Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread Erik Reuter
On Sat, Nov 06, 2004 at 12:52:28AM -0700, Warren Ockrassa wrote: > On Nov 6, 2004, at 12:17 AM, Gautam Mukunda wrote: > > >In 1944 vague memories of my long-ago American politics classes > >suggest that turnout was very high despite being somewhat depressed > >by the very high number of people in

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread John D. Giorgis
In terms of voter turnout, the following chart turned up after a quick Google... http://www.fairvote.org/turnout/preturn.htm JDG John D. Giorgis - [EMAIL PROTECTED] "We have one country, one Constitution, and on

Excellent images of Mt. Saint Helens

2004-11-06 Thread Gary Nunn
Some excellent pictures of the mountain, crater and eruptions from many different angles. May take a while to load for dial-up. Mount St. Helens, Washington, 2004 Crater, Dome, and Eruption Images http://tinyurl.com/4z23y http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/Volcanoes/MSH/Images/MSH04/ cl

Our way or the highway (International organizations)

2004-11-06 Thread Erik Reuter
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/b7441b2a-2e24-11d9-a86b-0e2511c8.html Our way or the highway By Ivo Daalder and James Lindsay Published: November 5 2004 18:56 | Last updated: November 5 2004 18:56 EXCERPT: Efforts to improve the UN's capacity to respond to global security threats are laudable.

Re: Excellent images of Mt. Saint Helens

2004-11-06 Thread Julia Thompson
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Gary Nunn wrote: > Some excellent pictures of the mountain, crater and eruptions from many > different angles. > > May take a while to load for dial-up. > > > > Mount St. Helens, Washington, 2004 > Crater, Dome, and Eruption Images [snippage] > __

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Erik Reuter <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > - > YEAR TURNOUT > = > 1924 48.9% > 1928 51.8% > 1932 52.6% > 1936 56.8% > 1940 58.8% > 1

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: "Gautam Mukunda" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 9:30 AM Subject: Re: It seems over... > > Thank you, Erik. I was looking for this, but unable > to find it at 1:00am last night. I appreciate

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Warren Ockrassa <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Oh. So if I prefer vanilla over chocolate, it's > invalid. Got it. (Never > mind that I was not the one trying to insert feeling > and conjecture > into the discussion to begin with.) No, but that's not a persuadable point. If you were trying to

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I've got a question about your analysis. The years > you didn't mention > really didn't fit the pattern. Yes, '68 was quite > high, but so was '60 and > '64. In fact, every year in from '52-'68 saw higher > turnout higher than > any year from '32-'44

Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Alberto Monteiro
Gautam Mukunda wrote: > > No, actually, I know far better than you do that it > isn't. That's nonsense. It's not coming back. > I read somewhere that the "volunteer" soldiers that are dying in Viet... Oops... Iraq are actually foreigners who want to get USA citizenship, and the only way to get

Re: Excellent images of Mt. Saint Helens

2004-11-06 Thread Alberto Monteiro
Gary Nunn wrote: > > Some excellent pictures of the mountain, crater and eruptions from many > different angles. > So, is God punishing the states that voted for Bush? [will God's wrath extend to Uruguay too?] Alberto Monteiro ___ http://www.mccmedia.co

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: "Gautam Mukunda" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 10:05 AM Subject: Re: It seems over... > The base rate might be a more important effect over > the long run, but I have no idea which one was >

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > This model fits the data much better than your 1AM > explanation. Are you > getting old Gautam? The ability to think clearly > and write on no sleep is > a youthful one. :-) > > Dan M. Yeah, that's exactly the model that I was taught. I _am_ getting

Re: Bush II

2004-11-06 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: "Warren Ockrassa" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 12:14 AM Subject: Re: Bush II >> I'll fully agree with you on one point: our different opinions > >concerning >> Bush will be subject to ex

Re: Excellent images of Mt. Saint Helens

2004-11-06 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: "Alberto Monteiro" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 10:16 AM Subject: Re: Excellent images of Mt. Saint Helens > Gary Nunn wrote: > > > > Some excellent pictures of the mountain, crater and er

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 10:23 AM 11/6/2004 -0600 Dan Minette wrote: >1) Good times/bad times in the voting year: This is a short term feature, >and is most responsible for changes from one election to the next. It would be interesting to correlate voting turnout with the "right track/wrong track" polling number. JDG

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Damon Agretto
If this group has some magnitude in numbers, then I imagine draft will not come back - except when the USA ceases to be an economically viable place to emigrate to. Some may be. Enlisting in the US Military has NEVER been subject to the condition of citizenship. Any person can qualify to join th

Re: It seems over...

