consumption. All that's required
is loyalty to Marx and a critical attitude. That's pretty much what I
suspected, but it's good to see my suspicions confirmed.

BS. We discussed what changes were necesary in the "actual structures of
production", if you had paid enough attention to the subject matter of the
posts insteaed of insulting people. One of them being, as it was
mentioned, is the abolution of the distinction between town and country
side. This distinction exists in every advanced capitalist country, and it
has been taking place in every developing country that is in the process
of capitalist modernization.On the one hand we have uneven urbanization
and industrilization in the cities, on the other we have commercialized
forms of agriculture in the country side: two forms of inequalities and
class conflicts existing side by side and refinforcing each other. why to
abolish this distinction as part of the agenda (since there is a rationale
for it) 1) first as MArx said in primitive accumulation chapter of Capital
that capitalism first started in the country side, tranforming the
property relations and generating the surplus necessary to build
capitalism in the cities, so country had to be modernized first with new
instruments and techniques of production. 2) although this transformation
was progressive, it also impoverished the agricultural folk, either by
forcing them to work under new capitalist landlords or forcing them to
migrate to cities as wage laborers. If you also look at the actually
existing socialisms, Doug, you will see an attempt to
abolish this country/city duality towards a more equitable
redistribution of wealth.If you also look at the actually existing
socialisms, you will see an attempt to abolish this country/city duality
towards a more equitable redistribution of wealth.  Land reforms in
Russia, China, Cuba all attemped to achieve abolition of property in land.
Since traditional agricultural economy was also largely untransformed in
those countries due to historical reasons, land reforms played an
important role in applying rents of land to public purposes through a
progressive income tax (which Marx talks in the Manifesto) and "abolution
of right of inheritance".  I am not saying land reforms were compeletely
sucessfull; I am saying they were historically progessive compared to
previous times (capitalism). For example, in Russia, between 1917-1921,
various decrees were implemented by the soviet government to abolish the
specaial priviliges of aristocrats, tsarist officials and capitalists ( at
a time when there were still monarchies in Europe). in 1929, the
revolutionary cadre accomplished  the elimination of estates of nobles
(structurally) and their various "honorofic and political priviliges and
their landed properties.the class of capitalists too with its private
ownership and control of various industrial and commercial enterprises met
its demise in this period" (SKOCPOL, _States and Revolutions_, P.227).

Socialism should be judged vis a vis historical circumstances by means
of assesing the resources available to actors. We should learn from
history and the experiences of actually existing socialisms.I know this is
of zero interest to you, Doug.

Regarding population-- the part of your post which does not direclty
concern me-- but I will answer. 0 population rate in Europe nothing to
do with the sustainability of environment there. Over-population pressures
are created by capitalism, not by people, among the several reasons being
HISTORY OF COLONIALISM, POVERTY, PLUNDERING OF NON-WHITES AND THEIR
RESOURCES, DECLINING LIVING STANDARTS  IN THE THIRD WORLD, GLOBAL
INEQUALITIES, INCREASING ECONOMIC INSECURITY. IN THOSE COUNTRIES
FACING EXTEREME POVERTY, CHILDREN ARE SEEN AS AN ASSET-- A SOURCE OF
INCOME AND CHEAP LABOR. THINK ABOUT CHILD SLAVERY, THINK ABOUT CHILD
SEX..

Another point worth mentioning: Strawman of over-population is one's of
the ways of obscuring capitalism's inequalities and racism.. I am
working in an underclass black neigh, and I generally walk there. Black
people are structurally marginalized in that area of Albany, living below
the poverty line. They are isolated into a small area; children playing
outside etc.. so what happens is that they seem to be over-populated--
small houses not having enough capacity to carry people and unevenly built
to marginalize african american people. This is racism, DUDE racism!

okey, my blood pressure is gradually increasing. I wish you a suny day
on Wall Street!

Mine

Oh, and solving the population problem? When people are happier they'll

have fewer babies. Population growth is virtually 0 in Western Europe,
but Western Europe is only a bit more ecologically 

Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in theWorld-System and National Emissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

  [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

what are you trying to prove with your insults Doug? are you implying
the
impossibility of a socialist agenda? who is fantasizing here?

Ok, so you don't have any idea what changes are necessary in the
actual structures of production and consumption. All that's required
is loyalty to Marx and a critical attitude. That's pretty much what I
suspected, but it's good to see my suspicions confirmed.

this is complete BS. We discussed what changes were necessary in the
"actual structures of production" if you had paid enough attention
to the subject matter of the posts instead of insulting people. One of
them being, as it was mentioned, is the abolution  of the distinction
between town and country side.

You're just phrasemongering here. What does that really mean? We 
empty the cities and move people onto farms? Or will there be 
proletarian suburbs for all? How much mobility will you allow people? 
Will there be a division of labor, or do we all till and weave?

Socialism should be judged vis a vis historical circumstances by means of
assesing the resources available to actors. We should learn from history
and the experiences of actually existing socialisms.I know this is of zero
interest to you Doug.

It's of much greater than zero interest. The history of actually 
existing socialism was hardly an inspiration to greens.


Regarding population-- the part of your post which does not directly
concern me, but i will answer. 0 population rate in Europe has nothing to
do with the sustainability of environment there.

What I said:

"When people are happier they'll have fewer babies. Population growth 
is virtually 0 in Western Europe, but Western Europe is only a bit 
more ecologically sustainable than the U.S. But is a growth rate of 0 
low enough?"

  Over-population pressures
are created by capitalism, not by people, among the several reasons being
HISTORY OF COLONIALISM, IMPERIALISM, POVERTY, PLUNDERING OF NON-WHITES AND
THEIR RESOURCES, DECLINING LIVING STANDARTS IN THE THIRD WORLD, GLOBAL
INEQUALITIES, INCREASING ECONOMIC INSECURITY. IN THOSE COUNTRIES
FACING EXTEREME POVERTY, CHILDREN ARE SEEN AS AN ASSET-- A SOURCE OF
INCOME AND CHEAP LABOR. THINK ABOUT CHILD SLAVERY, THINK ABOUT CHILD SEX..

Gosh, I didn't know all these things. I'm learning so much from PEN-L 
these days.

okey, my blood pressure is gradually increasing. have a suny day on wall
street!

Thanks. I'm about to head there to do my radio show in fact.

Doug




Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Rod Hay

Eliminating the distinction between town and country side is a very
abstract though admirable goal. But what does it mean concretely. Better
planning of new housing space? More green space in the city? Better and
more efficient transportation systems? Or is there something more
drastic in mind?

Dwelling solely in the world of the abstract is dangerous. Soon all that
remains is the eternal dance of the categories or meaningless slogans.

Rod

--
Rod Hay
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
The History of Economic Thought Archive
http://socserv2.mcmaster.ca/~econ/ugcm/3ll3/index.html
Batoche Books
http://Batoche.co-ltd.net/
52 Eby Street South
Kitchener, Ontario
N2G 3L1
Canada




Re: RE: On Mark to Rod, was Re: Re: re: energy

2000-06-29 Thread Anthony DCosta




Anthony P. D'Costa
Associate Professor Ph: (253) 692-4462
Comparative International Development   Fax: (253) 692-5718 
University of WashingtonBox Number: 358436
1900 Commerce Street
Tacoma, WA 98402, USA
xxx

On Thu, 29 Jun 2000, Max Sawicky wrote:

 Date: Thu, 29 Jun 2000 11:51:23 -0400
 From: Max Sawicky [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Reply-To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Subject: [PEN-L:20946] RE: On Mark to Rod, was Re: Re: re: energy
 
 HE: . . .   We intellectuals have to join the organizations of these
 committed workers and help them write a consistent programme
 how to avoid ecological catastrophe by a world wide
 proletarian revolution, and establish a minority
 dictatorship which will carry out this programme with
 Stalinist methods.
 
 You will be surprised how many liberals with support such a
 proletarian-based movement once it is big enough.  . . .
 
 [mbs]
 When it's big enough, will we have a choice?
 
 HE: . . . Therefore
 my advice is: join any proletarian communist party, whether
 it be the Worker's World Party (my personal favorite at the
 moment), the CPUSA, the SWP, etc., whatever, . . .
 
 [mbs] WWP does great banners, but my favorite is
 the Naxalbari (CPI-M).  They came into villages
 and cut off landlords heads.


It is not CPI-M, it is CPI-ML (marxists leninists).  CPI-M is the ruling
party of the state of West Bengal, now for two decades.  Naxalbari, a
village in north Bengal is the site of adhibasis (ancient peoples) or
tribals.  It is not surprising, given the massive exploitation that took
place, that tools for cultivation would be used for annhilating the class
enemy.


 
 HE:  . . .  Or use
 your computer skills to write the software for a
 computer-based planned economy, . . .
 
 [mbs] I've already done this.  Unfortunately we
 will have to limit ourselves to the production
 of nuts and apples.
 
 HE:   . .  Whatever you
 do, think big.  Stop diddling around.
 
 Word.
 
 mbs
 
 




Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread JKSCHW

Well, Carroll, I certainly like to see you raise the level of discourse. So it's 
arrogant and stupid and in bad faith of Doug to ask for a reason to think that we 
could do better if we made some sort of change in a direction you would consider 
socialist. well, sign me up to the arrogant, stupid, and bad faith list. Of course one 
will be convinced to join up on the basis of such ana rgument, but if we don't have 
it, we are losers in the ideological war. In case you didn't notice, the last 200 or 
so times we tried going at the thing blind we fucked up. The working class has 
certainly noticed that little fact. I think it is attitudes like yours that have 
helped to stick us in this ghetto who all we can do is snarl at each other.  --jks


Bullshit Doug. On the contrary, any statement of the kind you want
would be arrogant and stupid, not merely utopian. No one except
a few academics and journalists (I ignore sheer demogogues) has
ever taken up resistance to capitalism on the basis of being convinced
there is a "better system." And frankly I doubt the good faith of
anyone who asks such questions.

Carrol

 




My looniness

2000-06-29 Thread Charles Brown



 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/29/00 12:01PM 


Charles Brown wrote:

  [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/28/00 05:27PM And Rod also wrote:

  It's just that as
 a point of departure global warming will not work.

