Re: Hypothesis testing and magic - episode 2

2000-04-13 Thread dennis roberts
At 10:23 AM 4/13/00 -0500, Michael Granaas wrote: In addition to defining the variables some areas do a better job of defining and therefore testing their models. The ag example is one where not only the variables are relatively clear so are the models. That is there is one highly plausible

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-12 Thread dennis roberts
a professor thought that he was producing a test of 50 items at 'about the 50%' difficulty level, that is .. on average, the scores would be about 50%. now, he collected data from a random sample of n=40 of his class ... gave them the test ... and then did a ttest using 25 as the null ... he

hyp test:better def

2000-04-12 Thread dennis roberts
it appears to me that we are having the same kinds of discussions on this topic as usual and we go round and round ... and where we stop depends on when people get tired of it is progress being made? i wonder ... perhaps some of this time would be better spent defining more what a

Re: Hypothesis testing and magic - episode 2

2000-04-12 Thread dennis roberts
== dennis roberts, penn state university educational psychology, 8148632401 http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/droberts.htm === This list is open to everyone. Occasionally, less thoughtful people send inappropriate

hyp testing and rho

2000-04-11 Thread dennis roberts
here are two sample r values ... done in minitab ... and the associated output Correlations: C52, C53 Pearson correlation of C52 and C53 = 0.599 P-Value = 0.000 MTB corr c54 c55 Correlations: C54, C55 Pearson correlation of C54 and C55 = 0.586 P-Value = 0.075 now, minitab prints out a p

Re: examples of excel

2000-04-11 Thread dennis roberts
i found this ... someone has made some excel demos ... using the lotus product screencam ... which shows desktop work ... http://www.business.utah.edu/~mgtdgw/statmov.htm screencam can be seen at http://www.lotus.com/home.nsf/welcome/screencam you need a screencam player ... which is a

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-11 Thread dennis roberts
At 02:29 PM 4/11/00 -0300, Robert Dawson wrote: The problem is that failure to reject means *either* that the null is true *or* that the sample size too small *or* both; "or" both says then ... that the null IS true AND that sample size is TOO small ... too small for what???

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-11 Thread dennis roberts
translate THAT into some working hunch worthy of testing ... rather than defining nulls that in many cases are rather silly ... i would be happier ====== dennis roberts, penn state university educational psychology, 8148632401 http://roberts.ed.psu

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-10 Thread dennis roberts
, Michael Granaas wrote: On Fri, 7 Apr 2000, dennis roberts wrote: At 04:00 PM 4/7/00 -0500, Michael Granaas wrote: But whatever form hypothesis testing takes it must first and formost be viewed in the context of the question being asked. this seems to be the key to REinventing

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-10 Thread dennis roberts
At 01:16 PM 4/10/00 -0300, Robert Dawson wrote: No if you have to start "a more sensible null would be perhaps" you almost surely do not have a hypothesis worth testing. now we get to the crux of the matter ... WHY do we need a null ... or any hypothesis ... (credible and/or

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-10 Thread dennis roberts
At 01:16 PM 4/10/00 -0300, Robert Dawson wrote: both leave the listener wondering "why 0.5?" If the only answer is "well, it was a round number close enough to x bar [or "to my guesstimate before the experiment"] not to seem silly, but far enough away that I thought I could reject it." then the

scientific method

2000-04-10 Thread dennis roberts
here are a few (fastly found i admit) urls about scientific method ... some are quite interesting http://dharma-haven.org/science/myth-of-scientific-method.htm#Overview http://teacher.nsrl.rochester.edu/phy_labs/AppendixE/AppendixE.html http://idt.net/~nelsonb/bridgman.html

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-10 Thread dennis roberts
the logic behind the null hypothesis method is flawed ... IF you are looking for truth AND you keep following the logic of testing AGAINST a null ... first, say you reject the null of rho = 0 ... then, LOGICALLY ... this says that since we don't know what truth is ... just what we think it

hyp testing

2000-04-07 Thread dennis roberts
let's say that today ... we as the statistical community decided, by democratic vote, that the concept of 'hypothesis testing' ... which has essentially dominated statistical work for as long as i can remember (which, er um ... is a LOT of years!) ... is relegated to the 'we USED to do

