It literally takes 3-4 weeks for the virus to peak. We are only just finding
infected people now.
Give it two more weeks and let’s see where we are.
Remember there is a 14 day incubation phase where the carrier has no symptoms
but is infectious.
Then the person may become ill for a week or so, then feel better before
becoming terminal.
The entire timeline is about 4 weeks.
> On Feb 9, 2020, at 9:06 PM, Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:
>
> None, zero, have been in the US. One in the Philipines. One in Hong Kong. All
> the rest in China. Only a dozen infections in the US; none fatal so far.
>
> 10,000 died from the flu in the US. 19 million flu infections in the US.
>
>
> bp
> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>
>> On 2/9/2020 3:25 PM, Matt Hoppes wrote:
>> Let me fix that for you:
>> Coronavirus: 800 (that have been reported). Many more who have died without
>> being tested. Also China marks cause of death as the final reason (eg
>> Pneumonia, or Heart Attack).
>>
>> So the numbers being reported are not accurate.
>>
>>> On Feb 9, 2020, at 5:58 PM, Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com> wrote:
>>>
>>> Here is a counterpoint. So far this season, 10,000 people have died in the
>>> US from the flu. That makes the score flu 10,000, coronavirus 0.
>>>
>>> https://www.pressenza.com/2020/02/the-flu-has-killed-10000-americans-this-season/
>>>
>>> Maybe the appropriate action is (was?) to just get a flu shot.
>>>
>>>
>>> bp
>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>
>>>> On 2/7/2020 9:40 AM, Matt Hoppes wrote:
>>>> There have been two fatalities THAT WE KNOW OF. We've only just started.
>>>> It's been an extremely rough flu season here in the U.S.... maybe it's
>>>> not the flu?
>>>>
>>>> 2019-nCoV has a 14 week incubation period... meaning spreading is
>>>> happening before people even know it -- thus making this particularly
>>>> dangerous.
>>>>
>>>> In about the next two weeks we'll have a much better picture on what's
>>>> going on and what's going to be going on, but on CN and elsewhere in the
>>>> world.
>>>>
>>>> The problem right now is it takes 14 days to incubate and about 7 days to
>>>> get a report back on a positive/negative test culture, so there is a very
>>>> long lag and we are currently sitting in it.
>>>>
>>>> Now I ask you: is the reason there have only been 2 fatalities because the
>>>> health care systems are not yet overwhelmed elsewhere?
>>>>
>>>>> On 2/7/20 12:34 PM, Bill Prince wrote:
>>>>> You don't have to "trust" the Chinese, but you can probably trust the
>>>>> reports from everywhere else. The fact is that there have been 2
>>>>> fatalities outside of mainland China.
>>>>>
>>>>> Just stay away from bat soup.
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>> bp
>>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>>
>>>>>> On 2/7/2020 9:00 AM, Matt Hoppes wrote:
>>>>>> So let me get this straight. A virus that is not a big deal has caused
>>>>>> China to:
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Send the president into hiding
>>>>>> Build several emergency hospitals
>>>>>> Lock down major cities
>>>>>> Extend the CNY
>>>>>> In some cases barricade people in their homes
>>>>>> Daily fumigation of streets
>>>>>> Crematories running 24x7 to burning the dead bodies
>>>>>> People being forcibly removed from their homes and taken into quarantine
>>>>>> Suspicious deaths around doctors revealing information
>>>>>> Extreme China censorship even to U. S. online forums
>>>>>>
>>>>>> China has also sent out a blank response to their citizens for anyone
>>>>>> dealing in international trade. If asked how things are going they all
>>>>>> respond with extremely similar answers about how everything is contained
>>>>>> in Wuhan and things are fine. Literally down to the same wording in
>>>>>> cases.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> Tell me. What does China know about this “not a big deal Virus” that we
>>>>>> don’t that they are willing to risk their economy?
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> On Feb 7, 2020, at 11:29 AM, Bill Prince <part15...@gmail.com
>>>>>>> <mailto:part15...@gmail.com>> wrote:
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> This thing is being overblown in a big way. First, the fatality rate is
>>>>>>> below 2% (which is pretty low as far as these things go). Second, the
>>>>>>> infectiousness is fairly low as well; somewhere between 1.5 and 3
>>>>>>> (measles by comparison is rated at 15).
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> So the virus is not all that infectious, and it is not all that fatal.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> Fear driven journalism.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> bp
>>>>>>> <part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On 2/7/2020 8:20 AM, Steve Jones wrote:
>>>>>>>> https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.html#/bda7594740fd40299423467b48e9ecf6
>>>>>>>> the map
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On Fri, Feb 7, 2020 at 10:19 AM Steve Jones <thatoneguyst...@gmail.com
>>>>>>>> <mailto:thatoneguyst...@gmail.com>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> this is the Johns Hopkins map
>>>>>>>> Pretty much all the prediction models of global pandemic have
>>>>>>>> been wrong. Recoveries are out pacing deaths. It hasnt spread
>>>>>>>> outside china beyond the two people who had sex with people who
>>>>>>>> had been infected in china. theyre offloading a cruise ship in
>>>>>>>> New Jersey today apparently so our numbers will have a small
>>>>>>>> jump. Its a 3rd world respiratory illness. chinese air is the
>>>>>>>> dirtiest on the planet.
>>>>>>>> I have a tool that shipped out of Wuhan a few weeks ago, i will
>>>>>>>> lick it when it gets here and then come breath on people.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> UBNT probably is dropping because theyre not a CBRS LTE Player
>>>>>>>> and theyre kind of stagnant in general right now
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> On Fri, Feb 7, 2020 at 10:10 AM Ken Hohhof <af...@kwisp.com
>>>>>>>> <mailto:af...@kwisp.com>> wrote:
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> I don’t follow UBNT but I would have to guess it has
>>>>>>>> something to do with the Wuhan virus and the fact that all
>>>>>>>> their stuff is made in China?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> I have been tempted to post asking if any WISPs are starting
>>>>>>>> to stockpile equipment that might be in short supply this
>>>>>>>> year. I know China will try not to let the virus impact
>>>>>>>> their manufacturing and exports, but it’s hard to see how it
>>>>>>>> won’t. It could also spread to other countries in the area
>>>>>>>> that do a lot of electronic component manufacturing and
>>>>>>>> assembly work. I have already seen some predictions that TV
>>>>>>>> supplies may be affected.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> *From:* AF <af-boun...@af.afmug.com
>>>>>>>> <mailto:af-boun...@af.afmug.com>> *On Behalf Of *Rex-List
>>>>>>>> Account
>>>>>>>> *Sent:* Friday, February 7, 2020 9:58 AM
>>>>>>>> *To:* AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com>
>>>>>>>> *Subject:* [AFMUG] Ubiquiti stock
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> What’s up with the Ubiguiti stock price drop?
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> -- AF mailing list
>>>>>>>> AF@af.afmug.com <mailto:AF@af.afmug.com>
>>>>>>>> http://af.afmug.com/mailman/listinfo/af_af.afmug.com
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>> --
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