 )

 CB: I don't think the facts of the recent history of party formation support you 
here, Carrol. The biggest new party in the world in the last 40 years is the Greens. 
We are a long way from Lady Bird's "Don't be a litterbug" campaign.

Long range threats to the environment will, I admit, energize many people, but
there seems to be at least two limits: (a) the issue itself reverberates at all
for only a relatively small number of people and (b) within that constituency
too many flake off in weird directions (witness Dennis Redmond on the
Marxism list putting whales before Indian literation. My original point was
that *within* larger movements otherwise generated concern for the
environment and the long range health of humanity will further energize
those movements, but that they will never emerge from a primray focus
on the environment. I think the rest of your post supports my point.

))

CB: Maybe I am jumping into the middle after my several days away, but one thought 
that occurs to me is that there seem to be a few symptoms of global warming observable 
now, like El Nino and warmer average temperatures.

I agree that the enviromental problem generated concerns have to operate in the larger 
mix of activism. Green without red is a poor way to go at it. But I don't see Lou and 
Mark approaching it that way. 



 Another example, the one demonstration held in conjunction with the Detroit BRC 
meeting was to protest a polluted dump on Wabash street. A leader of Detroiters for 
Environmental Justice was a co-chair of the BRC host committee.

Two big points here. First, the BRC did not arise from environmental concern but
(and rightly so) has incorporated environmental concers into its program. 

__

CB: But Detroiters for Environmental Justice, which is carrying out more actions in 
Detroit than the BRC, did.  

_



The
second point in a way is even bigger. The particular action you cite fits David
Harvey's picture of environmental action, and David Harvey is categorized by
Lou as a "Brown Marxist." I doubt that the protestors would have taken time
out from more important business (political or personal) to leaflet on Wabash
Ave. not about the local dump but on the dangers of Detroit drowning in
Lake Erie 50 years from now.

___

CB: If you care to, give me a little more on what you mean about this action fitting 
Harvey's Brown Marxist.  I'm thinking "Brown Marxist" ( besides me, Marxist Brown)  is 
someone who appeals to immediate self-interest of those propagandized ?

The other thing is , isn't there an uncertain time frame for some of these 
catastrophes ?

Also, doesn't the recent history of socialism vs capitalism, put Marxists into a mixed 
short term/long term analysis as basis for propaganda ?






 I think a lot more people than explicitly express it now, have by common sense in 
the back of their mind a concern that they can't just keep "partying" at this level 
without paying  the piper eventually.

I agree. That is why I believe environmental and energy concerns should figure
prominently in any left program. But the program has to be founded on other concerns.

_

CB: Yea, and especially because the only way to get at the environmental concerns is 
through anti-capitalist revolution. No green without red.





 It is like smoking cigarettes. If given a way and if everybody else starts stopping, 
 they would like to stop.

Tsk Tsk Charles. Do I perceive methodological individualism raising its sinister
head. :-)

___

CB: Don't quite follow. There is no collective consciousness except in as it exists in 
individuals. Plus, above links the individual change to "everybody" changing, a social 
approach to the individual, the individual as a social being.






 Also, to me , the struggle against nuclear weapons is half an "environmental" 
struggle.

Granted. That is abstractly true. But I am talking about the tasks of *building*
a working-class movement. I argue that environment can be an important but
still subordinate part of that movement. The movement against nuclear weapons
did gather to it many people from many different walks of life and political
perspectives -- but frankly I doubt it would have come into existence to reach
that movement were it not for the various CPs linked to the USSR.

_

CB: Again, maybe I am jumping in without knowing the issues, but I'm not arguing that 
red should be subordinated to green.  Peace ( anti-war) was always a primary red 
issue, but nuclear weapons added a catastrophic quantum leap to it, augmenting the 
urgency.

Now I'll really fall afoul of whatever, and say that sometimes I think the Soviet 
people saw avoidance of nuclear omnicide as more important 

Re: Re: query

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine

thanks. I like the idea of using a consistently-measured consumer price 
index, which the CPI-U is not. Since I am using more than one measure of 
inflation, I am not upset by the revisions. But this CPI-U-RS only goes 
back to 1967, which makes it sort of useless for my purposes.

At 03:42 PM 6/29/00 -0400, you wrote:
Jim Devine wrote:

does anyone know the specifics of the Bureau of Labor Statistics' 
CPI-U-X1 consumer price index? why is it preferred by mainstream 
macro-econometricians?

It's an experimental revision of the old CPI numbers in accordance with 
the change in how housing costs were accounted for starting in 1983. It 
lowered reported inflation (which has the benefit of raising real incomes 
and, if it were applied to the poverty line, would lower the poverty rate).

The latest back-projected CPI is the CPI-U-RS, which revises all the old 
numbers to account for all the wondrous changes in the CPI over the last 
couple of years. Details at http://www.bls.gov/pdf/cpirsqa.pdf.

The Census Bureau has a statement on using both in the latest income 
report http://www.census.gov/prod/99pubs/p60-206.pdf.

Doug

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




Re: Re: query

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine


The latest back-projected CPI is the CPI-U-RS, which revises all the old 
numbers to account for all the wondrous changes in the CPI over the last 
couple of years. Details at http://www.bls.gov/pdf/cpirsqa.pdf.

I detect irony in the word "wondrous," indicating that you don't approve of 
the changes. As Dave Richardson pointed out, however,  the lower inflation 
rates that came out of the CPI revision is not all bad. If St. Alan sees a 
smaller dragon, he's less likely to lance the economy to death.

Actually, we have to be conscious of the fact that measures of the average 
consumer price level are always going to be imperfect. This means that a 
different CPI should be used for different purposes. Unfortunately, since 
social security benefits, tax brackets, some government employee wages, and 
the like are indexed following the government's whim, the wrong index may 
be used ...

I think that the CPI is miserable as a measure of the real cost of living 
that people face, since people have to pay all sorts of non-market costs. 
See my article in the recent URPE book that M.E Sharpe published, where I 
develop a first-guess cost-of-living (COL) measure.  An updated version is 
supposed to show up in CHALLENGE this coming September. (This article arose 
from one of my many random thoughts in a pen-l discussion, BTW.)  As Dean 
Baker has pointed out in articles in CHALLENGE and elsewhere, the CPI 
misses the way in which the development of capitalism creates new needs 
(like the Internet), though he doesn't say it exactly that way.

Because the CPI is a poor measure of the cost of living that people face, 
it's not good for calculating "real" wages or standards of living. However, 
it doesn't matter that much if one is interested in relative standards of 
living (the rich vs. the poor). You can just take a ratio of the two 
nominal incomes.

The CPI seems to be a measure of the health of the marketized part of the 
economy, so we can see if the market economy is suffering from inflation or 
not. That kind of thing seems relevant to the Fed's job.

In Marx's terms, my COL measure is part of an effort to measure the 
use-values needed for people to live. (It's a futile effort, however, since 
use-values can't be quantified and thus added up; but it's useful to 
guess.) On the other hand, the CPI in its various incarnations is an effort 
to measure the inflation of the exchange values of commodities (where 
exchange-values are measured in money terms).

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




CPI and all that

2000-06-29 Thread enilsson

Re the discussion of CPI.

I wrote about some of the issues related to a "cost of living" index and a CPI 
in a 1999 Review of Radical Political Economics article. I think I have my own 
best estimate of a cost of living index in it.

The CPI is almost always used -- wrongly -- to generate "real" values, 
particularly for wages and earnings. 

Among the problems: the CPI assumes constant preferences -- in short it is 
assumed that folks in 1947 have the same likes/dislikes as folks in 2000. This 
is obviously false and preferences have become, if anything, "more demanding."

The CPI is the cost of a "market basket" but it ignores the impacts on 
standards of living caused by increased housing costs, changes in the relative 
size of interest payments, changes in the tax bite, and so on.

The CPI can't be used to deflate benefits as the "market basket" does not 
include benefit like products.

The CPI-U-X1 has its flaws. It likely takes out too much of the costs related 
to housing than is appropriate (as recognized by others). Changes in the asset 
component of housing are excluded from the CPI not because they are unimportant 
but, simply, because the CPI has been defined to exclude assets. There is no 
other reason then this.

For what it is worth, the work of the "Boskin Commission" was amazingly shoddy 
on almost all counts. I don't think anyone of those on the committee really 
know what the CPI is.

Eric




Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Louis Proyect

Rod wrote:
Eliminating the distinction between town and country side is a very
abstract though admirable goal. But what does it mean concretely. Better
planning of new housing space? More green space in the city? Better and
more efficient transportation systems? Or is there something more
drastic in mind?

You and Doug approach this as if we were talking about life-style. I can
understand this. This is generally how people first react to the CM demand,
as if they were being asked to give up Starbucks or something. It is not
about this primarily. It is about addressing a fundamental problem in
agriculture and ecology. The rise of the modern city was facilitated by the
removal of the agrarian population. Then, the livestock was separated from
the farm where crops were grown. This was made possible by modern
transportation systems, sophisticated financing schemes, chemical
fertilizer, mechanized plowing and reaping, etc. In the meantime, all of
these 'advances' were made possible by the creation of modern urban
industrial centers. With every "success" of the capitalist system, there
was an environmental penalty. Marx wrote about this, as did Bebel,
Bukharin, Kautsky and many other lesser known Marxists. Our problem is that
most of the research into these questions is being done by by mainstream
greens like Lester Brown's Worldwatch, while the militant opposition comes
from fuzzy-minded anarchists or deep ecologists. And where are the
self-declared Marxists? Mostly standing around with their thumbs up their
asses worrying about whether they'll still be able to enjoy their morning
Starbucks.

Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Louis Proyect

sustainable than the U.S. But is a growth rate of 0 low enough? Could 
we feed and house 6 billion people if we all spent our time searching 
for "Jack-in-the-Pulpits or fishing for pickerel"? That kind of rural 
leisure is available to someone living in a rich country; in a poor 
country, you'd be more likely tilling the soil or grinding corn from 
dawn til dusk. These apocalpytic imaginings aren't serious politics, 
they're just lurid fantasies.