Re: comparing variances

2000-04-07 Thread dennis roberts
the discussion of comparing variances brings to mind the following ... and is related to the post i just sent re: hyp testing let's assume that we are interested whether there is some difference in treatment effects ... as measured by means ... our null is the mu1 = mu2 now, we use the

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-07 Thread dennis roberts
new tricks is not easy, right? If such a vote were taken today with the results suggested by Mr.Roberts, I know I have successfully misled literally thousands of students. Would re-education be the answer? [EMAIL PROTECTED] (dennis roberts) wrote in [EMAIL PROTECTED]: let's say that to

Re: hyp testing

2000-04-07 Thread dennis roberts
At 04:00 PM 4/7/00 -0500, Michael Granaas wrote: But whatever form hypothesis testing takes it must first and formost be viewed in the context of the question being asked. this seems to be the key to REinventing ourselves ... make sure the focus is on the question ... AND, to REshape the

norm pdf

2000-04-05 Thread dennis roberts
how come when you do a pdf on a unit norm distribution and one say, where mean is 100 and sd = 15 ... you get different pdf values along the Y axis??? is it just because the lenght of the continuity along X is narrower/wider? 0.030+ - C2 - * * *

Re: Texts: Factor Analysis

2000-04-05 Thread dennis roberts
go to http://www.sagepub.com/ search on ... factor analysis ... some nice short books here At 03:06 PM 4/5/00 +0200, Gottfried Helms wrote: [EMAIL PROTECTED] wrote: What are your favorite book(s) on factor analysis? What do you think of R. Gorsuch's book? My favorite is Stan

Re: Calculator policy

2000-03-23 Thread dennis roberts
the other thing i wanted to mention was that ... if you develop some strict calculator policy ... then you spend too much time at the beginning of a class ... checking to make sure that each student ONLY has what is allowed ... in addition, since good calculators allow storage ... and we would

do we need huge sample sizes?

2000-03-22 Thread dennis roberts
the purpose and any inferential statistical procedure is to either answer the question: what is the parameter, or ... to test some specific hypothesis ABOUT a parameter ... thus, the goal of inferential statistics IS finding the parameter. now, significance is nothing more than asking what is

Re: over and above

2000-03-21 Thread dennis roberts
At 08:19 AM 03/21/2000 -0500, Herman Rubin wrote: The purpose of any course should be the development of knowledge and the ability to use it. Even the use of assignments for any other purpose does not contribute to education. Assignments for the purpose of having the students do assignments,

over and above

2000-03-20 Thread dennis roberts
grading projects for a first assignment REreminds me that ... some students go way above and beyond the call of duty when doing projects ... in my case, they have to download a file ... do some analyses ... and then do some write up of what they found. now, some go to alot to trouble to do

Re: Power for Pilot Studies

2000-03-15 Thread dennis roberts
well, this is interesting indeed ... for let's say that you did adopt a .1 level for a pilot AND, you just happened to reject the null IN the pilot ... is THAT sufficient justification for committing more time and resources TO a large main study?? the implication from this pilot result is that

mode

2000-02-29 Thread dennis roberts
i use minitab and it does not display anywhere the mode (not saying it should) ... does anyone who uses any other software know if your software displays mode/modes in any command or output display? (i don't mean a frequency distribution where YOU can locate it ... but, rather ... it lists AS

grouped dist

2000-02-29 Thread dennis roberts
in minitab ... is there a way to make a grouped frequency distribution and store the results? for example ... C1 Count 10 1 12 2 14 1 15 1 16 2 19 1 20 1 21 1 22 2 23 2

Re: Internet Email sampling

2000-02-28 Thread dennis roberts
a lot of this depends on who the target audience is is it adults in general? those who have interest in computers? those who 'do' email? those who are on email lists? this is your first concern then, after deciding on the above ... one has to assess IF a sampling plan will get TO those

introstat-l (long)

2000-02-18 Thread dennis roberts
This post is rather long, sorry. I have started a new listserv ... called INTROSTAT-L ... that will be housed here at Penn State, and uses the list server lists.psu.edu. Here is a brief explanation of what the purpose of the list is, and information about who the list has been primarily

Re: ANOVA causal direction

2000-02-10 Thread dennis roberts
says (if it can say anything) that time produces test performance . surely the other way around would make no sense what kind of data are you thinking about when you pose this question? == dennis roberts, penn state university

