Posted without comment

https://twitter.com/chemicalmishap/status/1273159524791259137?s=21


On Sat, Jun 13, 2020 at 12:15 AM Steve Timko <steveti...@gmail.com> wrote:

> This was a lively talk with Bill Burr about the entertainment business and
> Hollywood accounting.
>
> https://youtu.be/eGsB7hE_cFo
>
> On Tue, Jun 2, 2020, 7:21 AM Adam Bowie <a...@adambowie.co.uk> wrote:
>
>>
>> On Mon, Jun 1, 2020 at 3:21 PM Tom Wolper <twol...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> I don't get why Spotify is making this deal because they aren't content
>>> originators and, unlike Stern and SiriusXM, I don't see how it will sell
>>> subscriptions. Still, in a world where NBC signed Megyn Kelly for $65
>>> million with all of her baggage, this may not be such a shocking deal.
>>>
>>>
>> I think there's a two-part reason for this.
>>
>> Firstly, and most straightforwardly, Spotify gets a massive new audience.
>> For reasons that escape me (although that Atlantic article gives a good
>> explanation), millions listen. I assume a decent number of people will
>> continue to listen on the Spotify app even if they don't subscribe. From my
>> understanding Spotify isn't putting this behind a paywall, just forcing you
>> to use the app. But even if they don't get any new subscriptions at all,
>> Spotify can better monetise that audience than many others because they
>> have so much data on their users. They know your demographics (you tell
>> them when you sign up); they know when, where and how much people are
>> listening; they know all kinds of things that *regular* podcast platforms
>> don't know - podcast data is notoriously limited without all the tracking
>> data that most digital advertisers have on you. So Spotify can offer more
>> details to advertisers and more efficiently sell the podcast. Reports seem
>> to suggest that what Rogan gets paid will depend on hitting targets. So on
>> a purely commercial level, this may make sense for Spotify for those
>> reasons alone.
>>
>> But Spotify is also taking on the podcast industry. Their second motive
>> is to become closer to the default podcast platform. That helps their
>> overall business model - if you're listening to "free" podcasts, you're not
>> listening to "expensive" music. Somewhere around 60-65% of podcast
>> listening is currently via Apple podcasts despite Apple having 50% market
>> share of phones in the US, and less across the rest of the world. Spotify
>> wants in on that, and unlike Apple who hasn't been active in an area they
>> dominate, Spotify is spending a lot becoming a very solid #2. Exclusives
>> become a differentiator for them.
>>
>> I'm not a massive fan of this direction. If your podcast is not in my
>> podcast app of choice (Pocket Casts since you asked), I'm
>> significantly less likely to hear it. But I can understand the business
>> logic of it from Spotify's perspective. Up until now, I don't think that
>> there have been as many killer podcasts as podcasts businesses need. Many
>> podcasts are "replaceable." We've seen Luminary try this, with their
>> exclusive range of podcasts, but reports suggest that they're hemorrhaging
>> money. In part this is because you can probably find a sufficiently good
>> replacement for any podcast that moved behind the paywall, or otherwise
>> never heard their exclusives anyway. Serial might be an example of a killer
>> podcast. Or maybe The Daily. Something people would change behaviours to
>> still get access to. Even then, I'm not sure that the NYT would put The
>> Daily behind a subscription paywall when it's: a) profitable right now with
>> their listening figures, and b) acts a massive promotional tool to drive
>> those NYT subscriptions. They spread that messaging every single episode!
>>
>> Today there are more than 1,000,000 podcast series on iTunes.  If my
>> favourite tech podcast moved behind a paywall, I might be a bit bummed, but
>> I could probably find a suitable replacement. Spotify is gambling that
>> Rogan's fans will follow him and there aren't a bunch of others like him -
>> or at least as "good" as what he does. It might work for him and Spotify.
>> But who else would it work for? I'm not sure.
>>
>> Disclaimer: I've never listened to him. I can't say that three podcasts
>> by *anyone* appeal to me. I only recently found out that he was the
>> presenter of Fear Factor which we did get in the UK. But I always found him
>> the most obnoxious thing on that, and that's saying something. Oh, and any
>> podcast that ever had or has Alex Jones on it, for any reason whatsoever,
>> is not a podcast I'm ever going to listen to.
>>
>>
>>
>> Adam
>>
>>>
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>>
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-- 
Kevin M. (RPCV)

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