Doug

My dear chap, I was trying to respond to your question about the
existential authenticity of my living on the Upper East Side 3 blocks from
Woody Allen, while defending a simple life close to nature. Now you've
switched gears in the most underhanded fashion and talk about
overpopulation, a legitimate topic of social science rather than pop
psychology. I ought to put a hungry wolverine in your knickers.

Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Bringing the US to Heel

2000-06-29 Thread Dennis R Redmond

On Wed, 28 Jun 2000, Doug Henwood wrote:

 How do you propose Japan would collect on this demand? They may be 
 the creditor, but the U.S. has all the bombs.

That's what all those Chinese and French missile systems are for. If the
new metropoles find the political will, there's plenty of offshore
financing centers to fund a way. 

-- Dennis




Re: Re: Re: My looniness

2000-06-29 Thread Louis Proyect

Carrol:
(and rightly so) has incorporated environmental concers into its program. The
second point in a way is even bigger. The particular action you cite fits
David
Harvey's picture of environmental action, and David Harvey is categorized by
Lou as a "Brown Marxist." I doubt that the protestors would have taken time
out from more important business (political or personal) to leaflet on Wabash
Ave. not about the local dump but on the dangers of Detroit drowning in
Lake Erie 50 years from now.

You totally misunderstand the issues, although I am glad that you are
finally defining yourself with more clarity. I always suspected that
beneath the barrage of personal insults that you direct against Mark and I
there lurks a strong sympathy for Harvey's ideas, at least as you've
gleaned them from email exchanges.

Yes, one can be a "brown Marxist" and still be against environmental
racism. In point of fact, the missing dimension in Harvey's thought is
ecology itself. To take a stand against toxic dumps without considering the
overall political economy which is driving their location in poor
neighborhoods serves Marxism poorly. 

Marxists must think globally and in epochal terms. We do not pooh-pooh the
problem of disappearing old-growth forests because it is not of immediate
concern to black people, nor do we stop raising our voices about species
extinction because middle-class people care more about the Panda or the
Grizzly Bear. Those kinds of animals belong to all humanity and their
disappearance would be as much of an assault on our true civilized values
as if somebody went into the Metropolitan Museum and set fire to all the
French Impressionist canvases.

Harvey's problem is that he is an isolated, petty-bourgeois left professor
like most of the denizens of PEN-L and wants desperately to connect with
the underclass, in his case black Baltimoreans. He went into a saloon on
Earth Day and all the black folks were muttering about how little it meant
to them. So he decided to accomodate to their lack of understanding and
wrote a book defending this kind of parochialism using Leibnizian
philosophy. That's the long and the short of it.

Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in theWorld-System and National Emissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Ken Hanly

 A recent committee of the Liberal government (Canada) has recommended that all
pesticide use in cities be banned. Only agricultural uses would be legal. I think
this might cause a great enforcement problem though. People will sneak out at
night with their Weedex wonderbars. The main concern was the health ha
zards of pesiticide use, particularly on children.
  CHeers, Ken Hanly

Doug Henwood wrote

 Michael Perelman wrote:

 I just read that NY City is the largest consumer of pesticides in the state.
 Now that you have that part of the agricultural system, may the rest won't be
 too hard.

 Could you be a little less opaque? Do you mean that reducing
 pesticide use will require depopulating the cities? Where will
 everyone go?

 NYC also houses half the U.S. non-poverty households without cars. We
 use less energy here than practically any place in the USA. If you
 depopulate us, will we have to start driving? Or do I have to grow my
 own food and weave my own cloth?

 Doug




Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNational Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Rod Hay

Actually Lou. Although I have a good friend who works for Starbucks, I don't
drink coffee, and have never been in a Starbucks.

I know the history. I know the economic cost. But what is the programme. What
are the concrete steps that you propose? Move the cows back into Central Park?

There are any number of struggles going on the world concerning the split
between the town and the country, which ones are worth getting involved in?
which ones are not? Some of us do have political lives, that consist of more
than meaningless harangues. It is all fine and good to say that you don't want
to provide blueprints but political struggles are taking place every day in
every city in the world about what direction to take with respect to new
buildings, new roads, new parks. I like taking part in those discussion,
because that is what my neighbours and friends are interested in.

All I hear from the Leninists -- Join some Party of idiots who can't even talk
to their neighbours.

By the way. What is the CM demand?

Rod

Louis Proyect wrote:

 Rod wrote:
 Eliminating the distinction between town and country side is a very
 abstract though admirable goal. But what does it mean concretely. Better
 planning of new housing space? More green space in the city? Better and
 more efficient transportation systems? Or is there something more
 drastic in mind?

 You and Doug approach this as if we were talking about life-style. I can
 understand this. This is generally how people first react to the CM demand,
 as if they were being asked to give up Starbucks or something. It is not
 about this primarily. It is about addressing a fundamental problem in
 agriculture and ecology. The rise of the modern city was facilitated by the
 removal of the agrarian population. Then, the livestock was separated from
 the farm where crops were grown. This was made possible by modern
 transportation systems, sophisticated financing schemes, chemical
 fertilizer, mechanized plowing and reaping, etc. In the meantime, all of
 these 'advances' were made possible by the creation of modern urban
 industrial centers. With every "success" of the capitalist system, there
 was an environmental penalty. Marx wrote about this, as did Bebel,
 Bukharin, Kautsky and many other lesser known Marxists. Our problem is that
 most of the research into these questions is being done by by mainstream
 greens like Lester Brown's Worldwatch, while the militant opposition comes
 from fuzzy-minded anarchists or deep ecologists. And where are the
 self-declared Marxists? Mostly standing around with their thumbs up their
 asses worrying about whether they'll still be able to enjoy their morning
 Starbucks.

 Louis Proyect
 Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/

--
Rod Hay
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
The History of Economic Thought Archive
http://socserv2.mcmaster.ca/~econ/ugcm/3ll3/index.html
Batoche Books
http://Batoche.co-ltd.net/
52 Eby Street South
Kitchener, Ontario
N2G 3L1
Canada




pop

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

okey! go and explain these to your audience in your radio show! Doug and
over-population tonight under Wall Street lights...

I'm completely anti-Malthusian. I never talk about overpopulation 
except to criticize Malthusians. I like big cities, too, where people 
are numerous and densely packed. I don't know how this fits into your 
ideological taxonomy, but since you already have me pegged as a 
"liberal," the choice is down to a modifying adjective or two.

Doug




Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNational Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Louis Proyect

Rod:
I know the history. I know the economic cost. But what is the programme. What
are the concrete steps that you propose? Move the cows back into Central
Park?

You apparently didn't read the post on "Green Cuba", otherwise you wouldn't
ask such flippant questions.

There are any number of struggles going on the world concerning the split
between the town and the country, which ones are worth getting involved in?

You are confused. There are no "struggles" around such questions. Mostly
what you have are desperate attempts by subsistence farmers to not be
crushed by global capitalism, such as what took place in Guatemala in the
1980s. This has zero to do with Marx's concern with the "metabolic rift".

which ones are not? Some of us do have political lives, that consist of more
than meaningless harangues. 

For somebody who complains all the time about invective on PEN-L, you
should follow your own advice.

All I hear from the Leninists -- Join some Party of idiots who can't even
talk
to their neighbours.

You are an abusive person.


By the way. What is the CM demand?

"Combination of agriculture with manufacturing industries; gradual
abolition of all the distinction between town and country by a more equable
distribution of the populace over the country."


Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System andNationalEmissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread Ken Hanly

Is this in contrast to non-trivial tautologies?
 Cheers, Ken Hanly

Carrol Cox wrote:

 Doug Henwood wrote:

  M A Jones wrote:
 
  But capitalism will collapse anyway.
 
  Right. Where have I heard that one before?

 Actually the prediction was made by many old guys millenia ago
 before capitalism was ever heard of. You know, the old stuff about
 the rise and fall of this or that. ONe doesn't have to be even remotely
 a marxist to know this. Now *dating* it -- that's something else.

 And of course it is also another quesion whether the collapse will
 be followed by socialism or barbarianism. But who can seriously
 object to the abstract proposition that "Capitalism will collapse."
 It seems a rather trivial tautology.

 Carrol




Re: Re: Re: query

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Jim Devine wrote:

I detect irony in the word "wondrous," indicating that you don't 
approve of the changes. As Dave Richardson pointed out, however, 
the lower inflation rates that came out of the CPI revision is not 
all bad. If St. Alan sees a smaller dragon, he's less likely to 
lance the economy to death.

I care less about what the index does for St Alan's worldview than 
its accuracy. The only revisions that the Boskin commission or the 
BLS considered were ones that lowered the CPI. And the use of hedonic 
price measures on computers and other gadgets is pretty close to 
mystical. The change, which ripples through the national income 
accounts, has the effect of boosting growth rates, especially 
estimates of real investment, to almost implausible levels.

James Medoff  Andrew Harless have an interesting critique of the 
effects of the hedonic technique in the May 26 issue of Grant's 
Interest Rate Observer.

Doug




Re: CPI and all that

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

[EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote:

For what it is worth, the work of the "Boskin Commission" was amazingly shoddy
on almost all counts. I don't think anyone of those on the committee really
know what the CPI is.

By the way, something like 20 or 30 economists testified before the 
Congressional panel that picked the members of the Boskin Commission. 
The six that were chosen were among the seven with the highest 
estimates of CPI overstatement; the seventh was a Canadian, and 
therefore presumably ineligble.

Doug




Re: Re: Re: Re: query

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine

At 07:06 PM 6/29/00 -0400, you wrote:
Jim Devine wrote:

I detect irony in the word "wondrous," indicating that you don't approve 
of the changes. As Dave Richardson pointed out, however, the lower 
inflation rates that came out of the CPI revision is not all bad. If St. 
Alan sees a smaller dragon, he's less likely to lance the economy to death.

I care less about what the index does for St Alan's worldview than its 
accuracy.