2004-11-06 Thread John D. Giorgis
At 09:44 AM 11/6/2004 -0600 Dan Minette wrote: >I've got a question about your analysis. The years you didn't mention >really didn't fit the pattern. Yes, '68 was quite high, but so was '60 and >'64. In fact, every year in from '52-'68 saw higher turnout higher than >any year from '32-'44 (max

David Brooks on the Election

2004-11-06 Thread John D. Giorgis
I don't agree with everything in here, but this piece is outstanding, and should be read by everyone interested in electoral politics to at least consider the ideas he presents. http://www.nytimes.com/2004/11/06/opinion/06brooks.html?hp If there are some responses to this I will probably post m

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Richard Baker
JDG said: > An a honest question for you, but its a doozy, if you choose to > accept it: How is this position morally different from being > "personally opposed to the killing of Jews and counseling against > it" but ultimately not standing in the way of it? Whilst these are not morally diffe

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: "Richard Baker" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 12:00 PM Subject: Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient? > (Of course, the Nazis considered Jews to be sub-human so they would > presumably make

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Erik Reuter
On Sat, Nov 06, 2004 at 06:00:10PM +, Richard Baker wrote: > and chimpanzee genes. At one end, there's one that's 99% human and > 1% chimpanzee. At the other end, there's one that's 1% human and > 99% chimp. Between these extremes they vary in 1% increments. Now, > which of these (if any) do

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Richard Baker
Dan said: > Let's use that arguement. What about infants? The intellectual > functional ability of a 8 week premature baby is certainly not > functioanlly equivalent to even a full term infant. Indeed, one > could make a strong arguement that an adult chimp functions at a > superior level than

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Richard Baker
Erik said: > I can see the soul now! > > Soul: [Looks at zygote with 1% chimp] "Oh, yuck, I'm not going > in there!" Quite. But if one could see souls, this problem would evaporate (or would it? what if there were two classes of people who were indistinguishable in all ways except that one cl

Week 8 NFL Picks

2004-11-06 Thread John D. Giorgis
Finally did a little better last week, going 10-5, 62-54 for the year. Thanks to the NY Giants taking the Minnesota Vikings to the house for the second straight year, the Upset Special is a very respectable 5-3. Washington at Detroit - With late word that rookie WR Roy Williams will be sitting

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: "Richard Baker" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 12:28 PM Subject: Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient? > Dan said: > > > Let's use that arguement. What about infants? The intellectual > >

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Erik Reuter
On Sat, Nov 06, 2004 at 06:30:48PM +, Richard Baker wrote: > Quite. But if one could see souls, this problem would evaporate (or > would it? It seems like a solid problem to me. So...it would sublimate. -- Erik Reuter http://www.erikreuter.net/ ___

Re: Week 8 NFL Picks

2004-11-06 Thread Julia Thompson
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, John D. Giorgis wrote: > Finally did a little better last week, going 10-5, 62-54 for the year. > Thanks to the NY Giants taking the Minnesota Vikings to the house for the > second straight year, the Upset Special is a very respectable 5-3. Much better than my 7-7 last w

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Richard Baker
Dan said: > You argue from infintesmals...since one cannot exactly define the > dividing line, it doesn't exist. But, in reality of course, the > cluster in gene space that defines humans is a number of SD away > from the cluster than defines the closest apes. This may well be so, and yet for an

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Richard Baker
I said: > This may well be so, and yet for any pair of species A and B there > are paths in gene space that have the property that one end of the > path is in the cluster for species A, the other end of the path is > in cluster B, and every point along the path gives the genome of a > viable organ

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: "Richard Baker" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 1:08 PM Subject: Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient? > Dan said: > > > You argue from infintesmals...since one cannot exactly define the > >

PC Crash

2004-11-06 Thread Robert G. Seeberger
On election night at about 7PM local time and right in the middle of posting a response to something on the list, my PC's motherboard decided to belly up and die. My screen froze in mid-post and everything was locked. So I did what one does in these situations and rebooted. Dead Dead Dead My P

Re: PC Crash

2004-11-06 Thread Julia Thompson
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Robert G. Seeberger wrote: > xponent > Glad To Be Back Maru > rob Glad to have you back. :) Sorry about the motherboard. I haven't had a motherboard die; it's just been a video card, followed about 6 months later by the hard drive. And within a couple of weeks of fixing

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Doug Pensinger
Damon wrote: Some may be. Enlisting in the US Military has NEVER been subject to the condition of citizenship. Any person can qualify to join the Army, no matter what country they come from, or what citizenship they hold (barring any extenuation circumstances, like espionage etc). But I have d

