In none of these scenarios can I see myself being interested in spending
more than zero seconds listening to a Joe Rogan.

I’m surprised they think the Dem Clean Sweep is most likely. And I think it
is extremely unlikely the Dems take the Senate and lose the WH.

I expect any outcome that includes Biden winning to result in a real
struggle within the GOP, perhaps with C-R Republicans becoming a force
again, or perhaps with the emergence of a new C-R party.

I don’t expect the hard core 33% or so of the country explicitly dedicated
to the racism, sexism, homophobia and xenophobia of Trump to become kinder
and gentler, so there will continue to be a market for the likes of Rogan.
But a Trump loss would make the more pragmatic, less explicitly racisty
part of the party look for a way to re-brand themselves.

I’m not exactly optimistic, because I think even now Trump’s channels of
winning are not much worse than they were at this point 4 years ago, and
things are likely to get better for him as We get closer to November.

On Sun, Jun 21, 2020 at 11:54 AM Joe Hass <hassgoc...@gmail.com> wrote:

> On Sat, Jun 20, 2020, 17:29 Tom Wolper <twol...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> If Trump loses in November MAGA doesn't go into retreat. It forms the
>> backbone of the opposition. The Republican faction that will fade into
>> oblivion is the Republican moderates.
>>
>
> There are technically eight scenarios. Let's agree that the four where the
> GOP takes the House back are not fundamentally realistic.
>
> In increasing order of likelihood according to predictit.org
>
> Trump wins, Republicans maintain the Senate (17%): Four more years of this.
> Biden wins, Republicans maintain the Senate (24%): What Tom said.
> Trump wins, Democrats get the Senate (25%): Everything grinds to a halt
> for four years.
> Biden wins, Democrats get the Senate (34%): I honestly don't know what
> happens to the Republican party. It's one thing to lose the White House.
> It's quite another to lose the White House *and* both houses of Congress in
> back-to-back elections.
>
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