My key question was: accuracy for what purpose? I agree that for the 
purpose of measuring real living standards, the Boskin revisions lead to 
gross exaggeration of their rise.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Ken Hanly

In developed countries at least many urban features are already in the
countryside. The automobile enables rural dwellers to take advantage of
urban shopping facilities equally with urban dwellers. Rural dwellings
almost all have modern sanitiation and sewage systems albeit
self-contained in the country as contrasted with towns. More and more rural
people are connected to the Internet. Radio and satellite TV connections
plus cell and other phones connect them with the "world" just as much as
urbanites. Except for isolated areas medical care is available within
reasonable distances, at least in Canada. I am sure I have left much out.
Does doing away with this distinction mean locating hog barns and cattle
feed lots in the city? I don't think that will be a big selling point.
Having smaller family-run facilities in itself won't help. A recent study in
Ontario found that the worst culprits for pollution were not the new state
of the art
big facilities but older smaller operations that have been running for years
and that started before there was anything much in the way of controls.
   Cheers, Ken Hanly

Rod Hay wrote:

 Eliminating the distinction between town and country side is a very
 abstract though admirable goal. But what does it mean concretely. Better
 planning of new housing space? More green space in the city? Better and
 more efficient transportation systems? Or is there something more
 drastic in mind?

 Dwelling solely in the world of the abstract is dangerous. Soon all that
 remains is the eternal dance of the categories or meaningless slogans.

 Rod

 --
 Rod Hay
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 The History of Economic Thought Archive
 http://socserv2.mcmaster.ca/~econ/ugcm/3ll3/index.html
 Batoche Books
 http://Batoche.co-ltd.net/
 52 Eby Street South
 Kitchener, Ontario
 N2G 3L1
 Canada




Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Louis Proyect wrote:

You and Doug approach this as if we were talking about life-style. I can
understand this. This is generally how people first react to the CM demand,
as if they were being asked to give up Starbucks or something. It is not
about this primarily. It is about addressing a fundamental problem in
agriculture and ecology. The rise of the modern city was facilitated by the
removal of the agrarian population. Then, the livestock was separated from
the farm where crops were grown. This was made possible by modern
transportation systems, sophisticated financing schemes, chemical
fertilizer, mechanized plowing and reaping, etc. In the meantime, all of
these 'advances' were made possible by the creation of modern urban
industrial centers. With every "success" of the capitalist system, there
was an environmental penalty. Marx wrote about this, as did Bebel,
Bukharin, Kautsky and many other lesser known Marxists. Our problem is that
most of the research into these questions is being done by by mainstream
greens like Lester Brown's Worldwatch, while the militant opposition comes
from fuzzy-minded anarchists or deep ecologists. And where are the
self-declared Marxists? Mostly standing around with their thumbs up their
asses worrying about whether they'll still be able to enjoy their morning
Starbucks.

Ok, so now we know there won't be Starbucks after the revolution. 
Finally a bit of detail.

Does the revo also mean there won't be modern transportation, 
chemical fertilizers, mechnized plowing and reaping, etc.? Then 
there's truly no way to sustain a world population of more than, say, 
a billion people, maybe fewer - meaning that at least 80% of us have 
to go.

Where are the Marxists? This neo-primitivist vision is quite 
anti-Marxist, and it's quite reasonable that Marxists are not 
participating in your vision. It comports perfectly with the politics 
and preferences of Brown and the fuzzies, though.

On this sort of thing I'm with thumb-up-the-ass Ernest Mandel, who 
had this to say in Late Capitalism:

6. The genuine extension of the needs (living standards) of the 
wageearner, which represents a raising of his level of culture and 
civilization. In the end this can be traced back virtually 
completely to the conquest of longer time for recreation, both 
quantitatively (a shorter working week, free weekends, paid 
holidays, earlier pensionable age, and longer education) and 
qualitatively (the actual extension of cultural needs, to the extent 
to which they are not trivialized or deprived of their human content 
by capitalist commercialization). This genuine extension of needs is 
a corollary of the necessary civilizing function of capital. Any 
rejection of the so-called 'consumer society' which moves beyond 
justified condemnation of the commercialization and dehumanization 
of consumption by capitalism to attack the historical extension of 
needs and consumption in general (i.e., moves from social criticism 
to a critique of civilization), turns back the clock from scientific 
to utopian socialism and from historical materialism to idealism. 
Marx fully appreciated and stressed the civilizing function of 
capital, which he saw as the necessary preparation of the material 
basis for a 'rich individuality'. The following passage from the 
Grundrisse makes this view very clear: 'Capital's ceaseless striving 
towards the general form of wealth drives labour beyond the limits 
of its natural paltriness, and thus creates the material elements 
for the development of the rich individuality which is as all-sided 
in its production as in its consumption, and whose labour also 
therefore appears no longer as labour, but as the full development 
of activity itself, in which natural necessity in its direct form 
has disappeared; because a historically created need has taken the 
place of the natural one.'

For socialists, rejection of capitalist 'consumer society' can 
therefore never imply rejection of the extension and differentiation 
of needs as a whole, or any return to the primitive natural state of 
these needs; their aim is necessarily the development of a 'rich 
individuality' for the whole of mankind. In this rational Marxist 
sense, rejection of capitalist 'consumer society' can only mean: 
rejection of all those forms of consumption and of production which 
continue to restrict man's development, making it narrow and 
one-sided. This rational rejection seeks to reverse the relationship 
between the production of goods and human labour, which is 
determined by the commodity form under capitalism, so that 
henceforth the main goal of economic activity is not the maximum 
production of things and the maximum private profit for each 
individual unit of production (factory or company), but the optimum
self-activity of the individual person. The production of goods must 
be subordinated to this goal, which means the elimination of forms 
of production and labour which damage human health and 

Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine

At 07:17 PM 6/29/00 -0400, you wrote:

Ok, so now we know there won't be Starbucks after the revolution. Finally 
a bit of detail.

no loss! Starbucks burns its beans, producing inferior coffee.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Jim Devine wrote:

Ok, so now we know there won't be Starbucks after the revolution. 
Finally a bit of detail.

no loss! Starbucks burns its beans, producing inferior coffee.

"I don't like it. It smells burnt." - Jackie Mason




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Doug Henwood

Jim Devine wrote:

no loss! Starbucks burns its beans, producing inferior coffee.


http://www.junofish.com/jackie.html

A Dissent on Starbucks by Jackie Mason

Starbucks is the best example of a phony status symbol that means 
nothing, but people will still pay 10x as much for because there are 
French words all over the place. You want coffee in a coffee shop, 
that's 60 cents. But at Starbucks, Cafe Latte: $3.50. Cafe Cremier: 
$4.50. Cafe Suisse: $9.50. For each French word, another four dollars.

Why does a little cream in coffee make it worth $3.50? Go into any 
coffee shop; they'll give you all the cream you want until you're 
blue in the face. Forty million people are walking around in coffee 
shops with jars of cream: "Here's all the cream you want!" And it's 
still 60 cents. You know why? Because it's called "coffee." If it's 
Cafe Latte - $4.50.

You want cinnamon in your coffee? Ask for cinnamon in a coffee shop; 
they'll give you all the cinnamon you want. Do they ask you for more 
money because it's cinnamon? It's the same price for cinnamon in your 
coffee as for coffee without cinnamon - 60 cents, that's it. But not 
in Starbucks. Over there, it's Cinnamonnier - $9.50. You want a 
refill in a regular coffee shop, they'll give you all the refills you 
want until you drop dead. You can come in when you're 27 and keep 
drinking coffee until you're 98. And they'll start begging you: 
"Here, you want more coffee, you want more, you want more?" Do you 
know that you can't get a refill at Starbucks? A refill is a dollar 
fifty. Two refills, $4.50. Three refills, $19.50. So, for four cups 
of coffee - $350.

And it's burnt coffee. It's burnt coffee at Starbucks, let's be 
honest about it. If you get burnt coffee in a coffee shop, you call a 
cop. You say, "Oh, it's a blend. It's a blend." It's a special bean 
from Argentina. " The bean is in your head.

And there're no chairs in those Starbucks. Instead, they have these 
high stools. You ever see these stools? You haven't been on a chair 
that high since you were two. Seventy-three year old Jews are 
climbing and climbing to get to the top of the chair. And when they 
get to the top, they can't even drink the coffee because there's 12 
people around one little table, and everybody's saying, "Excuse me, 
excuse me, excuse me, excuse me." Then they can't get off the 
chair. Old Jews are begging Gentiles, "Mister, could you get me off 
this?"

Do you remember what a cafeteria was? In poor neighborhoods all over 
this country, they went to a cafeteria because there were no waiters 
and no service. And so poor people could save money on a tip. 
Cafeterias didn't have regular tables or chairs either. They gave 
coffee to you in a cardboard cup. So because of that you paid less 
for the coffee. You got less, so you paid less. It's all the same as 
Starbucks - no chairs, no service, a cardboard cup for your coffee - 
except in Starbucks, the less you get, the more it costs. By the time 
they give you nothing, it's worth four times as much.

Am I exaggerating? Did you ever try to buy a cookie in Starbucks? Buy 
a cookie in a regular coffee shop. You can tear down a building with 
that cookie. And the whole cookie is 60 cents. At Starbucks, you're 
going to have to hire a detective to find that cookie, and it's 
$9.50. And you can't put butter on it because they want extra. Do you 
know that if you buy a bagel, you pay extra for cream cheese in 
Starbucks? Cream cheese, another 60 cents. A knife to put it on, 32 
cents. If it reaches the bagel, 48 cents. That bagel costs you $312. 
And they don't give you the butter or the cream cheese. They don't 
give it to you. They tell you where it is. "Oh, you want butter? It's 
over there. Cream cheese? Over here. Sugar? Sugar is here." Now you 
become your own waiter. You walk around with a tray. "I'll take the 
cookie. Where's the butter? The butter's here. Where's the cream 
cheese? The cream cheese is there." You walked around for an hour and 
a half selecting items, and then the guy at the cash register has a 
glass in front of him that says "Tips." You're waiting on tables for 
an hour, and you owe him money.