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Doug Pensinger <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > I'm not saying Gautam is wrong, I trust that he > knows what he's talking > about in this instance, but I don't want to be > caught off guard either. > > -- > Doug Thanks, Doug. Just a note - the Washington Post ran an article on the possibility

Brin: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
Since we've heard a lot about "Red States" and "Blue States" I thought posting a link to this graphic would be interesting. I'd been planning on making it myself, but luckily someone much better at computers beat me to it. Robert Vanderbei created a map of the US shaded down to the county level a

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Damon Agretto
I'm wondering what your take is on the draft, Damon. I don't see how Iraq can be subdued without greater numbers and I think that it's likely that we'll begin to loose coalition members as the violence continues; what if the UK pulls out? Well, its as I had said before: we reap what we sow. Ri

Any monkey can do it (was - Re: Br!n: An inital note about the teen-rmath)

2004-11-06 Thread Travis Edmunds
A convenient opportunity to insert the following attempt at humor. Nothing more. I wrote: I'd ask your sensei to allow you to spar with some of the advanced guys. If this is not possible during class, see if you can get some of the advanced guys to work with you a little, either before or after

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Julia Thompson
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Gautam Mukunda wrote: > Since we've heard a lot about "Red States" and "Blue > States" I thought posting a link to this graphic would > be interesting. I'd been planning on making it > myself, but luckily someone much better at computers > beat me to it. Robert Vanderbei cr

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Julia Thompson
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Gautam Mukunda wrote: > Thanks, Doug. Just a note - the Washington Post ran > an article on the possibility just before the > election. Quite a few Republicans (myself included, > actually) thought it was a clear attempt to help the > Kerry campaign (and thus somewhat out o

Re: Brin: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Doug Pensinger
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004 17:49:10 -0800 (PST), Gautam Mukunda <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: Since we've heard a lot about "Red States" and "Blue States" I thought posting a link to this graphic would be interesting. I'd been planning on making it myself, but luckily someone much better at computers beat

Re: Brin: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Dan Minette
- Original Message - From: "Doug Pensinger" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> To: "Killer Bs Discussion" <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> Sent: Saturday, November 06, 2004 10:32 PM Subject: Re: Brin: Purple America > On Sat, 6 Nov 2004 17:49:10 -0800 (PST), Gautam Mukunda > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > Since

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Doug Pensinger <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > On Sat, 6 Nov 2004 17:49:10 -0800 (PST), Gautam > Mukunda > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Interesting. So do you think we have the numbers we > need to win the > peace? The war is becoming very unpopular in the > UK, what if they pull > out? I g

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Bryon Daly
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004 22:16:18 -0600 (CST), Julia Thompson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Gautam Mukunda wrote: > > > http://www.kieranhealy.org/files/misc/purple_america_2004_small.gif > > I'd like to know what's up with the black counties, though. >From the orignal site: http:

Re: Brin: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Dan Minette <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Realistically, Western Europe needed a leadership in > commitment by the US > match up well against Slovenia. Gautam or Damon can > correct me, but I > think that Europe has effectively decided (with the > exception of GB and > Russia) to effectively no

Concerned about Ignoring/Downshouting Things

2004-11-06 Thread Chad Underkoffler
Howdy. I'm a bit concerned about how numerous issues in this past election season have been marginalized, written-off as tinfoil hat conspiracy theories. Or worse, direct contradictions of facts ignored. And few people seem to care. Primarily: * The mystery bulge on Bush's back on several occasio

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Julia Thompson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Occasionally the Post will skew things and create > stuff that just isn't > there. And if they do it on the wrong story, > someone a lot closer to the > facts will harbor a deep mistrust of the paper for > 10 years or so, and > will only reluctantly

Re: Brin: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Damon Agretto
You know that I also think there is more downside than upside in Iraq, and I do appreciate the 10k or so troops that the British have in Iraq, but from a military standpoint, we didn't get much help in Gulf War I or IIso that going it with just the British will have practically no effect. If

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Doug Pensinger
Damon wrote: I'm wondering what your take is on the draft, Damon. I don't see how Iraq can be subdued without greater numbers and I think that it's likely that we'll begin to loose coalition members as the violence continues; what if the UK pulls out? Well, its as I had said before: we reap wh

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Julia Thompson
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Bryon Daly wrote: > On Sat, 6 Nov 2004 22:16:18 -0600 (CST), Julia Thompson > <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > > > On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Gautam Mukunda wrote: > > > > > http://www.kieranhealy.org/files/misc/purple_america_2004_small.gif > > > > I'd like to know what's up with t