Re: Statistics Software

2000-02-10 Thread dennis roberts
/ === == dennis roberts, penn state university educational psychology, 8148632401 http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/droberts.htm === This list is open

search engines

2000-01-14 Thread dennis roberts
it appears that the longer i go, the more info i tend to gather for other folks ... especially via the web. now, i have my favorite search engines ... and for sure, none is perfect. in addition to things like altavista, infoseek, etc. ... i like ones such as google, directhit, dogpile, and

Re: y2k confound

2000-01-07 Thread dennis roberts
At 08:20 AM 1/7/00 -0500, Paige Miller wrote: I read somewhere that a state government agency deliberately left three computers unfixed for Y2K and they crashed immediately and were useless. the problem with this is how does one know that these 3 would not have crashed even if there were

y2k confound

2000-01-06 Thread dennis roberts
happy new year to everyone ... hope your y2k +1 year is great! now, the y2k scare provides us with an excellent example of confounds (more or less) .. consider the following: Time One: lots of hype about "potential" disasters related to y2k ... (PRETEST) Time Two: billions of $$$ spent

Re: transcript

2000-01-05 Thread dennis roberts
over and over again ... and, in this context a transcript merely gives us some more information about certain states of nature ... in this context ... transcripts are helpful ... ========== dennis roberts, penn state university educational psychol

Re: grading on the curve

1999-12-24 Thread dennis roberts
efinitions ... then this translates into unclear procedures for doing so in real practice ... and, college catalogs don't help ... have a look at where grades are discussed and see if that helps much i doubt it ====== dennis roberts, penn state university e

Re: adjusting marks; W. Edwards Deming

1999-12-22 Thread dennis roberts
this shows how naive deming really was ... who says learning "should" be a joy? learning is WORK ... and, work is hard. now, some kids really relish the task and challenges ... but many others do not ... should we blame THEM? but, i don't really see what deming has to do with our discussion of

grading on the curve

1999-12-22 Thread dennis roberts
OTECTED] wrote: I never, as a teacher, used any curving procedure to lower students grades! ========== dennis roberts, penn state university educational psychology, 8148632401 http://roberts.ed.psu.edu/users/droberts/droberts.htm

Re: adjusting marks

1999-12-21 Thread dennis roberts
first, why does she want to do this? second, does the distribution as is, look like a normal distribution? if not ... why would you want to FORCE it to look like that? third ... usually, "curving" means lowering the cutoffs ... that were established at the beginning of a course (maybe in the

Re: adjusting marks

1999-12-21 Thread dennis roberts
At 02:34 PM 12/21/99 -0600, EAKIN MARK E wrote: Dennis Roberts writes: i said this ... third ... usually, "curving" means lowering the cutoffs ... that were established at the beginning of a course (maybe in the syllabus) if that is the case ... then there is NO s

z and t

1999-12-15 Thread dennis roberts
of course ... if one believes that NEITHER really give you any useful information about population parameters ... means ... or correlation values, etc. ... remember, the t distribution and associated tests using it, is not JUST used for means ... THEN, maybe this distinction is trivial ...

Re: GLM vs. ANOVA

1999-12-15 Thread dennis roberts
in minitab for example ... the command ANOVA insists on equal ns in the cells ... glm does not ... this is not a conceptual difference as don was pointing out ... but, it is important IF you happen to be using minitab -- 208 Cedar Bldg., University

RE: teaching statistical methods by rules?

1999-12-15 Thread dennis roberts
i would highly recommend a paper by ken brewer ... titled: behavioral statistics textbooks: source of myths and misconceptions, Journal of Educational Statistics .. Fall, 1985, V 10, #3, pp 252-268 ... for an excellent discussion of the CLT At 12:20 PM 12/15/99 -0600, Olsen, Chris wrote:

Re: Rank, Awful

1999-11-30 Thread dennis roberts
At 11:37 PM 11/29/99 -0500, Bob Hayden wrote: Someone found another bug in Excel's statistics routines. Someone else came up with a clever alternative. What you have to think about is all the bugs you have not noticed yet. Anybody can do statistic with Minitab, but you need a Ph.D. in

Re: Fw: Rank Awful

1999-11-29 Thread dennis roberts
i would like to comment on this ... without getting anyone mad at me. i have heard this argument many times before but ... i think that if we promulgate this ... what it means is that we are not doing our students any favors ... i don't view some general stat package as a "specialist" package ...

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