Then there's a sign that says please clean it up when you're 
finished. They don't give you a waiter or a busboy. Now you've become 
the janitor. Now you have to start cleaning up the place. Old Jews 
are walking around cleaning up Starbucks. "Oh, he's got dirt too? 
Wait, I'll clean this up." They clean up the place for an hour and a 
half.

If I said to you, "I have a great idea for a business. I'll open a 
whole new type of a coffee shop. A whole new type. Instead of 60 
cents for coffee I'll charge $2.50, $3.50, $4.50, and $5.50. Not only 
that, I'll have no tables, no chairs, no water, no busboy, and you'll 
clean it up for 20 minutes after you're finished." Would you say to 
me, "That's the greatest idea for a business I ever heard! We can 
open a chain of these all over the world!"

No, 

Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Louis Proyect

Does doing away with this distinction mean locating hog barns and cattle
feed lots in the city?

More flippancy.

Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Louis Proyect

Doug:
Does the revo also mean there won't be modern transportation, 
chemical fertilizers, mechnized plowing and reaping, etc.? Then 
there's truly no way to sustain a world population of more than, say, 
a billion people, maybe fewer - meaning that at least 80% of us have 
to go.

You don't seem to be aware that smaller farms are more productive than
large agribusiness type concerns. Can I refer you to the special MR issue
on agriculture from a couple of years ago co-edited by Fred Magdoff and
John Foster? I am sure you would find it most edifying.

Where are the Marxists? 

They are over on the Marxism list where they belong.

On this sort of thing I'm with thumb-up-the-ass Ernest Mandel, who 
had this to say in Late Capitalism:

Well, at least Ernest was a revolutionary socialist, even if he hadn't give
ecology the full attention it deserved. We need more people like him
nowadays, if you gather my drift.

Louis Proyect
Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/




Marx and ecology

2000-06-29 Thread Louis Proyect

John Bellamy Foster has been doing some very interesting research into the
question of whether Marx was an ecological thinker for some time now. There
are 3 takes on this question. Some view Marx as explicitly anti-ecological.
This is the case for social ecologists like John Clark and certain "brown
Marxists" who embrace a falsely understood "Promethean" aspect to Marx's
writings that is so detested by his Green opponents. Others think that Marx
had some interesting observations on environmental questions, but they were
sidebars rather than essential features of his thought. Finally, there are
people like Paul Burkett and John Foster who make the case that the
ecological dimension to Marx's thought is central. 

The attempt to bring Marx's ecological dimensions into the foreground have
only gathered momentum over the past five years or so. When the modern
ecology movement first took shape in the late 1960s, the analysis tended to
be of a "post-materialist" character. It saw the ecological crisis in the
framework of the "affluent society." This is understandable since the long
boom of the post-WWII period tended to accentuate problems of this nature.
Pollution was related to the indulgences of a consumer society and the
eco-socialist critique--such as it was--had a strong Frankfurt orientation.
The solution was to moderate the out-of-control growth of consumerist
societies rather than to address underlying questions of political economy.
Also, the debate was framed in terms of anthropocentrism versus
ecocentrism. Marx, it was argued, erred in the direction of anthropocentrism. 

Since the 1980s, the classical Marxist approach has taken the offensive.
This has meant that economics plays much more of a role. The accumulation
of capital rather than cultural questions is central. It has also meant
that the problem is seen in global terms rather than one isolated to
affluent societies. The overarching concern is to discover a form of
sustainable development that takes environmental justice into account. Poor
nations should not make sacrifices on behalf of rich nations. In rich
nations, the poor and the racial minorities should not bear the brunt of
toxic dumping, etc. The only solution, needless to say, is socialism which
will bring economic development under the rational control of the producers
themselves. 

The ecological crisis has prompted nearly every school of thought to return
to its ideological foundations in order to come up with a solution. For
neo-Classical economists, this means trying to bring nature into the sphere
of commodities. They argue that the problem is that natural resources like
soil and water are not properly priced. If the same market laws that
dictate the price of manufactured goods operated in realm of nature, then
the "invisible hand" would protect such precious commodities as the soil
and water. 

For Marxists, an analogous effort has taken place, which seeks to discover
either explicit or implicit concerns with nature in the central body of
Marx's work. Foster has come up with some very interesting insights into
the rather explicit concern that Marx had with the central ecological
crisis of the 19th century: soil fertility. 

There is actually a long tradition of Marxist research into agrarian
questions going back to Marx and Engels. Lenin and Kautsky also wrote
important articles on the question. Michael Perelman, the moderator of
PEN-L, has also written on the topic: "Farming For Profit In A Hungry
World: Capital And The Crisis In Agriculture." I plan to read and report on
this book before long. 

The context for Marx's examination of the agrarian question was the general
crisis of soil fertility in the period from 1830 to 1870. The depletion of
soil nutrients was being felt everywhere, as capitalist agriculture broke
down the old organic interaction that took place on small, family farms.
When a peasant plowed a field with ox or horse-drawn plows, used an
outhouse, accumulated compost piles, etc., the soil's nutrients were
replenished naturally. As capitalist agriculture turned the peasant into an
urban proletariat, segregated livestock production from grain and food
production, the organic cycle was broken and the soil gradually lost its
fertility. 

The need to artificially replenish the soil's nutrients led to scientific
research into the problem. Justin Von Liebeg was one of the most important
thinkers of the day and he was the first to posit the problem in terms of
the separation between the city and the countryside. 

While the research proceeded, the various capitalist powers sought to gain
control over new sources of fertilizers. This explains "guano imperialism,"
which I referred to in my post on Peru the other day. England brought Peru
into its neocolonial orbit because it was the most naturally endowed
supplier of bird dung in the world. In 1847, 227 thousand tons of guano
were imported from Peru into England. This commodity was as important to
England's economy as 

Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread M A Jones

Doug Henwood wrote:

 Does the revo also mean there won't be modern transportation,
 chemical fertilizers, mechnized plowing and reaping, etc.? Then
 there's truly no way to sustain a world population of more than, say,
 a billion people, maybe fewer - meaning that at least 80% of us have
 to go.

No, the revo will not be responsible for the loss of modern transportation
and the collapse of the agro-system which is based on using soil to hold
down plants while petroleum-derived chemicals are applied, for the purpose
of creating what are called 'phantom acres': ie, we use sunlight trapped a
long time ago to artifically boost production:

"Catton expands on the "ghost acreage" concept raised by Georg
Borgstrom, who was talking about food.  The term in Borgstrom
referred to imports from elsewhere, meaning supplementation of what a
region or nation has available internally with the product of some
other region's or country's land and sunlight./1/  Catton initially
is interested in imports from elsewhen, meaning the use of
fossil-fuel energy, or supplmentation with the product of land and
sunlight from long ago.  He uses "fossil acreage," meaning the
"energy we obtain from coal, petroleum, and natural gas...the number
of additional acres of farmland that would have been needed to grow
organic fuels with equivalent energy content."/2/  Dependence on this
fossil acreage yields dependence on "phantom carrying capacity" that
evaporates when the fossil fuels become unavailable./3/  A few pages
later, he defines phantom carrying capacity as "either the illusory
or the extremely precarious capacity of an environment to support a
given life form or a given way of living"

(Chris Kuykendall)

The revo will happen *because capitalism's energetics basis has collapsed*.
That is why transport, agrobiz etc will also mutate in forms which will
look like a collapse.

Of course an enormously wasteful system like the US contains enormous
potentials for energy saving and no doubt something approaching normal
life could be sustained by using 50% less fossil, and in time much less.
There are Marxists who think that's just another profit opportunity
and to a degree they are right. But what you have to reckin with is that the
history of capitalist accumulation was predicated logically on the existence
of fossil fuel and the ability to constantly cheapen this input and to
increase
energy efficiency. My question is not so much about whethere normal
life can be preserved albeit with some very important changes. I just don't
see how capitalism can survive or be the agency of those changes, and that
is why there will be and already is, a developing crisis. It won't go
aware just be pretending it aint there. It is there.

I have yet to see you embrace this even as a hypothesis. The collapse of Big
Oil will have devastating side-effects including on food production. It will
quite inevitably require many more people to go work on the land. You may
not like that, but you still have to explain what is the alternative.
Yelling at people that they are atavists, apocalyptics etc, doesn't answer
any more than Jim Devine throwing queenie fits answers the questions.
Whenever I raise the issue I get literally dozens of offlist emails from
lurkers on pen-l who want to no more but are not willing to expose
themselves to ridicule from the 'orthodox' list-professors.

 Where are the Marxists? This neo-primitivist vision is quite
 anti-Marxist, and it's quite reasonable that Marxists are not
 participating in your vision. It comports perfectly with the politics
 and preferences of Brown and the fuzzies, though.

But no marxists round here are promoting such a vision; it's a phantasm of
your own. You're locked in struggle with figments of your own imagining. And
how is Mandel present?

Try to answer the question: do you think oil is an exhaustible and
irreplaceable energy supply, or not? Do you side with Morris Adelman, the
guru invoked by your own resident oil expert Greg Nowell, and think that oil
is 'Infinite, a renewable resource' ? If you accept that it is running
out, what do YOU think we should do? What is YOUR
plan, apart from asking me for mine?

Mark




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of] (fwd)

2000-06-29 Thread M A Jones

Growth of 0% is fine, but unfoprtunately it's not happening, especially in
the US, where the population may rise to 500mn by 2050 and not stop there,
either.

Mark Jones
http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList
- Original Message -
From: "Louis Proyect" [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, June 29, 2000 11:32 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:20981] Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the
World-System and National Emissions of] (fwd)


 sustainable than the U.S. But is a growth rate of 0 low enough? Could
 we feed and house 6 billion people if we all spent our time searching
 for "Jack-in-the-Pulpits or fishing for pickerel"? That kind of rural
 leisure is available to someone living in a rich country; in a poor
 country, you'd be more likely tilling the soil or grinding corn from
 dawn til dusk. These apocalpytic imaginings aren't serious politics,
 they're just lurid fantasies.
 