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Damon Agretto
OK, but if what you're saying is that an 18 division all volunteer army is possible; we could recruit enough people to fill the ranks, then why didn't we start doing it after 9/11? I'm not saying that an all volunteer 18 division army is possible, it has been done! Prior to GW1 and after Vietna

Re: Brin: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Damon Agretto
One other point, though. Damon mentioned two possible crises the US military might be stretched to face. Well that's fine, but I think you're fixating on a digression on my part, and not something I intended to go into detail to defend. I presented a couple of possible, likely conflicts, but my

Re: Draft [was: Bush II]

2004-11-06 Thread Julia Thompson
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Gautam Mukunda wrote: > > --- Julia Thompson <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > > Occasionally the Post will skew things and create > > stuff that just isn't > > there. And if they do it on the wrong story, > > someone a lot closer to the > > facts will harbor a deep mistrust of t

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread JDG
At 08:32 PM 11/6/2004 -0800 Doug Pensinger wrote: >On Sat, 6 Nov 2004 17:49:10 -0800 (PST), Gautam Mukunda ><[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > >> Since we've heard a lot about "Red States" and "Blue >> States" I thought posting a link to this graphic would >> be interesting. I'd been planning on making

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread JDG
At 06:30 PM 11/6/2004 + Richard Baker wrote: >Quite. But if one could see souls, this problem would evaporate (or >would it? what if there were two classes of people who were >indistinguishable in all ways except that one class makes the >soulometer beep and the other doesn't?). Speaking for m

Wis. City's Schools Allowing Creationism

2004-11-06 Thread Gary Nunn
Wis. City's Schools Allowing Creationism GRANTSBURG, Wis. Nov 6, 2004 - The city's school board has revised its science curriculum to allow the teaching of creationism, prompting an outcry from more than 300 educators who urged that the decision be reversed. School board members believed that a

Re: Wis. City's Schools Allowing Creationism

2004-11-06 Thread Damon Agretto
School board members believed that a state law governing the teaching of evolution was too restrictive. The science curriculum "should not be totally inclusive of just one scientific theory," said Joni Burgin, superintendent of the district I wasn't aware that creationism was a scientific theory..

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread JDG
At 06:00 PM 11/6/2004 + Richard Baker wrote: >> An a honest question for you, but its a doozy, if you choose to >> accept it: How is this position morally different from being >> "personally opposed to the killing of Jews and counseling against >> it" but ultimately not standing in the way

Re: Brin: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Gautam Mukunda
--- Damon Agretto <[EMAIL PROTECTED]> wrote: > Well that's fine, but I think you're fixating on a > digression on my part, > and not something I intended to go into detail to > defend. I presented a > couple of possible, likely conflicts, but my point > is that at this > juncture, the military w

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Doug Pensinger
JDG wrote: First, am I the only one who found Doug's response here to be quite the non sequitur? How so? Secondly, for whatever it is worth, I would point out that Kerry never indicated for a moment that he had a better plan for winning this thing than Bush did..>> The election's over John. -- Dou

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Julia Thompson
On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Doug Pensinger wrote: > JDG wrote: > > > > > First, am I the only one who found Doug's response here to be quite the > > non sequitur? > > How so? I thought it looked like a response to something in a different thread. The "Purple America" thread seemed to be about coun

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Doug Pensinger
Gautam wrote: Well, first, I don't agree with that interpretaion of what happened in Vietnam. After the Tet Offensive the "insurgency" per se was basically non-existent in South Vietnam. Almost all major military engagements were with North Vietnamese troops who crossed the border. I'm all but po

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Doug Pensinger
Julia Thompson wrote: On Sat, 6 Nov 2004, Doug Pensinger wrote: JDG wrote: > > First, am I the only one who found Doug's response here to be quite the > non sequitur? How so? I thought it looked like a response to something in a different thread. The "Purple America" thread seemed to be about co

Re: Abortion Re: The Magic Ingredient?

2004-11-06 Thread Doug Pensinger
John wrote: This is, of course, my point. Throughout human history one group of humans has sought to define a nother group of humans that are "not like us" in some way, as not having the full rights of humanity.In every previous case, we have gone on to look with horror upon those who make t

Re: Purple America

2004-11-06 Thread Damon Agretto
I'm all but positive that the Vietcong was _very_ active right up to the end of the conflict and I believe that the political wing even took charge briefly following the U.S. evacuation. Most of the histories I've read suggest that after Tet the VC ceased to be an effective or meaningful field