 Doug

 My dear chap, I was trying to respond to your question about the
 existential authenticity of my living on the Upper East Side 3 blocks from
 Woody Allen, while defending a simple life close to nature. Now you've
 switched gears in the most underhanded fashion and talk about
 overpopulation, a legitimate topic of social science rather than pop
 psychology. I ought to put a hungry wolverine in your knickers.

 Louis Proyect
 Marxism mailing list: http://www.marxmail.org/






Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: query

2000-06-29 Thread Brad De Long



My key question was: accuracy for what purpose? I agree that for the 
purpose of measuring real living standards, the Boskin revisions 
lead to gross exaggeration of their rise.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine

Even after watching 1900 House?


Brad DeLong, who *likes* his new dishwasher *a* *lot*...




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: [Fwd: Position in the World-System and National Emissions of]

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine

At 01:49 AM 06/30/2000 +0100, you wrote:
Yelling at people that they are atavists, apocalyptics etc, doesn't answer
any more than Jim Devine throwing queenie fits answers the questions.

so Mr. Jones is gay-bashing me? I find that insults are always the last 
refuge of the fuzzy thinker. In any event, though Jones thinks of this as 
an insult, I do not. My sister is gay and she is an excellent person. 
However, I think that gay-bashing does not belong on pen-l.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine




Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: Re: query

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine

At 06:03 PM 06/29/2000 -0700, you wrote:


My key question was: accuracy for what purpose? I agree that for the 
purpose of measuring real living standards, the Boskin revisions lead to 
gross exaggeration of their rise.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]   http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~jdevine

Even after watching 1900 House?

I don't watch any TV except escapist TV. If it's the opiate of the masses, 
give me the real thing. So US Public Broadcasting is out. Give me "Dharma 
and Greg" any day -- or "Becker" (the only known TV character with 
Asperger's syndrome).

Brad DeLong, who *likes* his new dishwasher *a* *lot*...

There's a good comment by Richard Powers in his novel, GAIN, where the 
protagonist wonders if the dishwasher is really worth it. After all, she 
has to clean the dishes _before_ she puts them in the washer. Then  she has 
to scrape off the gunk that was hardened on the plates by the high 
temperatures. It also involved higher monetary costs (and environmental 
costs, with an important impact on the plot) and disinfects the dishes much 
more than they need. (I've added to -- or subtracted from -- the actual 
comment, since I couldn't find it.)

I think that _giving up_ a dishwasher is involves more cost than the 
benefit one gets from using it for the first time. This asymmetry makes it 
like an addictive drug. That's a problem with the whole idea of the "1900 
House" as I understand it. These folks have been totally adapted to late 
20th century living. Their experience is _totally different_ from those who 
were totally adapted to late 19th century living. The idea that sticking 
the 20th centurians in a 1900 house says something about differences in 
standard of living is nonsense. It's not like they're going to be given 
typhoid or dysentery, after all. Without the public health difference, the 
idea that we can learn something from their experience about "how it was 
back then" is silly.

Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine




the cost of living

2000-06-29 Thread Jim Devine

Thanks, Eric Nilsson, for telling me about your excellent article in THE 
REVIEW OF RADICAL POLITICAL ECONOMICS, vol. 31 no. 4 (Fall 1999). It is 
quite well done, in a very clear and systematic way. It's truly Gordonian, 
while if Brad ever gets to rewriting his book on the standard of living of 
people in the 20th century, he should read it and learn.

However, there's a confusion between Eric's and my meaning of the phrase 
"cost of living."

The usual orthodox economist simply assumes that the consumer price index 
measures the "cost of living" without spending much time thinking what that 
phrase means. Eric brings in Robert Pollak's distinction between the 
expenditure cost of living (E Coli) and the income cost of living (I Coli). 
If anything, the standard consumer price index measures the E Coli. But as 
Eric so clearly shows, one can suffer a fall in real income even if both 
one's nominal income and the CPI are constant, if the needed expenditures 
that aren't counted as part of the CPI become more expensive. For example, 
if home insurance prices rise drastically (raising the I Coli), that hurts 
the consumer's ability to buy the "basket" that is used to define the CPI 
and thus hurts his or her real standard of living. So Eric develops a 
measure of the I Coli, which unfortunately did not show up in the appendix, 
because the latter didn't get printed.

Eric also brings in the key assumption of the orthodox view that the CPI 
can be used to measure "real" standards of living, i.e., the constancy of 
tastes. But that's nonsense, as Dean Baker has also argued. New needs arise 
regularly, changing people's tastes. As a first approximation, following 
the work of Alan Krueger and Aaron Siskind, Eric argues that the CPI-U-X1 
(without the Boskin "improvements") represents a pretty good estimate of 
the income cost of living once changing tastes are taken into account. The 
changing tastes effect and the I Coli effect cancel out the reasonable part 
of the Boskin effect.

Anyway, both Eric and I have different definitions of what we mean by the 
cost of living. He's emphasizing the income cost of living, where I'm 
interested in something that might be called the "utility cost of living" 
(U Coli). This includes not only marketed products as part of the story but 
also non-marketed factors. My ideas is noted by the US Bureau of Labor 
Statistics when they say: ""a more complete cost-of-living index would go 
beyond [the CPI] to take into account the changes in other governmental or 
environmental factors that affect consumers' well-being" (Gibson, 
http://stats.bls.gov/cpi1998g.htm ). My measure brings in such things as 
environmental costs: when the smog gets worse, one has to wash the clothes 
more often, etc. This lowers someone's standard of living just like as with 
the story explaining the I Coli.  I try to get a handle on this by using 
the consumption-oriented component of the Genuine Progress Indicator as an 
indicator of what people are actually getting from the economy as a whole 
(both market and non-market segments). Again, my article is in the new URPE 
book just published by M.E. Sharpe and will be in CHALLENGE in September. 
I'd appreciate comments.

As I mentioned, my U Coli measure is not the kind of "cost of living" that 
measures the performance of markets, since it includes the effects of 
external costs  benefits, non-marketed goods and bads, "necessary costs" 
of living, etc. Even though it says something about standards of living -- 
i.e., that real wages have fallen much more drastically than indicated by 
the ratio of the nominal wage to the CPI  -- it's not something that Alan 
Greenspan should care about. He should be concerned with something like the 
CPI-U-X1, which reflects the behavior of markets.

BTW, the US system of CPIs seems really messed up. The CPI-U (for urban 
consumers) isn't comparable between before 1983 and after, since it uses 
different methods to measure the cost of owner-occupied housing. The 
CPI-U-X1 is consistent between these two periods -- but introduces 
inconsistencies as soon as the Boskin "reforms" are introduced. Then, 
there's the new CPI-U-RS, which brings in the dubious Boskin changes all 
the way back -- to the 1970s. Before that, you're on your own.
Jim Devine [EMAIL PROTECTED]  http://bellarmine.lmu.edu/~JDevine




Re: Zimbabwe post election

2000-06-29 Thread Patrick Bond

 From:  Chris Burford [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Interesting to see Patrick Bond tonight in a heavily clipped interview on 
 BBC 2 Newsnight about the Zimbabwe elections. Patrick was suggesting, if I 
 got the point correctly, that Morgan Tsvangirai was boxing Mugabe in by 
 offering some sort of compromise with the implicit risk in the background 
 that if Mugabe imposed a more open dictatorship he would suffer the 
 probable fate of other dictatorial opponents of the world bank. Perhaps I 
 got that wrong.

It's been a strange few days duelling with the bourgeois media, 
trying to make difficult arguments in soundbites. Too hard for me. 
The NYT even requested the following piece from me, but then just 
decided not to run it. Maybe it sets up the context a bit better, 
Chris... and I'll be doing some reporting for Red Pepper next week on 
struggles within the struggle (over the MDC's heart and mind)...

***

Post-Election Zimbabwe Showcases
Power of World Bank/IMF

HARARE--Now comes financial crunch time for
Robert Mugabe. The barest of parliamentary
election victories--against the newly-formed
Movement for Democratic Change, led by a
popular trade unionist--sets the stage for what are
likely two more years of political bickering, social
strife and economic decline, before the next
presidential election.

Four harsh months of brutally populist
campaigning are behind him, and Mugabe must
now bite several bullets at once. He upped the
rhetorical stakes with threats to redistribute 804
white-owned commercial farms (many occupied by
several thousand liberation war veterans), and
indeed vowed to confiscate all white-held land and
even white-owned mining companies.

With a nod and a wink, Thabo Mbeki stood by
him, alone amongst respected world leaders. One
carrot the South African president dangled to
persuade Mugabe to lift his paramilitary-style
intimidation blanket in the days preceding last
weekend's election was another bite at the
IMF/World Bank apple, probably when an IMF
team visits in early August. Mbeki's "softly-softly"
diplomacy may have worked, for political violence
declined dramatically last week (though not
entirely).

Access to Bretton Woods funds, just a few months
after Zimbabwe's first major default on World
Bank credits, would be an offer Mugabe shouldn't
logically refuse. There is practically no foreign
exchange in the Reserve Bank's coffers. As a
result, the economy is periodically paralysed by
fuel and imported energy shortages, a semi-official
black market in hard currency with a 50% spread,
the highest nominal interest rates ever, and even a
bread shortage looming by year-end.

Ironically, just five years ago, Zimbabwe was
Washington's newest African "success story," as
Harare embraced macroeconomic policies
promoted by Bank and IMF lenders, and even
conducted joint military exercises with the
Pentagon. But will taking on new loans--plus the
standard menu of harsh conditions--require the
psyche of a political chameleon less conceited than
Mugabe? Mugabe excels in IMF-bashing, after all,
famously telling Fund staff to "Shut up!" late last
year.

In reality, though, from independence in 1980 until
quite recently, he followed their advice unfailingly.
And that is a large part of the problem Mugabe
faces today.

From the outset, Zimbabwe made bad policy
choices and succumbed to armtwisting by
Washington. Finance minister Bernard Chidzero,
who was head of the IMF/Bank Development
Committee during the late 1980s, borrowed
massively, figuring that repayments--which
required 16% of export earnings in 1983--would
"decline sharply until we estimate it will be about
4% within the next few years."

The main lender, the World Bank, fully concurred
with the prediction. Instead, however, Zimbabwe's
debt servicing spiralled up to an untenable 37% of
export earnings by 1987.

Meantime, the IMF began imposing fiscal
constraints, forcing cuts in education/health
spending and food subsidies. Also in the mid-
1980s, the World Bank showered peasants with
unaffordable micro-loans, as a substitute for
genuine land reform.

Hampered by "willing-buyer, willing-seller"
constraints on land and without structural change
in agricultural markets, the Bank strategy
floundered. Fully 80% of borrowers defaulted by
1989 and the best farms continued to fall under
white control whenever they came on the market.
(The few good farms redistributed went to
powerful Mugabe cronies.)

Chidzero then persuaded Mugabe to ditch controls
on prices, trade and financial flows, liberalizing
the economy through an Economic Structural
Adjustment Programme (ESAP) in 1991. ESAP
was supposedly "homegrown," but World Bank
staff drafted much of the document, which was
substantively identical to those imposed across
Africa during the 1980s-90s.

ESAP brought immediate, unprecedented increases
in interest rates and inflation, which were
exacerbated (but not caused) by droughts in 1992
and 1995. As money drained from the country, the
stock 

Neo-classical gas

2000-06-29 Thread Max Sawicky

I'm starting to wonder about my sanity in re: the pile-up
of gross distortions of n-c theory in the past week.

This is not to say there are legions of things to criticize
in NC theory, but I have to wonder what sort of picture
people have gotten (or devised by themselves).
 I'm no theoretical wizard myself, but the barrage
of error seems to be on a pretty low level.

The straw breaking the proverbial camel's back was the
stuff about methodological individualism as the fallacious
root of fallacious econ.  Evidently some critics gloss
over the fact that macro-theory is not based on
"adding up" the decisions of individuals.  What it is
based on is another matter, worthy of criticism in its
own right.  It is true that the general context strips
individuals of their social relations, but C = f(Y)
is not formally derived from lots of little c's and y's.
In Keynes, of course, it isn't formally derived at all.
He basically pulls it out of his ass.

Micro isn't as bad as implied either, or not bad in the same
way.  I could say demand for Starbucks' coffee depends
on price, urban density, and the unmarried share of the
population, the latter non-individualistic social relations
of sorts.  Typically the claims of micro models are much
more modest than the criticism would imply.

Then there's the poop about micro theory not being
capable of modelling altruistic behavior, something
any putz -- including me -- who had cracked a public
finance text would know is wrong.

Then there's this canard that n-c theory posits some
infinitude of resources derived from price signals.
MP says this is 'implicit doctrine,' which sounds like
an oxymoron to me.  You could say n-c theory inspires
idiotic optimism as some kind of cultural artifact, but
that's a different matter.  Just because a price increase
constitutes an incentive to look for substitutes doesn't
mean supplies will always be forthcoming.  Talk about
your ecological fallacy.

I'll only note in passing the warped concept of
efficiency that is attributed to nc theory.  In the past
I took the trouble of posting a textbook-like precis
on what efficiency is held to be, in contrast to the
Third Reich imagery.

Maybe it doesn't matter if most familiar with 'straight'
econ will not be any more persuaded by good criticism
than bad . . .  Feh.  Time for bed.

mbs




Re: Re: Re: energy crises

2000-06-29 Thread GBK

But I do keep receiving messages!
This time when I finaly got connected I've got more than 100 of them. What
is wrong?

Boris

-Original Message-
From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: 27 ÉÀÎÑ 2000 Ç. 22:47
Subject: [PEN-L:20749] Re: Re: energy crises


Nordhaus assumed that there would always be an available "backstop"
technology.  I think that he had nukes in mind at the time.

--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901




Re: energy

2000-06-29 Thread Charles Brown



 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/28/00 05:09PM 
Charles It is not a matter of faith. It is a simple calculation. Amount
of energy available minus amount used by humans in the course of their
history. The result if a very large positive number. We are not going to
run out of energy.

_

CB: Mark Jones and Lou Proyect seem to get a different result for the difference than 
you with respect to fossil fuels.

"Amount of energy used by humans in the course of their history" has been drastically, 
"exponentially" less up until about two hundred years ago, no ? There was no internal 
combustion engine until about a hundred years ago. That means for the first 200,000 
years minus one hundred years there was almost no fossil fuel used compared to the 
last one hundred. I'm sure you are aware of exponential functions and all that. They 
explode.

__


Alternatives to internal combustion engines are technological infants,
but they are available and will soon be economic.



CB: Well, socialism is coming soon too, but will it be in time to avoid a major 
catastrophe. I mean real major.  It is not guaranteed that the logic of capital 
accumulation will be rational relative to developing the new energy technologies you 
mention. 

For example, GM caused our public mass transit system in Detroit to be ripped up in 
the 1930's so that they could sell more cars. Unless GM and its class partners are 
overthrown, they may sell out the human race on the new energy technologies you 
mention.

Perhaps a better example in reverse, the bourgeoisie caused the development of nuclear 
weapons, an affirmative technological development that is the destructive equivalent 
of not developing the new energy technologies you mention above. This demonstrates 
that capitalists are capable of species-suicide or species-catastrophe short of 
extinction,  levels of irrationality in trying to hold on to their profiteering 
system. Rather than let socialism develop, the capitalists instituted a nuclear 
weapons race to thwart it.

There is a tendency here to ignore that capitalists have developed the mode of 
destruction as fantastically as they has developed the mode of production, evincing 
thereby a world historic level of irrationality and tendency to 
species-suicide/catastrophe.

Right now, the U.S. is more focused on developing Star Wars, a dangerous extention of 
the nuclear arms race,  than the new energy technologies you mention.

I urge a lot less faith in the inevitable rationality of the bourgeoisie.

CB




Re: My looniness

2000-06-29 Thread Charles Brown



 [EMAIL PROTECTED] 06/28/00 05:27PM And Rod also wrote:

 Oh Carrol get with the programme. You are to organize all the True
 Believers and take them off to Jonestown

It has occurred to me that in speaking of political activity many of us
do not make clearly enough the distinction between agitation and
organizing. They are inseparable in practice, but they are distinguishable
and should be distinguished in thought. My central concern in reference
to the issue of global warming is that I think Mark's and Lou's
own intensity has concealed for them that for large masses of people
global warming will *not* work as agitational material. People *can*
(have been / will be) mobilized around issues most of which demand
concern for a future beyond that of those in motion. It's just that as
a point of departure global warming will not work.

)

CB: I don't think the facts of the recent history of party formation support you here, 
Carrol. The biggest new party in the world in the last 40 years is the Greens. We are 
a long way from Lady Bird's "Don't be a litterbug" campaign.

Another example, the one demonstration held in conjunction with the Detroit BRC 
meeting was to protest a polluted dump on Wabash street. A leader of Detroiters for 
Environmental Justice was a co-chair of the BRC host committee.

I think a lot more people than explicitly express it now, have by common sense in the 
back of their mind a concern that they can't just keep "partying" at this level 
without paying  the piper eventually. 

It is like smoking cigarettes. If given a way and if everybody else starts stopping,  
they would like to stop.

Also, to me , the struggle against nuclear weapons is half an "environmental" 
struggle. 

CB




On Mark to Rod, was Re: Re: re: energy

2000-06-29 Thread Hans Ehrbar


 On Wed, 28 Jun 2000 18:10:45 -0500, Carrol Cox
 [EMAIL PROTECTED] said:

 So unless you really do agree with Hans Ehrbar on the need
 for an elitist putsch to stop global warming, you had
 better give some thought to how that mass support can be
 (beginning now) marshalled


It is not my view that an elitist putsch can stop global
warming.  On the contrary, only those who experience the
exploitation and oppression of capitalism by their own body
and soul every day are able to put up the consistent fight
against capitalism that is needed.  An appeal to the
intellect that the world is burning will not change the
members of PEN-L or any other email list into the devoted,
disciplined, selfless fighters which are able to overturn
the system.  Thinking that it can or that it ought to is
idealism.  Such fighters exist today, capitalism creates
lots of them every day with its cruelty, but in the leading
industrial countries they will always be in a minority.  We
intellectuals have to join the organizations of these
committed workers and help them write a consistent programme
how to avoid ecological catastrophe by a world wide
proletarian revolution, and establish a minority
dictatorship which will carry out this programme with
Stalinist methods.

You will be surprised how many liberals with support such a
proletarian-based movement once it is big enough.  Therefore
my advice is: join any proletarian communist party, whether
it be the Worker's World Party (my personal favorite at the
moment), the CPUSA, the SWP, etc., whatever, and help them
reach more workers or improve their theory.  For those who
cannot function in such an environment, an alternative might
be to use your computer skills to build a new internet-based
international which combines all these scattered proletarian
organizations.  Sven Buttler and Jim Hillier's
marxist-leninist-list is working in this direction.  Or use
your computer skills to write the software for a
computer-based planned economy, which could then perhaps be
adopted by countries like Cuba, using Cockshott and Cottrell's
"Towards a New Socialism" as the starting point.  Whatever you
do, think big.  Stop diddling around.



I am appending a message I sent to the bhaskar list on June 12
which explains more of the theory behind this.


Hans Ehrbar.



 Sunday morning I sent the following message to Louis Proyect's
 marxism list and to leninist-international.  I think it might
 also be of interest to the Bhaskar list, since it was
 inspired by RB in at least two respects:
 
 
 (1) Bhaskars criticism of Marx that he, following Hegel, put
 too much emphasis on internal, at the expense of external
 contradictions (the ecological limits of the earth are an
 external contradiction of capitalism, and Marx's dictum in
 the preface that "the problem itself arises only when the
 material conditions for its solution are already present or
 are at least in the course of formation" is only valid for
 internal, not for external contradictions).
 
 
 (2) Bhaskar's repudiation of the fact-value distinction
 which encourages me to say here that only those who truly
 hate the capitalist system have a correct grasp of its
 reality.
 
 
 I have not yet received any responses for this posting on
 the other two lists.  Something tells me that I might get a
 response on this list here.
 
 
  Capitalism makes profits by the exploitation of labor.
  Those who create all the surplus value, on which capital
  depends in order to function, see their lives reduced to
  drudgery, without enough time or money to care for their
  children, without access to proper medical care, see their
  neighborhoods blighted, their youth terrorized by police,
  denied their life chances and a decent education, driven
  into drugs.  Every day they are reminded of the contempt the
  system has for their lives and everything that is dear to
  them.  These people get to the point where every molecule in
  their body hates the system.  They are also the ones that
  can overturn the system, because capital needs them,
  organizes them, teaches them hard work and discipline, and
  at the same time makes implacable enemies out of them.  They
  are willing to face bullets and torture and their own deaths
  and continue fighting after 1000 defeats.  This is what it
  takes to overturn the system.  This is the vanguard which
  needs to organize itself world wide, even if they are a
  minority in countries like the USA.
  
  Capitalism also silently destroys the ecosphere.  This side
  effect is worse than the human suffering of the workers,
  because it threatens to end all human civilization.  It
  alarms lots of people of all classes, their numbers will
  eventually be greater than the minority I just talked about,
  and it drives some of them to heroic deeds.  But being an
  external contradiction, it is not experienced by millions on
  the same gut level as exploitation is.  On the contrary,
  many environmental fighters live under a 

RE: energy entropy + capitalist crisis

2000-06-29 Thread Max Sawicky

Several quick comments . . .

MJ:
. . . The argument that energy supply is 'infinite' derives from the
neo-classical economics concept of substitutability. . . .

I don't think this is true of neo-classical econ, namely
there is no doctrine of infinite resources that I recall
from the course in resources that I took.  (I was doing
well in it, until the finals, which coincided with the
baseball playoffs).  There are theorems about the optimal
rate of exhaustion of (exhaustible) resources.  Certainly
prices are held to inspire investment in substitutes, but
there is no guarantee that such substitutes will be found
or be feasible in the long run.  There are technical and
natural limits in play.

I suppose it is possible that in some professorial treatments,
simple optimism not unlike the sort I reflected is offered as
some kind of scientific certainty.

I wonder if anyone is familiar with Nicholas Georgescu-Rogin (sp?).
He was brought to my dept to give a seminar way back in '81 or
so and seemed to have a similar take on all this, albeit at a
very high level of mathematical abstraction.  He was of Romanian
extraction, I think, and flipped everyone out by talking about
constant, fixed, and variable capital.

mbs




Re: RE: energy entropy + capitalist crisis

2000-06-29 Thread M A Jones

Max,
Undoubtedly baseball was the right choice.

It was Samuelson who said something about 'the planet doesn't need
resources; resources are infinite' (can't remember the exact quote, can't be
bothered to look it up. He was talking about oil + substitutability at the
time, the idiot). Morris Adelman, oil industry economist sans pareil,
wittered on about 'oil is essentially infinite, a renewable resource' etc
(can't be bothered, etc. I'm just listening to Bob Dylan: All the
authorities, they stand around and boast' etc. That seems a better idea even
than baseball. Next I'm gonna drink a bottle of non-renewable Gouts et
Couleurs (vin de pays d'Oc. Oc as you know is a country which named itself
after its favourite word, Oc, meaning Yes. This is the kind of place I want
to live. The girls are great there, of course.)

Georgescu-Roegen, Oc. I agree. This list should close down for a week while
everyone goes away and reads him,Oc?

Mark Jones
http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList
- Original Message -
From: "Max Sawicky" [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, June 29, 2000 3:57 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:20938] RE: energy entropy + capitalist crisis


 Several quick comments . . .

 MJ:
 . . . The argument that energy supply is 'infinite' derives from the
 neo-classical economics concept of substitutability. . . .

 I don't think this is true of neo-classical econ, namely
 there is no doctrine of infinite resources that I recall
 from the course in resources that I took.  (I was doing
 well in it, until the finals, which coincided with the
 baseball playoffs).  There are theorems about the optimal
 rate of exhaustion of (exhaustible) resources.  Certainly
 prices are held to inspire investment in substitutes, but
 there is no guarantee that such substitutes will be found
 or be feasible in the long run.  There are technical and
 natural limits in play.

 I suppose it is possible that in some professorial treatments,
 simple optimism not unlike the sort I reflected is offered as
 some kind of scientific certainty.

 I wonder if anyone is familiar with Nicholas Georgescu-Rogin (sp?).
 He was brought to my dept to give a seminar way back in '81 or
 so and seemed to have a similar take on all this, albeit at a
 very high level of mathematical abstraction.  He was of Romanian
 extraction, I think, and flipped everyone out by talking about
 constant, fixed, and variable capital.

 mbs






Re: Re: Re: Re: energy crises

2000-06-29 Thread M A Jones

You have Yeltsin here? Cool.

Mark Jones
http://www.egroups.com/group/CrashList
- Original Message -
From: "GBK" [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Sent: Thursday, June 29, 2000 1:45 PM
Subject: [PEN-L:20935] Re: Re: Re: energy crises


But I do keep receiving messages!
This time when I finaly got connected I've got more than 100 of them. What
is wrong?

Boris

-Original Message-
From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
Date: 27 ÉÀÎÑ 2000 Ç. 22:47
Subject: [PEN-L:20749] Re: Re: energy crises


Nordhaus assumed that there would always be an available "backstop"
technology.  I think that he had nukes in mind at the time.

--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901





entropy

2000-06-29 Thread Rod Hay

The word/concept entropy is often used by the environmental movement but
seldom understood.

In physics it is used as measurement of the degradation or dispersement
of energy in a closed system. In every day speech it usually refers to
thermal energy, and measures the dissipation of energy that is not
available for conversion to human uses. The closed system we are talking
about is the solar system.

There are three sources of energy available to us. Solar, nuclear and
geo-thermal. Fossil fuel's are solar energy that has been stored in
hydrocarbon molecules. So the vast majority of the energy we use is
solar in origin.

For practical human purposes the amount existing of all three is
infinite. And the estimated time of dissipation of solar energy is in
the billions of years. No one, I hope, is expecting the imminent death
of the sun.

The question then becomes on of the ability of humans to capture, store
and use that energy as it dissipates. It is purely a technical question.
And it is here that the question of socialism, capitalism or some other
ism enters the picture. What set of property relations provides the most
incentive for human scientist and engineers to develop new ways of
capturing that energy.

Mark seems to be saying that it doesn't matter what system we have in
place, it simply is not technically possible. I disagree, so I will
continue to talk about incentives, market, political, etc. which I think
will improve the situation, and leave the hysterics to others.

Since the scientist, engineers, etc. disagree on the possibilities, I
don't see how we can resolve the issue.







--
Rod Hay
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
The History of Economic Thought Archive
http://socserv2.mcmaster.ca/~econ/ugcm/3ll3/index.html
Batoche Books
http://Batoche.co-ltd.net/
52 Eby Street South
Kitchener, Ontario
N2G 3L1
Canada




Re: Re: Re: :We used 10 times as much energy in the20thcentury as in the 1,000

2000-06-29 Thread Eugene Coyle



Brad De Long wrote:

 
  During WW II in the war in the Pacific, one of the most horrendous battles
 was fought over the island of Tarawa.  Death in great numbers came to both
 sides.  Tarawa is now beneath the Pacific ocean, a casualty of global warming.
 
 
 Gene Coyle

 30,000 people live on Tarawa. The expected high today is 86 degrees.
 The high point on Tarawa is 260 feet above sea level.

 Where do people pick up such misinformation?

 Brad DeLong

Well, I read in a book that "In 1999, two islands in the Kiribati Archipelago in
the South Pacific were the first to be submerged by rising sea levels due to global
warming, and others in the area were in danger."  The source given was a story in
The Globe and Mail, June 14, 1999 titled "Global Warming sinks islands."  I had
read somewhere else that Tarawa had gone under the waves.  I made the careless link
to connect the two.

It turns out that an islet in the middle of the Tarawa lagoon, Bikeman, has
disappeared, but perhaps more due to a change in current due to construction of a
causeway between two other islands nearby.  Another islet near a neighboring island
has gone, and another near Tarawa is close to gone.

Gene Coyle




Re: Re: Re: Re: energy crises

2000-06-29 Thread Michael Perelman

I think that those messages came before the changes were made.  I hope that we
are ok now.

GBK wrote:

 But I do keep receiving messages!
 This time when I finaly got connected I've got more than 100 of them. What
 is wrong?

 Boris

 -Original Message-
 From: Michael Perelman [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 To: [EMAIL PROTECTED] [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Date: 27 ÉÀÎÑ 2000 Ç. 22:47
 Subject: [PEN-L:20749] Re: Re: energy crises

 Nordhaus assumed that there would always be an available "backstop"
 technology.  I think that he had nukes in mind at the time.
 
 --
 
 Michael Perelman
 Economics Department
 California State University
 [EMAIL PROTECTED]
 Chico, CA 95929
 530-898-5321
 fax 530-898-5901

--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901




Re: RE: energy entropy + capitalist crisis

2000-06-29 Thread Michael Perelman

Max.  There s no doctrine of infinite resources for any specific
resource, but since substitutes always exist there is an implict
doctrine.

Max Sawicky wrote:

 I don't think this is true of neo-classical econ, namely
 there is no doctrine of infinite resources that I recall
 from the course in resources that I took.

Nicholas Georgescu-Rogen was anti-marxist, but used quite a bit of
Marx.  His important contribution was to realize that production took
place in time through using stocks.  This allowed him to make strong
statements about resources.  He was probably the first economist to use
the concepts of entropy and hysteresis.

 I wonder if anyone is familiar with Nicholas Georgescu-Rogin (sp?).
 He was brought to my dept to give a seminar way back in '81 or
 so and seemed to have a similar take on all this, albeit at a
 very high level of mathematical abstraction.  He was of Romanian
 extraction, I think, and flipped everyone out by talking about
 constant, fixed, and variable capital.

 mbs

--

Michael Perelman
Economics Department
California State University
[EMAIL PROTECTED]
Chico, CA 95929
530-898-5321
fax 530-898-5901